When the yield spread touches BB, it generates trading signals.
Copper leads Chinese yields
Chinese yields lead US yields
Stopped working in 2018. Keep track in case it starts working again
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TEN-YEAR TREASURY YIELD TUMBLES WITH OIL ... It should come as no surprise to see bond yields tumbling this week along with crude oil. Both markets have been trending higher together over the past year (with a 60-day Correlation Coefficient of .77). And both have similar chart patterns. The daily bars in Chart 3 shows the 10-Year Treasury Yield ($TNX) ...
If you are contemplating whether to lock a mortgage interest rate, consider the chart here. It appears to be knocking repeatedly on the 3% door and will eventually break through and rates will rise. Even if the consolidation dips to the C point, that may not be enough to trigger a rate decrease, but if so, lock it as it will quickly disappear as the rate goes ...
The 10 Year Yield is now above 2.9% ...
From an EW perspective, it looks like Minuette wave (iv) is over.
The Fed is walking a fine line.
The National debt is too high and interest costs will cripple the country at normal rates like 5%.
But China and Russia and even Japan are not buying treasuries and won’t unless and until interest rates are overwhelmingly ...
What we see in the 10-year yields is that the most probabilistic thing right here is to correct to the 38-50% fibs before starting the new rally phase which will make the new highs.
Even though it has many cycles pushing down the pattern is so positively configured that it will very soon start rising again once that correction is over.
That inversely means that ...
$NDX and $SPX seem on a breakdown path prior to FOMC March 20th 2018 (and $VIX a breakout). There are bearish divs and TNX seems on a path to hit 2.9 by March 19th. Is this all just a manufactured move by market makers and shakers for OPEX week - the main market action feels as 'real' in price action as crypto has recently.
Like last time, markets did not like the rise in 10 year, but this time we have reached a bigger level, black line, to cross. It has a lid on it, and someone is standing on it, afraid top let up on the pressure, but if the lid comes off, long tnx, short equities of all shapes and kinds.
The 10 YR Treasury Note Yield appears to have met strong resistance near the 3.0 mark and is starting to roll over on the weekly charts. Notice the RSI above 70 and starting to hook downward. Every other time the RSI rolled over at or above 70 for the last decade, the trend was down shortly afterwards. The next likely support is at the 2.5 area, which by then ...
higher interest rates may come soon... lets see if the 3% level is broken on the month chart. Week chart has broken out from its inverse head and shoulders pattern.
