TON Secondary Trend. Wedge. Reversal Zones. January 29, 2026Logarithm. 3-day time frame. A descending wedge (incomplete formation) is forming in the ascending channel of the main trend. The local trend shows reversal zones and local percentages to key support/resistance zones.
Currently in the TOP 29 by market capitalization. Most likely, the capitalization of this hyped altcoin will decline until the wedge is broken out and the market enters a new phase. Then, a breakout, aggressive marketing, and a reversal.
Main Trend TON Channel. Wedge. Reversal zones. 01 2026
On the one hand, there's a huge number of Telegram users, which, with the right marketing and at the right market momentum, will positively impact the price of TON itself (Telegram's internal currency) and the cryptocurrencies of this "ecosystem."
On the other hand, a large number of users will be “cut off” from Telegram in 2026-2027, potentially including Russia (possibly temporarily). This, on the contrary, could negatively impact the TON cryptocurrency and all cryptocurrencies of this "crypto ecosystem."
Cryptocurrency is interesting for “moderate” investing and for trading itself (local work and medium-term secondary trends), but with an understanding of the risks, as they are, and are significant.
What traders are saying
TONUSD – Double Bottom Formation TONUSD – Double Bottom Formation (Neutral Technical View)
The chart shows a double bottom structure, where price formed two lows (Bottom 1 and Bottom 2) near the same zone. This is generally watched as a potential reversal signal when price moves back toward the neckline.
Key observations:
Bottom 1 and Bottom 2 highlight buyers defending the same support area.
Price is now approaching the neckline zone around 1.65–1.67, which is an important technical barrier.
If candles can hold above the short-term EMAs (9 and 21), it strengthens the idea of momentum shifting upward.
A close above the neckline would indicate continuation toward higher resistance levels, while rejection could keep the pair in consolidation.
TONUSD: Wave Structure in Search of Growth ImpulseTONUSD: Wave Structure in Search of Growth Impulse
TONUSD Wave Overview (D1 and H4)
As a trader who has been practicing wave analysis for over ten years, I note that the current picture for TONUSD shows the end of an extended corrective phase and the potential for a new movement.
D1 Chart: The global structure indicates that the market is gradually breaking out of its sideways range. The wave formation looks like the end of a correction, laying the foundation for the next impulse.
H4 Chart: Local dynamics confirm the first signs of an impulse. Key entry points are forming here, which could mark the beginning of a larger wave.
Main Scenario
After the completion of the corrective phase, a downward impulse sequence is expected to develop. This movement may be accompanied by increased seller activity and a shift in focus to the downside.
Alternative Scenario
If the price holds above local peaks and forms a stable upward impulse structure, the focus will shift to continued growth. In this case, the correction will be considered incomplete, and TONUSD may experience an additional rebound.
Trading Idea
Conservative approach: wait for confirmation of a breakout of key levels and enter with the trend.
Aggressive approach: use local impulses on H4 for earlier entries, but with tight stops.
In both cases, it is important to maintain strict risk management and adjust the plan as new impulses emerge.
Results
TONUSD is at a crossroads between the end of the correction and the beginning of a new impulse. The wave structure on D1 and H4 provides clear guidelines for action: watch for confirmation of the scenario and act with discipline.
TON at a Major Long-Term SupportOverall Market Structure
• TON is trading inside a long-term ascending channel
• Price is currently sitting right at the lower boundary of this channel
• This zone represents a high-importance decision area from a technical perspective
Short-Term Scenario (Trading View)
Bullish Short-Term Scenario
• Price reaction at the lower channel support
• High probability of a technical rebound after heavy selling pressure
• Suitable for short-term swing trades
Logical entry zone:
• $1.50 – $1.65
Short-term stop-loss:
• $1.38
• A confirmed breakdown below this level invalidates the setup
Short-term targets:
• First target: $1.95
• Second target: $2.30
• Extended target (strong momentum): $2.80
📌 Risk-to-reward is attractive, but the scenario depends entirely on holding channel support.
