SELL GBPUSD - great trade opportunityGBPUSD has been in a clear downtrend in the last few weeks and is very likely to keep heading to the downside. GBPUSD has recently broken a very powerful support level and then retraced back towards it, the price also struggled to break through resistance and only managed to break through support levels. The price is very likely to keep dropping and drop all the way to the next support level (shown as the take profit level on the chart) - SELL!!
Trade ideas
DeGRAM | GBPUSD is under the resistance area📊 Technical Analysis
● GBP/USD continues to reject the descending resistance line near 1.3110, with repeated failures inside the marked resistance area confirming bearish pressure.
● Price is forming lower highs while consolidating above support at 1.3045; a break below the rising support line exposes 1.3014 as the next target.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Pound remains vulnerable as UK economic momentum slows and markets expect a more dovish BoE stance compared to the Fed.
✨ Summary
Resistance: 1.3090–1.3120. Targets: 1.3045 → 1.3014. Short-term bearish bias remains while below trendline.
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GBPUSD capped below falling resistance trendlineThe GBPUSD pair is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the falling resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend are possible.
Key resistance is located at 1.3220, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 1.3220 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 1.3100, followed by 1.3050 and 1.3000 and 1.2950 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 1.3220 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 1.3290, then 1.3360.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 1.3220. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
The Day Ahead - Heavy ECB Speaker LineupToday is all about ECB communication, with four separate speeches. There is no major hard economic data, so markets will treat ECB rhetoric as the main catalyst for EUR assets, European equities, and rate expectations.
Key Events
09:00 – ECB’s Cipollone (Italy)
Typically dovish-leaning.
Markets will watch for:
Comments on inflation trajectory.
Signals about the timing of the next rate cut.
Risks around Eurozone growth softness.
12:45 – ECB’s Elderson
Known for a balanced stance but focuses on financial stability.
Could comment on:
Banking-sector conditions.
Credit tightening trends.
Sustainability-related risks.
14:45 – ECB President Lagarde
The main market-moving event of the day.
Traders will look for:
Guidance on 2025 rate path.
Whether the ECB is leaning toward additional cuts amid slowing Eurozone activity.
Commentary on services inflation, still sticky.
Any reaction to recent soft PMI readings.
This speech has the highest potential volatility for:
EUR/USD
Eurozone bond yields
European indices (DAX, EuroStoxx)
17:45 – ECB’s Nagel (Germany)
Typically hawkish.
Markets will watch whether he:
Pushes back against rapid easing.
Emphasises inflation persistence.
Supports keeping rates restrictive longer.
Market Implications
Equities
With no macro data, equities will respond mainly to tone from Lagarde.
Dovish messaging → support for European stocks, risk-on bias.
Hawkish pushback → potential pressure on indices.
FX
EUR likely to see intraday volatility around the 14:45 Lagarde event.
A dovish tilt could see EUR weaken, especially vs USD and GBP.
Bonds
Front-end Eurozone yields will react most strongly.
Dovish → yields down
Hawkish → yields up
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DeGRAM | GBPUSD will correct from the $1.31 level📊 Technical Analysis
● GBP/USD continues to respect the descending resistance line, with each test near 1.3120 creating lower highs and confirming bearish structure.
● Price is compressing between resistance and the rising support line; a rejection from 1.3080–1.3120 increases the likelihood of a breakdown toward 1.3046 and 1.3013.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Pound weakens as UK growth signals remain soft and markets expect the BoE to stay cautious while the USD holds firm.
✨ Summary
Resistance: 1.3080–1.3120. Downside targets: 1.3046 → 1.3013. Short-term bearish bias below trendline.
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Market Analysis: GBP/USD Attempts RecoveryMarket Analysis: GBP/USD Attempts Recovery
GBP/USD is attempting a recovery wave from 1.3035.
Important Takeaways for GBP/USD Analysis Today
- The British Pound started a recovery wave above 1.3050 and 1.3080.
- There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.3110 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.
