DXY: Sellers Take ControlHi traders and investors!
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
The US Dollar Index (DXY) formed a sideways range on the daily timeframe at the end of June. The seller’s initiative is now active, with a target at 96.767.
Before that, there was a buyer initiative, and we can see that at the end of it, there was a manipulation around the 98.640 level.
A buyer attack occurred on high volume, but the sellers absorbed the buyer’s attack candle and pushed the price downward on October 15.
The price may return to retest either 98.65 - 98.35 area. However, the main movement on the Dollar Index remains downward.
Wishing you profitable trades!
Trade ideas
DXY Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
DXY Price is expected to retest the horizontal supply area early next week as liquidity builds up below Friday’s close. Smart Money may engineer a short-term rally into this zone before resuming the bearish move toward 98.38.
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Stop Loss: 98.71
Take Profit: 98.38
Entry: 98.58
Time Frame: 3H
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Sell!
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DXY Will Go Higher! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for DXY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 98.541.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 99.742.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Dollar index - Macro Bearish divergenceA lot of information in the above 6-month chart of the dollar index, could discuss for hours.. some highlights:
1) The bearish divergence currently printing shall confirm by July 2023 should 100 level collapse. It is the only time in history a bearish divergence of this strength has printed on the 6-month chart.
2) IF it confirms, the index will target the lower side of the channel around 60-70 level.
3) Notice the trend of the index, lower highs lower lows. It is remarkable how many are bullish on the dollar, in the macro sense.
4) Both the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ made considerable gains in the 10-year period that followed a rejection from the upper side of the channel. Many ‘experts’ now talk about the coming lost decade. Gold is the only option, they say. Is that what you see in this chart?! Not what I’m seeing..
Will return in July to see how this candle prints, however with 1.3 months to go it is not looking good for the dollar.
Ww
DXY UpdateDXY — The Volume Cap: Where Momentum Meets Memory
Every market has memory — and in the Dollar Index, it’s sitting right at 97.4.
That’s the current Volume Cap — a zone where heavy participation once stopped price cold, leaving unfinished business behind.
Price loves to revisit these caps, testing whether the imbalance still holds or finally gives way.
⚙️ Context (4H | Friday Recap)
Friday delivered heavy volume and clean directional flow — a textbook session.
DXY continues to rotate within the 97.048–99.198 range, holding a short-term bullish tone inside a larger consolidation.
📊 Technical Map
• Structure: Long-term bearish range inside a broader consolidation phase.
• Momentum: Still bullish, but showing early fatigue.
• Volume Cap: The 97.4 level remains unfilled, acting like a magnet for potential retests — the true battleground between continuation and correction.
🌐 Fundamental Pulse
After a month of running hot, the dollar finally cooled.
Retail Sales and Industrial Production softened, yields eased, and traders started whispering “rate cuts” again.
The Fed’s cautious tone keeps volatility contained ahead of next week’s Core PCE inflation data.
🧭 Trade Plan (If/Then)
If DXY runs through 97.4, watch for a bearish Volume Cap flip — potential downside toward nearby support.
If Monday’s price action drives higher, expect bullish momentum rotation back toward the 97.0 retest region.
DOLLAR INDEX 97.999-98 IF RESPECTED A S A BUY FLOOR THEN consider to selll GOLD ,SILVER COPPER eurusd sell,audusd sell,usdjpy buy,gbpusd sell, usdzar buy .
the dollar index is the measure of the value of us dollar to basket of six other mejor currency and its affected by the price action of US10Y.
LAYER BY LAYER .
DONT RUSH
#DOLLAR #DXY
17.10.25 Morning ForecastJust a heads up! I will be in Italy the beginning of next week, so most likely will not be able to upload any video forecasts. I will do my best to post what I am looking at for the day to keep you guys in the loop. From Thursday next week I will be back to normal schedule 🫡
Pairs on Watch -
FX:USDJPY
A short overview of the instruments I am looking at for today, multi-timeframe analysis down to what I will be looking at for an entry. Enjoy!
DXYThe dollar just isn’t getting much love lately. It’s been losing steam, struggling to bounce, and the charts aren’t helping its case. With talk of the Fed easing up and other currencies picking up strength, there’s not much keeping the dollar afloat right now. Unless something shifts, it looks like the dollar could stay under pressure for a while.
DOLLAR Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis.
Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you.
