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Intraday Range Expansion and Potential Repricing on the SPXFollowing a clean sweep of Friday’s high, price delivered a strong displacement to the downside, breaking short-term structure and rebalancing inefficiencies left behind. The subsequent rebound towards the daily open suggests a retracement into a premium area, potentially setting up for continuation lower if rejection holds around that zone. If buyers fail to sustain price above the daily open, the market could aim for a full range fill back toward the previous low or discount zones below, maintaining the current bearish intraday order flow.
ACTIVTRADES:USA500Short
by BeaucoupPips
Potential Range Rebalance After Bullish Exhaustion on SP500Based on Candle Range Theory , the recent large bullish range has been followed by a series of smaller bearish candles, showing reduced momentum and potential exhaustion from buyers. Price is currently retracing into the lower range of the previous expansion, indicating that liquidity may be resting below. If price fails to reclaim the upper range of the previous bullish candle, we could see continuation to the downside as the market seeks equilibrium within or below that expansion range. However, a strong rejection from the lower boundary could confirm range preservation and set up another bullish leg. In short : the market’s next move depends on whether this retracement turns into a liquidity grab or a deeper correction beneath the prior candle range.
ACTIVTRADES:USA500Short
by BeaucoupPips
Backtesting 101: How to Turn an Idea Into a Tested StrategyEvery trader has thought it: “If I’d just followed that setup every time, I’d be up big.” That’s where backtesting steps in, it separates luck from logic. It’s how you find out whether your strategy has a real edge, or just worked in hindsight. Most traders skip it, not because it’s useless, but because it forces them to face the truth. But if you can handle that truth, backtesting will make you a far more confident trader. What Backtesting Really Is Backtesting means applying your trading rules to historical data to see how your system would have performed. It’s not about predicting the future, it’s about proving whether your idea works in different market conditions. When done properly, it gives you three key insights: Profitability: does your edge actually exist? Risk: how deep are the drawdowns, and can you handle them? Consistency: does it work across bull, bear, and sideways markets? A solid backtest gives you confidence, not because it guarantees profit, but because it exposes weakness before the market does. The Most Common Mistakes Curve-fitting: tweaking rules until the past looks perfect. Ignoring fees and slippage: small costs that quietly erase profits. Testing too little data: short periods create false confidence. Focusing on one market: edges must survive different conditions. If your backtest looks too clean, it’s probably lying to you. Why It Matters Backtesting builds trust in your system and discipline in yourself. When you know your data, you stop second-guessing every trade. Losing trades stop feeling like failure, because you understand they’re part of a proven edge. Even bots rely on backtesting. Without it, automation is just random execution. With it, every trade follows structure, not emotion. All of these points make a difference between a winning or losing strategy. From Idea to System Every strategy starts as a hypothesis. Backtesting turns that hypothesis into data. Data turns into structure. Structure turns into consistency. That’s the real path to professional trading - logic first, emotion second.
FOREXCOM:SPX500Education
by Green_Squad
21
SPX | Daily Analysis #10 - 3 November 2025Hello and Welcome Back to DP, Review & News Coverage: Since our last SPX analysis, we mentioned that a broken trendline could open the door for downside movement. As we can see on the chart, the index fell toward the 1.68 Fibonacci zone before bouncing back. This drop created about $44 of volatility — hopefully, you managed to catch that move! We had highlighted the 6811 area as a potential buy zone, and indeed, that level opened an opportunity for entries (I personally missed it since I needed more confirmation, but I hope some of you caught it). From both the economic and political sides, several developments could shape SPX sentiment and direction: Economic Calendar: Monday: ISM Manufacturing PMI Wednesday: ADP