GBPUSD – Bearish Continuation After H4 BOS📉 GBPUSD – Bearish Continuation After H4 BOS
📌 Pair: GBPUSD
⏱️ Timeframe: H4
📊 Bias: Bearish
🔍 Market Context
GBPUSD has recently delivered a clear Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside, confirming a shift in market control toward sellers.
Following the BOS, price formed a lower high, leaving behind a fresh H4 supply zone, which suggests institutional distribution. Price is currently trading below this zone and is expected to retrace into it before continuing lower.
🎯 Entry Idea
Sell entry inside the marked H4 supply zone
Ideal entry is after:
Price retraces into supply
Bearish reaction or rejection
Optional lower-timeframe confirmation (CHOCH / rejection candle)
📌 Entry area: Within the highlighted supply zone
🛑 Stop Loss (SL)
Place stop loss:
Above the high of the supply zone
Or above the previous H4 swing high
This placement protects against potential liquidity grabs above resistance.
🎯 Take Profit (TP) Targets
TP1: Internal liquidity / recent equal lows
TP2: Previous H4 swing low
TP3 (runner): External liquidity near the next higher-timeframe demand zone
📉 Risk-to-reward is favorable (1:2+ minimum).
🧠 Confluence Summary
✔️ H4 bearish BOS
✔️ Lower high formation
✔️ H4 supply zone
✔️ Liquidity resting below price
✔️ Trend continuation setup
⚠️ Invalidation
This setup becomes invalid if:
A 4H candle closes decisively above the supply zone
📌 Final Notes
This is a pullback-based continuation trade
Wait for confirmation if trading lower timeframes
Always manage risk responsibly (1–2% per trade)
Not financial advice
👍 Like & follow for more Smart Money & GBPUSD setups.
USY / BRITISH POUND
No trades
Market insights
GBPUSD(20260119)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
President Trump vowed last Saturday to impose a series of escalating tariffs on EU member states Denmark, Sweden, France, Germany, the Netherlands, and Finland, as well as the UK and Norway, until the US is authorized to purchase Greenland. On March 17th, Trump announced on social media that a 10% tariff would be imposed on goods imported from Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the UK, the Netherlands, and Finland starting February 1st, and declared that the tariff rate would increase to 25% from June 1st, until the parties reach an agreement on the US's "full and complete purchase of Greenland."
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Threshold:
1.3385
Support and Resistance Levels:
1.3431
1.3414
1.3403
1.3367
1.3355
1.3338
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 1.3385, consider buying with a first target price of 1.3403.
If the price breaks below 1.3338, consider selling with a first target price of 1.3310.
GBPUSD H1 SSL Sweep + Bullish Order Block with RSI ConfirmationOANDA:GBPUSD GBPUSD H1 Timeframe Previously, we had a sell analysis on GBPUSD H1 where sideways liquidity was highlighted, and that analysis was later closed.
Now, price has taken sell-side liquidity, formed a bullish order block, and moved upward.
Currently, price is trading around 1.34213. RSI is at 40.44, indicating selling pressure has weakened.
If RSI reclaims above 50 and price closes above the H1 order block, a bullish move toward 1.35328 is highly probable.
There is a strong possibility that price will move toward the upper order block.
If an H1 candle closes above the upper order block,
Final Target: 1.35328
Stop Loss: Below the lower order block at 1.33728
GBPUSD: Critical Breakdown Below 1.3435 as Fed Pause Fuels YieldAfter months of the long-term bullish trend, price action is finally showing signs of a structural breakdown. Primary catalyst for this downside move is the expectation that the U.S. Federal Reserve will hold interest rates steady next week instead of cutting. Pause by the Fed causing a spike in U.S. Treasury Yields, making the Dollar more attractive.
1.3435 ($78.6% Fib) was the major defense for bulls. Staying below this level keeps the "Sell on Strength" setup active and further downside to the 1.3313 and 1.3292 levels. Resistance: between 1.3430 and 1.3450. However, sustained break above 1.3450 is required to flip the bias back to a bullish continuation. Anything below 1.3450 is currently considered a corrective retest of broken resistance.
How to Sit through Drawdown on GBPUSD (Part 2)Most traders don’t fail because they lack strategy.
They fail because they never slow down long enough to master one market.
In this video, I’m starting the only series I’m running in 2026: Mastering GBPUSD.
