Falling wedges: Are you convinced now about what's to come?Yes, we are still in a downtrend, but this is not the first time this happens. Maybe this chart will convince you why.
The upcoming two weeks will become very important on what's next for COINBASE:SOLUSD : will a breakout occur on this last falling wedge just like previous times?
I think it will.
Trade ideas
SOL PERPETUAL TRADE BUY SETUP Long from $144SOL PERPETUAL TRADE
BUY SETUP
Long from $144
Currently $144
Targeting $148.80 or Above
(Trading plan IF SOL
go down to $140 will add more longs)
Follow the notes for updates
In the event of an early exit,
this analysis will be updated.
Its not a Financial advice
Capital Flows Impacted1. Understanding Capital Flows
Capital flows are broadly classified into two categories:
Foreign Direct Investment (FDI):
Long-term investments in physical assets like factories, infrastructure, or real estate. FDI represents stable and sustainable investment because it indicates confidence in the host country’s economy.
Portfolio Investment:
Short-term investment in financial assets like stocks, bonds, or other securities. These flows are more volatile, as investors can quickly withdraw funds based on changes in risk perception or economic conditions.
Other Capital Flows:
These include banking sector flows, loans, and remittances. While remittances are generally stable, banking flows can fluctuate depending on interest rates and credit conditions.
Capital flows contribute to a country’s balance of payments, affect exchange rates, and determine the availability of foreign reserves. They can enhance investment, technology transfer, and job creation, but excessive inflows or sudden outflows can destabilize financial markets.
2. Factors Impacting Capital Flows
Capital flows are influenced by both push factors (conditions in advanced economies) and pull factors (conditions in emerging markets).
a. Global Interest Rates
One of the most powerful influences on capital movement is the difference in interest rates between countries.
When interest rates in advanced economies like the United States rise, investors tend to pull money out of emerging markets to take advantage of higher returns on safer assets such as U.S. Treasury bonds.
Conversely, when global interest rates are low, investors seek higher yields in developing countries, leading to capital inflows.
For example, during the U.S. Federal Reserve’s monetary tightening cycles, emerging markets like India, Brazil, and Indonesia often experience capital outflows and currency depreciation.
b. Inflation and Macroeconomic Stability
High inflation reduces the real return on investments, making a country less attractive for foreign capital. Investors prefer economies with stable prices and predictable policy environments. Macroeconomic instability—such as high fiscal deficits, political turmoil, or weak governance—can trigger capital flight as investors look for safer destinations.
c. Exchange Rate Movements
Exchange rate expectations play a crucial role in capital flow decisions.
If investors expect a currency to appreciate, they increase inflows to benefit from exchange gains.
If depreciation is expected, capital outflows intensify as investors try to avoid losses.
Unstable or artificially managed exchange rates can also discourage long-term investment, as they create uncertainty about future returns.
d. Trade and Investment Policies
Governments that promote open trade, ease of doing business, and investor-friendly policies tend to attract more capital. On the other hand, restrictive trade policies, high tariffs, or uncertain regulatory environments discourage investors.
For example, India’s liberalization reforms in the 1990s led to significant FDI inflows, while policy uncertainty in some developing countries has caused capital to dry up.
e. Geopolitical and Global Uncertainties
War, sanctions, political instability, and diplomatic tensions often lead to abrupt shifts in capital flows. Investors seek safe-haven assets such as gold, the U.S. dollar, or Swiss franc during uncertain times. The Russia-Ukraine war and tensions in the Middle East have both demonstrated how quickly capital can move in response to global crises.
3. How Capital Flows Impact Economies
The impact of capital flows can be both positive and negative, depending on their nature, duration, and management.
a. Positive Impacts
Boost to Investment and Growth:
Inflows of foreign capital provide funds for domestic investment, which can increase productivity, job creation, and infrastructure development.
Technology Transfer and Knowledge Sharing:
FDI often brings advanced technologies, managerial skills, and innovation to the host country, improving competitiveness.
