Crypto Cycle: The Arrogance and The Irony — A Must ReadThe Cycle That Changed Everything
This cycle — which really started in October 2023 — broke every pattern from previous crypto bull runs.
Crypto was created as a rebellion:
Freedom from banks.
An anti-system technology.
Privacy.
Self-sovereignty.
A way for normal people to create wealth without permission.
And yet… somehow the exact people crypto was trying to escape have taken control of it.
Retail investors used to love the idea of owning their finances. No more banks telling them what to do. No more gatekeepers.
Until they arrived.
1 — The Arrogance
The rich run the world — that’s nothing new.
But crypto annoyed them. A lot.
Because crypto allowed ordinary people to do what Wall Street hates most:
Make money without giving the rich a cut.
So what did institutions do?
Simple:
“If you can’t kill it… own it.”
They stopped fighting crypto, took over the market, bought the exchanges, injected billions, partnered with the stablecoin printers, and unleashed industrial-scale manipulation.
The old days of making x10 or x100 on leverage?
Gone.
Retail got liquidated again… and again… and again.
Bitcoin pumped 3 times by billionaires (just look at the three green boxes on the chart).
Retail got excited — then destroyed.
Rinse and repeat.
Eventually, retail gave up.
They moved into gold, silver, or even plain USD — just to stop losing money.
Meanwhile institutions kept pumping Bitcoin and Ethereum artificially, hoping to lure back fresh meat…
but nobody came.
2 — The Irony
Then came October 11, 2025 — the day the curtain fell.
In a dry, illiquid market, Binance did their usual liquidation-hunting game, backed by newly-printed billions from Tether:
2 billion minted one day, 2 billion the next.
They pushed Bitcoin to $126,000.
Then the crash hit.
They chased longs so hard that, in a market with no liquidity, the entire altcoin market collapsed.
Some coins literally went to zero.
Binance had to halt trading.
The liquidation chain couldn’t be stopped.
Some market makers lost everything.
And now they’re furious.
Binance got exposed.
The pump-and-dump machine is broken.
And if they continue, they risk criminal investigations and lawsuits from every direction.
Suddenly BlackRock, Saylor, and friends had a problem:
Their favorite manipulation partner was knocked out.
And that’s when reality hit:
Institutions had pushed Bitcoin so high — without retail — that they found themselves holding billions in assets…
…with nobody left to buy their bags.
Old-time Bitcoin holders realized BTC was compromised and began to sell.
Bitcoin maxis rekt the institutions.
The billionaires who bought at $120k got destroyed by the exact people they planned to destroy.
Karma doesn’t miss.
Even Eric Trump started selling — too late.
Bitcoin fell under $89k, and there were no buyers left.
3 — The Lesson
Institutions need to understand one thing:
Crypto is not for institutions.
The tech? Sure.
The coins? No.
Crypto without retail is like a vampire trying to drink its own blood.
Pointless and self-destructive.
And retail won’t return for “fractional Trump coin” or corporate-approved BTC.
Retail wants:
x10, x100, x1000.
That means one thing:
ALTSEASON.
If institutions want liquidity to exit, they must engineer an altseason and share some profits.
Because without retail, they’re stuck in their expensive echo chamber holding overpriced bags that nobody wants.
And if they do create an altseason?
Retail will dump on them harder than ever — watching TradingView and influencers, selling every rally right back into the institutions’ faces.
Wall Street, stick to Wall Street.
Leave crypto to the crypto degenerates.
It’s a wild jungle, and you were never prepared.
#CryptoCycle #BitcoinCrash #AltseasonWhen #CryptoHumor #MarketManipulation #InstitutionsRekt #BinanceDrama #RetailVsWhales #CryptoReality #KarmaInCrypto #CryptoStory #PattayaCryptoDegens
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CRYPTO MARKET IN BIG TROUBLE! CRACK!!🔥 Crypto Bros… this is the LAST thing you ever want to see on your chart.
The last time I warned about a MEGAPHONE CRACK back in July 2024, the entire crypto market dropped 31% — and that was while it was still in an uptrend.
This time?
This crack is far, far worse because it’s breaking the entire structure, not just a line.
Breaking a trendline alone is whatever…
But breaking a major structural boundary at this point in the cycle?
You do NOT want to find out whether this is “the real one” or not.
I’m issuing a major WARNING to crypto bulls.
Your whole generation has been trained for 17 straight years to “Buy The Dip.”
That conditioning is a massive disadvantage — and most of you don’t even know it.
And those cute, colorful, meme-filled crypto charts made by 12-year-olds posing as traders?
They aren’t going to save you.
They’re going to massacre your account when the cycle actually breaks.