This is not about indicators or hype. It’s about rebuilding consistency by focusing on one pair, learning its rhythm, managing drawdown, and developing the discipline most traders avoid.
We cover
• Why mastering GBPUSD starts with a decision, not a strategy
• How to build trust in a market before increasing position size
• How to sit through normal drawdown without sabotaging your plan
• Practical ways to observe price, mark levels, and reduce overtrading
• Why alerts and walking away matter more than staring at charts
If you’ve traded before, had success, lost momentum, and you’re looking to get back into rhythm, this video is for you.
This series is about focus, patience, and self-mastery through one market.
Watch. Apply. Repeat.
Comment “GBPUSD only” if you’re committing to this journey, and subscribe so you don’t miss the next deep dive in the series.
How to Sit through Drawdown on GBPUSD (Part 1)Most traders don’t fail because they lack strategy.
They fail because they never slow down long enough to master one market.
In this video, I’m starting the only series I’m running in 2026: Mastering GBPUSD.
This is not about indicators or hype. It’s about rebuilding consistency by focusing on one pair, learning its rhythm, managing drawdown, and developing the discipline most traders avoid.
We cover
• Why mastering GBPUSD starts with a decision, not a strategy
• How to build trust in a market before increasing position size
• How to sit through normal drawdown without sabotaging your plan
• Practical ways to observe price, mark levels, and reduce overtrading
• Why alerts and walking away matter more than staring at charts
If you’ve traded before, had success, lost momentum, and you’re looking to get back into rhythm, this video is for you.
This series is about focus, patience, and self-mastery through one market.
Watch. Apply. Repeat.
Comment “GBPUSD only” if you’re committing to this journey, and subscribe so you don’t miss the next deep dive in the series.
GBPUSD is in the Selling DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart GBPUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
GBP/USD consolidates within the 4th wave; 261.8% at 1.3298GBP/USD continues to make lower lows and lower highs.
We are seeing a period of consolidation. This can be analysed as a Wyckoff zone. That would suggest that the next move is lower.
Elliott Wave analysis would suggest we are currently consolidating within the 4th wave
It should be noted that the current drive to the downside is being fuelled by both GBP losses and USD gains.
We have a 261.8% extension level at 1.3298
A resistance zone is seen between 1.3432 and 1.3447
Conclusion: although the immediate bias is still skewed to the downside, the system set up suggests buying into dips. I will be looking at 1.3298 as a long entry targeting the 1.3432 to 1.3447 zone.
Bullish reversal?Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which is an overlap support and could bounce to the key resistance.
Pivot: 1.3353
1st Support: 1.3295
1st Resistance: 1.3430
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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Sell GBP/USD at right shoulder / retest trendlineThere is uncertainty around the world at the moment which is usually USD positive due to it's safe haven status. The GBP/USD never does well in this environment and there's a nice H&S shoulders pattern along with a retest of a broken trendline matching up around the same price action. If we are going lower a spike to take out all the stops and reversal is consistent with this forex pair. Profit is an interesting area just under 1.33 with a gap that might get filled.
Sell Limit : 1.3525 right shoulder / retest trendline
Stop : 1.3592 above head of reversal pattern
Profit : 1.3290 fill gap as shown
Risk 1 : 3.5 / stop is 67 pips
GBP/USD: Conservative Short – Waiting for Structure Break at 0.6Executive Summary
We are monitoring GBP/USD for a potential short entry. While the immediate momentum is bearish, we are currently in a corrective "pullback" phase. A conservative approach dictates waiting for the price to reach a Premium Pricing zone before looking for a shift in lower-timeframe structure.
The Conservative Thesis
I am not placing a limit order. Instead, I am set alerts for the 1.3414 – 1.3428 zone (The Purple Box).
Why this zone?
0.618 Fibonacci Confluence: This is the most respected retracement level for institutional "sell-side" liquidity.
Structural Gap: The sharp drop on Jan 15th left an imbalance; a return to 1.3415 fills that inefficiency.
ATR Protection: By entering near 1.3420, our Stop Loss can remain safely above the D1 ATR High (1.3448), offering a superior Risk/Reward ratio without being exposed to daily noise.
Execution Criteria (The "Wait")
I will only execute this trade if the following occurs:
Price enters the Purple Short Area.
