Trade ideas
SOLANA GO SHORTBearish Momentum in the Short Term
Price fell below key support levels: SOL slipped under $150, with the next support zones around $142 and $140. A breakdown below $140 could extend losses toward $132 or even $120.
Chart structure shows downtrend: SOL has formed a series of lower highs and lows since early November, confirming bearish momentum, supported by declining On-Balance Volume (OBV) and a Money Flow Index (MFI) below 50.
Technical indicators remain weak: Trading below multiple EMAs (20, 50, 100, 200) indicates sellers are firmly in control
In the immediate term, Solana is more likely to go down ("go short") rather than rebound. The technicals and on-chain flows favor a continuation of the current pullback.
SOL PERPETUAL TRADE BUY SETUP Long from $136SOL PERPETUAL TRADE
BUY SETUP
Long from $136
Currently $136
Targeting $141 or Above
(Trading plan IF SOL
go down to $132 will add more longs)
Follow the notes for updates
In the event of an early exit,
this analysis will be updated.
Its not a Financial advice
SOL PERPETUAL TRADE BUY SETUP Long from $144SOL PERPETUAL TRADE
BUY SETUP
Long from $144
Currently $144
Targeting $148.80 or Above
(Trading plan IF SOL
go down to $140 will add more longs)
Follow the notes for updates
In the event of an early exit,
this analysis will be updated.
Its not a Financial advice
SOL ReversalTerrrrrible week for Crypto, broadly, but I am watching a potential bullish divergence on the daily RSI for Solana.
This sell-off has been particularly pronounced, but I believe there will be some form of bounce provided this divergence sets tomorrow. If it does I am long with a short horizon, medium leverage, and tight stops.
SOLUSD: Battling Bearish Trend Below Key Zone – – 146-148 Focus📉 SOLUSD: Battling Bearish Trend Below Key Zone – 146-148 Support in Focus!
Timeframe: 4-Hour Chart
Introduction:
Solana (SOLUSD) on the 4-hour chart continues to reflect a prevailing bearish sentiment, currently trading around $153.97. The price is caught in a persistent downtrend, repeatedly failing to establish a sustained recovery above critical resistance levels.
Current Price Action & Trend Analysis:
Solana has been under significant selling pressure since its peak in late October, establishing a clear downtrend visible through a series of lower highs and lower lows. A prominent red descending trendline has consistently acted as dynamic resistance, rejecting multiple attempts by bulls to push higher.
Most recently, SOLUSD attempted a recovery, reaching towards the 160 to 165 'Key Zone', but faced strong rejection from both this zone and the descending trendline around November 10th-11th. This rejection pushed the price back down, and it is currently consolidating below this 160-165 'Key Zone', which now functions as immediate overhead resistance.
The price is now trading precariously above the 146 to 148 support area. This range has seen some bounces, indicating a potential short-term floor, but the overall context of the descending trendline and the inability to reclaim the 160-165 'Key Zone' suggests that bearish pressure remains dominant.
Key Resistance Levels:
Descending Red Trendline: This dynamic trendline is the most immediate and significant barrier. A breakout above this would be crucial for any shift in momentum.
160 to 165 Key Zone: This area has proven to be a strong resistance after previously acting as support. A decisive reclaim of this zone is essential for bulls.
175 Previous Support: What was once a support level now stands as a more formidable resistance, lying above the current trading range and requiring significant bullish strength to overcome.
190 to 195 Key Resistance: This zone represents the origin of the current major downtrend and remains a very strong long-term resistance.
Key Support Levels:
146 to 148: This grey band is the immediate support zone currently being tested. A breakdown below this level would confirm further bearish continuation.
135: Should the 146-148 support fail, the 135 level is identified as the next significant downside target. This represents a critical psychological and technical support, vital for preventing a deeper sell-off.
Bullish Scenario:
For SOLUSD to show any meaningful bullish reversal, it must first break decisively above the descending red trendline and concurrently reclaim the 160 to 165 'Key Zone' with conviction and increased volume. A sustained move above this combination would open the path to challenge the 175 'Previous Support' (now resistance).
