MONTHLY RSI HIT ALL TIME LOWTOTAL2 is reaching one of the most interesting points of its entire long term structure.
The chart represents the crypto market excluding Bitcoin, so it gives a much cleaner view of what is happening beneath BTC. After repeated failures around the 2021 ATH, the market has spent most of 2026 moving lower. Price has now returned to the rising base that has been developing from the 2022 bottom.
At the same time, monthly RSI has fallen to the lowest reading in the history of this chart. That combination matters.
The market is not only testing long term support. Momentum has already been pushed into an extreme that was not reached during the 2018 bear market, the Covid crash or the 2022 bottom. In other words, the current altcoin reset is deeper in momentum terms than several periods that are now remembered as obvious historical opportunities. 2022 bottom established the foundation of the current structure. Since then, TOTAL2 has created a rising long term floor while the 2021 ATH has remained the major ceiling. Price tested that upper region several times and failed to escape it. The result has been a multi year compression between a rising base and an old cycle high.
Now price has returned to the lower side of that structure.
This is where the current weakness needs to be separated from structural collapse. TOTAL2 is not making a new cycle low. It is testing a higher long term base while monthly momentum has already reached a historical extreme.
The RSI has also started to recover slightly from the lowest point. That does not mean the market has completed the exact price bottom. It means the momentum reset has already reached a level that historically belongs to the deepest parts of the cycle. Psychology fits the same picture.
Altcoins are widely considered dead. Confidence has disappeared after years of underperformance. Every recovery has failed to deliver the expansion investors expected, and another decline now feels easier to believe than a new cycle.
That is exactly what a mature reset should feel like. The important question is no longer whether the altcoin market has experienced enough pain. The data already shows an extreme reset. question is whether this rising base can become the foundation for the next attempt at the 2021 ATH. For now, TOTAL2 is sitting in a historical bottom zone.
Price is testing long term support.
Monthly RSI has reached an all time low. Sentiment is exhausted. structure is still alive.
The market looks weakest exactly where the long term chart is becoming most interesting.
Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding BTC, $
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Bullish for AltcoinsThe Weekly MACD for altcoins has been positive for the first time since the October 10th bear market started. Also, it is respecting the weekly RSI channel as support and resistance consistently. These are positive signals.
Previously, I used the weekly MACD indicator on BTC to call the end of the 2018 bear market (view here, then click the play button to see performance since my call:)
We go up now? 🎈
Blue titer.Support / Oversold ( Blue ): a support area, may become a Bottom, or be broken through.
We need to observe. There are signs of overbidding on the monthly chart, and for the first time in many years, the upper line of the indicator shows signs of overselling. Last time, this was the indicator that started to improve the situation.
ALTCOIN MARKET IS SITTING ON CYCLE SUPPORTTOTAL2 represents the total crypto market capitalization excluding Bitcoin. It is one of the clearest charts for measuring whether capital is expanding into the broader crypto market or remaining concentrated in Bitcoin.
The structure is currently testing a rising support line that has developed from the 2022 cycle bottom. This line supported the recovery throughout 2023 and 2024, and the market has now returned to it after failing to break above the 2021 all time high zone.
That location matters.
The current weakness is occurring near long term support, not near the upper boundary of the structure. The market has already corrected from approximately 1.7 trillion dollars toward the 850 to 900 billion dollar region. This has removed a significant amount of leverage, profit and speculative excess from altcoins. 2021 all time high remains the major structural barrier. TOTAL2 has tested this region several times, but each attempt has been rejected. This does not make the structure dead. It shows that the market is still absorbing the supply created near the previous cycle peak.
sequence remains constructive: The 2022 cycle bottom established the base. 2023 and 2024 recovery created a rising long term structure. 2021 high was tested repeatedly. current correction has returned the market to its main support. This is where the next major decision begins. As long as the rising support continues to hold, the broader structure remains a large higher low rather than a completed collapse. The first important recovery area is around 1 trillion dollars. Above that, the market would begin moving back toward the 1.55 to 1.70 trillion dollar resistance zone.
