NIO Shares Drop Below $5NIO Shares Drop Below $5
As the chart shows, the share price of NIO Inc. (NIO), the Chinese manufacturer of “smart” electric vehicles, has fallen by roughly 30% over the past month and this week slipped below $5 for the first time since mid-August.
Among the bearish drivers:
→ the latest quarterly report revealed gross revenue below analysts’ expectations ($3.06bn versus $3.11bn);
→ a cautious outlook for vehicle deliveries in the upcoming quarter.
Market sentiment appears to have turned wary, given that:
→ the Chinese economy continues to show signs of slowing despite government stimulus;
→ NIO’s revenue prospects may remain constrained by intense competition from BYD, XPeng and Li Auto — a particularly concerning factor as NIO launches new models and sub-brands.
Even so, the NIO share chart does offer some glimmers of optimism.
Technical Analysis of NIO Shares
Using the higher highs and higher lows of 2025, it is possible to outline an ascending channel (shown in blue). Within this structure:
→ the price is hovering near the lower boundary of the channel, which may act as support;
→ the RSI indicator is displaying a bullish divergence.
Another encouraging signal lies in the recent price action: yesterday’s session opened with a bullish gap and ended higher, suggesting renewed buying interest emerging near the psychologically important $5 level.
It is therefore plausible that the bulls may attempt to keep NIO shares within the channel and even resume the upward trend. Whether they succeed, however, will depend largely on sales performance — and on forecasts for 2026 — for the company’s new sub-brands, ONVO and Firefly.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Trade ideas
NIO - Post-Earnings Pullback to 0.618 Oversold ZoneNIO Accumulation After Earnings Pullback: 0.618 Retracement + DeM Oversold Signal
NIO has pulled back into a critical accumulation zone following recent earnings, creating a textbook geometric retracement setup combined with oversold momentum indicators. This analysis breaks down why this pullback represents a structured portfolio addition opportunity rather than fundamental deterioration.
🎯 Setup Overview:
Current Price Action: Pullback to 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level
Technical Confluence: DeMarker (DeM) indicator showing oversold conditions
Context: Post-earnings profit-taking in established support zone
Position Type: Portfolio addition / accumulation entry
📊 Technical Structure:
0.618 Retracement Zone:
The golden ratio retracement level has historically marked the deepest pullback point before trend continuation in quality growth names. NIO's current price sits precisely at this mathematical level from the recent swing low to swing high.
DeMarker Oversold Signal:
The DeM indicator measures buying and selling pressure. Current readings show exhaustion of selling pressure, suggesting the pullback may be nearing completion. This technical oscillator complements the structural support from Fibonacci analysis.
Post-Earnings Pattern:
NIO reported solid earnings but experienced typical "sell the news" behavior. This creates opportunity:
Fundamentals improved (earnings beat)
Technical setup aligned (0.618 + oversold)
Emotional selling exhausted (DeM signal)
📈 Why This Pullback Makes Sense:
Earnings Were Positive:
NIO delivered results that met or exceeded expectations, yet price pulled back due to profit-taking and sector rotation. This disconnect between fundamentals and price action creates entry opportunities.
Structural Support:
The 0.618 level isn't arbitrary—it represents the mathematical zone where buyers historically step in during corrections within uptrends. Price has shown respect for this level in prior pullbacks.
Momentum Exhaustion:
DeM oversold readings suggest sellers have pushed price to an extreme. Mean reversion probability increases when technical oscillators reach these zones combined with structural support.
🎯 Risk/Reward Framework:
Entry Consideration: Current 0.618 retracement zone
Invalidation Level: Below the 0.786 Fibonacci level (deeper support)
First Target: Previous swing high (pre-earnings level)
Extended Target: Fibonacci extension levels above prior highs
Why Risk Is Defined:
If price breaks below the 0.786 level, the pullback becomes deeper than typical healthy corrections. This provides a clear invalidation point for the bullish thesis.