Non-Farm Employment Change & ISM Services PMI Friday: Tentative Unemployment Rate Stronger-than-expected data could strengthen the dollar and weigh on equities, while weaker readings may support a rebound if markets price in potential rate relief. Political Landscape: Watch for new announcements on funding negotiations or relief measures — any progress (or setback) in the government-shutdown talks could move markets. The U.S. government shutdown remains a risk factor, with pressure building from expiring healthcare tax credits and food assistance programs. And most importantly — keep an eye on “Trump’s Indicator” (his posts or tweets). His remarks often create sharp, short-term volatility across indices and sectors. 1H - 4H Technical Analysis: On the charts, the SPX is struggling to regain upward momentum. If price breaks the intraday trendline, room opens for a move down toward 6844 and 6829. If those zones show strong volume and bullish candle patterns, we could look for buy entries around that range. The key is to wait for confirmation — volume support and candle behavior will guide whether the market finds its footing or continues to slide. Summary: Short-term tone remains cautiously bullish while above 6811, but pressure remains from macro and political uncertainty. Watch mid-week data and political headlines for volatility spikes. Technical zones: Support 6829–6811, Resistance 6895–6920 (potential retest if sentiment turns). Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. © DIBAPRISM Amir D.Kohn
OANDA:SPX500USD
by DibaPrism
SPX: Bullish Exhaustion Signals a Short-Term PullbackThe TVC:SPX is currently showing signs of a potential short-term retracement after rejecting the 6,860–6,880 supply zone. The recent upswing into this zone lacked strong bullish momentum, suggesting that buyers are losing control. If price maintains below this resistance area, it could indicate the continuation of the short-term bearish structure. The red zone marks a clear supply area where previous bullish attempts were absorbed, while the green zone below highlights a demand area between 6,740–6,770 — a potential target for sellers. A clean break below the recent intraday low would likely accelerate bearish momentum toward that zone. Traders may look for confirmation from lower timeframes before shorting, as the broader structure still remains within a corrective phase after the prior rally.
TVC:SPXShort
by DUOMIJUN
S&P to inflect at the Fib extension about now? Will the SP500 inflect at the fib extension of 1.618 of the prior dip down? This is an important price level to watch to see if the index is bullish or bearish My view is that its going to be a bearish outcome, however the market is being a bit naughty at the moment and it may push you over this price level to take out liquidity first before heading lower. There are very few bears left out there - will they come out of hibernation right about now?
SPREADEX:SPXShort
by William_Playfair
1
Peak Tech Earnings Wrapped Up: Here Are the Winners and LosersWe're past that time when we all get glued to the dual-monitor setup and watch the titans of tech parade their financials. Last week was the Super Bowl of earnings season, with Meta NASDAQ:META , Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT , Alphabet NASDAQ:GOOGL , Apple NASDAQ:AAPL , and Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN all reporting in the span of just a couple of days. The result? A mixed bag of profits, promises, and expenses, all revolving around the familiar AI growth story. Some soared. Others sank. And everyone was reminded that in Big Tech , growth costs money — a lot of it. Let’s unwrap what happened in the most influential week of the earnings calendar . 🥴 Meta: The Spending Spree Continues Meta NASDAQ:META suffered the most bruising showing. On paper, revenue looked great — $51.2 billion, up 26% year over year and above estimates. But earnings per share? A brutal $1.05, far below the expected $6.72, after a nearly $16 billion one-time charge tied to President Trump’s “Big Beautiful Bill.” Without that charge, net income would’ve jumped to $18.6 billion. Instead, the headline number showed $2.7 billion — not exactly inspiring. But the real story wasn’t the miss. It was the spending. Meta now plans to splurge $71 billion this year, up from $69 billion, mainly on AI data centers and a hiring binge in its research division. The stock dropped 11% on Thursday. 