SILVER.F trade ideas
Grand Silver SupercycleI present the Grand Silver Supercycle. Silver has followed Elliott Wave Theory nicely through the years. The price hit a century low during The Great Depression, beginning what I believe to be the first wave of a supercycle. There is a clear five wave pattern up from this low, peaking in 1980. This is supercycle wave 1. Then, we see a five wave corrective pattern down, bottoming out in the early 90s. Alternatively, a three wave ABC pattern could be drawn. This is where supercycle wave 3 begins. Wave 3 is typically much more prominent than wave 1 in Elliott Wave Theory. For this reason, it makes sense that the next five wave pattern ending in 2011 is only the first subwave of supercycle wave 3. The second subwave corrected to the 2020 low, and we are currently on the third subwave. Within this subwave, we could either be starting a third wave (as shown in the chart) or still be on the corrective second wave. I believe the former is much more likely due to fundamentals.
Price targets within the current subwave were estimated as follows:
wave 3 length = 1.618 X wave 1
wave 3 target = $48
wave 4 length = 38.2% retracement of wave 3
wave 5 length = 1.618 X (wave 3 end - wave 1 start)
I'm more confident on wave 3 ending near $48 than I am of wave 5 ending near $95. There is strong resistance at $50, which coincides with the Elliott target zone. Wave 5 length can vary significantly. For silver at least, fifth waves have traditionally been long ones.
Fundamentals
Elliott Wave Theory is only a tool. It needs to be backed up by fundamentals when forecasting on long time frames. Silver is undervalued due to many years of supply outstripping demand, creating cheap prices. That is in the early stages of changing as now demand outpaces supply. Global silver demand was expected to hit an all time high of 1.21 billion ounces in 2022 (www.silverinstitute.org). This is largely due to increases in demand in both industry (Green Revolution) and personal investment (stackers hedging against inflation). Silver reserves currently stand at 530,000 metric tons (www.statista.com). The current demand is 38,000 metric tons per year. A simple calculation shows existing reserves could be depleted in 14 years. However, this calculation doesn't take into account new discoveries and recycling, which have so far kept pace with demand. Estimates of time to depletion of reserves vary wildly from a couple decades to a few centuries. At the moment, the prime driver of price (in addition to inflation) will be the deficit, not depletion of reserves.
Inflation is a totally different animal that is much harder to forecast long term due to its close relationship to government and Federal Reserve policy. It is more likely that when presented the choice, our leaders choose high inflation over debt default and depression. How this all is going to play out is anyone's guess. It seems for now our leaders are trying to kick the can down the road for as long as possible. If hyperinflation hits, the silver price will reach extraordinary heights.
SILVER: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 40.925 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 40.796 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Silver Pullback Ahead? A Buying Opportunity in the MakingSilver is in an uptrend channel both in the short term and the medium term. Significant bullish pressure is coming from gold, rising technology investment that boosts demand for silver, persistent inflation risks, and the Fed being on the verge of cutting rates. Fundamentally, everything supports silver, and upward pressure is likely to continue.
However, in the short term, upward momentum has started to ease despite the push from gold, which could be an early signal of a small correction. The upward move is still expected to continue, but if the green trendline and the 40.50 support both fail, there is a zone between 39.10 and 40.50 with previous low trading volume that could be filled by a selloff. Such low-volume zones often behave similarly to gaps, though not always.
In either case, silver has stronger potential over the medium term, and any sudden selloffs are likely to remain buying opportunities.
SILVER Will Go Up! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 4,131.3.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 4,170.3 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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SILVER 15m – Key Resistance Test | PULLBACK/CORRECTION PENDINGFOREXCOM:XAGUSD
📊 SILVER 15m – Key Resistance Test ⚡
Structure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones
Silver rejected at 41.65 (key resistance). Buyers are active from 41.00–41.15, but a breakout above 41.65 is needed for further continuation.