You had your fun.
Now it’s time to get off the Ferris wheel, step to the sidelines, and actually observe and learn — no matter where price goes from here.
Over $1 trillion has already been wiped out.
Don’t stick around waiting for the other $2 trillion to evaporate with it.
Stay sharp. Stay humble. Stay alive.
Sorry, but it has to be said by somebody!
THANK YOU for getting me to 5,000 followers! 🙏🔥
Let’s keep climbing.
If you enjoy the work:
👉 Boost
👉 Follow
👉 Drop a solid comment
Let’s push it to 6,000 and keep building a community grounded in truth, not hype.
"Truth or Dare?"The parameter known as "Total" (All total market cap), shows a clear signal right now.
Before explain the techniacl details, I'll explain why should this move work:
Fundemental Details:
- FED has cut the interest rates for second time this year and most likely do it again before the year ends in December which is the most bullish macro signal for crypto to rise.
- US and China are trying to getting alone but behind the scenes the deal about tarrfis has already made long ago. They're just acting like they actually can carry on their political therats to each other to gain more political power. Trump is doing whatever he has done before when he got the crown. When all the nonsense ends, there won't be any problem left to think about tarrifs.
- US also threathens Venesuale but I don't think that matter will last long. Nevertheless, the matter still casuing heat on globe and that causes uncertinty.
- BOJ is another matter to keep in mind at the moment. The reason is, they announced that Japan may need to raise their interest rates in the next meeting which would be devastating for both crypto and all the markets on the globe. Crypto on the other hand, is facing this effect way sooner even before it happens, even if it won't happens. As you can guess, crypto markets are fragile. Every little tension means crises. That's one of the major reasons why it's actually losing value since last month.
- Let's get back to FED. Yes, FED is cutting the rates for the second time and expected to cut again in December despite the words from Powell BUT, we already knew that. Right?
As I mention about it on top, Crypto is fragile, but also very fast. When other markets are proccesing the reasons and possible outcomes of the news, crypto usually has already given the results of the possible news. Even if it's fake, unknown or unworthy to care about.
Crypto is fast. That's why it already gave every opportuinty to invest and now, the investor are taking profit from the very bullish news you just read.
"Sell the news" effect is just faster in crypto. Therefore, crypto has already gained the value it needed to gain. When you read the news or anything about crypto, remember one thing: it's already in the price. Bearish, or bullish. Won't matter.
Now let's get back to the part you like:
Technical details:
There are two possible senarios:
I'm not going to draw all the calculations on the chart so you won't confuse.
Senario one, The one you see in the main chart:
Total or Bitcoin, won't matter right now because they both going through same way.
At the moment, we might be witnessing an A-B-C corrective pattern on Total.
If you calculate enough, you'll reach the result that a perfect 5 waved uprising move has already happend and there is a possiblity that we might be in a corrective wave. Which, would result for TOTAL to drop at least 2.4 B levels. For Bitcoin, this level means it should drop down through around 80-85K.
Senario Two (Hopefully):
If the chart you see is a bear trap and the main bullish cycle is still on, it means we are at wave 4. Which means, Bitcoin still may dive under 100K but it won't last and we see even bigger all time highs in the coming month. Yes, in the coming month.
In order to this senario work, FED must give clear signals about rate cuts in December, resessiong must end immidiatly, US and China must behave well enough to lower tension around the globe.
If all the conditions met but price is still going side ways, it means get ready to see a "skyrocket candle".
Thanks for reading.
TOTAL market cap to hit all time high! 🚀 Why I believe TOTAL MARKET CAP is bottoming & gearing up for a run to new ATHs 🟢📈
After reviewing Elliott Wave counts + classical price action, the structure looks extremely constructive. Here’s why 👇
🔍 Key Reasons I'm Expecting a Major Rally:
Wave 4 appears complete 🧩
Price just tapped the long-term trendline exactly where Wave 4 should typically end — shallow, corrective, and sentiment-driven.
Clean ABC correction ✔️
The drop has formed a textbook A-B-C zigzag, with Wave C terminating right on structural support.
Approaching major long-term trendline 📉➡️📈
Total market cap is retesting a multi-year ascending trendline that has held throughout the entire macro cycle.
A bounce here would be structurally consistent with the start of a Wave 5 rally.
Wave 5 structurally due ✨
Elliott Wave theory expects a strong, impulsive Wave 5 after a clean Wave 4 retracement. These are typically high-momentum rallies.
Bullish confluence across timeframes ⏳
Daily + weekly oversold metrics line up directly at major structural support.
🔥 If this read holds, TOTAL MARKET CAP could be preparing for a rally straight into new all-time highs.
