Bullish ScenarioI'll just add on my analysis. The previous cycle had a Bullish Harmonic Cypher Pattern, labeled as green. I think in our current cycle, we need one more correction and I'm tracking a Bullish Harmonic Black Swan Pattern.. Always manage your risk guys :)Longby eyeshot7112
Bullish ScenarioFor the TOTAL Marketcap, I'm seeing a Bullish Harmonic Black Swan Pattern.. Further correction is needed in my opinion.. Manage your risks always :)Longby eyeshot7221
MARKETS week ahead: March 24 – 30Last week in the news The Fed held interest rates unchanged during their FOMC meeting held the previous week, and stuck to its previous plan of two rate cuts during the course of this year. Still, uncertainties regarding moves from the US Administration are strongly interfering investors decisions, in which sense, markets are still in a wait-and-see mood. The S&P 500 modestly gained during the week, ending it at the level of 5.667. The US Treasury yields remained relatively quiet, finishing the week at 4,25%. The price of gold reached a fresh, new all time highest level at $3.050. The crypto market was also traded in a mixed mood, with BTC ending the week above the $84K. The most important event during the previous week was the FOMC meeting. Fed officials decided to leave interest rates unchanged, as was highly expected by market participants. Current economic sentiment, under the influence of trade tariffs are perceived as “uncertainty around the economic outlook has increased” so the risks have aroused around both sides of Fed's dual mandate. The GDP projection for this year was corrected by 0,4% to the level of 1,7%. Despite uncertainties, the Fed is still on the track of a 0,5 percentage point decrease in interest rates during this year, which would account for two rate cuts. The Fed noted in its policy statement rising uncertainties around economic outlook caused by radical decisions of the new US Administration, while companies are starting to project their corrected earnings and growth for the future period. In this sense a company Nike noted expectations on decreased earnings originating from drop in sales due to trade tariffs. Shares of a consulting firm Accenture dropped by 7,3%, affected by the measures taken by the US DOGE amid cuts in spending. Some good news for Ripple and its four years long battle with the SEC. As per news officially posted during the previous week, the SEC officially dropped the lawsuit against Ripple over its XRP token. As this was positive news, XRP coin jumped in value by 11%. During the previous week Reuters published the news that the United Arab Emirates committed to the US Government to make $1,4 trillion investments into the US economy. The investments would be in the field of AI infrastructure, semiconductors industry, energy and local manufacturing. The investment is set for a period of next 10 years. MicroStrategy finalized the sale of a series of preferred stocks, in total value of $711M. The fresh funds will be used for purchase of BTC, and is expected that the company will then hold a total 500.000 BTC tokens. Crypto market cap The uncertainty is currently the main word on financial markets, which influence the sentiment of investors. After turbulent last few weeks, the crypto market relatively calmed down. During the previous week, it was traded in a relatively shorter range, with almost equal number of altcoins with both positive and negative end of the week. Total crypto market capitalization remained flat during the previous week, with an modest outflow of $ 10B on a weekly basis. Daily trading volumes were further decreased to the level of around $92B on a daily basis, from $102B traded a week before. Total crypto market increase from the beginning of this year, currently stands at -16%, with $520B outflow of funds. Regardless of short move toward the higher ground, BTC ended the week flat on a weekly basis, without a significant change in its market cap. On the opposite side was ETH, who managed to modestly increase its value by 2,3%, adding $5,5B to its capitalization. Other altcoins were traded in a mixed manner. On a positive territory was EOS, with a weekly gain of almost 9%, Tron was traded higher by 5,8% w/w and Maker was higher by 3% on a weekly basis. Uniswap gained the most with an increase of more than 12% in value. Market favorite Solana dropped in value by 4,3%, losing $ 3B in cap. ADA was down by 6%, erasing $1,6B in its value. The highest weekly move in circulating coins had Uniswap, who not only increased its market cap by 12%, but also increased circulating coins by 4,6%. This was one of the largest increases of circulating coins for Uniswap in the recent period. IOTA also had an increase in coins on the market by 0,5% w/w, while Solana`s number of coins surged by 0,2%, same as Algorand and Filecoin. Crypto futures market The crypto futures market was aligned with the spot market during the previous week. BTC futures were traded lower by more than 1% on a weekly basis. BTC futures maturing in December this year ended the week at the level of $89.355, while December 2026 was last traded at $98.005. ETH futures ended the week in a positive territory, around 2% higher from the end of the previous week. ETH futures maturing in December this year closed the week at $2.095, and those maturing a year later were last traded at $2.252. by XBTFX9
An increase is coming for TOTALThere will be an increase with the FED meeting to be held this week.by HalukTATARUpdated 1118
