🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀
DXY momentum signals have different interpretations. Taken on face value "overbought" suggests a selloff is due. However another school of thought says it portends the opposite, "investors are getting greedy". Let's see how this one plays out!
DXY 💭 When the Dollar Pumps, Gold Dumps — and the Market Plays the Same Old Song
Every market cycle hides a rhythm — and the Dollar Index (DXY) is the metronome that drives it. On the 15-minute chart, we can see DXY building a clear pump-and-dump pattern, where liquidity pools dictate every move.
After testing the 0.618 retracement near 99.37, price rebounded toward the 99.60–99.70 zone, forming a temporary liquidity sweep. The next key reaction area lies around 99.29, where confluence between structure, demand, and Fibonacci support builds a potential launchpad for the next impulse.
If buyers reclaim that zone, momentum could push DXY toward the 100.07–100.19 target — the 1.5–1.786 Fibonacci extension range, often where smart money distributes positions before rotation.
And while the Dollar sets up this rally, Gold (XAUUSD) mirrors the opposite: a dump before the pump. Classic risk rotation — liquidity leaves one asset only to flow into another.
📊 The key isn’t predicting direction — it’s reading the sequence: liquidity → manipulation → expansion.
Do you think this DXY setup signals the start of a stronger USD… or just another fakeout before the FOMC narrative resets? XAUUSD
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