A sustained reclaim of the 2021 high would be the real structural transition. That would remove the ceiling that has controlled the altcoin market for several years and open the possibility of a much larger price discovery phase. projected move toward 4 to 5 trillion dollars should not be treated as a guaranteed target. It represents the potential scale of expansion if the old cycle high is eventually converted from resistance into support. important message is simpler. TOTAL2 is not currently testing the top of its structure. It is testing the support that could define the next cycle expansion. Most investors will focus on the damage already visible in altcoins. The chart is asking a different question.
Monthly RSI all time low level in history
Is this where the decline ends, or where the next major expansion quietly begins?
MOST HATED CHART IN CRYPTO IS STILL ALIVE /TOTAL2Another altseason bottom zone.
Another wave of fear.
And once again, the crowd repeats the same lines:
“This dip is not enough.”
“Lower is coming.”
“Altcoins are dead.”
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 ’s 2W RSI is now lower than it was at the 2018 bottom and during the COVID crash.
Both later proved to be exceptional longterm buying zones.
The 2022 bottom formed in the same momentum reset region.
But those opportunities were never obvious in real time.
They were only available to those who could see the structure—and make a decision while the market still looked broken.
Hindsight deletes the fear.
At major lows, the crowd always asks for:
one more flush,
one more capitulation,
one lower target.
The dip is never deep enough for the crowd until the market leaves without them. This is not altseason confirmation. It is a rare momentum reset at rising cycle support.
Hold the structure. Reclaim the 2021 ATH Then broad rotation becomes credible. market never announces the bottom. It gives you a chart everyone hates.
TOTAL2 MARKET CAP The altcoin market is back in the bottom zone.
Not emotionally. Structurally.
The same RSI region marked the 2019 bottom, the 2020 covid reset, and the 2022 to 2023 repair base. Now TOTAL2 is testing that zone again. long term rising base is still holding. 2021 ATH is still above price.
Momentum is weak.
The market looks tired.
That is exactly what a bottom zone usually looks like before confirmation returns. not a late cycle chart. not an overheated structure. This is a reset area.
If the base fails, the structure weakens.
If the base holds, the altcoin market is not dying here.
It is building another cycle bottom area.
The chart is not clean.
Bottom zones never are.
TOTAL2: Four-Year Reaccumulation Under the 1.33T CeilingThis is the widest possible lens on altcoin market cap, and the pattern only shows up at this zoom level. The 2017 cycle built one range, the 2021 peak built the next ceiling, and everything since has been compressing beneath that same 1.33T level for four straight years.
That's not distribution. Distribution would show declining lower highs into weaker and weaker bounces. This shows the opposite, repeated tests of the same ceiling with higher lows underneath each one, 2022's low, then 2023's, then a shallower base into 2024 and 2025. Each successive floor sits higher than the last.
In Wyckoff terms, this is a bull flag playing out as a multi-year reaccumulation schematic. The 2021 impulse was the initial markup. Everything since has been the market absorbing that move and building a new cause before the next effect, exactly the structure Continuation Acceleration Protocol treats as a regime gate still closed rather than a failed trend.
Volume tells the same story. The MA has been grinding higher since 2023 even as price has gone nowhere in absolute terms, participation quietly building underneath a flat price structure. That's classic absorption, aggressive selling met by aggressive buying at a level, without the level itself giving way.
The ceiling has rejected every test since 2021. That includes this cycle's most recent push. Until TOTAL2 closes a monthly candle above 1.33T with the range behind it instead of underneath it, this remains a base, not a breakout.
What invalidates the bullish read: a monthly close back below the 2024-2025 higher low structure, which would flatten the staircase and reopen the case for distribution instead. What confirms it: a monthly close above 1.33T, ideally with the volume expansion this base has been quietly building toward.
Marcus Aurelius wrote that the impediment to action advances action. Four years of failing to clear one number is either the longest rejection in crypto history or the longest base. The chart doesn't decide which. The next monthly close does.
TOTAL2 MARKETCAPTOTAL2 is testing one of the most important structural areas of the post-2021 cycle.
This chart is not only about support and resistance. It is about how old cycle levels change their role over time.
In the 2017–2021 structure, the 2017 ATH became the major reference level. After the 2018 collapse, the market spent years below and around that zone. That level acted as a midline before the final expansion into the 2021 cycle high.
The current structure is showing a similar rhythm.