Market Overview
The market is consolidating near resistance. A push above 41.65 could extend gains, but failure will drag price back to demand zones near 41.00 and below.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
Target 1: 41.45
Target 2: 41.65
Target 3: 41.90 – 42.00
Stop Loss: Below 41.00
❌ Bearish Case 📉
Target 1: 41.15
Target 2: 41.00
Target 3: 40.52
Stop Loss: Above 41.65
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 41.65
Support 🟢: 41.15 – 41.00
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SILVER: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 41.252 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 41.509.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Silver is in an 11-year Uptrend using Time@Mode MethodThe Silver market has been chopping around between $50 at $8.5 for the last 20 years but has been following the methodology I call "Time At Mode" from the observation that markets tend to trend for the same amount of time as the most common price across an accumulation level (or distribution level).
As you can see here with Silver, from 1993 to 2002, it went sideways and every year touched the $5 level and if you look carefully the "highest low" was in 1999 at $4.87. That is the official mode for the uptrend starting from the low in 1991.
Why did the uptrend start in 1991? 1991 was the lowest low for the following 5 bars, so we can methodically label the 1991 low the "start" of the uptrend. Counting forward from 1991 we can see the wide range from $4 to $7 across the following 10 years.
In 2003 I have marked a "range expansion" bar where the advance to the high that year was greater than the previous year's range. That "range expansion" is the sign of a change in the market and a signal that the market has detached from the mode and is ready to trend. What I have noticed is that the market will trend for the same number of bars as touch one single price line across the mode.
The 10th year wasn't the highest high of the uptrend of 10 years, but it was the "highest low" for the uptrend. You can also notice that the price moved up by 3x the range around the mode. The "range" is the highest to lowest measurement of those bars that between the start and end of the mode line.
By adding the "RAM" (range around mode) to the mode, you establish a likely price target for the trend. In this case, silver moved 3x the RAM or Range.
Since the peak in silver in 2011, silver has built a new mode at the $15 level and it too started to trend in 2019 by Range Expanding but then 2020 reversed that jump start and stopped out that signal.
2020 again saw a range expansion out of the mode and triggered a new 11-year uptrend which is labeled now ending in 2030.
The upside target is measured using a %-graph and measuring from $8.458 in 2008 to the high in 2011 at $48.8 and using that % to project up from the mode at $15.1897, which is the low of the year 2017.
So, the target is for $93 by the year 2030 which sounds impressive but is a bit over 143% spread out over 5 years for a compound gain of 19.5% per year.
The typical way to trade Time@Mode is to hold 2 positions, one to exit when the price target is hit and one to exit when the time expires.
See you in 2030 to see if this trade panned out.
Cheers,
Tim
8/27/2025 10:39AM EST
Silver shines on a mix of financial momentum and industrial streSilver shines on a mix of financial momentum and industrial strength
Technical Perspective
XAGUSD is consolidating within an ascending triangle, a continuation pattern that implies a bullish breakout post accumulation phase.
Bullish alignment of EMA cross also reinforces the positive outlook within consolidation.
Currently, XAGUSD is testing the upper boundary of the sideways range. A close above the 41.50 upper bound resistance would confirm a bullish continuation, with the next upside target at 44.80 based on the 261.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
However, failure to break above 41.50 may trigger a pullback toward the ascending trendline. A breakdown below this line would expose the key psychological support at 40.00.
Fundamental Perspective
Silver maintains a high correlation with gold, often rallying alongside it when gold prices rise.
Expectations of Fed rate cuts reduce the opportunity cost of holding silver, boosting demand.
Industrial demand remains robust, especially in solar panels, electric vehicles, and electronics, with China driving consumption. Meanwhile, years of persistent supply deficits have tightened the market, providing strong fundamental support.
Geopolitical risks and safe-haven flows attract capital into broadly precious metals including silver.
In summary, silver’s latest rally is supported by monetary easing expectations, strong industrial demand, and heightened geopolitical tensions that reinforce safe-haven demand.
Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Silver uptrend sideways consolidation supported at 4067The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a consolidation within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 4067 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4067 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4181 – initial resistance
4224 – psychological and structural level
4260 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4067 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
4042 – minor support
4014 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Silver holds above 4067. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Silver | H4 Double Top | GTradingMethod
🧐 Market Overview:
All my variables have been met.
Some of the variables I look for are as follows:
- RSI divergence
- Lower volume on top 2 (In this case JOLTS came out, which causes an exception to the volume rule)
- Attack candle closes in range
Opened a short position on Silver.