Bearish Short-Term Scenario
• A confirmed breakdown below the channel
• Increased downside momentum and liquidation pressure
Downside targets:
• $1.20
• $0.95
• Critical support zone: $0.75
Mid- to Long-Term Scenario (Investment View)
Bullish Long-Term Outlook
• As long as price remains inside the ascending channel, the bullish market structure remains intact
• The current zone represents a strong long-term accumulation area
Long-term stop-loss:
• $1.10 (weekly close below this level = exit signal)
Long-term targets:
• Conservative target: $3.50
• Mid-cycle target: $5.00
• Full bull-market target: $7.00 – $9.00
📌 Achieving higher targets requires:
• Increasing volume
• A favorable broader crypto market
• Positive ecosystem developments
Fundamental Overview (Brief)
• TON is the native blockchain of the Telegram ecosystem
• Potential access to hundreds of millions of Telegram users is a major strategic advantage
• Key focus areas:
• In-app payments
• Telegram Mini Apps
• Web3 integration inside Telegram
• Main risks:
• Heavy dependency on Telegram’s strategic decisions
• Strong competition from L2 networks and high-performance blockchains
Fundamental takeaway:
TON has strong long-term growth potential, but remains a high-volatility asset, making risk management essential.
Final Summary
• TON is at one of its most critical technical levels
• Short-term: high-quality bounce opportunity with defined risk
• Long-term: suitable for gradual accumulation, not all-in entries
• A breakdown below channel support would invalidate the bullish thesis
Toncoin Wave Analysis – 26 December 2025 Toncoin reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 1.6720
Toncoin cryptocurrency recently reversed up from the support zone between the key support level 1.4350 (lower border of the narrow sideways price range inside which the price has been trading from November).
This support level was strengthened by the intersecting lower daily Bollinger Band.
Given the strength of the support level 1.4350, Toncoin cryptocurrency can be expected to rise further to the next round resistance level 1.6720 (upper border of the active sideways price range).
TONCOIN (TON/USDT): Wave 5 or Impulse FailureTONCOIN (TON/USDT): Wave 5 or Impulse Failure
📈 Weekly Scenarios
Bullish scenario: Price holds above ~$2.70 and breaks through ~$3.90 → start of wave (3) or (5) up → target ~$5.00+.
Consolidation: Price remains in the ~$2.70-$3.90 range without a clear move, market paused.
Bearish scenario: Price breaks below ~$2.60-$2.70 with volume confirmation → start of a corrective wave → possible move to ~$2.10-$2.20.
✅ Conclusion
For the coming week, the technical picture for TON/USDT is on the verge of a reversal.
Holding support at ~$2.60-$2.70 and breaking above ~$3.90 could activate upward momentum.
A breakout below $2.60 is a signal for caution and a possible decline.
The wave count is still unclear, so it's important to monitor the price reaction at key levels.
Toncoin Wave Analysis – 21 October 2025
- Toncoin reversed from resistance area
- Likely to fall to round support level 2.0000
Toncoin cryptocurrency recently reversed down from the resistance area between the resistance level 2.4000 (which reversed the price at the start of October) and the lower trendline of the recently broken down channel from August.
The downward reversal from this resistance area stopped wave (b) of the previous short-term ABC correction 2.
Given the clear daily downtrend, Toncoin cryptocurrency can be expected to fall to the next round support level 2.0000 (low of the earlier wave a).
Toncoin Wave Analysis – 2 October 2025- Toncoin reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 3.000
Toncoin cryptocurrency recently reversed up with the daily Hammer from the support area between the multi-month support level 2.6000 (former multi-month low from June) and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The support level 2.600 was strengthened by the intersecting lower support trendline of the downward sloping channel from August.
Given the strength of the support level 2.6000, Toncoin cryptocurrency can be expected to rise to the next round resistance level 3.000 (former support from July).
Toncoin Wave Analysis – 23 September 2025
- Toncoin reversed from key support level 2.7515
- Likely to rise to resistance level 3.0000
Toncoin cryptocurrency recently reversed up from the key support level 2.7515 (which has been steadily reversing the price from the start of April).
The upward reversal from the support level 2.7515 stopped earlier impulse wave (c) – which belongs to the downward impulse wave B from May.
