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SPF1! trade ideas

ES - September 5th - Daily Trade PlanSeptember 5th - 7:55am Last night session I stated - "My lean is we grind sideways and up into the 6523 level overnight and then we will need to wait for the employment report and NYSE to try and get some level losses and reclaims to finish the week at our targets of 6547, 6563+." Our overnight session has been rangebound between 6512 - 6531. Employment report and NYSE open will determine which direction we move. I will be waiting for price to settle down after initial reactions and look for the best levels that I will be looking for a flush and reclaim would be the 6491 level as it was the high of this week during the Sunday evening session. We could dip down to 6473/79 levels and then rally. I will update around after employment report and around 10am. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Couple of things about how I color code my levels. 1. Purple shows the weekly High/Low 2. Red shows the current overnight session High/Low (New chart out in am) 3. Blue shows the previous day's session High/Low 4. Yellow Levels are levels that show support and resistance levels of interest. 5. White shows the trendline from the August lows.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by jhill1618
6
Its Non-Farm: How much will ES Move?Hi all - Happy Non-Farm Friday! I haven't done this in a while and thought it might be helpful to share my process for estimating the size of the move that we may get on ES after the Non-Farm Payrolls data is released. I'm not trying to make a prediction on direction here - but more understand where the boundaries could be so I can determine how to trade this (what trading tool I can pull out of my box) once the announcement comes out. Hope it helps and please let me know if you find it useful and I'll create more posts . Cheers, Jeff
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by JeffBoccaccio
2
ES — Intraday Analyses & A++ Setups (Fri Sep 5, 2025) • Demand (reclaim): 6501–6505 — now support; Trigger-Lock ON • Continuation line: ~6516 (1.272 area) • Upside magnets: 6520–6523, 6531–6533, 6548–6552 • Deeper trigger band: 6468–6475 (only relevant on failure back below 6501) A++ Long Setup Retest-Hold LONG • Entry: 6503–6505 on a 5m close + hold of 6501–6505 • SL: 6496–6498 (≤ 6–8 pts) • TP1: 6520–6523 • TP2: 6531–6533 • TP3: 6548–6552 Invalidation: Any 15m close < 6501 after acceptance. Failure / Flip path • If 6501–6505 fails on a 15m close, expect a deeper probe toward 6475. • Shorts are not active unless we get the full sequence: rejection of 6468–6475 → 15m bearish < 6466 → 5m failed retest 6447–6451 (then use 6432/6422/6413 TP ladder).
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by MyAlgoIndex
1
Day 23 — Trading Only S&P Futures | +$200 & New Daily RuleWelcome to Day 23 of Trading Only S&P Futures! I locked in +200.45 on my competition account by shorting the MOB overnight and walking away once my target was hit. Later in the day, I came back to watch and ended up losing on other accounts — which sparked an important realization. From now on, I’m considering a rule: cap daily gains at 10% of account balance. For example, with a $2,000 account, my daily target should be $200 max. Anything more means overtrading, staying in the market too long, and risking unnecessary drawdowns. This might be the structure I need to keep consistent results. 📰 News Highlights U.S. JOB CUTS TOTAL 85,979 IN AUGUST, HIGHEST FOR THAT MONTH SINCE 2020 — CHALLENGER 🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow Above 6470 = Remain Bullish Below 6450 = Flip Bearish
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