Strengthening of Financial Markets:
Portfolio inflows increase liquidity in stock and bond markets, deepening the financial system and promoting market efficiency.
Improved External Balances:
Stable capital inflows help countries finance current account deficits and build foreign exchange reserves.
b. Negative Impacts
Volatility and Financial Instability:
Short-term capital, especially portfolio flows, can exit the market rapidly, leading to sharp currency depreciation, stock market crashes, and financial crises.
Exchange Rate Appreciation (Dutch Disease):
Excessive capital inflows can cause the local currency to appreciate, making exports less competitive and hurting the manufacturing sector.
Asset Bubbles:
Large inflows can fuel speculative investments in real estate or equities, inflating asset bubbles that may burst later.
Dependency and External Vulnerability:
Over-reliance on foreign capital can make an economy vulnerable to global shocks. Sudden outflows can lead to liquidity crises, as witnessed during the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis.
4. Historical and Contemporary Examples
Asian Financial Crisis (1997–98):
Rapid capital inflows into Southeast Asia fueled credit and asset bubbles. When investor confidence collapsed, massive outflows led to currency crashes and economic recessions.
Global Financial Crisis (2008):
In the wake of the crisis, developed nations lowered interest rates, leading to a surge in capital inflows to emerging markets like India and Brazil. However, these flows reversed when the U.S. signaled policy tightening in 2013, causing the “taper tantrum.”
COVID-19 Pandemic (2020):
The pandemic caused unprecedented global uncertainty, leading to sudden capital outflows from emerging markets. Later, massive liquidity injections by central banks brought capital back, especially into tech and healthcare sectors.
Current Scenario (2023–2025):
Persistent global inflation, high U.S. interest rates, and geopolitical instability have created volatile capital movements. Many emerging markets are witnessing capital outflows due to a strong U.S. dollar and rising global risk aversion.
5. Policy Measures to Manage Capital Flow Impacts
Governments and central banks use various strategies to mitigate the negative effects of volatile capital movements:
Monetary Policy Adjustments:
Central banks can use interest rate changes to stabilize currencies and control inflation, influencing the direction of capital flows.
Foreign Exchange Reserves:
Maintaining adequate reserves helps cushion against sudden outflows and currency volatility.
Capital Controls:
Temporary restrictions on certain types of inflows or outflows can prevent speculative attacks and financial instability.
Macroprudential Regulations:
Strengthening the banking system through regulations reduces the risk of asset bubbles and credit booms fueled by capital inflows.
Fiscal Discipline:
A sound fiscal policy framework reassures investors of a stable economic environment, encouraging long-term investment.
6. Conclusion
Capital flows are a double-edged sword in the global economy. While they promote growth, innovation, and development, their volatility poses challenges to economic stability. Managing capital flows effectively requires a careful balance between openness and prudence.
Countries must design policies that attract long-term, productive investments while shielding their economies from the adverse effects of short-term speculative movements. As globalization deepens, the interdependence of financial markets means that even local policy decisions can have global repercussions. Therefore, maintaining financial stability amid changing global capital dynamics remains one of the most critical tasks for modern policymakers.
In essence, capital flows reflect not just the movement of money but the pulse of global confidence — a signal of how nations are perceived in an interconnected economic world.
Ascending triangle formed!I think that an uptrend has become inevitable from here. 158$ marks our new support for Solana (BTCUSD already marked it).
We will again see some retracement at 175$. When we breakout of the big descending channel , a way higher price becomes inevitable too. I’m sure that the big cup and handle pattern can still playout (see linked idea).
SOLANA entered into bearish territory, targeting $105.Solana (SOLUSD) closed last week below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since July 28 2025. This is an extension of the downtrend that started following the September 15 High, which took place right below the Resistance Zone that started back on the November 2021 Cycle Top.