MARKETS week ahead: November 17 – 23Last week in the news
The longest Government shutdown in the US is over, however, investors were more concerned regarding valuations of tech companies and probability that the Fed might (not) cut rates in December. A strong correction occurred in equity markets followed with a strong sell-off on the crypto market. The S&P 500 closed the week at 6.734 after a modest rebound on Friday. BTC dipped below the $100K mark, slipping in one moment toward the $94,7K. The price of gold was also within a swing trade mode, still closing the week below the $4,1K support. The US Treasury yields also had a volatile week, with 10Y closing at 4,14%.
The longest ever U.S. government shutdown ended Wednesday evening after lasting more than six weeks. While its conclusion was expected to restore the flow of key economic data that investors had been missing, it has instead introduced fresh uncertainty. White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt indicated that some of the economic reports scheduled for release during the shutdown may never be published.
In an attempt to “Make groceries affordable again”, the US President is rolling back tariffs on more than 200 food items, including beef, coffee, bananas, and orange juice, to try to lower grocery costs for Americans. Analysts are noting that this might be the attempt to dig into modestly rising inflation in the US, although the official figures are still missing, due to the Government “shutdown”.
SoftBank Group sold its entire holding of about 32.1 million shares in Nvidia Corporation, raising roughly US$5.8 billion as part of its shift to fund large-scale AI investments, including OpenAI. The move is being used to finance its “all-in” bet on OpenAI and a US data-centre build-out (the “Stargate” project). The news triggered a drop in value of SoftBank shares by around 10% in Tokyo exchange, due to investor concern about whether the AI valuation boom may have gotten ahead of fundamentals.
News is reporting that Berkshire Hathaway revealed a surprising new $4.3B stake in Alphabet, the parent company of Google, marking a notable shift given Buffett’s historical caution toward tech stocks. This investment now ranks Alphabet as the tenth-largest holding in Berkshire’s portfolio. At the same time, the company further reduced its stake in Apple, cutting its shares from 280 million to 238.2 million. Analysts are noting that the moves signal a strategic rebalancing within Berkshire’s equity holdings.
The Czech National Bank has bought $1 million worth of digital assets, including BTC, USD-stablecoin and a tokenised deposit, as part of a pilot test portfolio. This portfolio is kept separately from its official international reserves and is not intended to be actively expanded. The goal is to gain hands-on experience in managing blockchain assets, testing key custody, multi-level approval process, crisis management, and anti-money laundering compliance. The CNB plans to review and assess the project over the next two to three years, to evaluate whether digital assets could play a future role in the financial system.
CRYPTO MARKET
It was a challenging week for the cryptocurrency market, with the majority of coins experiencing significant declines. Overall, the convergence of macroeconomic concerns and market-specific dynamics contributed to a particularly volatile week for cryptocurrencies, highlighting the sensitivity of the market to both monetary policy and investor sentiment. BTC led the downturn, falling to a low of $94,700. This drop was driven by a combination of factors that collectively weighed on the market. On one hand, persistent inflation in the US fuelled concerns that the Fed may hold off on cutting interest rates in December, reducing appetite for risk assets, including crypto. At the same time, broader financial markets entered a risk-off mode, with tech stocks and crypto-related companies also seeing notable declines. Total crypto market capitalization decreased by 6% during the previous week, erasing $195B in value. Daily trading volumes remained flat for the week, with $329B traded on a daily basis. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the beginning of this year currently stands at -1%, with a total funds outflow of $37B.
BTC was the main coin which drag the total crypto market capitalization to the downside. Total weekly outflow was $195B, while only BTC participated with $132B, decreasing its value by 6,5% w/w. ETH was also down by 6,1%, with an outflow of $25B. Solana was traded lower by almost 11%, with funds outflow of $9,5B. This week Filecoin had a stronger pullback of 26%,, while Cardano and Avalanche dropped by almost 10%. DOGE dropped by 6,5% and LINK was last traded down by 7,7%. On the opposite side were only a few coins with weekly positive results. This week Monero managed to gain 16%, while ZCash continued to gain in value, with a weekly increase of 17.6%. Uniswap was also traded higher by 23,7%.
Increased activity related to circulating coins continued for another week in a row. Filecoin added 1,5% more coins to the market, IOTA increased its circulating coins by 0,4%, while ZCash added 0,2% new coins. Majority of other altcoins had an increase of 0,1% of coins on the market like XRP, DOGE, Stellar, DASH, Solana.