🧠 Alphabet: Ads Strong, Cloud on Fire If Meta NASDAQ:META stumbled, Alphabet NASDAQ:GOOGL strutted. The Google parent beat on everything : earnings per share at $2.87 vs. $2.26 expected and revenue hitting a record $102.3 billion, up 16% year on year. The company took a $3.5 billion fine from the European Commission — but even with that, margins looked healthy. Excluding the fine, the operating margin would’ve hit 33.9%. Not bad for a firm still making 85% of its money from ads. The real fireworks were in Google Cloud, where sales rose 34% and profit margins improved to 24% from 17% last year. Alphabet stock jumped 2.5% Thursday. 🧩 Microsoft: Cloudy with a Chance of Heavy Capex Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT delivered classic consistency — and then some. The company reported earnings per share of $4.13, beating estimates, on $77.7 billion in revenue. Azure, the star of the show, grew 40%, topping expectations. Yet shares dipped 3% the day after as investors fixated on capital spending. Microsoft shelled out $34.9 billion last quarter and warned that capex growth in 2026 will exceed 2025. 🍏 Apple: New Phone Who Dis? Apple NASDAQ:AAPL is back, everyone. The company posted record revenue of $102.5 billion , slightly above expectations, and hinted that the holiday quarter will be even juicier. CFO Kevan Parekh said sales could rise 10–12%, led by a “double-digit” surge in iPhone 17 upgrades. After years of lukewarm demand, Apple’s upgrade cycle looks hot again. One blemish: China sales dipped, underscoring the company’s ongoing battle in its second-largest market. But services revenue — now over $100 billion annually — continues to shine as Apple quietly transforms into a subscription empire disguised as a hardware company. The stock erased a 3% Friday gain to dip into the red. 🚀 Amazon: AI, Efficiency, and a Holiday Boom Then there was Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN , the comeback kid of this earnings season. The e-commerce giant’s revenue soared 13% to $180 billion , and profit surged 39% to $21.2 billion. Solid. Amazon Web Services grew 20%, its fastest clip since 2022, as AI demand turned into real money. CEO Andy Jassy said data center expansion will remain a top priority heading into 2025. The company managed to sprinkle in some “efficiency” — laying off 14,000 employees, a move expected to cost $1.8 billion now but save plenty later. Amazon’s stock shot up 10% in pre-market Friday, and held on to the increase, proving that just a select few companies can pivot from layoffs to record profits with such finesse. 🧾 The Takeaway So, what did we learn from Peak Tech Week? America’s highflyers are spending big to secure their AI future. The underlying theme is that AI costs a fortune, but not investing in it could cost even more. In short — the future is bright, the bills are bigger, and the market’s message is clear: keep growing, but try not to spook traders while you do it. The earnings show continues with AMD NASDAQ:AMD and Palantir NASDAQ:PLTD reporting this week. Off to you : Are you looking to scoop up some NASDAQ:META or sell some NASDAQ:AMZN ? Share your thoughts in the comments!
SP:SPX
by TradingView
24
Weekend Analysis: DXY, BTC, Gold, Silver, Nas100 and SPX500In this video presentation I am expecting the dollar index to continue its uptrend on the lower time frame towards the liquidation level target of 99.500. Bitcoin is still in a distribution range and currently correcting the sharp sell off from $126,296. I am observing an A-B-C corrective pattern potentially to targets of either $115,044 or $117,653. These are confluence of resistance level and will be expecting a sell off from these levels. If these levels gets invalidated then potentially the all time highs of $126k is in view. However that's not my expectation so a breach of the target level will invalidate the bearish analysis on Bitcoin. I think Gold and Silver have peaked out for now and smart money is off loading to FOMO retail traders. I am expect Silver to sell off much faster than Gold. Nas100 and SPX500 clinched to a breakout of new highs but the buying volume is fading out and seems to be a fake out. I will be watching if the breakout levels gets support or breakdown on pullback to decide a long position or short position. This is my opinion on the market this week and I thank you for your time to visit my publications. Have a great trading week and don't forget risk and money management is your first job as trader or investor. Cheers!!