We see a Bearish Rejection (e.g., a 1H Pin Bar or a Bearish Engulfing candle).
The SAFX Bias on the 1H confirms bearish momentum (switching from the current corrective state).
Conservative Trade Parameters
Entry: 1.3416 (Post-confirmation)
Stop Loss: 1.3455 (Above the 1.0 Fib level and Daily ATR High)
Take Profit 1: 1.3381 (Previous Swing Low - 1:1 RR)
Take Profit 2: 1.3340 (Major Daily Support - 1:2.5 RR)
GBPUSD SELL TRADE PLANPAIR & DATE: GBPUSD · Jan 15, 2026
PLAN ID: GUUSD/0115
Analysis Timestamp (UTC): 17:51
Chart Age: ≤30m
⸻
🔍 PLAN OVERVIEW
• Category: Intra-Day Position
• Trade Type: Continuation / Breakout-Retest
• Direction: ✅ SELL
• Confidence: 78%
• Min R:R: 1:3 (to TP2)
• Status: ✅ VALID
⸻
🌍 MACRO ALIGNMENT NOTE
• Trend: ✅ WITH — D1 just confirmed bearish BOS, H4 clean structure break
• Macro Bias: ✅ WITH — USD firm post CPI/retail, GBP under pressure ahead of BoE
• Implication: Trend-aligned short valid on pullback to supply zone; GBP vulnerable to macro deterioration
⸻
🎯 LEVELS CARD (Quick Action)
🔵 Primary Setup (Higher Probability)
Direction: ✅ SELL
• Entry 01: 1.3415–1.3430 (Prior H1 order block + H4 bearish imbalance)
• Stop Loss: 1.3455 (above H1 SFP zone)
• TP1: 1.3350
• TP2: 1.3305
• TP3: 1.3260
• Order: ✅ Pending – Pre-validated ✅
• Session: London-NY overlap preferred
⸻
✅ EXECUTION CHECKLIST
1. ✅ News Blackout Gate: 15m pre / 60m post red events (Empire cleared; UK CPI Jan 17)
2. ✅ Price must tap 1.3415–1.3430 in-session
3. ✅ Confirmation: H1 pin / bearish engulf at zone
4. ✅ Execute as pending or on confirmation
5. ✅ Partial at TP1 → SL BE → Trail
6. ✅ Exit if H1 closes above 1.3455
7. ✅ Skip if price doesn’t return to zone
8. ✅ Chop Filter: Flat EMA + weak reaction → skip
⸻
🌐 FUNDAMENTALS & NEWS
• CB Bias:
→ BoE: Neutral-to-dovish tone expected
→ Fed: Still cautious; inflation under control, supporting USD
• Key Data (7d):
→ Jan 17: UK CPI
→ Jan 18: GBP Retail Sales
• Cross-Asset Sentiment:
→ DXY: Rebounded from support; strengthening short-term
→ Equities softening = slight USD bid
→ No GBP-specific strength observed
• Positioning (COT/Flows):
→ GBP longs trimming; USD stable
→ Retail net long GBPUSD → contrarian bearish
Macro Lean: ✅ GBP weakness + USD firmness = downside pressure continues
⸻
🧭 MARKET MAP
• D1: Double top + BOS under 1.3380
• H4: Clean downside leg — continuation structure
• H1: Break + minor pullback forming
• Liquidity Pools: Sell stops under 1.3360 → targeted
• OB/FVG/Value: OB around 1.3415–1.3430 (H1 imbalance zone)
• Play Type: ✅ Breakout-Retest / Continuation
⸻
💰 RISK & MONEY MANAGEMENT
• Risk per idea: 1.0%
• Basket Cap: 2%
• Min R:R: ≥1:3 to TP2
• ATR/Spread: ✅ Passed
• Trailing Method: H1 structure-based
⸻
🧠 CONFIDENCE (ONE SENTENCE)
78% — D1/H4 bearish continuation structure with a confirmed BOS, entry zone aligns with unmitigated H1 OB + macro USD strength
⸻
📌 FINAL EXECUTION STRATEGY / PERSONAL NOTE
• Primary Trigger: Limit sell at 1.3415–1.3430 with confirmation → TP1 partial, trail
• Alternate: ❌ None — section omitted
• Last-Candle Audit: Awaiting zone tap → No trigger yet
• Stay Flat If: Price continues bleeding down without pullback, or sharp bullish reclaim above 1.3455
• Zone Status: ✅ Fresh — untested supply zone
• ❌ No forced trades; discipline over FOMO
⸻
🧾 POST-TRADE JOURNAL
To be updated post-execution
GBPUSD: Mastering One Pair Teaches Swing Trading PerfectlyMost traders don’t fail because they lack strategy
They fail because they lack discipline
In this video, we break down the psychology of trading a single pair and why mastering GBPUSD is one of the fastest ways to build consistency, confidence, and emotional control in the markets.