Bearish Scenario:
The current technical structure heavily favors continued bearishness. Failure to reclaim the 160 to 165 'Key Zone' and continued rejection from the descending trendline will likely lead to a decisive breakdown below the 146 to 148 support area. A breach of this immediate support would accelerate selling pressure, targeting the 135 level as the next major downside objective.
Conclusion:
Solana is at a critical juncture, struggling within a clear downtrend and facing strong overhead resistance. The immediate battle is centered on the 160-165 'Key Zone' acting as a ceiling and the 146-148 area providing temporary support. Traders should closely watch these levels; a decisive break in either direction will likely dictate Solana's short-term trajectory.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
Solana: Bears are in Full ControlFenzoFx—Solana is up by 3.30% today, after the sharp decline on November 25. The daily candle of this date is a bearish engulfing, meaning the sellers are in control of the $171.70. This level has the highest volume spike level as shown on the chart.
The immediate resistance is at $171.70. From a technical perspective, the downtrend will likely resume if the price holds below this level. In this scenario, the next bearish target could be the sell-side liquidity at $137.60, followed by $126.00.
Solana (SOL/USD) — Potential Bullish Reversal in Play!After a strong sell-off into the key demand zone ($140–$150), Solana is showing early signs of recovery. The green zone has acted as a major support area, with previous price reactions confirming it as a solid buy zone.
If SOL can hold this level and form a solid higher low, we could see a bullish move toward the supply zone ($210–$230) — the red area on the chart.
📈 Technical Outlook:
Support: $140–$150 (Strong Demand Zone)
Resistance: $210–$230 (Supply Zone)
Current Price: $157
Bias: Bullish above $150
Invalidation: Daily close below $140
🔥 What to Watch:
Daily candle close above $160 could signal momentum shift.
Volume confirmation and RSI recovery would add confidence.
Possible “V-shaped recovery” toward the red zone if buyers step in.
💬 Your Turn:
What’s your outlook on Solana?
Do you think SOL will bounce from this support and continue the uptrend, or will bears drag it lower first?
👇 Share your thoughts in the comments and let’s discuss possible trade setups!
#Solana #SOLUSD #Crypto #TradingView #PriceAction #SupportResistance #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishSetup
$SOLUSD Eyes Key Demand Zone Before Potential Macro BreakoutSolana (SOL/USD) is approaching a pivotal technical zone that could define its next major move. After an extended corrective leg from the $254 region, the price has retraced toward key demand areas, around $140, and around $120 where prior liquidity sweeps and structural reversals have historically emerged.
The chart reveals a repeating market behavior where Solana establishes a base within strong demand zones before launching decisive bullish impulses. An external structure Break of Structure (BOS) from previous swing highs, followed by an internal Change of Character (CHOCH) confirmation, after a retracement, suggests the broader bullish structure remains intact despite short-term weakness due to macro- economic challenges.
Should price hold the $120 range, a rebound toward the $295 previous highs appears probable. However, if sellers drive price lower, deeper liquidity could be collected near the $115–$120 region, aligning perfectly with the ascending trendline and long-term support base. This would likely create a high-probability accumulation phase before another impulsive leg higher.
Volume trends show healthy market participation during both expansions and pullbacks, reflecting consistent investor interest in Solana’s price action. Fundamentally, Solana’s growing adoption across DeFi, NFTs, and high-performance dApp ecosystems continues to strengthen the bullish bias.
A confirmed reversal from current levels could set the stage for a macro breakout toward the $295 zone, which represents a higher high of the external bullish structure and a psychological milestone for market participants.
In summary, Solana’s technical framework signals that the market is in a late-stage correction within a larger bullish cycle. A clean defense of the $140 zone would reinforce the bullish continuation narrative, while a brief dip into the $115 zone could form the final liquidity trap before another surge toward new highs
Falling wedges: Are you convinced now about what's to come?Yes, we are still in a downtrend, but this is not the first time this happens. Maybe this chart will convince you why.
The upcoming two weeks will become very important on what's next for COINBASE:SOLUSD : will a breakout occur on this last falling wedge just like previous times?
I think it will.