This is a critical Resistance as it rejected the price another 2 times during this Bull Cycle, with the most recent causing the January - April correction to the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
Given the huge 1W RSI Bearish Divergence for almost 2 years now (Lower Highs), we expect last week's closing below the 1W MA50 to initiate the bearish extension towards the 1W MA200 (at least) again. Our Target is $105.00.
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$SOLUSD Eyes Key Demand Zone Before Potential Macro BreakoutSolana (SOL/USD) is approaching a pivotal technical zone that could define its next major move. After an extended corrective leg from the $254 region, the price has retraced toward key demand areas, around $140, and around $120 where prior liquidity sweeps and structural reversals have historically emerged.
The chart reveals a repeating market behavior where Solana establishes a base within strong demand zones before launching decisive bullish impulses. An external structure Break of Structure (BOS) from previous swing highs, followed by an internal Change of Character (CHOCH) confirmation, after a retracement, suggests the broader bullish structure remains intact despite short-term weakness due to macro- economic challenges.
Should price hold the $120 range, a rebound toward the $295 previous highs appears probable. However, if sellers drive price lower, deeper liquidity could be collected near the $115–$120 region, aligning perfectly with the ascending trendline and long-term support base. This would likely create a high-probability accumulation phase before another impulsive leg higher.
Volume trends show healthy market participation during both expansions and pullbacks, reflecting consistent investor interest in Solana’s price action. Fundamentally, Solana’s growing adoption across DeFi, NFTs, and high-performance dApp ecosystems continues to strengthen the bullish bias.
A confirmed reversal from current levels could set the stage for a macro breakout toward the $295 zone, which represents a higher high of the external bullish structure and a psychological milestone for market participants.
In summary, Solana’s technical framework signals that the market is in a late-stage correction within a larger bullish cycle. A clean defense of the $140 zone would reinforce the bullish continuation narrative, while a brief dip into the $115 zone could form the final liquidity trap before another surge toward new highs
SOLANA TECHNICAL UPDATE (4H Chart)
After months of bullish momentum, SOL/USD just broke below the trendline — showing early signs of bearish reversal.
📉 Setup Idea:
Price broke trendline support
Now retesting the $174–182 resistance zone
If rejection confirms, next targets →
🎯 TP1: $140
🎯 TP2: $95–100
⚠️ Invalidation:
If price closes above $182, bearish setup fails.
This is a classic break–retest–continuation pattern — watching for confirmation before entry
SOLUSD - Bullish Structure eyeing 160+ TargetPrice is currently retesting a key resistance zone around 158.20–158.60, an area that has rejected price multiple times. The market has formed a series of higher lows, showing increasing bullish momentum as buyers continue to step in earlier on each pullback.
If price can break and close above this resistance zone with strong volume, it would confirm a potential bullish breakout, opening the path toward the next imbalance/target zone around 160.50–162.00.
However, failure to break above may result in another short-term pullback into support, so confirmation is important.
Bullish Bias as long as price holds above the higher-low structure
Breakout above resistance = continuation toward target zone
Watch for rejection candles or weak breakout attempts
SOLUSD: Battling Bearish Trend Below Key Zone – – 146-148 Focus📉 SOLUSD: Battling Bearish Trend Below Key Zone – 146-148 Support in Focus!
Timeframe: 4-Hour Chart
Introduction:
Solana (SOLUSD) on the 4-hour chart continues to reflect a prevailing bearish sentiment, currently trading around $153.97. The price is caught in a persistent downtrend, repeatedly failing to establish a sustained recovery above critical resistance levels.
Current Price Action & Trend Analysis:
Solana has been under significant selling pressure since its peak in late October, establishing a clear downtrend visible through a series of lower highs and lower lows. A prominent red descending trendline has consistently acted as dynamic resistance, rejecting multiple attempts by bulls to push higher.
Most recently, SOLUSD attempted a recovery, reaching towards the 160 to 165 'Key Zone', but faced strong rejection from both this zone and the descending trendline around November 10th-11th. This rejection pushed the price back down, and it is currently consolidating below this 160-165 'Key Zone', which now functions as immediate overhead resistance.