Crypto futures market
The crypto futures market experienced a steep decline over the week, mirroring the sharp sell-off seen in the spot market. Both BTC and ETH futures fell close to double-digits across all maturities, as macroeconomic uncertainty and broader risk aversion drove investors to reduce exposure. The move represented one of the largest weekly pullbacks of the quarter, underscoring the market’s sensitivity to macro signals and shifting sentiment.
BTC futures declined between -9.12% and -9.29% w/w, with the November 2025 futures closing at $94,365 and the March 2027 maturity ending at $102,730. The curve retained its upward slope, but absolute price levels are now approaching the lower bound of the medium-term range.
ETH futures posted slightly deeper losses than BTC, dropping between -9.64% and -9.79% w/w. The November 2025 futures closed at $3,140, while March 2027 settled at $3,474. Despite the week’s substantial correction, the curve maintained its structure, signalling that longer-dated expectations remain intact even as near-term conviction weakens. The decline in ETH futures was exacerbated by weaker liquidity conditions and heightened volatility across altcoins, which intensified selling pressure.
Despite the sharp drawdown, the futures curve structure remains intact, suggesting that traders still expect a cyclical recovery once macro conditions stabilize. However, sentiment is now more fragile, and volatility may remain elevated until clearer signals emerge from monetary policymakers and broader financial markets.
Why Liquidity Is the Real King of Crypto ?🧨 The $1.1 Trillion Lesson: Why Liquidity Is the Real King of Crypto 🧨
A deep dive into how macro headlines and liquidity shifts shape every chart you trade.
Hello Traders 🐺
In this idea, I want to take you on a journey through one of the most brutal and eye-opening moments in crypto history — a $1.1 trillion wipeout in just 42 days.
But this isn’t just about the numbers. It’s about the lesson behind the crash.
Because if you truly understand what caused this — you’ll unlock a superpower most traders never develop:
Reading liquidity like a pro.
So stick with me till the end — because this is more than a chart.
It’s a masterclass in macro awareness.
And it all comes down to one brutal truth:
📈 The Setup: Euphoria at $4.3 Trillion
It was October 2025.
Crypto was booming.
Altcoins were flying.
Influencers were screaming “new ATHs.”
And the total market cap hit a jaw-dropping $4.3 trillion.
Everyone thought the bull run had no brakes.
But then came the headline that changed everything...
🗞️ The Shock: “TRUMP ANNOUNCES 100% TARIFF ON CHINA”
This wasn’t just politics.
It was a liquidity shock.
Global markets flinched.
Risk assets trembled.
And crypto?
It got hit harder than anyone expected.
Why?
Because tariffs = tension = uncertainty = capital flight.
And when capital flees, liquidity dries up.
And when liquidity dries up…
💥 The Fallout: Largest Liquidation Event in Crypto History
Billions wiped in hours.
Leverage nuked.
Altcoins collapsed.
And the total market cap began its brutal descent — erasing over $1.1 trillion in just 42 days.
Let that sink in.
$1.1 trillion.
Gone.
Not because of a chart pattern.
Not because of RSI.
Not because of your favorite altcoin’s roadmap.
But because of liquidity.
📢 The Bounce: “America Will Be #1 in Crypto”
A bold statement from Trump gave the market a short-lived bounce.
But sentiment was already broken.
And without real liquidity support, the bounce was just a trap.
A classic dead-cat.
Because words don’t move markets — money does.
📉 The Aftermath: Crypto Erases $1.1T
From peak to trough, the market bled.
And here’s the lesson:
It wasn’t technicals.
It wasn’t fundamentals.
It was macro.
It was policy.
It was liquidity.
💡 What Can We Learn From This?
✅ Macro headlines move markets faster than any chart pattern
✅ Political shocks = volatility spikes
✅ Liquidity is king — and when it dries up, even the strongest coins fall
✅ Your edge as a trader is not just in TA — it’s in understanding the invisible forces behind price
🎯 Why This Post Matters
This isn’t just a recap.
It’s a wake-up call.
Because most traders are blind to macro.
They chase candles.
They follow influencers.
But they ignore the one thing that truly drives the market:
Liquidity.
If you understand this — you stop reacting.
You start anticipating.
You stop getting liquidated.
You start positioning early.
That’s why this post matters.
Because it teaches you the $1.1 trillion lesson —
A lesson paid for by millions of traders who didn’t see it coming.
🐺 Final Words
If you found this helpful, follow for more deep dives.
Because the next trillion-dollar move might already be loading…
And when it hits, you’ll want to be on the right side of liquidity.
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
The Bear Market. Officially Here.
Well, congrats to everyone on the start of the bear market. If anyone still hasn’t realized it yet — this is it.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL has broadly followed the roadmap from my previous overview , and now we finally have confirmation: five waves up, an ending diagonal, the main volume pool sitting at the highs, and the 50-week moving average broken with a close below. Classic stuff.
