UNF1! trade ideas
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/27/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23520.25
- PR Low: 23499.00
- NZ Spread: 47.75
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Durable Goods Orders
10:00 | CB Consumer Confidence
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 8/27)
- Session Open ATR: 297.44
- Volume: 43K
- Open Int: 281K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -2.6% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 24382
- Mid: 23239
- Short: 22096
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Nasdaq - Intraday Setup & Potential TradePrice was not abel to trade out of the white forks U-MLH and got constantly rejected.
It cracked the little support and fell down, but missed the white Centerline, creating a HAGOPIAN.
Then price traded outside of the white fork, following a textbook test/retest at the white U-MLH and found support.
The yellow fork points upwards, showing us the most probable path of price.
Going long near the white U-MLH gives us several potential targets:
1. the orange Centerline
2 the yellow Centerline
3. the HAGOPIAN target line.
4. the orange U-MLH
Stops would be below the last red bars low, because this, as of the time of writing, is the best structural level to hide behind.
I'm off to the mountains, have a happy trading day!
NQ Plan (A++) — Tue, Aug 26. Analyses and Setups At-a-glance
• Structure: Daily uptrend but capped below 23,585–23,615 supply; late-day dump then bounce.
• Pivot: ~23,50x shelf (intraday pivot).
• Plan: Acceptance Long above PDH (≥23,59x) OR Rejection Short on break ≤23,50x after a pop/fail.
Macro clock (ET)
• 8:30 — Durable Goods (Advance, Jul).
• 9:00 — S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller (Jun).
• 10:00 — Conference Board Consumer Confidence (Aug).
• 11:30 — Dallas Fed Texas Service Sector Survey (publishing begins 9:30 a.m. CT).
• Afternoon — U.S. Treasury 2-Year Note auction (verify time live; typically 1:00 p.m. ET).
• Heads-up — NVDA earnings Wed, Aug 27 after the close.
HTF context
• Daily/4H: Buyers defend 23,44x → 23,41x; sellers active 23,585–23,615.
• 1H/30M: Sideways; 23,50x is the shelf to watch.
Key levels
• Resistance: R1 23,585–23,615 (PDH/supply); R2 23,650–23,680.
• Support: S1 23,485–23,505 (shelf/NYPM.L); S2 23,440–23,455; S3 23,405–23,415 (AS.L); S4 23,295–23,315 (Mon low area).
A) Acceptance Long (A++)
• Trigger: First 5-min close ≥23,590–23,600 with 15-min holding/printing HH.
• Targets: 23,650 → 23,680/23,700.
• Invalidation: Hard — 15-min close ≤23,580; Soft — no extension within 2×5-min bars.
B) Rejection Short (A++)
• Trigger: Rejection from 23,52x–23,56x then first 5-min close ≤23,498–23,505 (shelf break) with 15-min alignment.
• Targets: 23,455 → 23,410 → 23,305.
• Invalidation: Hard — 15-min close back above ~23,505; Soft — no extension within 2×5-min bars.
Execution rules (A++)
• MOS entry on confirming close; no retest required.
• Align 30m/15m/5m; go BE only after structure/through T1.
• Trade windows: 9:45–11:30 & 13:45–15:30 ET.
• Stand down if price chops inside 23,49x–23,56x without a decisive close.
Disqualifiers
• Trend conflict across 30m/15m/5m
• No 5-min confirming close
• Directly into 10:00 data or the afternoon auction
• Chop inside the pivot box
Nq & Es After hours comment 25-08-2025Good evening everyone,
As you noticed, price did not reach the lower levels we were anticipating, and therefore no valid long opportunities were triggered. This was always a possible outcome, and it simply means that we missed a trade — something that is part of everyday trading.
I had mentioned that I was expecting a temporary move down, but at no point did I suggest looking for short opportunities. The reason is exactly what we saw today: price did not need to drop significantly before moving higher.
For tomorrow, there is still a chance of a temporary decline before the market continues to push upward.
See you here again tomorrow, before the market open.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis reflects personal market observations and is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice.
#202534 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaq futures Good Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Market stayed around the 50% retracement from the prior 2 weeks selling. Bears need to miracle to keep it below 23600 and go down again. Bulls want the measured move up which could lead to 24200 or more. We are in the middle of the range and I need strong momentum on Monday to join either side.
current market cycle: bull trend - peak bubble
key levels for next week: 22800 - 24100
bull case: Bulls want a new ath but I doubt they will get it without a better pullback. The move on Friday was strong enough to expect at least a second leg. Otherwise I am having a hard time finding arguments for the bulls. They printed a higher low, which still confirms the bull trend and bulls can argue it’s a two-legged pullback on the daily chart. Confirmation is only above 23600 and if so, I’d expect a quick move to 23800.
