I see a top setting up as a potential H&S top based on the trend lines, levels, seasonality and inter market analysis. I'm going to go long into the sell area at the top of the channel, then look to short it back down to the trend channel, then go long into the right shoulder for a short on Massive size for the break below.
I'm going to time the top of crude with the top in the Canadian $. It is very clear where the Canadian $ will retrace to so i'll use that level for reference then look for clues of a top in crude. I'm guessing 105 area as its a nice round number.