ES - September 5th - Daily Trade Plan - Evening SessionSeptember 4th - 7:15pm In today's daily trade plan, I said - "Ideally, we lose 6454, flush and reclaim for a move higher. I expect another choppy day, and we need to clear 6491 to keep this rally moving higher." At 10:16am price dropped down to 6456.25 and took off higher. You can look at a 4hr chart and see the institutional accumulation that has been happening. You can look at my weekly trading plan in which I stated - "I do believe we can still rally up to 6547, 6563+ this week, but IF, we lose the 6369 level, that would be a big blow to bulls, and it would need to be sharp reclaim back inside the white trendline to keep momentum." What did institutions do so far this week? Flush the white trendline, run stops, accumulate and we are heading higher. 6523 is the next big resistance with 6547, 6563 still in play. Price needs to hold 6473 with 6455 being the lowest for us to keep moving higher. Employment report out tomorrow am and usually the initial move will be a fake out. I don't trade prior to the employment report and usually wait until after the NYSE open to evaluate and find a spot to get some points. Since we have closed at highs on the day and we are just going sideways, the best levels that I will be looking for a flush and reclaim would be the 6491 level as it was the high of this week during the Sunday evening session. We could dip down to 6473/79 levels and then rally. My lean is we grind sideways and up into the 6523 level overnight and then we will need to wait for the employment report and NYSE to try and get some level losses and reclaims to finish the week at our targets of 6547, 6563+. I will post an updated chart tomorrow before 7am EST. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Couple of things about how I color code my levels. 1. Purple shows the weekly High/Low 2. Red shows the current overnight session High/Low (New chart out in am) 3. Blue shows the previous day's session High/Low 4. Yellow Levels are levels that show support and resistance levels of interest. 5. White shows the trendline from the August lows.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by jhill1618
4
(ES) – Key Resistance at 6475The ES is approaching a significant resistance zone around the 6475 level, which has the potential to act as a short-term cap on price action. Given the current structure and momentum, ES may struggle to break and hold above this area. This presents a possible short opportunity near 6475, with a tight stop just above the resistance. If this level holds as resistance, we could see a rejection leading to lower levels in the coming sessions. Monitor price action closely around this zone for confirmation and manage risk accordingly.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by BlueSec
ES - September 4th - Daily Trade PlanSeptember 4th - 6:45am EST In yesterday's post I said "Ideally, we need to hold the 6426 level or flush and reclaim quickly. IF, price can't rally above 6476, my lean is we are in the midst of a change in character of price, and I will be looking lower for levels to flush and reclaim." We chopped around all day and ended up breaking below the white trend line to 6426, got bought up and then rallied at end of day. Institutions bought it up and we ended up close to the highs of the day. Couple of things about how I color code my levels. 1. Purple shows the weekly High/Low 2. Red shows the current overnight session High/Low 3. Blue shows the previous day's session High/Low 4. Yellow Levels are levels that show support and resistance levels of interest. 5. White shows the trendline from the August lows. What is the game plan for today? Overnight the low was 6454 with us coming into session highs at 6473.75. Ideally, we can flush 6454 and reclaim for a level to level move higher. IF, price sells off below 6454, we will probably need to head back down to the white trendline which is the 6438 level. 6438-6454 will be a chop fest. Immediate Resistances - 6473, 6476, 6485, 6491 (Weekly High) Immediate Supports - 6458, 6454, 6438, 6426, 6412 Ideally, we lose 6454, flush and reclaim for a move higher. I expect another choppy day, and we need to clear 6491 to keep this rally moving higher. We also have employment report out tomorrow am. My lean is we keep chopping up today as we head into the report at 8:30am tomorrow.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by jhill1618
1
OTEUM EXPERT CALL: SP500 – Jackson Hole Fade OTEUM EXPERT CALL: SP500 – Jackson Hole Fade 🏔️🐻 We’re looking for a SHORT(s) in spot and options for a macro swing down into Jackson Hole and the immediate aftermath 📉. Plan is to sell rallies into value (red box), ride the drift lower, and bank along staged targets. After that, we’ll be hunting the first-cut squeeze back up 🏦✂️🚀. Risk: a surprise dovish leak / policy jawbone that front-runs the cut and squeezes shorts. Size smart, trail tight, don’t overstay. #SP500 #ES #Macro #JacksonHole #ShortSetup #OTEUM