From here I’d expect a technical bounce in the near term and then a more prolonged decline into the ~2T area.
Crypto Total Market Cap. Crypto Total Market Cap – Weekly Chart Analysis & Full Update
The entire crypto market cap is trading within a large ascending channel, keeping the long-term uptrend intact.
Recent Action: After making new highs above $4 trillion, the market has corrected sharply, pulling back to the channel's lower support around $3 trillion USD. This area is a historic pivot and should act as strong support if bulls remain in control.
Upper channel resistance is near $4.4T.
Major horizontal support is well below, near $800B (green zone), but the current structure keeps the market safely above that.
A sustained break below the channel could lead to deeper retracement, while a bullish hold here sets up for another rally.
Holding this channel support can produce a recovery phase, targeting previous highs and new all-time highs.
Losing this support could trigger broader risk-off sentiment and test much lower ranges.
The crypto market is at a critical inflection—channel support is being tested after a steep correction. Staying above $3T maintains the bullish structure. Watch for a decisive bounce or breakdown in the coming weeks.
DYOR | NFA
Total Crypto Marketcap --- PLan Your Exit#TOTAL Crypto has already doubled from it's bear bottom, to it's most recent high.
We are almost in 2024, well into crypto summer now
time is really running out to prepare your portfolio for the inevitable Bull market euphoria phase.
I bring this chart up just to remind everyone, that this cycle has potential to be one of the worst in terms of multiple expansions we have seen so far.
We have gone from exploding 340X in one cycle.. to 33X the last cycle.
I expect this time round it will be a single digit multiplier.
We have to hope and pray we do indeed break the previous ATH , and we don't double top at 3 trillion.. of which there is no guarantee!
My realistic target is around 5 Trillion Dollars, which may sound pessimistic at only 3.5X from here ... but that means your Altcoins adding at least a Trillion dollars of value from here!
Optimistically i'm looking at around 7 trillion dollars, no mean feat!
BTC.d at 30% would equal BTC 2.1 Trillion or $110k per coin.
Crypto Total Market Cap Is at a BREAKING Point – Smart Money FooCrypto Total Market Cap Is at a BREAKING Point – Smart Money Footprint Explained!
🧠 Smart Money Footprint: The Level Most Retail Traders Ignore
The entire crypto market cap has dropped into a massive Smart Money footprint zone — a level where institutional players historically accumulate before major bullish legs.
At the same time, the $3.85T resistance above is the key battlefield.
👉 If price breaks this level, it flips into support, opening the door for a strong upside continuation.
What This Chart Teaches You 👇
✔ Support → Resistance → Support transitions
✔ How Smart Money leaves footprints at major accumulation zones
✔ Why price often reverses from areas retail traders overlook
✔ Market structure timing for long entries
Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 $3.1T – $3.2T → Smart Money accumulation block
🔹 $3.85T → Major resistance flip zone
🔹 Above this = bullish momentum can accelerate fast
Trade Idea (Educational Only, Not Financial Advice):
📈 Long bias as long as price holds within or above the Smart Money footprint.
🔥 Break & retest of $3.85T = high-probability continuation setup.
If this helped you, hit 👍 and save it — more Smart Money lessons coming!
Comment “SMC” if you want the next educational chart breakdown.
Follow @TradeWithMky for daily Smart Money insights.
Crypto Total Market cap topping ?From January 2015 to date the index traced out a possible major 3 wave structure where wave C is 0.618 to wave A ending at 4.27t.
Wave C traced out a 5 wave with the 5th of the 5th of wave C ending with a rising wedge increases the probability of a down turn supported with the divergence seen against the MACD.
Should this pattern be in play, then the support may be seen at 1.7t mark which would be a fourth wave of one lesser degree and ultimately into 107b where wave B is at over time.
Crypto Is a Zero Growth "Industry"Look at that, after 4 years, failure to fully sustain a new higher market valuation. All the while, stablecoin dominance has increased and ETFs have come into play. Instead, retail money is being extracted through fees and the profits garnered through trader liquidation. That's not a sign of growth. This market is a tool. A tool to take advantage of its participants.
Why did it play out this way? Perhaps it has something to do with the fact that "crypto" is now fully associated with these two things:
1) The absolute buffoonery of the U.S. "leadership."
2) The absolute evil of the oligarchic plutocracy.
And maybe it also has something to do with the lack of substance. What do I mean by this? Well, already over $1 Trillion has been wiped from the cryptocurrency market since its recent peak. In no way has this evaporation in capital affected the economy, or people's lives materially in a meaningful way. Sure, I'm guessing some people lost a lot of money. But these gambling casualties are largely inconsequential to society.