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US Dollar: Bullish! The Pullback To Support Is An Opportunity!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Oct 13 - 17th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USD Dollar
The USD was bullish all of last week, except for Friday. Pres. Trump announced China tariffs and the market dumped. For me, this is a market knee jerk reaction, and temporary in nature. I am looking for the DXY to continue higher this coming week, rendering last Friday's candle as only a pullback to support.
There is an opportunity here for buyers, in my opinion.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Will DXY Sustain The Pressure Amid Current Uncertainties?Fundamental approach:
- The US dollar retreated this week, pressured by expectations of continued Fed easing and signs of emerging economic weakness.
- The Fed's latest Beige Book revealed that economic activity remained flat, with increasing layoffs across districts, and middle- to lower-income households reducing their spending, reinforcing dovish expectations. Chair Powell's scheduled remarks and the ongoing government shutdown, which began on 1 Oct, have delayed critical data. The Sep NFP was not released, and the Sep CPI is rescheduled for Fri, 24 Oct, adding to the uncertainty surrounding the dollar's outlook.
- Meanwhile, the euro gained ground as European currencies strengthened against the greenback, with the dollar down around 10% YTD.
- The dollar may face continued downside pressure as markets await the Fed's October 28-29 meeting, where a 0.25% rate cut is widely anticipated. However, delayed economic data releases could inject volatility into near-term trading.
Technical approach:
- DXY is trading within the ascending channel and retesting the support at 98.60. The index is slightly above both EMAs, indicating the upward momentum persists.
- If DXY remains above the key support at 98.60, confluence with the ascending channel's lower bound, the index may rise to retest the psychological resistance at 100.00.
- On the contrary, breaking below the support and both EMAs may prompt the DXY to retest the following support at 97.15.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
DXY — 4H Fibonacci Discount ZoneDXY — 4H Fibonacci Discount Zone: bounce or breakdown?
Context (4H | Pre-London | 16 Oct)
Dollar Index is testing a 50% Fibonacci discount zone after an overnight -2 deviation.
Volume remains light, but buyers stepped in near the 98.2 region, defending short-term structure.
Big picture still leans bearish
Technical Map
• Structure: Consolidation within broader bearish context — 4H recovery attempts forming.
• Key Level: 98.2 acting as short-term decision point; deviation off 50% Fib zone.
• Momentum: −2 deviation within 4H range — early shift toward mean reversion.
• Volume: Heavy order flow support beneath 98.0; thin liquidity overhead until 98.6.
Structure overall remains bearish, but short-term momentum favors a corrective bid from the Fibonacci discount zone.
Fundamental Pulse
The Fed minutes gave us a small dip in yields, but the Dollar didn’t flinch — it’s still holding firm.
Sticky inflation keeps the Fed cautious, reinforcing that “higher-for-longer” tone.
Now all eyes turn to today’s CPI at 15:30 EET — the real test for rate expectations.
For now, rates steady, risk tone calm, traders waiting for direction.
Plan (If/Then)
If DXY pushes above 98.6, expect momentum toward the 99.0 zone.
Break below 98.05 reopens path toward 97.6–97.4 support band.
R:R potential ≈ 1 : 3 — solid setup if volatility expands post-CPI.
Stay patient and scale small before the CPI lands.
Mindset Pulse
Observation beats anticipation.
Let price confirm your story, not the other way around.
Stay aligned with structure; one mouse click can cost a narrative.
Dollar Index Big Map: Trend Is Your Friend This year, the dollar has been in the red all the way down — until it hit the strong support line of a multi-decade uptrend (white). From there, it bounced to the upside. So, what’s next?
I’d like to share with you a big map of the Dollar Index.
I assume that we are still within the large second leg ((Y)) of the ((WXY)) corrective structure (white).
Within this structure, we can see a smaller-degree (WXY) correction (blue).
Currently, the market is moving in the last leg C of the final upward move in blue wave (Y).
Many times, I’ve observed how beautifully these wave structures align with strong pivot points.
The ultimate target for wave ((Y)) is near the top of wave ((W)), around 121.
This level also matches the target where blue wave (Y) equals blue wave (X) — an amazing correlation!
There are two key confirmation levels marked on the map:
Bullish confirmation — above 110 (this would invalidate the bearish scenario).
Bearish confirmation — below 89 (this would invalidate the ((WXY)) structure).
Bearish drop off?US Dollar Index (DXY) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 98.91
1st Support: 98.43
1st Resistance: 99.43
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