Why Reward Is Probable:
Post-earnings pullbacks in growth stocks with improving fundamentals often reverse sharply once technical oversold conditions are resolved and profit-taking concludes.
🛡️ Portfolio Addition Strategy:
Why "Portfolio Add" vs "Full Position":
This isn't a "go all-in" signal. It's a strategic addition to existing holdings or a new position sized appropriately for a growth stock with inherent volatility.
Position Sizing Approach:
Smaller position size than blue-chip holdings (NIO carries more volatility)
Scaled entry across the 0.618 zone (not lump sum)
Risk limited to 1-2% of total portfolio capital
Scaling Method:
First entry at current 0.618 level
Second entry if price tests 0.786 (deeper pullback)
Reserve capital for final add if maximum pain occurs but structure holds
📊 Technical Indicators Confluence:
Fibonacci Retracement:
Mathematical zone showing where pullbacks historically find support in trending assets.
DeMarker Oscillator:
Momentum indicator showing exhaustion of selling pressure. When DeM reaches oversold territory at structural support, reversal probability increases.
Volume Analysis:
Recent selling volume shows signs of climax rather than acceleration—typical of profit-taking bottoms, not fundamental breakdowns.
Support/Resistance:
Previous resistance zones now acting as support, indicating role reversal that often precedes continuation moves.
🧠 Trader Psychology: The Post-Earnings Trap:
Why Most Miss This:
After good earnings, traders expect immediate upside. When price pulls back instead, they assume "something must be wrong" and avoid the stock entirely.
The Reality:
Earnings beats often trigger profit-taking as early holders exit and new buyers wait for "better prices." This creates the pullback that becomes the better price.
Emotional vs Structural:
Emotional view: "Earnings were good but price is falling—stay away"
Structural view: "Earnings confirmed fundamentals, price at support—add position"
Historical Pattern:
Quality growth stocks frequently pull back 10-15% post-earnings before resuming uptrends. This isn't failure—it's opportunity for patient capital.
📈 Why EV Sector Context Matters:
Sector Rotation:
EV stocks experience waves of sector rotation as investors move between growth and value. Pullbacks during rotation create entry points before the next leg up.
NIO's Position:
As a leading Chinese EV manufacturer with improving fundamentals, NIO represents exposure to the electric vehicle transformation in the world's largest auto market.
Risk Acknowledgment:
Chinese equities carry geopolitical and regulatory risks. Position sizing must account for these additional variables beyond pure technical analysis.
📅 Timeframe Expectations:
Not a Day Trade:
Post-earnings consolidations can take weeks to resolve. This is a position trade, not a scalp.
Potential Catalysts:
Delivery number announcements
Sector momentum shifts back to growth names
Technical resolution of oversold conditions
Broader market stability
Patience Required:
The 0.618 level may be tested multiple times before resolving higher. Position sizing should accommodate short-term volatility without forced exits.
⚠️ Risk Considerations:
Volatility:
NIO exhibits higher volatility than large-cap U.S. equities. Daily swings of 5-10% are not uncommon. Position sizing must reflect this reality.
Geopolitical Risk:
Chinese stocks face regulatory uncertainty and U.S.-China relations risks. These macro factors can override technical setups.
Sector Sentiment:
If EV sector sentiment deteriorates broadly, individual stock structure may not hold. Monitor sector ETFs for confirmation.
Support Breakdown:
If price closes decisively below the 0.786 Fibonacci level, the pullback becomes deeper than healthy corrections typically allow. This invalidates the thesis and requires disciplined exit.
🏆 The Professional Approach to Growth Stocks:
They Size Appropriately:
Growth stocks get smaller position sizes than stable dividend payers. Volatility demands this discipline.
They Buy Weakness in Strong Names:
When fundamentals improve but price pulls back, professionals add. When fundamentals deteriorate but price rallies, they exit.
They Use Technical Structure:
The 0.618 level + DeM oversold isn't fortune-telling—it's identifying zones where probability tilts in favor of reversal based on historical patterns.