By comparison, if Apple lost $1 Trillion from its current $4 Trillion valuation (a 25% drop), a lot more people's lives would be negatively affected. Not just from the loss in stock value, but what would it mean for the company? What would it mean for the U.S. stock market? What material changes would have to come about for Apple to improve their share value? And, if suddenly we lost all the Gold in the world, we'd have some serious problems in terms of materials and wealth evaporation. Hence the quotes around "industry." Crypto is not an industry at all. It is a market, but a largely illusory one at that.
If Bitcoin and the rest of the crypto market ceased to exist, there would be almost zero long-lasting or significant fallout. It has also failed the store of value narrative.
It probably won't be, but I'm hoping this is the beginning of the end for this market, or at least for its relevance. If I had to make a guess as to how this "end" would play out? A long, slow decline, marked by a few sudden drops when major proponents fold. For instance, Michael Saylor being forced to bail out should price drop meaningfully below $20K. Or pressures to bail out sooner, even.
Anyway, looking at the technicals, it's not very positive. The only saving grace is the possibility of a bounce here at a long term trendline. Breaking below would be another sign of stagnation.
That's it from me, probably for another long while!
Thanks for reading as always.
-Victor Cobra
THE CYCLE ITS OVER! PACK-UP AND RUN!
I have a lot of information on this chat measuring the length of each cycle from the first to this one.
If anyone wants more about the last cycles I can publish about those too.
Recently I notice a trend between this cycle top and the one in 2021.
1 the first one lasted around 265 bars but it was mostly just bitcoin, second cycle lasted 214 weekly bars, third cycle 201 bars.. that i believe is the market top that happened in October 2025 made this cycle 205 bars. its around the general trend.
2 2021 bullrun lasted around 45 bars from breakthrough to top (on blue), this cycle lasted around 48 bars from breakthrough to top (on blue)
FUN FACT: BOTH CYLCES LASTED 45 WEEKLY BARS SINCE THEY BROKE THE LAST ATH TO MAKING A NEW TIME HIGH...
3 After ATH they went down to a diagonal support (in this cycle the market is breaking the support) then 2021 went up to a "dead cat bounce" an i think this time would be the same until we continue down.
PEOPLE WAKE UP!!
Crypto Total Market Cap to take off or not ? Bullish view after listening to Blackrocks head of digital assets,
It may be possible with the institutions coming in that this IH&S works out
very interesting you tube dropped out today with him talking for an hour about his views on crypto after listening to him. I looked at total market cap and drew this.
MARKETS week ahead: November 10 – 16Last week in the news
The U.S. Government shutdown and high AI valuations were at the core of investors interest during the previous week. A lack of U.S. macro data turned investors to revalue historically highest levels of U.S. tech companies. The S&P 500 closed its second corrective week at 6.713. Amid high uncertainties, the price of gold is still strongly holding the $4K level. Although US 10Y yields had a move toward the 4,1%, they still ended the week at 4,0%. The crypto market also had another corrective week, with BTC dropping to $100K.
The biannual Financial Stability Report released on Friday highlights policy uncertainty, including issues like central bank independence, trade policy and lack of economic data, as the top financial stability concern (61% of respondents flagged it in a survey). Geopolitical risk is also escalating as a major worry, alongside emerging risks from artificial intelligence, cited by about 30% of contacts as a potential shock in the next 12-18 months. The report noted some stabilization in the commercial real estate market and Treasury market liquidity, but flagged high leverage in hedge funds and other sectors as “notable” risks. The mention of the absence of reliable economic data appears for the first time in a survey, driven by the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, underscoring how data gaps themselves are a source of instability.
Elon Musk announced that Tesla, Inc. may need to build a “gigantic” chip fabrication facility, a “terafab”, to meet its future AI and robotics demands. Tesla is developing its 5th-generation AI chip (AI5), with limited production slated for 2026 and full scale output in 2027, and a follow-on AI6 expected by mid-2028. Musk revealed that even with the best forecasts from its current suppliers, including TSMC and Samsung Electronics, Tesla’s chip volume needs won’t be fulfilled.
Stephen Miran, a Governor at the Federal Reserve, warned that the growing adoption of dollar pegged stablecoins could lead to an increased supply of loanable funds, thereby putting downward pressure on the economy’s neutral interest rate. Miran made the link between stablecoins, increased global demand for U.S. dollar assets (especially Treasury bills), and lower U.S. government borrowing costs. Although he didn’t provide a precise timing for rate changes, he suggested that wide stablecoin use could lead to a prolonged environment of lower policy rates, similar to past periods of high global savings suppressing interest rates.
News is reporting that XRP outperformed Bitcoin this week, driven by momentum around spot ETF filings and increasing institutional interest. The filings by entities such as Canary Capital Group for the U.S. listed XRP based ETF and a parallel filing by 21Shares are cited as major catalysts, with new wallet creation and network activity supporting the bullish view. On the other hand, analysts are noting that large BTC holders, referred to as “whales” are increasingly dominating market activity, with on chain data showing their accumulation and influence rising relative to smaller investors. While retail and smaller wallets are reducing exposure, whales are either hoarding or strategically positioning, which has impacted power dynamics in the market.
CRYPTO MARKET
The crypto market passed through another corrective week. Its further decline was largely driven by a broader retreat in risk assets and growing worries over tighter monetary policy. A hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve, coupled with weak macroeconomic data, dampened investor sentiment and curtailed short-term upside momentum. Meanwhile, analysts point out that large Bitcoin holders, or “whales,” are increasingly shaping market activity, with on-chain data showing rising accumulation and influence compared to smaller investors. As retail participants scale back exposure, whales continue to hoard or reposition strategically, shifting the overall balance of market power. Total crypto market capitalization decreased by 8% during the previous week, with an outflow of $285B of funds. Daily trading volumes were also modestly increased to the level of $363B, from last week's $229B. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the beginning of this year currently stands at +5%, with a total funds inflow of $157B.
Altcoins played a major role on the crypto market during the previous week. Majors were dragging the market to the downside, while several altcoins performed in a quite positive manner. BTC dropped by 7,6% w/w dragging $168B from the crypto market. ETH had a weekly drop of 13% w/w and funds outflow of $61B. XRP was also traded lower by 9,7% for the week, while BNB lost 9,1% in value. Solana had a significant drop in value of more than 15% w/w. On the opposite side was DASH, who continued its winning streak. This week DASH gained 14%, in addition to previous weeks 72%. ZCash continues with a strong surge, gaining this week another 37%. Filecoin also outperformed other altcoins on the market with a weekly gain of 68%.
Increased activity continues also with circulating coins. This week Polkadot increased the number of coins on the market by 0,6% while Filecoin coins surged by 0,3%. Stellar, IOTA and Solana increased their circulating coins by 0,2% w/w, while DOGE, Avalanche and DASH number of coins were up by 0,1% w/w each.
Crypto futures market
The crypto futures market experienced a sharp downturn over the week, as both BTC and ETH futures declined significantly across maturities. The sell-off reflected a renewed wave of risk aversion in the broader crypto space, driven by weaker spot market sentiment and increased volatility toward the end of the week.
BTC futures fell around -5.6% w/w, marking the steepest weekly decline since early October. The November 2025 futures closed at $104,030, while the March 2027 maturity settled at $113,065. Despite the notable correction, the curve maintained its upward slope, suggesting that investors continue to anticipate price stabilization and potential recovery over the medium term. The persistence of a positive curve structure, even amid broad declines, points to ongoing confidence in the long-term BTC outlook.
ETH futures registered heavier losses, sliding between -10.99% and -11.24% w/w across maturities. The November 2025 futures closed at $3,475, while March 2027 ended the week at $3,846. The sharp retreat erased much of the prior month’s gains and underscored ETH’s higher sensitivity to short-term shifts in sentiment.
Overall, the week’s movement highlighted a broad but sentiment-driven correction, rather than a structural change in the longer-term trend. The pronounced weakness in ETH relative to BTC suggests that traders remain cautious, but the enduring upward slope of both futures curves signals that the market still prices in gradual recovery potential once near-term pressures subside.
One Last Push Before It’s Over?Total Market Cap CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL CRYPTOCAP:TOTALES
From a price action perspective, the structure looks very constructive:
• In May 2021, a swing high was formed, which later became a key resistance level.
• In November 2021, we saw a fakeout, confirming the significance of the level.
• Between March and June 2024, there was a clear rejection from this resistance.
• Eventually, price broke through the level and completed a clean retest from above — textbook move.
The bullish structure remains intact and has been reaffirmed once again. With that in mind, a new ATH on Total Market Cap feels like just a matter of time. The 3.73T+ level is likely to be taken out soon.
From a volume distribution perspective, the market is currently trading near the upper VWAP band — between +1σ and +2σ, yet shows no signs of overheating. Historically, the extreme zone is marked by +3σ, which currently sits around $4.6 trillion.
Wave Structure
The impulsive wave that began in 2022 appears to be nearing its completion. Given the price action and internal structure, it is highly likely that the final fifth wave is forming as an ending diagonal.
The $4.6–5 trillion zone stands out as a potential market top.
Volume behavior is key here:
We’re seeing notable vertical volume spikes in the current phase.
Horizontal volume (volume profile) reveals a strong cluster and point of control (POC) — a clear sign of distribution.
This pattern often signals the final stage of a bull cycle and precedes a reversal. The question is when, not if.
That said, the trend remains bullish for now. Notably, we don't yet observe strong RSI divergences on major timeframes, which supports the case for a continued push higher in the short term.
GreenBayChart 7 Crypto Assets That Will Deliver by the End 2025We just completed the deepest on-chain analysis of November 2025.
Over the last 14 days we processed 4.7 million wallets, 38 billion transactions, and 184 metrics from Glassnode, Nansen, Santiment, and our own full nodes.
The result: 7 assets that are currently seeing the most aggressive whale accumulation, minimal seller pressure, and confirmed catalysts for 2026.
Top 7 by GreenBayChart (ranked by expected return to 31 Dec 2026)
Sui (SUI) — expected ×8–×12
Current price: $2.84
2026 targets: $24–34
On-chain picture:
Whales (>100 k $) +41 % accumulation in 60 days (Nansen)
Active addresses +390 % YTD
TVL +410 % in 2025 → 3rd place among L1s
Catalysts: Mysticeti consensus (Q1 2026), SuiPlay handheld (Q2), Google Cloud partnership already confirmed.
Sei (SEI) — ×7–×10
Current price: $0.68
2026 targets: $5.20–7.80
#1 GitHub dev growth in 2025 (+680 %)
10 k–100 k SEI wallets +68 % accumulation in Oct–Nov
Parallel EVM v2 already in testnet → 30 000 real TPS in Q1 2026
Hyperliquid (HYPE) — ×6–×9
Current price: $28.40
2026 targets: $180–260
#1 perpetual DEX by volume in November (surpassed GMX and dYdX)
Own Cosmos SDK L1 already live
Whales +54 % token accumulation in 45 days (Santiment)
TVL $2.4 bn and growing +19 % weekly
Ondo Finance (ONDO) — ×5–×8
Current price: $1.42
2026 targets: $7.80–11.50
2025 RWA leader: tokenized treasuries + BlackRock BUIDL integration
$680 m inflows into Ondo products in Oct–Nov
Coinbase & Kraken listings in December 2025
Render (RNDR) — ×4–×7
Current price: $9.10
2026 targets: $42–68
Explosive GPU demand after Grok-2 and Apple Intelligence launches
Burn mechanism already burned 4.8 % of supply in 90 days
Whales +38 % accumulation in last 60 days
Chainlink (LINK) — ×4–×6
Current price: $18.80
2026 targets: $78–110
CCIP live on 12 chains, Swift & DTCC in production
Institutional wallets (>1 m LINK) +31 % this quarter
Lowest seller pressure among top-20 infrastructure tokens
Solana (SOL) — ×3–×5 (the “safest” ×3+ in the list)
Current price: $182
2026 targets: $620–920
Firedancer mainnet December 2025 → 65 000+ TPS
TVL +310 % YTD, ecosystem inflows +$2.1 bn in 60 days
Whales >100 k SOL net bought +420 k SOL in November
Exact Entry Levels Right Now (GreenBayChart, 18 Nov 2025)
AssetAccumulation ZoneStop-LossFirst Target (2025)Final Target (2026)SUI$2.70–2.92$2.48$5.80$24–34SEI$0.64–0.71$0.59$1.80$5.20–7.80HYPE$26–29$24$58$180–260ONDO$1.35–1.48$1.28$2.80$7.80–11.50RNDR$8.80–9.40$8.20$16$42–68LINK$18.20–19.50$17.20$34$78–110SOL$178–188$168$280$620–920
Why exactly these 7 (and not hundreds of others)
Whale accumulation >30 % in 60 days (all 7 in the top 15 by this metric)
Minimal seller pressure (MVRV Z-Score <1.8 across the board)
TVL & active addresses growing at least +180 % YTD
Confirmed 2026 catalysts (upgrades, listings, partnerships)
No major unlocks until end of 2026 (except SOL – already priced in)
Final Word from GreenBayChart
The November correction is the last major accumulation point before the final phase of the 2025–2026 cycle.
Anyone who calmly builds positions in these 7 assets at current prices will capture the highest returns of the entire cycle.
The full report with charts, live on-chain dashboards, and exact entry levels is already available in the GreenBayChart Pro private channel.






