$TOTAL Crypto Market Cap: Testing a Key Resistance LevelThe CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL crypto market cap has just hit the upper edge of a descending channel, currently sitting at $2.84T. Here’s why this moment is worth watching closely: 🔹 Mixed Signals Across Timeframes On the 12H and daily charts, there’s still room for more upside, which is pretty exciting for bulls! But on the 4H chart, we’re already looking quite overbought, so we might be at a turning point. 🔹 Breakout Potential If we can break through this channel resistance—and I’m talking about a strong move with solid volume behind it—we could see some serious momentum. I’m targeting $3.1-3.25T as the next major zone, a key liquidity area and Point of Control (POC) where we might see a lot of action. If the breakout holds, that move could happen faster than you think! 🔹 What If We Don’t Break Out? If the breakout fails, I’d expect the price to consolidate near this upper channel line for a bit, which would be a healthier setup for the next leg up. As part of this consolidation, we might see a dip to grab liquidity at the previous low around $2.7T before climbing higher. That pullback could actually set us up for a more sustainable rally later on.by AtlasTradeFeo1
Money Flow - 2### Money Flow Spread from DJI to Cryptocurrency: A Fibonacci Perspective The financial markets operate in an interconnected ecosystem where capital flows between asset classes based on macroeconomic trends, investor sentiment, and risk appetite. One such dynamic involves the movement of funds from traditional markets like the **Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI)**—a barometer of blue-chip stocks—to emerging asset classes such as **cryptocurrencies**. This phenomenon can often be analyzed using **Fibonacci retracements and extensions**, which serve as powerful tools for identifying key support, resistance, and potential price targets during shifts in market momentum. #### 1. **Market Sentiment and Capital Rotation** - The DJI represents large-cap equities that are heavily influenced by institutional investors, central bank policies, and global economic conditions. When these factors trigger volatility or uncertainty in traditional markets, investors may seek alternative investments with higher growth potential or hedging properties. - Cryptocurrencies, known for their decentralized nature and high volatility, attract speculative capital during periods when confidence in traditional assets wanes. For instance: - During bearish trends in the DJI, characterized by falling prices and increased selling pressure, some investors might reallocate portions of their portfolios into cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) or Ethereum (ETH). - Conversely, bullish trends in the DJI could signal improved risk appetite, prompting a portion of crypto gains to rotate back into equities. #### 2. **Fibonacci Retracements: Identifying Key Levels** - Fibonacci retracement levels are derived from the Fibonacci sequence and are widely used in technical analysis to predict areas of support and resistance. These levels (e.g., 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%) help identify potential turning points in price action. - In the context of money flow from the DJI to cryptocurrencies: - A significant decline in the DJI could lead to a pullback to Fibonacci retracement levels (e.g., 38.2% or 61.8%). At these junctures, traders may reassess their positions and consider diversifying into cryptocurrencies. - Similarly, after a sharp rally in cryptocurrencies, prices might retrace to Fibonacci levels before continuing upward. Investors exiting equities due to underperformance might view these retracements as entry points for digital assets. #### 3. **Fibonacci Extensions: Projecting Price Targets** - While retracements focus on corrective moves within a trend, Fibonacci extensions project potential price targets beyond the initial move. Common extension levels include 127.2%, 161.8%, and 261.8%. - In scenarios where money flows out of the DJI and into cryptocurrencies: - If the DJI experiences a prolonged downtrend, its losses could coincide with outsized gains in cryptocurrencies. Fibonacci extensions can help forecast how far crypto prices might rise amid this influx of capital. - For example, if Bitcoin breaks above a key resistance level following a surge in inflows from equities, traders might use Fibonacci extensions to estimate future price milestones (e.g., $100,000 or $200,000). #### 4. **Psychological Drivers Behind the Transition** - Fibonacci levels resonate with traders because they align with natural human tendencies toward symmetry and proportion. This psychological aspect amplifies their relevance when analyzing cross-market dynamics. - As money exits the DJI and enters cryptocurrencies, Fibonacci-based trading strategies provide a framework for understanding how participants perceive value across different asset classes. For instance: - Institutional investors exiting equities might anchor their decisions around Fibonacci-derived thresholds, ensuring disciplined entry and exit points in volatile crypto markets. - Retail traders, who dominate much of the cryptocurrency space, also rely on Fibonacci tools to time their trades, creating self-reinforcing patterns that influence overall market behavior. #### 5. **Case Study Example** - Imagine