The 2021 ATH remains the major macro ceiling near 1.71T. TOTAL2 has rejected from that region multiple times, which means the market has not entered full expansion yet. But the more important part is below price: the current midline/support shelf around the 900B region is still being defended. This area has already mattered several times in the current cycle. It acted as support during previous resets, and now price is testing it again while the rising trendline from the 2022 bottom is moving closer to the same zone. That creates a very important compression point. If TOTAL2 continues to hold this midline, the structure remains constructive. The market would be treating this area as the base of the current cycle, similar to how previous cycle structures used old major levels before expansion.
The chart is not saying altseason has already started.
It is saying the broad nonBTC market is still defending the level it needs to defend before the next expansion attempt can become serious.
2021 ATH is still the ceiling. midline is still the test.
Therising support is still alive.
This is the exact kind of structure that usually feels weak before it becomes obvious.
RSI(100) weekly
Altseason Confirmation Explained: Why BTC.D Needs TOTAL2 ProofAltseason Confirmation Explained: Why Falling BTC Dominance Needs TOTAL2 Proof
One of the most common mistakes in crypto is assuming that every drop in Bitcoin dominance means altseason has started.
That idea feels logical. If BTC dominance is falling, traders assume capital must be rotating into altcoins.
But dominance is only a relative measurement. It tells us how Bitcoin is performing compared to the rest of the crypto market. It does not automatically prove that new capital is entering altcoins.
That is why I use TOTAL2 as the confirmation chart.
The Trader Problem
Many traders watch BTC.D fall and immediately start hunting altcoin entries.
The problem is simple: altcoins can gain dominance while still losing value in USD terms.
That happens when Bitcoin is falling faster than the rest of the market. In that case, BTC dominance drops, but altcoins are not truly expanding. They are only losing less aggressively than Bitcoin.
That is not a clean altseason signal.
Real rotation needs proof.
The Core Concept
BTC dominance answers one question:
Is Bitcoin gaining or losing market share?
TOTAL2 answers a different question:
Is the altcoin market actually expanding?
Those two questions must be separated.
A falling BTC.D chart is not enough by itself. For a healthier altcoin rotation, TOTAL2 should also reclaim structure, form higher lows, or expand above a prior supply zone.
Without that confirmation, the market may only be showing relative weakness in Bitcoin, not real strength in altcoins.
The Case Study On TOTAL2
This TOTAL2 daily chart gives a clean example.
After the May lower high near the 1.03T-1.06T zone, the altcoin market failed to continue higher. That failure matters because strong rotation normally leaves evidence: higher lows, reclaimed support, and expanding market cap.
Instead, TOTAL2 lost the 950B-1.00T support area and moved toward the 878B region.
That tells a different story from the simple “BTC dominance is falling, so alts are bullish” narrative.
If altseason were truly confirming, this chart should be expanding, not breaking below support.
The Better Framework
Here is the clean rotation framework I use:
BTC.D down + TOTAL2 up = healthier altcoin rotation.
BTC.D down + TOTAL2 down = weak market, not confirmed altseason.
BTC.D up + TOTAL2 down = defensive Bitcoin-led market.
BTC.D up + TOTAL2 up = Bitcoin leads while altcoins lag.
The second condition is the important one right now.
If dominance falls but TOTAL2 also falls, traders should be careful about calling altseason too early.
The chart is saying that altcoins are not yet proving demand in USD terms.
Invalidation And Confirmation
For the altcoin rotation thesis to improve, TOTAL2 needs to reclaim the lost 950B-1.00T zone.
A reclaim and hold above that area would show that the breakdown is being repaired. From there, the next test would be whether TOTAL2 can challenge the May lower-high supply zone around 1.03T-1.06T.
If TOTAL2 stays below the reclaim zone, the structure remains weak.
That does not mean every altcoin must keep falling. It means the broad altcoin market has not confirmed rotation yet.
This distinction is important because altseason is not built on one strong coin. It is built on broad expansion across the altcoin market.
Final Takeaway
BTC dominance is useful, but it should not be used alone.
Dominance tells me where market share is moving.
TOTAL2 tells me whether the altcoin side of the market is actually attracting capital.
When traders combine both, they avoid one of the biggest crypto traps: mistaking falling BTC dominance for automatic altseason.
I will update this idea within 24-48 hours if TOTAL2 reclaims the 950B-1.00T zone or continues rejecting below it.