This isn’t about indicators or chasing setups
It’s about learning one market deeply enough to trust your decisions
Hold trades through drawdown
Stick to a plan
And stop sabotaging yourself with overtrading and noise
We cover
Why focusing on one pair sharpens discipline
How mastering GBPUSD improves risk management and execution
The mental edge that comes from knowing a market inside and out
How to hold trades during drawdown without breaking your rules
If you’re getting back into trading or rebuilding consistency
This video is for you
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GBPUSD 4H – Higher Timeframe RedistributionPrice is trading inside a higher timeframe redistribution phase after a strong prior move.
What this means:
-The market is not accumulating for continuation
-Large players are offloading positions at premium prices
-Structure shows choppy highs, weak follow-through, and overlapping ranges
-Rallies into resistance are likely selling opportunities, not trend continuation
The projected path reflects:
➡️ Short-term upside to rebalance liquidity
➡️ Failure to break higher timeframe resistance
➡️ Expansion lower once redistribution is complete
This is a classic HTF redistribution:
Range → Liquidity build → Distribution → Expansion
Bias remains cautious-bearish unless price accepts above resistance with strong continuation.
📌 Higher timeframe controls direction.
Lower timeframe is only for execution.
Cable declines within the rangeBritish monetary policy moved into greater focus for cable around the middle of January after positive monthly GDP for November with the majority of participants expecting the BoE to cut twice in 2026. Recent data from the USA were generally positive and legal threats against Jerome Powell by the government have moved out of focus for now.
The 23.6% weekly Fibonacci retracement around $1.337 is an obvious potential support which the price is currently testing. There’s no clear evidence of a directional trend on the daily chart, so if the price can break below this potential support it might settle into the value area between the 50 SMA from Bands and the 100 SMA. However, the slow stochastic is close to oversold.
A breakout above $1.35 seems unlikely for now in the absence of strong demand for buying. With the price below the 20 SMA, this might function as a short-term dynamic resistance. The British job report and inflation coming up on 20 and 21 January respectively might give more clues on medium-term direction or if unsurprising confirm sideways movement ahead of the Fed’s meeting.
This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
IDEA GBPUSD SHORT POSITION This is a trade idea on GBPUSD based on price action and intermarket analysis.
Current price is trading around 1.33830 , and the plan is to wait for price to retrace into the Area of Interest (AOI) between 1.33900 – 1.33025 to observe price reaction.
At the same time, DXY is showing bullish strength and continuation, supporting a potential bearish move on GBPUSD due to their inverse correlation.
DXY 4 Hrs
DXY 1hr
A sell position will be considered only after clear price action confirmation from the AOI.
Patience is the edge — the market rewards those who wait. 🎯📉
GU Idea UK economic growth surprised on the upside in November, with real GDP rising 0.3% month-on-month, led by gains in services and manufacturing despite continued weakness in construction, BBH FX analysts report.
BOE rate cuts priced in as policy room remains
"UK economic growth overshot expectations in November. Real GDP rose 0.3% m/m (consensus: 0.1%) vs. -0.1% in October, driven by services and production. Services output increased 0.3% m/m vs. -0.3% in October while production output increased 1.1% m/m vs. 1.3% in October on a solid pick-up in manufacturing activity. The construction sector remains a drag on the economy falling -1.3% m/m following a decline of -1.2% in October."
GBP/USD H4 AnalysisOn the 4-hour timeframe, after a false breakout above the key resistance zone around 1.3530, the GBP/USD pair began a sharp decline, breaking previous price lows and confirming a bearish price action structure.
Accordingly, further downside is expected, with price likely to target 1.3257, followed by 1.3062.
The bearish bias remains valid as long as prices stay below 1.3556.






