a scenario where the DJI drops sharply due to rising interest rates or geopolitical tensions. The index falls from 35,000 to 30,000—a decline of approximately 14%. Traders observe Fibonacci retracement levels at 38.2% ($31,900) and 61.8% ($33,100), expecting temporary bounces at these levels. - Simultaneously, Bitcoin rallies from $20,000 to $30,000 as investors seek refuge in digital gold. Using Fibonacci extensions, analysts project further upside to $38,200 (127.2%) or even $48,500 (161.8%), attracting additional capital from equity markets. #### 6. **Conclusion** - The interplay between the DJI and cryptocurrencies highlights the fluidity of modern financial markets. By leveraging Fibonacci retracements and extensions, traders can better anticipate shifts in money flow and position themselves strategically. - Whether driven by macroeconomic headwinds, technological innovation, or evolving investor preferences, the migration of capital from traditional indices like the DJI to digital assets underscores the growing convergence of old and new finance. Fibonacci analysis serves as a bridge, offering insights into both the timing and magnitude of these transitions. Longby bitcoin4
TOTAL 1WSome people are looking for an Alt Season considering that Dominance is below resistance, but that's how I see the market! What do you think?Shortby Mjprs06220
What happens when TOTAL increases to $2.970T and go down 1.950T?BTC will fill your account with hope, turning it a green hue, reaching a peak of $2.970 trillion. It will linger there for a while, basking in the glory, only to be met with a dark twist as the market aligns with some negative news, followed by a surge of ultra-optimistic, hot news that keeps you on that high. Then, the market quietly pulls the capital back, returning to the $2 trillion mark. What do you think of this scenario? How will you prepare for the upcoming phase? With $2.75 billion increasing by $200 billion, BTC and Altcoins will take turns flourishing in an eerie dance of highs and lows. Good luck... but beware!by rainbow_sniper221
MARKETS week ahead: March 17 – 23Last week in the news Tariffs-on, tariffs-off continues to shape market sentiment. The US equity markets tried to cover some weekly losses, where S&P 500 ended the week at the level of 5.638, after the index reached its lowest weekly level at 5.508. Considering uncertainty, the price of gold reached another all time highest level at $3K. The US Dollar continues to lose in strength, while US Treasuries are digesting latest inflation data and Michigan Consumer Sentiment with higher inflation expectations. The 10Y US benchmark is ending the week at the level 4,32% and is preparing for the forthcoming FOMC meeting on March 19th. The crypto market had a mixed week, with a lower start and an attempt to close the week higher. BTC passed the $80K resistance, ending the week above the $84K. The US inflation data for February was in the spotlight of the market during the previous week. Inflation of 0,2% for the month was in line with market expectations, bringing the inflation to the level of 2,8% when compared to the previous year. On a positive side were also jobs figures, where a total of 7,74M new jobs were opened in February, above market expectations of 7,63M. However, surprising figures came from the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index, which was much lower from the market forecast. Preliminary figure for March was standing at 57,9, lower from estimated 64,7. At the same time, inflation expectations were increased to the level of 4,9%. The FOMC rate decision is scheduled for March 19th, when Fed officials will also discuss the current market conditions and forecasts. The integration of the crypto market into the mainstream markets continues through new exchange traded funds, which large investment fund managers are currently filling for with the SEC. As per news published during the previous week, VanEck, a large US investment firm, has filed with SEC a launch of the exchange traded fund which will follow the Avalanche avax coin. Previously, Franklin Templeton, another investment firm, filed a launch of the ETF which will follow the price of XRP, while in February this year, the fund also filed a launch of an ETF following Solana`s spot price. BTC related convertible bonds are now available to retail investors through the REX exchange traded fund. The convertible bonds of Michael Saylor’s MicroStrategy represent the majority of funds assets. Other holdings include convertible bonds from several crypto miners. The REX ETF was launched on NASDAQ (BMAX), with 0,85% expense ratio and total AUM of $25M. Crypto market cap Tariffs-on, tariffs-off were the major driver of the sentiment on financial markets during the previous period. The crypto market was also driven by the generally negative mood of investors which were trying to position for the uncertain future developments. The fear of potential negative effects of imposed tariffs is embedded into current positioning of investors. The crypto market continued with the downtrend during the start of the previous week, but then tried to recover as the week passed on. Total crypto market capitalization decreased by a modest 2% on a weekly basis, losing total $50B in value. Daily trading volumes were also modestly increased to the level of $129B on a daily basis, a shy increase from around $102B traded a week before. Total crypto market