Capital Flows Impacted1. Understanding Capital Flows
Capital flows are broadly classified into two categories:
Foreign Direct Investment (FDI):
Long-term investments in physical assets like factories, infrastructure, or real estate. FDI represents stable and sustainable investment because it indicates confidence in the host country’s economy.
Portfolio Investment:
Short-term investment in financial assets like stocks, bonds, or other securities. These flows are more volatile, as investors can quickly withdraw funds based on changes in risk perception or economic conditions.
Other Capital Flows:
These include banking sector flows, loans, and remittances. While remittances are generally stable, banking flows can fluctuate depending on interest rates and credit conditions.
Capital flows contribute to a country’s balance of payments, affect exchange rates, and determine the availability of foreign reserves. They can enhance investment, technology transfer, and job creation, but excessive inflows or sudden outflows can destabilize financial markets.
2. Factors Impacting Capital Flows
Capital flows are influenced by both push factors (conditions in advanced economies) and pull factors (conditions in emerging markets).
a. Global Interest Rates
One of the most powerful influences on capital movement is the difference in interest rates between countries.
When interest rates in advanced economies like the United States rise, investors tend to pull money out of emerging markets to take advantage of higher returns on safer assets such as U.S. Treasury bonds.
Conversely, when global interest rates are low, investors seek higher yields in developing countries, leading to capital inflows.
For example, during the U.S. Federal Reserve’s monetary tightening cycles, emerging markets like India, Brazil, and Indonesia often experience capital outflows and currency depreciation.
b. Inflation and Macroeconomic Stability
High inflation reduces the real return on investments, making a country less attractive for foreign capital. Investors prefer economies with stable prices and predictable policy environments. Macroeconomic instability—such as high fiscal deficits, political turmoil, or weak governance—can trigger capital flight as investors look for safer destinations.
c. Exchange Rate Movements
Exchange rate expectations play a crucial role in capital flow decisions.
If investors expect a currency to appreciate, they increase inflows to benefit from exchange gains.
If depreciation is expected, capital outflows intensify as investors try to avoid losses.
Unstable or artificially managed exchange rates can also discourage long-term investment, as they create uncertainty about future returns.
d. Trade and Investment Policies
Governments that promote open trade, ease of doing business, and investor-friendly policies tend to attract more capital. On the other hand, restrictive trade policies, high tariffs, or uncertain regulatory environments discourage investors.
For example, India’s liberalization reforms in the 1990s led to significant FDI inflows, while policy uncertainty in some developing countries has caused capital to dry up.
e. Geopolitical and Global Uncertainties
War, sanctions, political instability, and diplomatic tensions often lead to abrupt shifts in capital flows. Investors seek safe-haven assets such as gold, the U.S. dollar, or Swiss franc during uncertain times. The Russia-Ukraine war and tensions in the Middle East have both demonstrated how quickly capital can move in response to global crises.
3. How Capital Flows Impact Economies
The impact of capital flows can be both positive and negative, depending on their nature, duration, and management.
a. Positive Impacts
Boost to Investment and Growth:
Inflows of foreign capital provide funds for domestic investment, which can increase productivity, job creation, and infrastructure development.
Technology Transfer and Knowledge Sharing:
FDI often brings advanced technologies, managerial skills, and innovation to the host country, improving competitiveness.
Strengthening of Financial Markets:
Portfolio inflows increase liquidity in stock and bond markets, deepening the financial system and promoting market efficiency.
Improved External Balances:
Stable capital inflows help countries finance current account deficits and build foreign exchange reserves.
b. Negative Impacts
Volatility and Financial Instability:
Short-term capital, especially portfolio flows, can exit the market rapidly, leading to sharp currency depreciation, stock market crashes, and financial crises.
Exchange Rate Appreciation (Dutch Disease):
Excessive capital inflows can cause the local currency to appreciate, making exports less competitive and hurting the manufacturing sector.
Asset Bubbles:
Large inflows can fuel speculative investments in real estate or equities, inflating asset bubbles that may burst later.
Dependency and External Vulnerability:
Over-reliance on foreign capital can make an economy vulnerable to global shocks. Sudden outflows can lead to liquidity crises, as witnessed during the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis.