The price is now trading precariously above the 146 to 148 support area. This range has seen some bounces, indicating a potential short-term floor, but the overall context of the descending trendline and the inability to reclaim the 160-165 'Key Zone' suggests that bearish pressure remains dominant.
Key Resistance Levels:
Descending Red Trendline: This dynamic trendline is the most immediate and significant barrier. A breakout above this would be crucial for any shift in momentum.
160 to 165 Key Zone: This area has proven to be a strong resistance after previously acting as support. A decisive reclaim of this zone is essential for bulls.
175 Previous Support: What was once a support level now stands as a more formidable resistance, lying above the current trading range and requiring significant bullish strength to overcome.
190 to 195 Key Resistance: This zone represents the origin of the current major downtrend and remains a very strong long-term resistance.
Key Support Levels:
146 to 148: This grey band is the immediate support zone currently being tested. A breakdown below this level would confirm further bearish continuation.
135: Should the 146-148 support fail, the 135 level is identified as the next significant downside target. This represents a critical psychological and technical support, vital for preventing a deeper sell-off.
Bullish Scenario:
For SOLUSD to show any meaningful bullish reversal, it must first break decisively above the descending red trendline and concurrently reclaim the 160 to 165 'Key Zone' with conviction and increased volume. A sustained move above this combination would open the path to challenge the 175 'Previous Support' (now resistance).
Bearish Scenario:
The current technical structure heavily favors continued bearishness. Failure to reclaim the 160 to 165 'Key Zone' and continued rejection from the descending trendline will likely lead to a decisive breakdown below the 146 to 148 support area. A breach of this immediate support would accelerate selling pressure, targeting the 135 level as the next major downside objective.
Conclusion:
Solana is at a critical juncture, struggling within a clear downtrend and facing strong overhead resistance. The immediate battle is centered on the 160-165 'Key Zone' acting as a ceiling and the 146-148 area providing temporary support. Traders should closely watch these levels; a decisive break in either direction will likely dictate Solana's short-term trajectory.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
Solana could rapidly fall to $40A massive potential Head and shoulders topping exists on Solana. And many other Altcoins exhibit similar tops.
Keep nimble and protect your gains if you have them.
On the positive side, I believe the bear market will be swift and we could potentially see this number as early as next March.
Why because Solana's network effect topped on the #Trump memecoin release last January.
The solana ecosytem also enjoyed a full cycle of activity unlike other chains.
I believe there will be plenty of buyers at those prices.
The show must o on - SOL weekly update Nov 09 - 15thThe show must go on - even after my last analysis on Solana failed. In this analysis, I want to rework this and go through the current structure to evaluate where we are and what to expect.
So where are we?
First coins pumped, most coins show the end of their corrective movement and Ethereum and Solana are standing still although the long desired Altseason seems to start. Meanwhile, ETF flows show inflows over the past weeks. The liquidity heatmap shows massive amounts of liquidity above the current price and funding rates stay low to negative. The current structure suggest an ending of the current corrective movement, or atleast there should be a move upwards in the short-term. Looking at the current macro environment, the Fed ends its quantitative tightening and may be starting quantitative easing in december, as the Deutsche Bank expects. Not only the Deutsche Bank, but also do I expect the Fed to start QE. Not because of weakening economy but because of monetizing the US debt and preventing a liquidity crisis which can lead to a bank run in the future. For short: they don't have a choice but to start pumping liquidity into the market and economy.
This is my opinion on Solana and crypto as requested and I do suggest to slowly DCA into several cryptos to save the value of your money and maybe also profit off this cycle.
Solana: Bears are in Full ControlFenzoFx—Solana is up by 3.30% today, after the sharp decline on November 25. The daily candle of this date is a bearish engulfing, meaning the sellers are in control of the $171.70. This level has the highest volume spike level as shown on the chart.
The immediate resistance is at $171.70. From a technical perspective, the downtrend will likely resume if the price holds below this level. In this scenario, the next bearish target could be the sell-side liquidity at $137.60, followed by $126.00.