Invalidation is below 23400ish
bear case: Bears can argue the red bear trend line is still valid (see chart) and that we retraced about 50% of the two-week selling. If they can stay below 23600, small chance that we reverse and continue down to 23000 and make lower lows again. For now bears are not favored and around 23500 it’s best to do nothing.
Invalidation is above 23600
short term: Neutral around 23500. Can’t get much more out of the chart right now.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-08-10: 22000 likely to get hit this year gain. 20000 seems a bit much for 3 months left.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/26/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23607.50
- PR Low: 23545.00
- NZ Spread: 139.75
Key scheduled economic events:
10:00 | New Home Sales
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 8/26)
- Session Open ATR: 302.73
- Volume: 27K
- Open Int: 279K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -2.1% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 24382
- Mid: 23239
- Short: 22096
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Weekly Outlook | Aug 25–29, 2025Last week, buyers defended 23,067–23,150 and Powell’s speech fueled a massive short-covering rally, sending price right back to our macro pivot at 23,550. That level now defines the battleground.
🔹 Upside Roadmap:
23,550 = Weekly Pivot
Above → 23,700 (old breakout base)
23,850 minor extension
24,063 swing high
24,400+ final weekly upside target
🔹 Downside Roadmap:
23,335 first support
23,249 Thursday close
23,067 must-hold higher low
22,760 deeper downside
📌 Plan:
Hold above 23,550 = long bias into 23,700+.
Reject 23,550 and lose 23,335 = downside rotation.
💡 Discipline is key: trade the reaction at 23,550, not your prediction.
NASDAQ 100: Bullish, But There Is a Headwind.....Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Aug 25 - 29th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: NASDAQ (NQ1!) NAS100
The NASDAQ has a bearish FVG on the Daily TF. Should it fail, buy the pullback to it, as it will invert to a iFVG and support higher prices.
Should it fail, and we will know Monday/Tuesday, sells become valid, down to the Weekly bullish FVG.
Let the market unfold Monday, then look for valid entries.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
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Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
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All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
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Re publishing the chart i published Friday - What do you noticeWhat is the standout feature of this chart I have extended the boxes to show you how areas of support and resistance interact in the market place.
The 4 hour chart is a great chart for evaluating positions.
1. Use this at setting bias and levels for breaks.
2. Then you can drill down into lower timeframe charts to identify potential position entries.
3. I would repeat the process of mapping out these lower time frame charts to identify entry levels
4. When you in your trading time frame, i use 1, 2, and 5 minute time frames, others use range bars or renko etc , these are allow personal preferences but the mapping process will remain the same.
5. I always use MACD to analyse strength of move and look for divergence.
6.I always measure an impulse higher or lower with the Fibonacci retracement tool. This will show you retracement values and set target levels.
7. I love the two moving averages 144 and 169 period.
8. Candle patterns help in determining market structure and order flow if you know what to look for.
I hope this all helps you any questions i am happy to answer them
good luck
Mark
NQ may pullback before creating new highsThe bulls want to push the market higher while the bear wants a 2nd leg down on the daily. PA loses 20EMA then reverses up and we are approaching September where catalyst will help push the market to create new highs. We may retrace from here then move up. My bias is super bullish however not eliminating the potential of a small retracement. i.e. 50% retracement then pushes up. Just my thought process. Cheers
Classic tug-of-war NASDAQBias: Still broadly bullish on the daily—no true downside displacement, and price hasn’t closed below the last impulse up. But… we failed to close above recent 2-month highs and are sitting right at weekly equilibrium.
Where we are: Price is coiling around the 4H BISI low ≈ 23,790.50, which also aligns with ~50% of the weekly range. Nested inside is a 1H BISI with a bullish 1H OB just beneath. Classic tug-of-war spot.
Areas of Interest:
Above: 23,929 → PDH 23,962.75 → 24,000 BRN → 24,040–24,080 (upper imbalance).
Below: 23,713.50 (50% of 1H OB) → 23,596 → 23,501 → swing magnet 22,684.75 (D1 SIBI high).
Tell: The last “new low” on 1H needed two candles to actually close below and did so weakly. That shows sell-side lacks displacement unless we break structure decisively.
What flips the switch (clear invalidation logic)
Bullish reclaim: 15–60m close back above 23,790–23,804 (ETH close 23,796.5 / RTH close 23,804) and hold on a retest → long side favored.
Bearish break: Clean 1H close below 23,713 (and acceptance under it) → short side favored; you’re below the 1H OB and the nested BISI.
Two actionable trade plans
(Use your 5m/1m execution: wait for displacement through the trigger, then take the FVG or OB retrace inside the HTF level.)
A) Reclaim-and-go LONG (higher-probability if we hold above weekly EQ)
Trigger: 15–60m close above 23,790–23,804, then a controlled retest that holds (wick below, body close back above).
