These are the charts that I'm monitoring in order to see the Inverted Yield Curve.
The Blue Line is a spread between ID10Y and ID05Y that indicate Benchmark and Short Term Yield.
The Red Line is a spread between ID20Y that represents Long Term Yield and ID10Y as Benchmark.
ID10Y tend to rise to 9 :
But US10Y tend to fall below zero level following other developed countries Bond Yield :
I believe the spread between ID10Y and US10Y will be larger and might breach the highest spread since 2015 at this current spread of 7.5%.
I don't believe the...
Yield Indonesia Bond 10 Yr is not touching Support at 7% but potentially Breakdown Support and continue to fall to reach 6.5% (at least).
The Yield is still in Downtrend since Oct'18 at 9%. The downtrend is confirmed after the Yield broke Support at 7.2% on Oct'19.
The spread between Indonesia Bond 10Yr with US Treasury 10Yr reached the highest level since the end of 2016. The spread is now at 5.8% wherein the beginning of 2018, the spread is only at 3.6% and 5.4% at the beginning of 2019.
The latest increase of the spread (since Jul'19) is caused by the falling of UST 10Yr at high speed (from 2.1% to 1.5% in just a...
ID10Y ends Pullback by falling from near-Resistance at 7.45%.
This is one of the characteristics of Pullback.
A pullback is also a confirmation that Downtrend is imminent.
I predict ID10Y will continue its Downtrend until it reaches 6.5%.
Yield SUN10Yr berpotensi melanjutkan Tren Turun menuju 6.5% setelah Breakdown Support di 7.45%.
Kenaikan Yield di bulan awal April 2019 dari 7.45% menuju 8.2% terlihat sebagai Tech. Rebound yaitu kenaikan ditengah Downtrend (Tren Turun).
Oleh karena itu, dengan Breakdown Support di 7.45% yang terjadi dipertengahan Jun'19 lalu, Yield mengonfirmasi Tren Turun dari...