NAS100 SCENARIO C — 4H Bullish Breakout (LEAST PROBABLE, ~10–15%) The updated chart shows a slightly higher chance than earlier today, but still low. To flip 4H bullish: Break 25,000 Retest and hold above Form a Higher Low BOS up Daily RSI pushes above 55 If all this happens → the entire bias flips to bullish continuation. Targets would be: 25,300 25,750 26,200 Right now, we are not in this breakout. We’re still in a bearish structure area. NAS100 SCENARIO B — Range Formation (SECOND MOST PROBABLE, ~25–30%) This is more likely now after seeing the updated chart. Why? Repeated HL attempts on 1H Reduced bearish momentum Buyers stepping in around 24,300 Volume tapering = range conditions Range expectation: Top: 24,650–24,750 Bottom: 24,200–24,320 What does range behaviour look like? Messy candles Whipsaws RSI staying between 45–60 No clean break in either direction Perfect place for “stop-hunts” Good for: Intraday scalp longs and shorts Bad for: Swing entries High-confidence directional trades NAS100 SCENARIO A — Liquidity Sweep → Selloff (MOST PROBABLE, ~55–60%) Why this is now likely: Price is approaching the exact 4H supply zone. The bullish bounce shows no volume expansion, meaning weak buyers. 1H HL is good, but it’s forming inside premium, not discount. RSI is mid-range → no momentum. Expected Behaviour: Price pushes slightly higher into 24,580–24,700 Smart money hunts stop-losses above intra-day highs Rejection from 4H supply Bearish BOS on 15m or 5m Drop toward: Targets: T1: 24,350 T2: 24,150 T3: 23,900 T4: 23,700 (big HTF demand) What confirms this scenario? A break below 24,430 on 15m A break of bullish micro-structure A rejection wick on 1H from supply This remains the MOST LIKELY scenario based on HTF structure. NAS100 🛡️ Support and Resistance Levels Resistance 1: 24,460 (Daily High / Harmonic Completion) Resistance 2: 24,525 (Weekly Extension) Support 1: 24,380 (0.382 Fib) Support 2: 24,310 (Key Pivot Zone) 🎯 Trade Setup & Forecast Scenario A: Reversal (Short) If price rejects 24,460 with bearish engulfing candle: Entry: Below 24,440 Target 1: 24,380 Target 2: 24,310 Stop Loss: 24,485 Scenario B: Breakout (Long) If price closes above 24,465 on 1H volume: Entry: Retest of 24,465 Target: 24,550 Stop Loss: 24,420 US100 unusually quiet tonight NAS100 lets break 24,5 n takeoff NAS100USD big push up coming before an even bigger crash hahaha NAS100 don't mind me, just a 200 point gap up😹 NAS100 Expecting this scenario. I don't like that there's no proper order flow NAS100 feels weird being a bear but the only one speaking about this buying opp. rejection at POC 24,5 is no coincidence, though I expect it to retest and blast through it. target 25,3 for now. can still be bearish even if it retraces that high.. be mindful Show more minds
NAS100 SCENARIO C — 4H Bullish Breakout (LEAST PROBABLE, ~10–15%)