Do you wait for TOTAL2 confirmation before calling altseason, or do you trade the BTC dominance signal by itself?
This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk carefully.
TOTAL2TOTAL2 losing $980B was bad. Too bad it will likely lose $800B support as well, maybe after another accidental bad news that triggers it. $700B is also a strong support, the next pullback could reach there.
But since $800B is a long-term support, the price will likely bounce from here, probably after another short bearish move to liquidate the longs. Things can look good on paper but are unlikely to go well. Treat the upcoming pullback as a chance to sell everything if you're in loss and missed the exit window. Alts can lose another 50%, and TOTAL2 could bottom at around $400-500B , but it's too soon to say that.
Don't risk your money looking at RSI or BB in the coming months. didn't have time to draw things on chart. Don't let the whales fool us again. سَامٍّ يَمُوتُ بِسُمِّهِ
but If TOTAL2 reclaims $980B with volume and holds above it for a weekly close, the breakdown was a fakeout. In that case, alts could see a relief rally toward $1.2T.
TOTAL2 Marketcap (ALTCOINS) 2021 vs. 2026This chart compares two altcoin cycle structures
2017 to 2021
2022 to 2026
The important point is not that the structures are identical. The important point is that the current TOTAL2 market looks much closer to a rebuild phase than a finished cycle.
On the left, after the 2017 ATH, TOTAL2 spent years in a painful reset. The market looked dead, attention disappeared, and every rally failed for a long time. But during that period, the structure kept testing the same midline area. After the Covid reset, that structure finally turned into the base for the next major expansion.
On the right, the 2022 to 2026 structure is showing a similar type of behavior. The 2021 ATH acted as the major ceiling, the 2022 bottom created the reset, and since then TOTAL2 has been building around the same rising midline structure. The 2024, 2025 and 2026 reactions all show that this area still matters.
This is why I do not read the altcoin market as dead here.
TOTAL2 is still below the 2021 ATH, so this is not full expansion yet. But the market is holding the structure it needs to hold. The same type of boring, frustrating, multi-year rebuild that appeared after 2017 is visible again after 2021.
The key difference between a dead market and a rebuild market is structure. A dead market loses the base. A rebuild market keeps defending it while sentiment stays weak and attention remains low.
That is what I see here.
TOTAL2 is still in the rebuild zone. The old ATH near 1.71T remains the major ceiling. A real break above that level would change the entire message of the chart. At that point, the market would no longer be only recovering from the 2022 reset. It would be entering a new altcoin expansion phase.
For now, the structure is constructive.
The support is holding.
The market is still below the old ATH.
The crowd is still not euphoric.
The setup is still in preparation mode.
This is not confirmed altseason yet.
But it is not a broken altcoin market either.
It is a multi-year rebuild structure waiting for its expansion trigger.
ALTCOIN MARKET ALERT: A MAJOR SHIFT IN PLAY.There has been a major shift across the altcoin market structure, and the charts are starting to look very interesting.
The resemblance between the current setup and the previous accumulation-to-reversal phase is honestly uncanny. See it for yourself.
From a technical perspective, the TOTAL2 chart is showing a very similar structure to the previous cycle:
* A prolonged downtrend followed by compression under a descending resistance.
* Reclaim of key moving averages after a period of heavy consolidation.
* Multiple successful defences of the support zone around the $1T market cap region.
* Declining bearish momentum while volume slowly starts returning.
What’s even more interesting is how the current price action mirrors the previous breakout structure almost candle for candle. In the last cycle, a similar rounded accumulation phase around the EMAs eventually led to a strong expansion move across altcoins.
Right now, altcoins are attempting to break out of the descending trendline while holding above the 100/200 EMA cluster. If this breakout confirms with sustained volume, the next major targets sit around:
* $1.17T
* $1.21T
* $1.40T
* Eventually $1.68T market cap resistance.
As long as TOTAL2 holds above the $1T psychological support, the probability of a broader altcoin reversal remains strong.
The market still looks messy on lower timeframes, liquidity hunts are everywhere, and volatility remains brutal. Still, structurally, this is the first time in months that altcoins have shown genuine strength rather than just relief bounces.
Patience is key here. The biggest moves usually begin when most participants are still expecting another collapse.
NFA.