GBP/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of GBP/USD, the pair started a fresh decline from 1.3220 after a decent increase. The British pound fell below 1.3150, re-entering a short-term bearish zone against the US dollar.
The pair even traded below 1.3050 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the bulls appeared near 1.3035. A low was formed near 1.3037 and the pair is now attempting a short-term recovery wave.
There was a fresh upside above 1.3050 and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3215 swing high to the 1.3037 low. The pair is now showing positive signs above 1.3080. Immediate resistance is near a bearish trend line at 1.3110.
The first major hurdle for the bulls on the GBP/USD chart is 1.3125 and the 50% Fib retracement. A close above 1.3125 might spark a decent increase. The next stop for the bulls might be 1.3175. Any more gains could lead the pair toward 1.3215 in the near term.
Initial support sits near the 50-hour simple moving average at 1.3080. The next key area of interest might be 1.3035, below which there is a risk of another sharp decline. In the stated case, the pair could drop toward 1.2965.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GBPUSD PRICE ACTION (BEARISH)!!!📊 GBPUSD – Updated Market Analysis (15M)
Supply Zones Marked:
🔺 1.33750 (HTF supply)
🔺 1.31200 (Active supply / intraday resistance)
🔍 1. Structure Check
The overall structure remains bearish:
Clear lower highs since Oct 22.
The big leg down from 1.33750 continues to dominate.
Every attempt to rally toward 1.31200 has been capped and rejected.
Nothing in the chart suggests trend reversal yet.
🔍 2. Current Price Zone
Current price: 1.30907
Price is sitting just below the 1.31200 supply—which is your most active level.
You can clearly see:
Price rallies into 1.31200
Immediately gets absorbed
Prints sideways patterns → then drops
This confirms that sellers are still positioned there.
GBPUSD remains bearish as long as price trades below 1.31200.
The level continues to act as a heavy supply zone, with repeated rejections and weakening bullish momentum.
Expect selloffs toward 1.30400 and potentially 1.30000 unless a clean breakout above 1.31200 occurs.
GBPUSD SELL TRADE PLANPAIR & DATE: GBPUSD — 24 Nov 2025
PLAN ID: GU-V4-1124-A
Analysis Timestamp (UTC): 06:20 UTC • Chart Age: ≤30m
⸻
PLAN OVERVIEW
• Category: Swing / Intra-Day
• Trade Type: Pullback → WITH-trend continuation
• Direction: SELL ONLY (WITH-TREND)
• Confidence: 81% (VALID ≥70%)
• Min R:R: 1:3 to TP2
• Status: VALID
⸻
🧭 MACRO ALIGNMENT NOTE (Mandatory)
• Trend: WITH-trend
• D1 = strong downtrend
• H4 = clear lower-high → lower-low structure
• H1 = pullback into supply
• Macro Bias: WITH
• USD holding strength
• GBP weak on UK macro + rate expectations soft
• Implication:
→ Primary = SELL ONLY (WITH-TREND)
→ Alternate must follow Bias Integrity Rule → WITH-trend deeper SELL
→ No countertrend BUY allowed (HTF too bearish)
⸻
📍 LEVELS CARD (Quick Action)
🟥 PRIMARY SETUP — HIGHER PROBABILITY (WITH-TREND SELL)
Direction: SELL
• Entry 01: 1.31240 – 1.31310
H4 supply block + clean FVG + micro equal highs liquidity
• Entry 02 (Deeper Zone): 1.31480 – 1.31560
Last unmitigated H4 supply + liquidity sweep pocket
• Stop Loss (Unified): 1.31850
Above HTF swing high + OB invalidation
• TP1: 1.30500
• TP2: 1.29980
• TP3: 1.29300
Order: Pending – Pre-validated ✅
Session: London → NY overlap
Zone Status: Fresh Tap Pending
⸻
🧪 EXECUTION CHECKLIST
1. News Blackout: 15 min pre / 60 min post red events
2. Price must tap zone during London/NY
3. Confirmation = H1 Engulf / Pin / BOS