They Accept Uncertainty:
No one knows if the bottom is today, tomorrow, or next week. But at structural support with oversold readings after positive earnings, probability favors the long side with defined risk.
📌 Key Takeaways:
✅ Fundamentals + Technicals align: Earnings beat + 0.618 support + DeM oversold creates multi-factor confluence.
✅ Post-earnings pullback is normal: Good earnings don't guarantee immediate upside. Profit-taking creates entry opportunities.
✅ Portfolio addition, not speculation: This is sized as a growth allocation within a diversified portfolio, not a lottery ticket.
✅ Risk is defined: Below 0.786 invalidates the setup. No hoping, no averaging into a broken structure.
✅ Patience over prediction: The bottom may take days or weeks to form. Structure identifies the zone; time confirms the entry.
⚠️ Important Disclaimers:
This analysis is for educational purposes and reflects a technical view based on Fibonacci retracement levels, momentum indicators, and post-earnings price behavior. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell NIO or any security.
NIO operates in a volatile sector and jurisdiction with additional geopolitical risks. The 0.618 support level could fail, and the DeM indicator can remain oversold during extended downtrends. No technical pattern guarantees reversal.
Chinese equities carry regulatory, political, and currency risks beyond typical equity investments. Position sizing must account for these additional risk factors.
Earnings results do not guarantee future stock performance. Post-earnings pullbacks can extend beyond typical retracement levels during broader market weakness.
Always conduct independent research, consider your risk tolerance, and consult with a financial professional. All investing involves risk of loss.
✨ Your Perspective:
Are you watching NIO or other EV names at these levels? How do you approach post-earnings pullbacks in growth stocks? Share your thoughts in the comments.
📜 Buy structure. Size appropriately. Trade with discipline.
NIO: Price can find supportNIO broke below $5, extending a ~30% slide over the past month.
Pressure came after earnings showed a slight revenue miss and cautious delivery guidance — enough for bears to push the stock to new lows.
But the chart isn’t all doom:
→ price is testing the lower boundary of the 2025 ascending channel
→ yesterday opened with a bullish gap, signaling buyers may be stepping in around the key $5 level
If bulls manage to defend this zone, the trend could stabilize — with further direction depending on momentum for ONVO & Firefly heading into 2026.
NIO 1W - engine on or just market noise?Technically, NIO has broken out of a long downtrend and is holding above the key $7.4 support. On the weekly chart this looks like the first sign of a long-awaited reversal. Fundamentally, however, the story is still mixed.
The company reported record October deliveries above 40 k units, up roughly 93% year-on-year - strong momentum that shows NIO is expanding its market share in China and entering a new growth phase. Still, free cash flow remains negative and profitability elusive due to heavy investments in battery-swap infrastructure and R&D.
Overall, sales growth and improving brand position support a bullish outlook. As long as price holds above $7.0–7.5, targets at $16.3 and $24.4 remain realistic. A breakdown below $6.5 would invalidate the setup.
Even electric dreams need a full charge - let’s see if this one can make it up the hill.
NIO – Earnings Setup & Key Support Levels Into DecemberHello Everyone, Followers,
Another one that will release their Financial Report is NIO.
NIO has been selling off through November and is now sitting right on top of a major support cluster ahead of its earnings. Price is currently around 5.50, trying to hold near the 0.618 Fib level.
🔹 Moving Averages & Momentum
Price is below the 20/50 SMAs → short-term weakness
100/200 SMAs still support the broader structure
This looks like a controlled pullback unless the 5.06 support breaks.
🔹 Support & Resistance
Key Support:
5.54
5.06
Trendline at 5.35 - 5.40
Key Resistance:
5.90 – 6.00
6.20 - 6.30
A close above 5.80 shifts momentum to bullish.
A break under 5.06 signals bearish continuation.
🔹 Scenarios
Bullish Setup
Hold 5.54 → 5.06
Break above 5.80
Target → 6.22
Mid-Term Target : 7.00 - 7.20
Bearish Setup
Lose 5.06
Downside → 4.50 - 4.60
Extreme → 3.90 - 4.00
🔹 Outlook
NIO is sitting at a critical decision level. The combination of Fib support and the long-term trendline makes this an important zone for a potential short-term reversal.