If this idea helped you in any way, please hit the like button and share your views in the comments section. Do not forget to follow to stay updated about the latest altcoins opportunities.
Thank you
#PEACE
Altcoins market capTOTAL2 is looking quite promising here, showing strength as it breaks above the trendline. The structure is improving, and momentum is starting to build in favor of buyers.
If this momentum continues and price holds above the breakout level, further upside is likely, with potential continuation towards the higher marked levels.
Understanding:
ALTS market cap shows the total value of all altcoins.
Rising → altcoins gaining strength
Falling → altcoins losing strength
TOTAL2 at $1T: Bottom of the Cycle or Top of the Bounce?CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 — total crypto market cap excluding Bitcoin — just tested two structural supports at the same level: the 200-week SMA and the multi-year ascending trendline that has supported every cycle low since 2020. Both lines met near $917B. The level held. Price is now testing $1T as overhead resistance.
The bounce is in progress. The question is whether it has fuel.
The bull case for TOTAL2
A clean test of the 200W SMA + trendline confluence — and a hold — is the same setup that resolved bullishly in mid-2024. Each prior touch of this confluence preceded a 30%+ recovery within 120–145 days. A weekly close above $1.0T confirms the reclaim of psychological resistance, with $1.2T as the first mid-cycle target. Holding the 200W as support keeps the long-term bullish channel intact.
The bear case for TOTAL2
Two cycle highs at $1.7T — May 2021 and mid-2025 — form a long-term double top. The 2025 peak rejected the 2021 high almost to the dollar. That is not random. Weekly RSI printed a lower high against the higher price high — bearish divergence intact. A failed reclaim of $1.0T sends the chart back to the confluence; a break of the confluence opens $700B and the prior cycle structural floor. Double tops on multi-year timeframes resolve over years, not weeks.
Levels to watch
Resistance: $1.0T psychological, $1.2T mid-cycle, $1.6T–$1.7T double-top neckline
Support: 200W SMA (~$917B), ascending trendline, $700B structural floor
The confluence held. Whether $1T flips from resistance to support is the next decision the chart asks the market to make.
OTHERS: Why Altcoins Might See a Significant Drop SoonAltcoin Market Update (OTHERS) - 4H Timeframe 🔍
While Bitcoin struggles, the Altcoin market (excluding top caps) is providing a very clear bearish setup. Here is the technical breakdown:
1. Buyside Liquidity (BSL) Sweep: We saw a clean sweep of the previous highs, followed by a sharp displacement lower. This indicates that "Smart Money" has already captured the liquidity it needed to move lower.
2. IFVG Resistance: The price attempted to rally back but was strictly rejected by the Inversion Fair Value Gap (IFVG)—highlighted in orange. When an FVG is breached and then acts as resistance, it's a very high-probability bearish signal.
3. The Target: We are currently seeing a corrective bounce. The expectation is a continuation lower to hunt the Sellside Liquidity (SSL) resting at the $999 Billion psychological level.
Market Context: As long as we stay below the IFVG zone, Altcoins will likely remain under pressure. Patience is key for better entry points.
Altcoins market update: It looks great...The chart is for the TOTAL2 index. All Cryptocurrencies excluding Bitcoin, the altcoins market.
MA200 was challenged as support twice always holding. The same happened August-September 2024. After the test of MA200, the market entered a bullish period. Then again in April 2025, MA200 weekly was tested as support. After the test of MA200, the market entered a bullish period.
Then again now, February 2026, a test of MA200 weekly as support. After the level got tested, we now expect a bullish period—from the bottom we grow.
It is that simple and I understand every bit of doubt and uncertainty, it is the reality of the moment.
The TOTAL2 index is showing bullish activity after a major correction.
Last month was the last test of MA200 as support. This week, support is not tested but rather resistance was challenged—positive change.
All three corrections on the chart lasted between 120 to 145 days. After each correction the market produced a strong bullish cycle; this time, will it be different? No, it will be the same.
It is the same price dynamic as before. After a strong bearish period, we experience a bullish cycle. After hitting resistance, a bullish wave lasting months, we get a bearish period. After testing support, a bearish wave lasting months, we get a bullish period.
There isn't room for one bit of doubt. It is the same thing over and over, again and again. We are going up next.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.






