Entry zone: 23,790–23,804 (retest of 4H BISI low / prior close cluster).
Invalidation (stop): Below 23,713 (under the 1H OB mid) or tighter under the swing that forms your 5m/1m FVG entry (your call on risk).
Conservative SL: 23,690–23,705 (below the OB body).
Profit targets:
T1: 23,929 (first buy-side pools / inefficiency fill)
T2: 23,962.75 (PDH)
T3: 24,000 (round-number magnet)
T4 (runner): 24,040–24,080 (upper imbalance)
Trade management: Partial at T1, move stop to BE after M5 market structure shift in your favor or after T1 prints. Keep a runner if displacement expands.
B) Breakdown-and-acceptance SHORT
Trigger: Clean 1H close below 23,713 and a retest rejection (can use a 5m FVG inside 23,713–23,730).
Entry zone: 23,713–23,730 (failed reclaim of 1H OB mid / underside of the 1H BISI).
Invalidation (stop): Above 23,790–23,804 (back inside/above the 4H BISI low and prior closes).
Tighter intraday SL can sit above the 5m swing that breaks down.
Profit targets:
T1: 23,596
T2: 23,501
T3 (optional intraday): 23,440–23,460 (prior 1H demand base, if visible on your feed)
T4 (swing only): 22,684.75 (D1 SIBI high)
Trade management: Take partial at T1, trail above last M5 LHs. If New York lunch compresses, be quick to pay yourself.
Why these are the right spots
23,790–23,804 is a decision box: 4H BISI low + ETH/RTH prior close cluster + weekly EQ. Acceptance above = trend continuation likely; rejection = continuation of the rotation lower.
23,713.50 is the line in the sand intraday: it’s the 50% of your 1H OB and sits just beneath the 1H BISI. Lose it and you’ve removed the nearby bullish sponsor, opening the path to 23,596/23,501.
The lack of downside displacement on the last “new low” keeps a bullish continuation on the table—until we get that decisive 1H break/acceptance below 23,713.
Execution tips
Time-of-day: favor NY AM session for your displacement signal; Monday often ranges → reduce size until one side wins (as you noted).
Trigger discipline: do not anticipate the reclaim/break. Wait for the 15–60m close, then execute on 5m/1m FVG back into the level.
Risk: if trading the same idea across multiple accounts, stagger entries (one at level, one at 50% of the M5 FVG).
Quick reference (levels)
Bullish above: 23,804 → 23,929 → 23,962.75 → 24,000 → 24,040–24,080
Neutral box: 23,790.5 (4H BISI low / weekly EQ) ± a few ticks
Bearish below: 23,713.5 → 23,596 → 23,501 → 22,684.75
NQ - August 22, 2025 - lunchtimePowell's comments at Jackson Hole symposium sent the market soaring.
FUNDAMENTALS : Powell signalled being more concerned about employment and leaned towards the idea that tariff driven inflation wouldn't persist. Result, markets are now pricing in a rate cut for September.
TECHNICALS : If the daily closes above 23,400 its looking good for the bulls.
Good trading :)
NQ Short (08-18-25)Friday did not lift and the O/N is at low, look for anu reg session selling to gain some strength under the DZ. Looking for 400 point range this week and break lower can move 1,000 points under the DZ. Expect Tricks/Tweets (damage spin) and more Tweets early this week. Low volume buying should turn into high volume selling. Washington Street Asset Management will have its work cut out over the next month or so and may be why we got propped up.
NQ - August 22 2025 - Before the open
So yesterday was an inside day, which means we traded inside the previous days range (failed to break previous days high or low).
23,000 is a very strong support. If it breaks with conviction there is no real support until about 22,500.
FUNDAMENTALS : I think we will need a strong fundamental reason for 23,000 to break down. Something such as Powell saying they wont cut rates in September. The market is keeping an eye on inflation data and employment because these will determine if they cut or not.
Rate cut scenarios:
1. If inflation spikes due to tariffs as we saw in most recent PPI report, I think they may hold rates.
2. If employment drops a lot (bad NFP report, most importantly unemployment rate goes up) that may force them to cut in September.
3. If inflation drops near 2%, they will likely cut in September regardless of if employment data is good or bad.
***Keep in mind the market is sort of expecting inflation due to tariffs, so if inflation holds steady or is slightly better than expected that maybe enough for them to cut in September.
TECHNICALS : So far we have strong buying near 23,000 level but for the last 3 days buyers are lacking conviction at lower and lower prices. (Selling near 23,300).
Good trading :)
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/22/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23250.25
- PR Low: 23223.25
- NZ Spread: 60.5
Key scheduled economic events:
10:00 | Fed Chair Powell Speaks
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 8/22)
- Session Open ATR: 283.49
- Volume: 20K
- Open Int: 280K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -3.6% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 24382
- Mid: 23239
- Short: 22096
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone