Trade ideas
DXY FREE SIGNAL|LONG|
✅DXY has tapped the higher-timeframe demand and formed bullish displacement after clearing sell-side liquidity. A refined entry inside the mitigation zone aligns with algo order-flow targeting the buy-side liquidity above.
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Entry: 99.773
Stop Loss: 99.641
Take Profit: 99.967
Time Frame: 2H
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LONG🚀
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The US Dollar Index Hovers Near Key ResistanceThe US Dollar Index Hovers Near Key Resistance
As the chart of the US Dollar Index (DXY) shows, today the value is sitting near an important resistance level around 100.20 points. We highlighted this level earlier — including in our analytical post from 10 November.
Fluctuations in the USD against other currencies are forming a configuration of two channels:
→ A blue bullish trajectory that began back in September. However, this resistance level appears to be a significant obstacle. Last week, the bulls attempted to push the DXY to a six-month high, but they failed to hold those gains.
→ A red alternative bearish trajectory, which may become more pronounced and relevant if the bears seize the initiative once it becomes clear that the bulls are running out of steam.
At the start of the week, the index is also moving within a narrowing triangle — the breakout direction may indicate the key trend into the year-end.
The balance between the two scenarios will largely depend on the fundamental backdrop, with traders mainly focusing on:
→ News related to the prospects of a Federal Reserve rate cut. Barclays analysts expect the Fed to cut rates in December.
→ A possible intervention by the Bank of Japan to support the weakened yen, which has come under pressure due to low domestic interest rates. Japan’s Finance Minister, Satsuki Katayama, reinforced this rhetoric last week.
→ The release of data — including US retail sales and producer prices — which were postponed due to the record-long government shutdown.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NOV.23,2025 ANALYSIS- DXY, BTC, NAS100, SPX500, XAUUSD & XAGUSDDXY CAUTION: at weekly resistance but Uptrend with a huge bullish candle suggests continuation to the upside. I expect some sideway price action potential pullback to 99.365 level and then continuation to the upside target of 100.608. A break below 99.365 will invalidate upside targets.
BITCOIN: STILL BEARISH, All my initial bearish targets from previous analysis got smashed. BTC is now in a new bearish territory only finding support at the fib extension 1.618 from the $126,296 high. RSI is very oversold and potentially there could be a sideways price action around this level re-testing $80,524 this week. Ultimately the next bearish target is between $70k and $78k.
NAS100 & SPX500 BEARISH: Both indices closed with a strong bearish candle but found support around their 21EMA on the weekly chart. I observed some unconfirmed hidden divergence plus daily stochastics cycle lows so I expect some sideways consolidation and next leg down to targets of about $23,169 for Nas100 and $6,418 for SPX500.
GOLD & SILVER SIDEWAYS: Gold on the weekly chart showed only a doji candle consolidating price action but lower high of($4,194) confirmed on the chart. I envisage that this consolidation will continue into next week and finally breakdown to the $3,826 target. Silver has maintained the double tops on the weekly and daily charts. The lower high of $52.98 also suggest more downside price action with the initial target of $45 - $47 zone.
I hope my publications are helpful to your own analysis and perspective. Thank you and please show your support for these analysis with a boost or comment so it's shown to other traders. Have a great and profitable trading week and remember risk management is your first job as a trader. Cheers!!
DXY bottomed and is starting the new Bullish Leg.The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) has been trading within a Channel Up since the October 01 Low last week even broke above its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since March 05 2025.
Technically, that is confirmation for the long-term continuation of the uptrend. As long as the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) holds, we expect DXY to start the new Bullish Leg of the Channel Up as yesterday it hits its bottom.
There is a high symmetry between the last three Bullish Legs but since the 'weakest' one has been +2.17%, we have a Target at 101.100. As you can see, that would even test the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), which is the natural long-term Resistance of the market.
Notice also the 1D RSI bounce on its 2-month Support Zone as well as the just formed Bullish Cross on the 4H MACD. All perfectly aligned with bottom formations signaling buy opportunities.
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Bullish bounce off?US Dollar Index (DXY) is reacting off the pivot, which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 99.54
1st Support: 98.89
1st Resistance: 101.35
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
DXY– Potential Shift After Momentum StallThe dollar index has shown a strong climb followed by signs of momentum slowing at recent highs. Current price behaviour suggests the possibility of a corrective move developing after this consolidation phase, with downside continuation becoming more likely if bullish follow-through fails to materialise. We’ll be monitoring structure and momentum closely as the next leg unfolds.
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis
DXY Coils Above 100 – Build-Up Before the Breakout?1. Recap of Recent Analysis
In my last DXY update, I highlighted the 100.00 zone as both a major psychological resistance and my initial upside target for the entire rise from 99.
Price reached that zone perfectly.
Since then, the index has been consolidating, but not in a weak way — the structure looks tight, controlled, and directional, not corrective or exhausted.
2. Current Market Context – Sideways, But With a Bullish Tilt
What stands out in this consolidation is:
- DXY is not rejecting 100 zone aggressively.
- Candles are small but.
- Sellers are not showing real control.
This type of behavior suggests a market that is building energy, not one that is rolling over.
The sideways action appears more like a pause before a breakout, not the start of a larger correction.
3. Technical Outlook – Trend is Up Since Mid-September
The broader structure is clear:
- DXY has been in an uptrend since mid-September.
Based on the trend, structure, and consolidation behaviour, the probability favors upside continuation.
Next technical target:
➡️ 102.00 zone
This level stands out as the next meaningful resistance and a natural extension of the current rally.
4. Trading Plan – Follow the Trend, Don’t Fight It
My approach remains simple:
Bullish outlook stays active as long as DXY holds above 99.20.
I expect a break above resistance soon, especially if volatility picks up.
First major target: 102.
Only if DXY fails dramatically at 100 with strong rejections would I consider a short-term bearish adjustment — not the case right now.
5. Conclusion – The Dollar Looks Ready for the Next Push
The index is coiling at resistance, but the structure favors buyers, not sellers.
Given the steady uptrend since September and the controlled consolidation just above 100, the most probable scenario remains an upside continuation toward 102. 💵📈
USD Cup and Handle x2The 100-100.22 zone in DXY is a familiar one...
The latter price set the low in Q3 last year, just before the USD reversal took over, and it was back in-play as the high in August 1st of this year.
More recently, that price has held the highs earlier in November and then for the past few trading days and as yet, sellers haven't been able to take over.
The door is open for bullish breakouts in DXY and the big component of that is the 1.1500 handle in EUR/USD. If the Euro can finally get below that psychological level, the door is open for USD breaks.
The challenge then becomes the Yen, as a push up to or at least close to the 160.00 level in USD/JPY will probably elicit another intervention threat from the MoF.
Shorter-term, there's another cup and handle that's built from those recurrent resistance tests at 100.22. - js
Bullish continuation setup?US Dollar Index (DXY) could fall to the pivot which acts as a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is a multi-swing high resitance.
Pivot: 99.80
1st Support: 99.53
1st Resistance: 100.35
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
FractalCycles at Work: Analysis of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)This chart highlights the dominant 62-period cycle currently steering short-term swings in the U.S. Dollar Index. Price has been respecting the rhythm of this cycle, with recent highs and lows forming close to the projected turning points.
At the moment, DXY is trading near a potential cycle peak, and with the next downward phase approaching, the probability of a short-term pullback increases. Momentum indicators are also softening, offering further confirmation of cycle pressure beginning to turn.
Takeaway:
The 62-period cycle continues to provide reliable structure for timing DXY’s shorter-term movements. If the pattern persists, traders should be prepared for a potential downswing as the next cycle trough unfolds.
Dollar Index Nears Critical Elliott Wave ThresholdThe U.S. Dollar Index is pressing into a decisive stage of its long-developing Elliott Wave structure, with price action now testing levels that could determine whether the broader trend resumes upward or unfolds into a deeper corrective phase.
The multi-year count shows the 2022 high likely completed a major Wave (v) of a larger impulsive cycle, after which the DXY has been tracing a complex corrective structure. The current form, an overlapping sequence of a-b-c subdivisions followed by a W-X-Y formation, suggests the dollar remains in the latter phases of a higher-degree correction rather than a fresh impulsive advance.
The key resistance band between 102 and 108 holds outsized importance in this context. A sustained break above this zone would invalidate the preferred bearish count, signaling that the correction terminated earlier than expected and that a new primary impulsive sequence upward may already be underway. Such a breakout would mark the first structural evidence of a renewed Wave (i)–(ii) base forming beneath the surface.
However, unless that confirmation arrives, the corrective interpretation remains dominant. The overlapping waves, declining momentum, and symmetry of the broader pattern point toward a final Wave (y) still incomplete. The projected termination region for this move, roughly the 91.50 to 86.20 zone aligns with Fibonacci 0.272 and 0.618 extensions, providing both proportional balance and historical confluence typical of higher-degree Wave Y endpoints.
Invalidation levels are clearly defined: a decisive move above the upper boundary of the multi-year channel and above 112.26 would conclusively negate the bearish corrective outlook and establish the beginning of a new impulsive cycle.
Until then, the Elliott Wave roadmap continues to favor a final downward sequence before the long-term structural reset is complete.
USD - A Month of Resistance at Prior SupportThe 100.22 level continues to be a massive spot on the DXY chart. Bulls have been in control ever since the Fed started cutting rates in September and that's similar to last year. But, unlike last year, buyers haven't been able to extend the breakout as its been a more grinding affair so far this Q4. Notably, however, bulls aren't yet out of it.
The 100.22 level first came back into play on August 1st before reversal showed around the NFP release. But it was back in the picture in early-November. At the time, EUR/USD had started to re-test the 1.1500 handle and GBP/USD had plunged with its weakest RSI read on the daily chart in more than two years.
But in DXY, support held at a major spot - 98.98, which is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the 2021-2022 move. This led to another bounce and another test of 100.22.
For this round, the level was tested for five consecutive days into this week, until sellers were finally able to provoke pullback. But, so far, bears haven't been able to get below the recent higher-low so there's still a claim to bullish structure on the daily, and that aligns well with the bearish backdrop on daily EUR/USD.
For shorter-term support, we're seeing a familiar level back in the mix at 99.40, helped to set the highs back in June.
If looking for USD-weakness, GBP/USD can be compelling. For USD-strength, USD/JPY is more attractive currently. And for both EUR/USD and USD, it's that 1.1500 level in the major pair that stands out as significant. - js
DXY Bullish Continuation -Buy Zone & Breakout PlanDXY is still holding its bullish structure moving inside the rising channel and currently ranging just under the weak high near 100.50. As long as price stays above the 100.00 support zone this consolidation looks like a pause before another push up toward 100.80–101.00. A deeper dip inside the range is possible but overall momentum remains bullish unless price breaks below the channel support.
Fundamentally the dollar is supported by recent mixed but stable US data, NFP remaining solid-unemployment slightly higher and wage growth cooling moderately combined with a Federal Reserve stance that is not ready for quick rate cuts. This keeps short-term USD sentiment mildly positive. Risk off flows and steady Treasury yields also help maintain dollar strength.
Overall, both technical structure and fundamentals support a bullish continuation after the current range completes its liquidity grab.
Buy Zone:
The ideal buy zone is 99.95 – 100.05 which aligns with the lower boundary of the consolidation range, the mid-channel support and the previous demand area. This is where price is expected to dip, grab liquidity and form a bullish reaction.
Buy Trigger Area:
The buy trigger is a bullish rejection or bullish candle close from 100.00 or a break and retest of 100.20–100.25 from inside the range. A clean bounce from the lower range or a retest reclaim signals the continuation toward 100.50 and then 100.80.
Note
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DXY M30 BULLISH REJECTION SUPPORT LEVEL(DXY M30)
🔹 **Current Trend:** The chart indicates a potential **upward movement** from the support zone marked in pink (around 99.476 to 99.622).
🔹 **Target Zone:** There's a potential target area marked near **100.175**, a level where the price might face resistance (indicated by the blue line).
🔹 **Entry Strategy:** Consider looking for buy signals in the support zone (99.476–99.622), aiming for the target at 100.175.
🔹 **Risk Management:** Tight stops below 99.476 could help protect against a break below the support zone.
🔹 **Possible Price Action:** The arrows suggest a **bullish move**, with the price potentially rising in a zigzag pattern towards the target.
📈 **Plan:**
1. Buy near 99.476–99.622.
2. Target 100.175.
3. Manage risk below 99.476.






