4. Execute as per order type
5. Partial TP1 → SL BE → trail structure
6. Exit on invalidation breach
7. Skip if no trigger
8. EMA stack flat = skip trade
⸻
📡 FUNDAMENTALS & NEWS
• CB Bias:
• Fed: mildly hawkish → supports USD
• BoE: dovish tilt → weak GBP
• Key Data (7d): US PCE, UK GDP
• Cross-Asset:
• DXY stable → supports USD strength
• Equities mixed → slight risk-off
• Oil not relevant (GBPUSD)
• Macro Lean: Bearish GBP, modestly bullish USD → favors SELL
⸻
🗺 MARKET MAP
• D1/H4: clear downtrend, multiple BOS
• Liquidity:
• Above: equal highs 1.3125 → prime sweep
• Below: 1.3040 / 1.2990
• Zones:
• Fresh H4 supply = Primary
• Breaker/FVG = Alternate
• Play Type:
Pullback → WITH-trend continuation
⸻
💰 RISK & MONEY MANAGEMENT
• Per-idea risk: 1–2%
• Basket cap: 2%
• Min R:R ≥1:3 to TP2
• ATR + spread filters satisfied
• Trail by structure only
⸻
🧠 CONFIDENCE (ONE SENTENCE)
81% — HTF downtrend + macro bearish GBP + clean liquidity above + perfectly aligned H4 supply.
⸻
🎯 FINAL EXECUTION STRATEGY
• Primary: Execute SELL on tap + H1 confirmation; partial TP1 → BE
• Alternate: Only if Primary missed or price forms BOS lower first
• Stay flat:
• If invalidation breaks
• If Asia taps zone (low quality)
• If EMAs flat or no BOS
Zone Status: Primary (Fresh) • Alternate (Valid Retest)
⸻
📝 POST-TRADE JOURNAL (To fill later)
Outcome + Lesson: ___________
GBP/USD – Bearish Structure Remains Intact as Price Rejected at GBP/USD – Bearish Structure Remains Intact as Price Rejected at Key Supply Zone (H1 Analysis)
GBP/USD continues to respect the broader downtrend on the H1 timeframe. The market has formed a series of clean lower highs and lower lows, confirming that bearish momentum is still dominant.
Recently, price retested the short-term supply zone but failed to break through, signaling exhaustion from buyers and reaffirming the bearish bias. The harmonic swings drawn on the chart illustrate a consistent downward rhythm, aligning with the overall trend.
Key Technical Levels
Major resistance: 1.31450 – 1.31600 (higher supply zone)
Immediate resistance: 1.30980 – 1.31040
Short-term support: 1.30500 – 1.30420
Market Structure Insight
Price is producing a clear pattern of lower highs, indicating strong sellers at every pullback.
The recent rejection at the mid-range supply confirms limited bullish strength.
Momentum indicators (EMA compression, candlestick behavior) support a potential continuation to the downside.
Price action shows a tightening consolidation right beneath resistance, often a precursor to a bearish break.
Trading Scenarios
1. Sell Continuation Setup (High Probability)
Entry zone: 1.30980 – 1.31040
Stop-loss: Above 1.31140
Targets:
TP1: 1.30700
TP2: 1.30450 (main target)
TP3: 1.30200 (extended target if momentum increases)
Rationale:
The market is reacting to supply and remains aligned with the bearish trend, making continuation trades the most efficient.
2. Buy Scenario (Low Probability)
Only consider long positions if price breaks and closes above 1.31140
Targets: 1.31300 – 1.31500
SL: below 1.30950
3. Breakout Plan
Below 1.30420: Strong bearish momentum may accelerate toward 1.30000
Above 1.31600: Signals a major shift in market structure
GBP/USD remains bearish unless the upper resistance is broken decisively. Sellers continue to dominate, and short setups aligned with the trend offer the best probability.
Rising Wedge Breakout Spells Decline Continuation For GUFX:GBPUSD delivered a Breakout of A Rising Wedge to end the week last week!
Next, we should suspect a Retest of this Breakout @ the 38.2% Retracement level around 1.31864.