CME_MINI:ESU2025Short
by Karel_OTEUM
ES (A++) — Intraday Analyses & Setups for Thu, Sep 4, 2025 (ET)We’re parked beneath a well-defined 6468–6475 ceiling. Tomorrow the clean A++ is either: (A) Breakout-acceptance long > 6475 (retest holds), or (B) Rejection short after a test of 6468–6475 that sends price back through 6453 with 15-minute bearish confirmation. TP ladders are mapped to ~6490 / 6501 / 6520 above and ~6432 / 6422 / 6413 below. Trigger-Lock is ON: numbers are frozen once posted. Weekly/Daily: Pressing prior distribution highs; repeated supply above ~6470–6485; upside extensions show 1.618 ≈ 6489 and 2.000 ≈ 6504 as next magnets. 4H/1H: Recovery from the 6.43k shelf, printing HLs into the ceiling; momentum constructive but unresolved under 6475. 30m/15m: Rangebound day resolved late; resistance band 6468–6475 capped advances; 6453 (Monday Low pivot) is your intraday toggle. Hard levels to respect • Ceiling / Trigger band: 6468–6475 • Pivot: 6453 (lose/reclaim toggles bias) • First downside shelves: 6432–6434, 6422–6425, 6413–6416 • Upside magnets if accepted: 6489–6493, 6501–6505, 6520–6523 A++ Setups 1) Breakout-Acceptance LONG • Trigger: First 5-minute close > 6475, then a quick retest that holds 6472–6475 (no reclaim < 6470). • Entry: 6472–6479 on the hold. • Initial SL: 6466–6468 (≤ 6–8 pts). • TP1: 6490–6493 (≥ +15 from 6475 → 2.5R with 6-pt risk). • TP2: 6501–6505 • TP3: 6520–6523 Invalidation: Any 15m close back inside 6468–6475 after acceptance. 2) Rejection-Failure SHORT • Precondition: Price tests 6468–6475 and rejects. • Confirm: 15m bearish close < 6466, then a 5m failed retest 6447–6451 (lower high). • Entry: 6447–6451 on the failed retest. • Initial SL: 6454–6456 (≤ 6–8 pts). • TP1: 6432–6434 (≥ +15 from 6449). • TP2: 6422–6425 • TP3: 6413–6416 Flip: Any 30m acceptance > 6475 cancels shorts and re-arms the long. Tomorrow’s U.S. calendar (key times, ET) • ADP National Employment Report: 8:15 am.  • Initial Jobless Claims: 8:30 am (weekly, DOL).  • S&P Global U.S. Services PMI (final): 9:45 am (standard PMI schedule).  • ISM Services PMI: 10:00 am (third business day rule → Sep 4).  • EIA Weekly Petroleum Status (holiday schedule): 12:00 pm ET (Labor Day shift). 
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
1
Day 22 — Trading Only S&P Futures & Market analysisWelcome to Day 22 of Trading Only S&P Futures! Today I kept things simple — waited for the 10am JOLTS report to set direction and only got long after we held the 1-min MOB. Even then, I stayed cautious since price was still under 6465 resistance. I focused on gamma levels, which played out clean on both the buy and sell side. The only real slip-up was a FOMO long, and that reminded me of an important rule: I should only size up when I’ve got 2+ confirmations. If I take a trade with less, it needs to be 1 contract only — risk management first. Closed the session with +256.25, ending the day disciplined and green. 📰 News Highlights U.S. JULY JOLTS JOB OPENINGS FALL TO 7.181M (EST. 7.380M, PREV. 7.357M) — LOWEST SINCE MARCH 2021 🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow Above 6470 = Flip Bullish Below 6450 = Remain Bearish
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
S&P500: Short-Term Pullback Before Next RallyS&P futures initially slipped yesterday but managed to stabilize soon. Our primary outlook is that the ongoing turquoise wave B will continue to move higher, likely topping out just below resistance at 6,675 points. After that, we expect wave C to drive the index directly into the magenta long Target Zone between 6,082 and 5,650 points, where the low of the wave (4) correction should be established. From there, the impulsive wave (5) is expected to begin, pushing the index above the 6,675 points resistance and completing the broader blue wave (III). Alternatively, there is a 35% chance that the index could break out directly above 6,675 points without first reaching the magenta Target Zone. In this scenario, the index would already be forming the alternative wave alt.(5) in magenta.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by MarketIntel
4