But if price slips below 5.06, the chart opens up toward 4.58 quickly.
🔹 My Plan
I’m waiting for confirmation around the 5.06 → 5.54 zone.
Above 5.54: I expect a bounce into 5.80–6.00, maybe higher into 6.22.
Below 5.06: I’ll stay out and wait for stabilization closer to 4.50.
Patience here — the level will reveal the next trend.
If you enjoy and like clean, simple analysis — follow me for more.
This is just my thinking and it is not invesment suggestion , please do not make any decision with my anaylsis.
Have a lovelly Sunday to all and Good Start a Week.
Nio Inc. (NIO) Shows Early Signs of a Potential Trend ReversalA technical review of Nio Inc. (NIO) suggests the electric vehicle manufacturer may be in the early stages of a significant chart reversal. After a prolonged period of downward pressure or consolidation, the price action is beginning to exhibit classic characteristics of a potential bullish turnaround. Key indicators, which may include a break above a minor downtrend resistance line, stabilizing volume patterns, or emerging bullish candlestick formations, are contributing to this constructive outlook.
Trading Strategy & Key Levels
For traders considering a position based on this potential reversal setup, the current zone appears to offer a favorable risk-to-reward profile for entry.
Entry & Stop-Loss: A strategic stop-loss order is recommended just below the recent swing low, placed at $5.50. This level acts as a critical invalidation point; a breach below it would likely negate the current reversal hypothesis and signal a resumption of the prior downtrend.
Primary Profit Targets: The initial take-profit target is set at $6.00, a level that may have previously acted as resistance. The secondary and more ambitious target is at $6.40, which represents a more significant technical hurdle. Taking partial profits at the first target is a prudent strategy to manage risk.
The Bullish Scenario: A Breakout to Higher Ground
Should the bullish momentum continue to build and the price convincingly breaks above the $6.40 resistance level—particularly on high volume—it would signal a substantial shift in market structure and a confirmation of stronger bullish conviction. In this scenario, the next major resistance zone comes into focus around $7.50, representing a longer-term objective for the reversal pattern.
Conclusion
While the nascent reversal pattern in Nio is technically promising, it is not without risk. The setup suggests a potential long opportunity with a clearly defined invalidation point at $5.50. A disciplined approach, adhering to these key levels, is essential for navigating this speculative yet potentially rewarding trade setup.
NIO Earnings Breakout Play – High Momentum Setup NIO Earnings (QS V3 | 2025-11-24)
Strategy: Buy Calls (Earnings Play)
Confidence: 65% (Medium)
Expiry: 2025-11-28
Strike: $6.00
Entry: ~$0.18
Target 1: $0.36
Stop Loss: $0.09
📈 Technical Overview
Price: ~$5.82
Range: $5.25 – $5.87 (tight)
RSI: ~22.4 → Oversold
Volume: 1.1× average → Mild interest
Trend Regime: 95.3% → Strong momentum environment
Support: $5.75 (critical – Katy target)
Resistance: $6.00 / $6.12
IV: ~108% → High earnings volatility
Chart Instructions:
Draw support at $5.75.
Draw resistance line at $6.00–$6.12.
Add RSI indicator (watch for >30 breakout).
Mark option entry zone at $0.18–$0.19.
Plot targets $0.36 and $0.54 (extension).
📰 Sentiment / News Summary
High-impact earnings scheduled
Revenue growth reported at 22,347%
Neutral-to-bullish media tone
Whale activity + call volume shows positioning ahead of earnings
🧪 Flow & Volatility
Put/Call Ratio: 0.37 → Strong call buying
Unusual volume at $6C
Elevated IV ~108% (expect wide moves)
High trend regime → amplified breakouts
⚠️ Risk Notes
Katy AI shows neutral → slightly bearish path
Post-earnings drift can invalidate call setup
High IV = potential IV crush
Stick to 2% position size
$NIO: Big move aheadNYSE:NIO seems to be forming a cup& handle pattern on the chart. The target of this pattern is 13$
After a harsh move to the downside NYSE:NIO is likley to test the blue colored SMA. This SMA has been strong resistance in the past, as shown in the chart. Now there is an opportunity to turn this SMA in to a support and push to complete the cup & handle pattern.
I imagine some consolidation before the big move.
$NIO: The Key Levels to WatchNIO Inc. is a Chinese automotive technology company founded on November 28, 2014, and headquartered in Jiading. Its operations are centered on the electric vehicle market and a unique user-centric ecosystem.
Core Products: Design and manufacture of electric vehicles, including the ES8 7-seater SUV and the high-performance EP9 supercar.
Power Solutions: A comprehensive network of charging options, including home charging, public access, express valet services, mobile charging trucks, and its signature battery swapping technology.
Additional Services: Value-added offerings such as service packages, battery payment plans, vehicle financing, and license plate registration assistance.
Beyond its business as a comprehensive EV and power solutions company, NYSE:NIO 's stock ( NYSE:NIO ) is currently trading within a well-defined range. Here’s a tactical breakdown of the essential levels for your trading plan:
The Ceiling (Resistance): $8.00 is the wall. Until this level is convincingly broken to the upside, the overall bias remains range-bound to bearish. Any approach to this level is a potential area for taking profits or for aggressive traders to consider short positions.
The Floor (Support): $4.00 is the absolute floor. This is the level that must hold to prevent a significant downturn. Long positions become increasingly risky if the price starts to consolidate below $4.50.
The Abyss (Danger Zone): If $4.00 breaks, prepare for a rapid move down to $3.00. This is the "Danger Zone," and a break here could lead to catastrophic losses. All bullish bets should be re-evaluated if this level is tested.
The Buy Zones:
Zone 1 (Cautious Accumulation): $5.00. Start scaling into long positions here, but keep size small.
Zone 2 (High-Conviction Accumulation): $4.50. This is the prime zone to add to positions, as it offers a tighter stop-loss below the $4.00 support and a more favorable risk/reward setup.
NIO’s Balancing Act: Progress Meets PressureSince my last analysis on September 24, NIO has remained in a crucial transition phase. Deliveries have surpassed 110,000 units YTD, supported by the sub-brand ONVO, which started shipping the updated L60 SUV featuring Battery Swap compatibility.
The company also shortened ES8 delivery times to 22–23 weeks, showing improved production efficiency.
On the downside, a lawsuit filed in the U.S. by Singapore’s sovereign wealth fund GIC triggered a ~9% drop in Hong Kong trading. Analysts remain cautious: while operational progress is clear, the path to profitability, targeted for Q4 2025, hinges on converting volume into sustainable margins.
NIO stands at a delicate balance: innovation and expansion on one side, legal and competitive risks on the other.
In the graphic above, the possible next move in the minor Elliott wave degree. This is only a financial technical study and does not constitute financial advice.
Nio Update - Possible move in the makingGiven the recent pullback in the major indices, NIO looks like it’s setting up for a potential move if market sentiment stabilizes. The stock has held above key support despite the broader retracement, showing relative strength. With deliveries improving and the company trimming losses quarter-over-quarter, any bounce in risk assets could act as a catalyst. Still a speculative name, but the compression after the dip suggests it may be preparing for a directional move once the market settles.
NIO Inc. (NIO) Expands Global Electric Vehicle ReachNIO Inc. Sponsored ADR Class A (NIO) is a leading Chinese electric vehicle manufacturer known for its smart, premium EVs and advanced battery-swapping technology. The company’s product lineup includes luxury SUVs and sedans designed to compete globally in performance and innovation. NIO’s growth is fueled by expanding EV adoption in China, global market expansion, and its unique approach to energy infrastructure through battery-as-a-service technology.