increase from the beginning of this year, currently stands at -16%, with $510B outflow of funds. The crypto market was traded in a mixed manner during the previous week. Some altcoins managed to recover from losses incurred from the start of the week. In this sense, BTC managed to close the week in a red territory with a minor loss of around 1,5% on a weekly basis, where its total cap was decreased by $25B. ETH had a stronger weekly loss of more than 10%, where $ 26B was wiped out in its market value. Polygon and Uniswap were both down by around 10% in value during the week, while Algorand and Maker ended the week more than 8% lower. On the opposite trading side was XRP, who managed to add to its value 4% w/w, increasing its cap by $5,5B. BNB was also one of coins with a solid week, as it increased its market cap by 5,7% or $4,77B. OMG Network should be specially mentioned, as the coin increased its value by more than 13% during the week. There has been a modest development with coins in circulation of certain altcoins. Tether had an increase of its value and also its circulating coins by 0,5% w/w. LINK made an increase of its coins on the market by 3%, while Solana, Algorand and Filecoin had an increase of 0,2%, each. On the opposite side was Maker, with a decrease of -0,5% of its total coins on the market. Crypto futures market Although Friday's trading session brought some positive sentiment to the crypto market, still, futures did not manage to catch up with a positive territory. Both BTC and ETH futures ended the week in red compared to the end of the previous week. BTC futures were traded lower by around 2,8% for all maturities. In this sense, December 2025 was closed at the price of $90.950, and December 2026 closed the week at $98.945. ETH futures had a stronger drop in value compared to the previous week, between 10% and 11%. ETH futures maturing in December this year were last traded at $2.057, and those maturing a year later closed the week at $2.211. by XBTFX7
Is the Total Crypto Marketcap gearing up for a major move?A few months ago, the total crypto market cap surged past its previous highs, reaching a new all-time high of $3.7 trillion. The current pullback appears to be a bullish retest of the breakout level, potentially setting the stage for the next upward leg.Longby TheCryptoCity8
TOTAL Cap | BTC | ETH | LTC | XRP | SOL | DOGE | USDTTOTAL Marketcap is trending strong and trading above last ATH it is to be noted though that in next 6 months it can retrace back in below 3T it may or may not be fast. its a precaution First support is given.by TrendingMovesUpdated 443
TOTAL Cap at Major Support | BTC | ETH | TRUMP | LTC | XRPTotal Marketcap is at support around 2.60 which is at 50MA Weekly+ Last Higher High Right now scenario is HOLDING. which can see relief on coins across the board Buy those coins which are at major supportLongby TrendingMoves2
Total Market Cap path to $6T this cycle An idea for CRYPTO TOTAL MC cycle top. While we are in a seemingly brutal correction I am zooming out and going back to previous cycle patterns. This cycle is taking longer than those that came before. This is neither good or bad, but rather is a signal that BTC is gaining adoption and converging with traditional markets imo. This will expand the horizon for crypto as a whole and add to its total market cap. As traders and HODL'rs we do not have control of the timeline, but we have control of when we hit the buy/sell button. So far this cycle we've seen ~20% gain from previous ATH. This is not why we are here. Godspeed Longby tmilnebml4
Crypto flat until the summer of 2025?TOTAL seems to be in a similar position as it was during previous corrective phase. I would not find it weird if we'd see a more sideways approach here for the months to come. by Martechnic110
Crypto Total Market capApprox 8.7 Trillion based on expanding megaphone with flagpole target Interested to see if this plays out. Linear showcasing how log targets can happen. Not financial advice Longby mypostsareNotFinancialAdvice0
The Global Crypto Market CapLooks like the global crypto market cap has found its local bottom. Exciting days might be just around the corner - can you feel the momentum building?Longby MarketMakersPro0
TOTAL pumps by another $100B or maxes out at $200B, it’ll drop bIf TOTAL pumps by another $100B or maxes out at $200B, it’ll drop back to $2,400B. Not long ago, I shared a post predicting that when TOTAL hits $2,900B, BTC would face another pullback. We’re now inching close to that $2,900B mark, and the ceiling at $3,070B is where the market will see a hefty cash-out—a massive $$$ withdrawal. $2,900B - $3,070B: The high adjustment zone for a downturn. $2,400B: The level we’ll watch in the upcoming dip. Good luck out there! Shortby rainbow_sniper1