4. Historical and Contemporary Examples
Asian Financial Crisis (1997–98):
Rapid capital inflows into Southeast Asia fueled credit and asset bubbles. When investor confidence collapsed, massive outflows led to currency crashes and economic recessions.
Global Financial Crisis (2008):
In the wake of the crisis, developed nations lowered interest rates, leading to a surge in capital inflows to emerging markets like India and Brazil. However, these flows reversed when the U.S. signaled policy tightening in 2013, causing the “taper tantrum.”
COVID-19 Pandemic (2020):
The pandemic caused unprecedented global uncertainty, leading to sudden capital outflows from emerging markets. Later, massive liquidity injections by central banks brought capital back, especially into tech and healthcare sectors.
Current Scenario (2023–2025):
Persistent global inflation, high U.S. interest rates, and geopolitical instability have created volatile capital movements. Many emerging markets are witnessing capital outflows due to a strong U.S. dollar and rising global risk aversion.
5. Policy Measures to Manage Capital Flow Impacts
Governments and central banks use various strategies to mitigate the negative effects of volatile capital movements:
Monetary Policy Adjustments:
Central banks can use interest rate changes to stabilize currencies and control inflation, influencing the direction of capital flows.
Foreign Exchange Reserves:
Maintaining adequate reserves helps cushion against sudden outflows and currency volatility.
Capital Controls:
Temporary restrictions on certain types of inflows or outflows can prevent speculative attacks and financial instability.
Macroprudential Regulations:
Strengthening the banking system through regulations reduces the risk of asset bubbles and credit booms fueled by capital inflows.
Fiscal Discipline:
A sound fiscal policy framework reassures investors of a stable economic environment, encouraging long-term investment.
6. Conclusion
Capital flows are a double-edged sword in the global economy. While they promote growth, innovation, and development, their volatility poses challenges to economic stability. Managing capital flows effectively requires a careful balance between openness and prudence.
Countries must design policies that attract long-term, productive investments while shielding their economies from the adverse effects of short-term speculative movements. As globalization deepens, the interdependence of financial markets means that even local policy decisions can have global repercussions. Therefore, maintaining financial stability amid changing global capital dynamics remains one of the most critical tasks for modern policymakers.
In essence, capital flows reflect not just the movement of money but the pulse of global confidence — a signal of how nations are perceived in an interconnected economic world.
SOLANA entered into bearish territory, targeting $105.Solana (SOLUSD) closed last week below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since July 28 2025. This is an extension of the downtrend that started following the September 15 High, which took place right below the Resistance Zone that started back on the November 2021 Cycle Top.
This is a critical Resistance as it rejected the price another 2 times during this Bull Cycle, with the most recent causing the January - April correction to the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
Given the huge 1W RSI Bearish Divergence for almost 2 years now (Lower Highs), we expect last week's closing below the 1W MA50 to initiate the bearish extension towards the 1W MA200 (at least) again. Our Target is $105.00.
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SOLUSD TRADE SATUP READ CAPTION Enter Layer (Blue Box – 167.8 to 168.5):
This is the entry zone for short (sell) trades.
Price is expected to pull back slightly into this zone before continuing down.
Traders look for a confirmation candle or rejection from this zone to enter a sell.
Stop Trade Area (Around 170.0):
This is the stop-loss zone.
If the price moves above this area, the bearish setup is invalidated.
Target Points:
First Target: 164.70 → short-term profit zone.
Second Target: 161.00 → mid-level support zone.
Last Target: 158.69 → deeper support, main take-profit level.
SOLUSD Looking strong selling from key resistance area📉 SOL/USD Technical Update (1H Timeframe)
SOL/USD showing a strong downtrend, with fresh selling pressure emerging from the resistance area around 156.27.
🎯 Technical Targets:
Support 1️⃣: 150.85
Support 2️⃣: 146.60
The momentum remains bearish — watch for potential continuation moves as long as price stays below key resistance levels.
⚠️ Risk Management Reminder:
Always apply proper risk and position management — protect your capital first.
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