OANDA:SPX500USD
by RICHINVESTOR
SPX500 Trading Strategy Explained: From Entry to Exit⚡ SPX500 “STANDARD & POOR” Indices Market Wealth Strategy Map ⚡ (Swing / Day Trade Plan – Thief OG Style) 🧭 Plan 📈 Bias: Bullish confirmed with 30m LSMA pullback + 0.786 Fibonacci-based MA confluence. 💡 Entry Approach (Thief Layering Strategy™): Instead of one-shot entry, I place multiple buy-limit layers to average into strength. Example setup: Buy limit: 6600 Buy limit: 6620 Buy limit: 6640 👉 You can extend or adjust the layering based on your own strategy. 🎯 Stop Loss (SL) This is my Thief SL @6560. ⚠️ Note to Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s): This SL is not a recommendation. Use your own judgment — protect your loot at your own risk. 💰 Target (TP) 📌 6750 — sitting at strong resistance + overbought zone + possible bull-trap. ⚠️ Again, OG’s — this is not financial advice. Take profit when it fits your plan. Secure the bag, then enjoy the loot! 🔍 Related Pairs to Watch Keep an eye on these correlated assets to confirm the SPX500’s move: NASDAQ:NDX (Nasdaq 100): Tech-heavy index with strong correlation to SPX500. If tech stocks are pumping, it’s a bullish signal for our trade. 📊 TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): A weaker dollar often boosts equities. Watch for inverse correlation—DXY dropping could mean SPX500 is ready to fly! 🚀 TVC:VIX (Volatility Index): Low VIX levels signal market calm, supporting our bullish setup. A spike in VIX could warn of trouble, so stay sharp! ⚡ Key Correlation Insight: SPX500 often moves in tandem with NASDAQ:NDX due to shared tech giants (think Apple, Microsoft). If NASDAQ:NDX is rallying, it’s a tailwind for our trade. Conversely, a rising TVC:DXY or TVC:VIX could signal caution. 📝 Thief Note Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s): This map is my personal swing/day trade playbook — not a fixed recommendation. Layer entries, cut losers fast, and loot when you can. Market moves are wild; manage risk like a true OG. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a Thief-style trading strategy shared just for fun & educational vibes. Not financial advice. DYOR & trade responsibly.
TVC:SPXLong
by The-Thief
SPX500 Eyes 7000 — Breakout or Bull Trap Ahead?🦸‍♂️ SPX 500 Heist: The 7K Bull Run Playbook (Swing Trade Setup) ✅ Alright, crew, listen up! The market is a vault, and we're here to make a strategic withdrawal. The SPX 500 is showing us the blueprints for a potential bullish breakout. This is our plan to ride the wave. 🎯 The Master Plan: BULLISH We're looking for a classic breakout play. The gates are at 6780, and once they're open, we're going in. ⚡ Entry Signal (The "Go" Signal) Action: Consider long positions ONLY AFTER a confirmed daily breakout and close above the key level of 🎯 6780.00. Translation: Don't jump the gun. Wait for the market to show its hand. 🚨 Stop Loss (The "Escape Route") Location: My suggested escape hatch is down at 🛡️ 6600.00. Place it after the breakout we talked about. A Note from the OG: "Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's), I am not recommending you set only my SL. It's your own choice. You can make money, then take money at your own risk." 😉 💰 Profit Target (The "Loot Bag") Destination: We're aiming for the major resistance zone at 🎯 7000.00. This is a psychological magnet and a previous area where sellers stepped in. Why Here? It's a zone of strong resistance, potential overbought conditions, and traps for the greedy. Be smart and escape with your profits! Another OG Note: "Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's), I am not recommending you set only my TP. It's your own choice. You can make money, then take money at your own risk." 😎 🔍 Market Intel: Pairs to Watch A master thief always checks the surrounding area. Keep an eye on these correlated assets: AMEX:SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF): The direct tracker. Moves almost tick-for-tick with the SPX. NASDAQ:NDX (Nasdaq 100): Tech-heavy cousin. If NDX is strong, it often pulls SPX up with it. TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index): Our usual antagonist. A stronger dollar can be a headwind for large-cap stocks. CME_MINI:ES1! (S&P 500 E-mini Futures): The real-time action. This is where the big moves often happen first. ✨ Community Boost If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #SPX500 #SP500 #SwingTrading #MarketPlaybook #PriceAction #ThiefTrader #IndexAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingStrategy #US500 #Equities #BreakoutStrategy #TradingView #StockMarket #RiskManagement
TVC:SPXLong
by The-Thief
SPX: Pulls back from the latest ATHThe Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points, as widely expected, while US equity markets pulled back from recent all time highest levels. This could be a short summary of the previous week on the US markets. The higher volatility continued leading the sentiment toward the overbought side. The newest ATH for the S&P 500 was at 6.917, but the index is closing the week at 6.840. The market was not happy regarding Fed Chair Powell comments that the rate cut in December is not guaranteed. The US Government continues to be in a state of a “shutdown”, where the majority of important macro data are still not available to the public, so the investors are currently acting in a sort of "blindfolded" manner when it comes to macro data. The S&P 500 slipped as two of its largest members, Meta Platforms and Microsoft, weighed