On the chart, a confirmation bar with rising volume highlights bullish strength. The price has entered the momentum zone after climbing above the .236 Fibonacci level. A trailing stop can be placed just below this Fibonacci mark using the Fibonacci snap tool, helping traders protect profits while leaving room for continued upside potential.
NIO | China will Lead the EV BattleNIO, Inc. is a holding company which engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of electric vehicles. Its products include the EP9 supercar and ES8 7-seater SUV. It provides users with home charging, power express valet services, and other power solutions including access to public charging, access to power mobile charging trucks, and battery swapping. It also offers other value-added services such as service package, battery payment arrangement, and vehicle financing and license plate registration. The company was founded by Bin Li and Li Hong Qin on November 28, 2014 and is headquartered in Jiading, China.
NIO — The Spark Before the Storm $10000⚡ NIO: The Spark Before the Storm — A New SuperCycle Is Born ⚡🚗
"The storm that started with Tesla is about to find its next wave."
NIO just finished its deep correction of Wave 2 — and Wave 3 is ready to change everything. 🔥
🌩️ The Setup
From hype to despair — that’s how every SuperCycle begins.
After the 2021 peak, NIO collapsed into silence, grinding through a brutal 0.618 Fibonacci retrace.
But markets don’t die in fear — they reset .
And that reset is complete.
Now, the chart shows what could be the first true SuperCycle ignition for NIO — the same point Tesla stood at a decade ago.
🌊 The Wave Map
1️⃣ Wave 1 (2019–2021) — The hype wave. EV mania, hope, and early adoption.
2️⃣ Wave 2 (2021–2025) — The cleansing wave. Fear, dilution, exhaustion.
3️⃣ Wave 3 (2025–2029) — The expansion wave.
🔥 Projected zone: $450 (1.618)
4️⃣ Wave 4 (2030–2032) — The reset.
5️⃣ Wave 5 (2032–2035) — The final mania.
Every great company survives Wave 2… and dominates in Wave 3.
🧭 The Technical Pulse
Major liquidity sweep below $8 → Smart Money re-entry.
Break of Structure (BoS) confirmation above $10 = start of markup phase.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) near $6–9 = accumulation zone.
Fib geometry + historical rhythm = 3rd wave setup confirmed.
Price is coiling under long-term resistance — the spring before expansion.
⚙️ Macro + Fundamentals
EV market entering mass production maturity.
NIO’s battery swap network gives it an unmatched recurring model.
China’s stimulus & EV subsidies may reignite the sector.
Market cap reset = asymmetric opportunity.
This is where long-term conviction separates traders from investors.
🎯 Projection Timeline
📍 Wave 3 → ~$450
🔄 Wave 4 → $100–150 zone
🚀 Wave 5 → $10,000+
💬 Final Take
⚡ NIO’s not dead — it’s recharging.
When Wave 3 hits, disbelief turns to euphoria.
👇 Drop your take — is this the next EV breakout SuperCycle ?
Follow for deep Elliott + Smart Money confluence setups.
#NIO #EVRevolution #Wave3 #ElliottWave #SmartMoneyConcept #FIBCOS #Fibonacci #MarketStructure #TradingView #StockMarket #MacroCycle #Investing #WaveTheory #ElectricVehicles
$NIO – The Vampiric Setup in Action🧛♂️ NYSE:NIO – The Vampiric Setup in Action
Price has been crushed from $60 → $4.78, but now the structure is shifting.
On the monthly chart, we see the classic Vampiric Setup:
Liquidity Pool swept (weak hands drained)
Displacement created (fast downside flush)
Breaker formed (structure reclaim)
Liquidity Reclaimed (buyers stepping back in)
📊 Current Price: $7.04 (+10%)
Support: $4.78 (discount zone)
Resistance Band: $12–$17 (liquidity pocket)
Long-Term Target: $26–28 equilibrium
🔹 Catalysts
EV sector rotation into 2026
China-U.S. policy shifts (subsidies/tariffs)
Delivery & margin stabilization in earnings
Macro liquidity — tech/AI flows lifting EV names
⚠️ Risk: Failure to hold above $5 kills the structure.