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/Reward: 3.9
🎯 Entry: 41.29
🛑 Stop Loss: 41.67
💰 Take Profit 1 (50%): 39.93
💰 Take Profit 2 (50%): 39.34
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
Sometimes news events (like JOLTS) can disrupt normal volume behavior. That’s why it’s key to use multiple variables together, not rely on just one signal.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Make sure to follow me to catch the next idea and please share your thoughts — I’d love to hear them.
📌 Please note:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
XAGUSD Overextended: Watching 40.50 NecklineIn the past months I argued that Silver should rise and reach 40, and the market not only achieved that but even exceeded the level, printing a high at 41.50.
However, just like Gold, this move looks overextended and vulnerable to correction.
📌 Technically, price has tapped 41.50 twice. While it cannot yet be called a confirmed double top, the possibility exists. The neckline of this potential pattern is at 40.50.
• A break below 40.50 could trigger a deeper correction.
• First target: under 40, toward the 39 technical support zone.
🔑 Trading Plan: I remain cautious at these levels.
If 40.50 gives way, I will look for shorts targeting the 39 area. Counter-trend trades carry very high risk, but the setup is worth monitoring. 🚀
SILVER SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 4,066.6
Target Level: 3,923.7
Stop Loss: 4,160.4
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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SILVER H1 | Price signals a potential bearish dropBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has rejected off the sell entry which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 40.93, which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 41.37, which is a multi-swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 40.36, which is a pullback support.
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SILVER (XAGUSD): Consolidation & Bullish MovementThe price of SILVER is currently exhibiting trading behavior within a broad horizontal range.
Following a test of its support level, an inverted head and shoulders pattern was formed.
It is anticipated that this consolidation will persist, with a probable price increase towards the range's resistance level.
SILVER DAILY TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS let’s break this XAG/USD (Silver, Daily timeframe) chart down step by step:
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1. Current Market Context
Price is trading at 40.95, very close to recent highs.
Momentum is clearly bullish, with strong impulsive candles breaking above previous resistance zones.
Structure shows consistent higher highs & higher lows, confirming a bullish trend.
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2. Key Institutional Zones (Marked on Chart)
🔴 Supply / Short Zones
39.57 – 38.81:
This red zone was a major supply area where sellers previously stepped in.
Price consolidated, then broke above strongly.
This zone is now flipped into demand — meaning institutions may defend it on any pullback.
🔵 Demand / Long Zones
36.53 – 35.77:
Strong institutional demand zone. Previous breakout base.
If price retraces deep, expect institutions to re-enter longs here.
35.01 – 34.25:
Secondary demand zone. Historically defended with multiple reactions.
33.49 – 32.73:
Key structural base where the last big rally originated. Very strong institutional footprint.
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3. Trendline & Price Action
The ascending trendline drawn from May – July 2025 supports the bullish continuation narrative.
Price respected it multiple times before the breakout toward 40+.
If price corrects, watch for retests of trendline + demand zones aligning (confluence)
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4. Next Possible Scenarios
🟢 Bullish Continuation (Most Probable)
A breakout and sustained close above 41.00–41.20 could accelerate a move toward 42.50 – 43.00 (next liquidity pool).
Momentum buyers likely target liquidity sitting above 41.85.
🔵 Bullish Pullback
A correction toward 39.50 zone (recent breakout level) would be healthy and could serve as a high-probability long re-entry.
Deeper retracement could retest 36.50 – 35.70 (major demand), offering swing long opportunities.
🔴 Bearish Reversal (Low Probability for Now)
Only a daily close below 35.70 would threaten the bullish structure.
That would open doors for a bigger drop back toward 34.20 – 33.50 demand.
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5. Institutional Positioning Perspective
Longs or Buy orders are likely built around the 36.50 → 35.00 demand levels.
Short-term profit-taking could occur near 41.00 – 42.00 supply, but unless institutions dump massively, dips remain buy opportunities.
Current momentum suggests institutions are defending longs and running price into higher liquidity pools.
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✅ Summary:
Silver (XAG/USD) is in a strong bullish trend. As long as price holds above 39.50, buyers remain in control with targets at 42.50–43.00. Pullbacks into 39.50 or deeper 36.50–35.70 zones are opportunities for institutional re-accumulation (longs). A bearish reversal would only be confirmed below 35.70.