on the market. Meta plunged about 12 % after forecasting significantly higher AI-capex next year, while Microsoft declined over 2 % following disclosure of nearly $35 billion in planned spending. Meanwhile, Alphabet bucked the trend with a gain of 5.5 % thanks to strong advertising and cloud revenue offering some bright spots amid tech weakness. Amazon surged around 9,6% after a strong quarter led by cloud growth. Tesla was also a weekly winner with around 3,7% gain. Analysts are in agreement that higher volatility of the equity market could continue in the future period. Tech companies are currently strongly investing into AI adoption, with some estimates of $600 billion in capital spending already planned for the next year. This will be one of indicators that investors will be closely watching in the future, especially examining how this CAPEX spending is translating into rising AI-driven revenues for each company.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
Agenda 89 --- the path to spy's next major topso I been rambling about agenda 89 and spy cycles for like ages. I also more or less blew my account up not listening to my own advice and my own levels. key thing here is market follows cycles. and no I am not willing to share the prior cycles. this here is for me more than anyone else. I am not good with numbers so I had chatgpt do the calculations for me and the rationale made sense given my basic college math level knowledge. In fact the cycles that gpt calculated appeared to follow the same cycle rules that I used to detect the historical cycles. I have only 3 historical cycles detected. in recent times. reason being that since 2008 Aladdin took over the market and things changed. there is a certain year where it all did shift but for simplicity only data after 2008 matters because after that Aladdin by blackrock the mega algorithm managed all the trillions that move the market daily. it literally trades with itself. it's too huge to fail so I will not fight it. the cycles have also been shrinking in expansion per say. the next top is likley the last or second to last before some major black swans start happening. At least that's what aladdin has priced in. he knows more about you than yourself and other notes is that the tops follow wycoff style, the expanded and got more volatile as they progressed and I plan to follow the same pattern in my projections. my projections are half lazy in terms of the tops/bottoms. it can really follow any wycoff. but of note, when all was noted and combined chatgpt described it as a wycoff schematic #1. even though when I typed the pattern that i saw in i labeled it as musical notes. I did not paint very well on chart because things in real life do not follow the textbook 1-1, point is, whipsaw and that's your range there more or less. I am not sure how to past an image here so just google it. the rules and this is for me to not blow my account up anymore: 1- no timing the market, it dipped? good it can dip lower before tuning up. so expect the trades to be long. were looking at 13 dips before the top in febuary. 2- the numbers can be off slightly. I'm no picasso, can;t time or paint the market. levels evolve and change with time. the range wont change though. 3- the true top is likley a tuesday or a wednesday since historically it was those days so extra bias for them 4- no greed 5- yes this will chop until next year mid febuary - do not blow up. RANGE BOUND. I'm expecting possibilities of up to 720-730 for the top on spy since that would be two full cycles in geometry which would make sense assuming the prior 3 were 90 degrees each. hence a strong belief of mine that this may be the last market cycle aladdin is pricing in before doomsday events. Aladdin probably knows when WW3 will start before the guys launching the nukes know it will start and has been pricing it in since it took over the markets. that thing is a monster beyond comprehension.
SP:SPX
by Bigloss109
8
More upside for SPX500USDHi traders, Last week SPX500USD went up and made a correction down. So next week we could see more upside for this pair. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for the correction down to finish. After that look for an impulse wave with a correction down on a lower timeframe. After a change in orderflow to bullish you could trade longs. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. But I react and trade on what I see in the chart, not what I've predicted or expect. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by EduwaveTrading
2
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 31, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the recent trading session, the S&P 500 Index continued its wild ride, highlighting the importance of our key target, which stands as an Outer Index Rally at 6946. Fluctuations between the Mean Support at 6815 and the Key Resistance at 6875 serve as a crucial threshold for market participants. This positioning suggests the potential for further upward momentum, as the prevailing trend indicates a well-structured Active Inner Rebound extension toward the target stated above. Nevertheless, it is essential to acknowledge the possibility of a sustained and gradual pullback within the current Active Inner Rebound zone. Such a pullback may retest the Mean Support at 6815 and could decline further to the Mean Support at 6740 before ultimately resuming an upward trajectory.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter