Japan 10Y
Japan Government Bonds 10 YR
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US 10Y, Euro Bund, Germany 10Y, Japan 10Y Yield, UK 10Y, India 10Y
As we approach day of the new year I'd like to take note on the significance of watching all global 10y benchmarks. The way these develop in a composite will give a cleaner trend based picture as to where central banks are "movving" Near term out look: Neutral ( IE nothing that marginal pull backs in the periphery give way to better entry on financial equity...
THE YEN WILL BECOME RADIOACTIVE WITHIN THE DECADE!
JP10Y seems to have finished minute wave 2 and the next move should be minute 3 of minor 3. Minor 3 should decline yields to around -0.17. If yield crosses up 0.03 this analysis should be reviewed. FOLLOW SKYLINEPRO TO GET UPDATES.
BOTTOMED AND BROKE THE NEGATIVE RESISTANCE TRENDLINE
week analysis JAPAN GOVERNMENT BONDS 10 YR YIELD
Japan 10-year interest rates seems to be tracing intermediate wave 3 of primary wave 5 down. A critical level is at -0.19, the low of minor wave B. If yields crosses this level the odds get stronger for this scenario and yields could go below -0.29. FOLLOW SKYLINEPRO TO GET UPDATES
Japan's government ten-year bonds fell last Month 25th of Feb 2020 below -0.089, and it's been trying for the five previous sessions to hold off sellers of pushing prices below a critical support level at around -0.166 and so far it's holding well. Prices fell in its last trading session to the support level but bouched off and closed at -0.147. This support...
USDJPY is a yield spread currency and hence trading it requires spread analysis. Currently the US10Y to JGB10Y is down at the lows and showing no signs of a pickup.
looks like the boj is about to lessen its yield control program to raise more caps for their sales tax hike later this year. why is this important? the yield control program effects the cost of carry on participants when buying and holding yen. positive usdjpy means participants are selling yen vs usd. however, negative usdjpy means participants are buying yen vs...
Here we can see the market breaking out of a multi year trend with a confirmed retest. It has held the target for an expanding or running flat from Feb 2017 highs. For those who are familiar with oscillators you will have noticed the positive divergence. This means it is time to start paying attention as we are forming a base in trend. The next two levels in...
Ultra accommodation coming from the boj knocking 10 yr back into negative range. This controls the incentive to buying yen and is a psychological lever for equities. How to play short fxy via debits or call credits
From post long ago I broke down the significance of the carry trade and it's effect on volatility. With the yen buying being a percieved a fear trade. The positive yield on the jgb removes the disincentive to buy yen thus poor macro data has the ability to have somewhat an effect again
As previously mentioned risk sentiment/yen buying is controlled by keeping a negative yeild on the JGB 10 year. A negative yeild ensures an instant loser when buying yen. The bullish divergence in Japanese yeild opens the idea of a positive yeild meaning the ability to buy yen without being an instant looser is getting ready to happen. Yen buying is seen a risk...
Through massive easing and control of the 10 year the boj has power to control yen buying and selling. Negative yeilds mean negative returns when buying yen so it's more optimal to sell yen vs a stronger currency like usd. Ironically the usdjpy is commonly used as a risk on risk off trigger for equities. So negative carry usdjpy=yen buying hence fear. Positive...
Last trade took less than a day to hit the target. Let's see how this one plays out. See the "Related Ideas" below