Hi all,
This is publish mainly to link to an analysis on the S&P 500 (published 2nd September and updated today), using the Shiller PE Ratio, that indicates over-valuation of the equities market, as well as pointing towards a possible correction. Increasing volatility from U.S. equities that are less able to provide investors competitive dividends, leading ...
SPX500 price actions are similar to those in 1978 (Today is 07/24/1978)
It is interesting to see how 10YR yields moved in 1987 and today.
The late July 1987, it was around 8.60%. By mid Oct, it shot up to above 10% . SPX500 hit the top on the 26th of Aug 1978 and 10YR yield was about 9%.
My point is that current move of yields are also similar to those in ...
10 Year Interest Rates TNX
have broken out strongly to the upside,
reaching a new 2018 high of 3.16%,
a big money sold the 10 year maturities today.
For a 10 year return, backed by the full faith of the US
the return of over 3 % a year, relatively risk free,
for the next 10 years, may prove to much to resist,
for those investors not comfortable, with the high ...
When the yield spread touches BB, it generates trading signals.
Copper leads Chinese yields
Chinese yields lead US yields
Stopped working in 2018. Keep track in case it starts working again
GOOD LUCK
TEN-YEAR TREASURY YIELD TUMBLES WITH OIL ... It should come as no surprise to see bond yields tumbling this week along with crude oil. Both markets have been trending higher together over the past year (with a 60-day Correlation Coefficient of .77). And both have similar chart patterns. The daily bars in Chart 3 shows the 10-Year Treasury Yield ($TNX) ...
If you are contemplating whether to lock a mortgage interest rate, consider the chart here. It appears to be knocking repeatedly on the 3% door and will eventually break through and rates will rise. Even if the consolidation dips to the C point, that may not be enough to trigger a rate decrease, but if so, lock it as it will quickly disappear as the rate goes ...
The 10 Year Yield is now above 2.9% ...
From an EW perspective, it looks like Minuette wave (iv) is over.
The Fed is walking a fine line.
The National debt is too high and interest costs will cripple the country at normal rates like 5%.
But China and Russia and even Japan are not buying treasuries and won’t unless and until interest rates are overwhelmingly ...
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