The Power of Commitment in Trading Psychology: A Key to Success The Power of Commitment in Trading Psychology: A Key to Success 📈💡 Hey TradingView community! I’ve been diving into some trading books lately, and one chapter really hit home: it’s all about commitment. Turns out, it’s the key to making it as a trader—especially in the crypto space where volatility can test your emotions. Here’s what I learned and how I’m applying it to my trading mindset. Commitment isn’t just about showing up—it’s about promising yourself to be the best trader you can be. I read about a guy who made a ton of money but lost it all because he wasn’t fully in. It made me realize: you can’t just dabble in this game. You gotta go all in. For me, this means sticking to my trading plan, even when the market (or my emotions) tempts me to stray. In crypto, where prices can swing wildly, this is crucial. One big thing that messes with commitment is the battle between wanting quick wins and sticking to a plan. I’ve caught myself following random advice without thinking—anyone else been there? It’s a trap. Commitment means getting your mind, emotions, and actions on the same page. I’m working on staying disciplined by focusing on my system, even during losing streaks. For example, I use stop-losses and take-profits to keep my emotions in check when trading BTC or ETH. Here’s a 3-step process I picked up to build commitment: 1️⃣ Figure out what you really want from trading (e.g., steady growth, not just mooning coins). 2️⃣ Spot what’s getting in your way (like fear of losses or FOMO). 3️⃣ Make a plan to push through—like setting clear risk management rules. For me, this has been a game-changer in staying consistent, especially in volatile markets like crypto. Psychology matters so much! A lot of traders fail not because their system sucks, but because they can’t stick with it. I’m starting to see how knowing myself better helps me stay committed. Some practical stuff I’m trying: starting small to build confidence, sticking to my system no matter what, learning from experienced traders, and not letting fear of losses throw me off. My current focus is on keeping my position sizes small (1-2% risk per trade) and reviewing my equity curve weekly to ensure I’m on track. Biggest takeaway: commitment is what makes or breaks you as a trader. It’s about knowing yourself, staying disciplined, and pushing through the tough times. I’m ready to step up—how about you? What’s your biggest challenge with staying committed in trading? Let’s discuss in the comments! 👇 Educationby vagada0
TOTAL LONG TERM ANALYSISIn my analysis, the FED’s interest rate decision and how liquidity will shape as a result will determine the future of the market. I believe the likelihood of a FED rate cut will increase in the next meeting. However, I expect a period of stability in the market before the meeting. In other words, I think this will lead the market into an accumulation phase within its zigzag structure, preparing for a breakout. I expect that the FED rate cut expectations will strengthen by the time of the next meeting, and initially, the market will react with the "buy the rumor, sell the news" behavior. That is, such news is usually priced in first, followed by a sell-off. However, once the news is confirmed, the market will experience a short-term pullback. This could be the final "shakeout" phase. When the market starts an upward rally, it will not want to carry the "small investors" and "some institutional players" on its back. In the market, leveraged positions will be liquidated, and then the rally will begin with real demand. Those who use high leverage should pay attention to what I am saying. I cannot overlook the manipulation factor. In such phases, as liquidity increases, a manipulation period occurs. Afterward, weak investors are shaken out, and real buyers start to dominate the market. Considering the price target in the chart (values between 2.17T and 3T), I expect a strong upward movement after manipulation. However, I believe investors should be cautious, taking volatility into account.Longby OzgunDashdan1
short opportunity total market cap cryptosee chart for specific trade setup annotated with play and rationaleShortby CryptoChris170
crypto total market cap with 4 year cycleFollowing the 4 year cycle with diminishing returns, it seems like we should buy in red, hold in yellow, sell in green. This takes emotion out of the investing experience. by Steve_L1110
$Total CryptoTotal Crypto - Cycles and Levels! As seen here and according to my calculation, Total Crypto (unfortunately) not yet come to the bottom cycle... Level is around $2.25B It doesn't mean we won't have bounces prior to Cycle. Note: 2 Eclipses coming and the next one is March 14th (Moon).by sunmikee2
Crypto Total Market Cap (CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL) As of March 12, 2025, the Total Crypto Market Cap sits at 2.63T USD. Let’s dive into the monthly chart for a technical breakdown: Since 2016, price has been moving within a long-term ascending channel. Right now, we’re testing the lower trendline support zone (2.4T - 2.5T). This level has historically acted as a strong base – both the 2017 and 2021 bull runs kicked off from similar support zones. Volume profile shows a 15-20% increase over the past 3 months, indicating growing buyer interest and improving market liquidity. RSI is at 40 (neutral zone), not yet in oversold territory but signaling a potential base for a recovery. Bullish Scenario: If the 2.5T support holds, we could see a move toward the channel’s midline (3T - 3.5T range), potentially retesting the 2021 highs above 3T. Bearish Risk: A break below 2.5T could lead to a deeper pullback toward 2T, so keep this level on your radar. 💡 My Take: I believe we’re either at the bottom or just a few weeks away from the start of a new uptrend. April could mark the beginning of a bull run, signaling the end of the bloodbath – at least based on the technicals of the Total Market Cap. What’s your view? Will the 2.5T support hold, or are we in for another correction?by Enes_Ibraimi1