Long SolanaTrading Fam,
Received a buy signal from my indicator on Solana the other day. Inside a nice liquidity block, above the 200/350 SMA, and inside a bullish triangle. I'll easily take this trade all day. But with the crypto market continually disappointing, I am not going to risk more than an 8% loss here. Shooting for a target of around 32% profits brings my rrr to a 1:4. Best of luck!
✌️Stew
Solana (SOL/USD) – 288-Day Cycle ObservationCycle analysis suggests Solana continues to follow a 288-day dominant rhythm, with clear recurring phases marking key market turns.
Each full cycle has produced a well-defined crest and trough roughly every 9–10 months, maintaining consistent periodicity since late 2023. The most recent cycle low occurred around April 2025, placing the next expected time window for a cyclical low in early 2026.
This study focuses purely on time-based behaviour, independent of price levels. The objective is to identify when key inflection points are most likely to occur, based on the underlying rhythm visible in historical data.
If the 288-day pattern remains intact, Solana may continue in the declining phase of its ongoing cycle, progressing toward its next temporal turning point.
Note: This analysis is for educational and timing research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Until next time!
SOLANA (SOL/USD) 4H: Massive Double Top Breakdown Confirmed!🔥 SOLANA (SOL/USD) 4H: Massive Double Top Breakdown Confirmed! 🔥
The Hunt for Support Below $175 is On
The SOL/USD 4-Hour chart has confirmed a major bearish shift, driven by the breakdown of a large Double Top pattern (or a complex M-top structure) that formed between $175 and $205. This pattern reversal, often a powerful signal, has initiated a sharp correction, erasing significant gains.
The critical $175 support (the neckline of the double top) has been definitively broken, confirming the bearish trend and paving the way for further downside measured moves.
Key Levels Defining the Current Range
The price is currently in a highly volatile phase, testing resistance levels as it attempts to find a stable base.
🛡️ Immediate Resistance (Key Zone): $160 to $165 (Green Zone)
This is the area where the price is currently struggling. It was briefly reclaimed but failed to hold, turning it into the most immediate and critical resistance. Bears are defending this zone aggressively.
📉 Immediate Support (The Floor): $146 to $148
This is the recent swing low and the first crucial support level. The price bounced strongly from this area, which suggests buying interest is present, but it must hold on subsequent retests.
🛑 Major Overarching Resistance: $190 to $195
Reclaiming this zone is necessary to put an end to the mid-term bearish outlook. Until then, any movement below it is considered corrective.
🚨 Ultimate Bear Target: $135 (Major Demand Zone)
If the immediate support of $146–$148 breaks, the next major target derived from the pattern breakdown is the deep demand zone around $135.
What's Next for Solana? Two Critical Scenarios
Bearish Continuation (The Dominant Trend):
The price is rejected at the $160–$165 resistance zone.
Bears drive the price back down to test the $146–$148 low.
A decisive break and close below $146 confirms the continuation of the pattern breakdown, with $135 becoming the primary target.
Bullish Relief (The Reversal Attempt):
Bulls manage to successfully push the price above $165 and hold it.
This would signal that the local correction is over and could lead to a relief rally to test the original breakdown zone at $175 (now acting as formidable resistance). A move to $175 would be a good sign, but the primary trend remains down until $195 is reclaimed.
Conclusion: The path of least resistance remains downward following the breakdown from the $175 neckline. Traders should watch the $160–$165 zone for potential short entries and $146–$148 as the critical support line.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
SOLUSD Support breakdown looking strong selling📉 COINBASE:SOLUSD Technical Breakdown
Price has broken key support — confirming a strong downtrend.
Selling Area: 174.86
Next Major Support / Target: 157.50
💡 Outlook: Momentum favors the bears. Any pullback toward 174.86 could offer a short opportunity, as long as the trend remains below resistance.
⚠️ Risk Management: Always use proper position sizing and stop-loss discipline.
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