PRG trade ideas
PG BREAKING UPWARDS TRENDLINEPG just broke out of an upward channel on the daily. Last time it did this in October it dropped significantly before returning to the channel. If this is confirmed today with a close below the line, I think a reasonable short price target is 87 range. Could go with some further out, but I think 87 is a conservative short, especially with the SPY looking more and more bearish.
THIS IS NOT TRADING ADVICE, I'M NOT A PROFESSIONAL.
PG is very strong in this collapseDow component and consumer staples giant PG has only falled 5.6% from the highs, compared to nearly 20% in the general market. It did not participate in the second of the three collapses in Q4. The price action from July-August can now be seen as the upper half of a pitchfork, and we are now at the lower half and right on the 50-day SMA. This is a gamble on Q4 being a correction not the start of a bear market, of course, hence my tight 1.5% stop.
Attack of the Proctoids!This is another Great American company that has lost its way in the weeds of financial engineering. Apparently, that whole idea of selling off ‘mature’ (profitable) brands hasn’t translated into stock price appreciation. It also suffers from management by consensus. Bet the employees get to go to great Team Building camps. This company would outperform if it got back to its roots researching new consumer products, and developing (even acquiring) small brands into large profitable businesses.
This stock would make a good addition to one’s income producing side of one’s portfolio when it gets back down to around $26 in the next couple years. Probably could trade out your TLT’s for it at the stock market bottoms.
Looking for a PG Pull BackLooking back, we are just above the historical resistance level ~$94 dollars that rejected $PG on several occasions.
I'd keep an eye on this through the close and into opening next week. If today's highs mark the end of the most recent rally, I'd expect a pull back to the $91 range, and potentially down to $88.50.
I'd be surprised to see this continue to rip, given where it's been, as low as $71 back in April. I don't see it going back to those levels, but a retest of $86 would be better for the long term health.
PG looks overbought and currently at resistancePG has been on the nice ride since May 2018. It is currently on a raising wedge pattern and looks overbought, which correspond to the resistance area. It will likely to pullback anytime soon, possibly to somewhere between $84 and $85 which is the support area after a gap up. However, it is safer to wait until the next trading day to confirm my prediction.