🚀 If the vampiric cycle completes, NIO could be transitioning from capitulation → accumulation → expansion.
#NIO #EVStocks #SmartMoney #VampiricSetup #VolanX #WaverVanir
Why NIO's Tide Is Turning: A Game-Changer in the EV ArenaThe momentum has decisively shifted for NIO, with ES8 orders surging and dominating the market. Its aggressively competitive pricing is poised to erode share from heavyweights like BYD, Tesla, and XPENG, making it an irresistible force in the pure-play EV space—one truly worth betting on.
At the heart of NIO's edge is its cutting-edge technology, particularly the battery swap system, which stands out as a stroke of genius. Critics dismissing battery swaps as outdated miss the bigger picture: delivering a full charge for a 100 kWh pack in just 10 minutes via ultra-fast chargers demands massive grid infrastructure that's often impractical and accelerates battery degradation. In contrast, NIO's swaps enable gentler, slower charging in controlled environments, preserving pack longevity while allowing stations to proliferate without straining local power grids.
Even more intriguing—and under-discussed—is the revenue potential of these swap stations. They can capitalize on power market volatility, charging batteries during off-peak low-price hours and feeding stored energy back to the grid at premium rates during demand spikes. It's not just smarter mobility; it's a savvy energy arbitrage play that could turn NIO's network into a profit powerhouse. For forward-thinking investors, NIO isn't just riding the EV wave—it's redefining it.
The New Nio's ES8 Breaks Records and Aims for ProfitLast Saturday, NIO stole the spotlight at its NIO Day 2025, more than just a product launch, it felt like a celebration for users, investors, and EV enthusiasts alike. The star of the show? The third-generation ES8, a premium electric SUV designed to go head-to-head with the luxury giants.
How NIO Is Performing: Q2 2025 Results
In the second quarter, NIO posted RMB 19 billion in revenue (about USD 2.65 billion) and delivered 72,056 vehicles, marking a year-on-year increase of 25–30%. Vehicle gross margin stood at around 10.3%, while the loss per share came in at -0.32 USD.
In other words, NIO is still in the red, but the direction is positive: better operational efficiency, tighter cost control, and a refreshed product lineup.
What to Expect in Q3 2025
The next earnings report is scheduled for November 19, 2025, and analysts are looking for another step forward:
USD 3.0–3.2 billion in revenue
87,000–91,000 vehicle deliveries
Loss narrowing to -0.22 USD per share
Q3 is expected to be a transitional quarter, while Q4 could be the one that finally brings break-even.
The New ES8: Record Orders and Long Waitlists
The ES8 isn’t just another model; it’s the symbol of NIO’s maturity. Within just 36 hours of launch, around 50,000 binding orders were placed, already beyond the estimated production capacity for 2025.
Delivery times? 24–26 weeks, roughly six months. It’s a logistical headache, but also a luxury problem for a brand that only a few years ago was chasing Tesla and the German heavyweights.
NIO is targeting a 20% gross margin on the ES8 thanks to in-house development and a tighter supply chain.
Moving Toward Profitability in Q4 2025
The official goal is clear: reach non-GAAP break-even by the fourth quarter of 2025. If ES8 deliveries and other models roll out as planned, NIO could end the year on a much stronger footing.
Still, more cautious analysts, like Nomura, say full-year profitability may not arrive until 2027, when margins stabilize and production fully catches up with demand.
A Direct Challenge to Premium Brands
With these numbers, NIO is sending a clear message to Mercedes, BMW, and Audi: premium electric SUVs are no longer just a German domain. The new ES8 challenges on price, technology, and customer experience, from swappable batteries to a more personalized after-sales service.
Conclusion
NIO Day 2025 wasn’t just a showcase; it revealed a company in acceleration mode, with record orders and ambitious plans. If NIO can convert this demand into deliveries and margins, 2025 could be the year it truly levels up.
This is not a financial advice






