Given the strength of the support level 2.7515 and the bullish divergence on the daily Stochastic, Toncoin cryptocurrency can be expected to rise to the next round resistance level 3.0000 (former strong support from July and August).
tonusdt Right now, TON Coin still has a way to go before it really hits mass adoption. It’s only just been listed in the U.S. and is still in the early days of building its user base. That said, this project isn’t just good — it’s better than anything else out there, even Solana, when it comes to vision, tech, and execution.
Thanks to heavy investment in NFT infrastructure, TON has already climbed to the #1–#2 spot globally in NFT trading volume and even rolled out NFT 2, pushing the whole space forward.
The blockchain’s development speed is unlike anything you’ve seen — it’s moving just like Telegram did in its early days. Whatever you can imagine, they’re already building it on TON. Something that might take three years to launch on Solana or Ethereum could be developed and rolled out on TON in under a year.
For now, the team isn’t chasing short‑term price spikes — they’re laser‑focused on building an unshakable foundation. And when this thing reaches maturity, TON has a very real shot at becoming the second‑largest blockchain in the world.
TONThe recent market structure shows the formation of a Quasimodo (QM) pattern. After breaking the descending trendline, price created a lower high followed by a slightly higher high, which is a typical signature of the QM setup. This pattern often signals a potential shift in market direction as liquidity is taken above previous highs before a new impulse move develops.
TON/USD – Overextended Near Resistance🔴 SHORT below $3.22 – target $3.14
Toncoin trades at $3.20, just under resistance at $3.22–3.27. SMA200 supports lower at $3.13. RSI cooling from 56 → 51, showing fading momentum. Bulls risk exhaustion unless price clears $3.27.
📖 Keywords: #TONUSD #Toncoin #AltcoinReversal #BearishSetup #CryptoCorrection
Toncoin(TONUSD) – Descending Triangle Breakdown Near Key SupportToncoin has been trading inside a descending triangle formation, showing consistent lower highs while testing the $3.10 support level multiple times.
🔹 Price is currently consolidating at support after a recent break of structure (BOS).
🔹 If this weak low gives way, the next major downside target could be around the $2.80 – $2.70 zone, where historical demand and volume profile support are aligned.
🔹 Resistance remains strong at the $3.50 – $3.70 area, and bulls would need to reclaim this zone to shift momentum back upward.
This setup highlights the importance of the $3.10 support level—a decisive move below may confirm further bearish continuation.
Keep an eye on volume reaction and price confirmation before making any trading decisions.
TON/USD Market Trap or Treasure? Decide Before 4.000!🚨TON/USD "TONCOIN vs U.S DOLLAR" Crypto Heist Plan 🚨
💎 Hello Thief OG’s, Money Grabbers & Market Shadows!
Today’s mission is locked 🔐 – we’re breaking into the TON/USD vault with a Bullish Heist Strategy.
🎯 Plan of Attack
Asset: TON/USD "TONCOIN vs U.S DOLLAR"
Mode: Bullish 🟢 (Heist in progress)
Entry (Thief Layers):
💰 Layer 1 @3.4900
💰 Layer 2 @3.4500
💰 Layer 3 @3.4000
💰 Layer 4 @3.3600
(You can add more layers – the deeper the vault, the sweeter the loot!)
Stop Loss (SL) 🛑: @3.2600 – This is the Thief Emergency Exit.
🔐 Adjust based on your own strategy & risk appetite.
Target (Escape Point) 🏆: @4.0000
⚡ “High Voltage Zone” ahead – escape with your loot before the alarms ring!
🕵️♂️ Thief Strategy Style
This is not a single-door entry – we’re layering multiple buy limit orders, stacking our positions like a true market bandit. 📊
Stay sharp – once the bags are full, we run with the profit! 🏃♂️💨
⚠️ Heist Rules for OG’s
Only rob the long side – trend is with the bulls. 🐂
Use trailing SL to protect stolen money 💵.
Don’t get caught in news traps – avoid new entries during 🔔 big announcements.
💥 Boost this plan 💥 if you’re riding with the Thief Crew!
Together, we rob the market – layer by layer, vault by vault. 💰🚀
📌 Disclaimer: This is a Thief Trading style heist plan, not financial advice. Trade with your own risk management.






