This level proved to hold price below it through the formation of the pattern and would serve as a great area of opportunity to short the pair and ride Price down!
If the Retest of the Breakout is successful, Price would next find Support at the April Lows around the 1.28 - 1.27 area!
Fundamentally its a heavy week for USD with events for GBP littered throughout so keep a close eye on how the results end up affecting the markets!
GBP/USD Long Setup – Demand Zone ReversalPrice has retraced into a clearly defined demand zone on the 1H chart, showing signs of potential bullish reversal. The highlighted area marks a strong support level where buyers previously stepped in. A bullish reaction from this zone is anticipated, supported by the upward arrow projection.
Three target levels are outlined above, representing potential resistance zones and profit-taking areas. This setup favors a long position with tight risk management below the demand zone.
GBP-USD Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBPUSD tapped the horizontal supply, swept resting buy-side liquidity and rejected cleanly from the mitigation block, showing displacement to the downside as smart money shifts order flow bearish.
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Stop Loss: 1.31249$
Take Profit: 1.30706$
Entry: 1.30971$
Time Frame: 2H
--------------------
Sell!
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Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?Cable (GBP/USD) has rejected off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the overlap support.
Pivot: 1.3173
1st Support: 1.2781
1st Resistance: 1.334
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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GBP/USD – Watching Reaction at Monthly VWAP + DeviationsPrice tapped into the monthly VWAP zone along with its +1 and –1 deviations, while building a clear SMT divergence with EURUSD.
We’re now trading inside a high-volume node, and price seems to be pulling liquidity above the recent swing highs before showing signs of exhaustion.
My plan:
I'm looking for price to sweep the upper liquidity, react inside the monthly VWAP deviation, and then reject back downward.
If the reaction is confirmed, the next target remains the 1.3037 zone, which aligns with the lower liquidity pocket.
GBPUSD | Bulish Bias After SSL Sweep
The higher timeframe continues to confirm a bullish environment.
Price swept the sell-side liquidity and tapped directly into a strong 4H demand zone, showing clear intention from institutions to accumulate at discounted territory.
That sets the macro narrative: HTF bullish.
⸻
🔹 HTF Narrative (4H & Macro):
• Major SSL sweep completed
• Price reached deep into discounted territory
• Clean reaction from 4H demand
• HTF structure still intact on the bullish side
• Displacement out of demand confirms higher timeframe control
This is where the shift begins: liquidity taken → premium to discount → demand mitigation → displacement.
⸻
🔹 Mid-Term Structure (30M – 2H):
This is where the bullish argument truly aligns.
• A Lower High (LH) was broken, creating the first real structure shift
• That break delivered a clear CHoCH, confirming bullish intent
• Price then reached into a refined OB inside discounted territory
• This OB becomes our decisional structure point, aligning perfectly with HTF demand
Mid-term confirms the path:
Sweep → shift → return to discount → decisional OB → continuation.
You’re now fully aligned top-down.
⸻
🔹 LTF Execution Layer (5M):
This is the part that confirms whether the macro narrative deserves entries.
Price behavior delivered exactly what we needed:
• LTF respected structure perfectly
• Minor LHs were breached, confirming a micro shift
• The internal flip aligns with the mid-term CHoCH
• After liquidity was taken, price began respecting the bullish order flow
This is your 5M green light:
LTF break of structure + liquidity taken + order flow flip.
When top-down aligns like this, it’s clean, mechanical, and consistent.
⸻
🧠 Final Notes:
The entire flow is textbook:
HTF sweep → Demand reaction → Mid-term CHoCH → OB in discount → LTF flip → Move with price.
Nothing forced.
Nothing chaotic.
Just structure doing exactly what it’s supposed to.
GBPUSD – Weakness Easing with Upside Recovery PotentialAfter an extended decline, price action is showing signs of deceleration, and the latest bounce hints at a short-term recovery phase developing. If momentum continues to build, an upward continuation scenario could unfold as market sentiment shifts in the coming sessions.
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