USY / BRITISH POUND
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GBPUSD Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
GBPUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.3379 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.3416
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPUSD FREE SIGNAL|LONG|
✅GBPUSD breaks decisively below a protected supply zone, confirming a clean ICT market structure shift. The impulsive bearish expansion leaves inefficiency overhead, while acceptance below supply favors continuation toward discounted liquidity.
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Entry: 1.3386
Stop Loss: 1.3415
Take Profit: 1.3340
Time Frame: 6H
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SHORT🔥
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GBPUSD – Major Event Risk on the HorizonIt’s hard to deny there is a lot going on right now in financial markets, however in terms of the world of G7 FX the macro-outlook has been decidedly mixed with conflicting drivers working against each other to keep GBPUSD in a relatively tight range between 1.3350 and 1.3550.
After a brief initial push to the topside at 1.3568 (January 6th) in the first few trading days of 2026, a resurgence of the US dollar towards the back end of last week, supported by resilient US data, led GBPUSD to probe the bottom end of its range, culminating in a gap open in Asia yesterday to register a low of 1.3339.
That move was again short lived, with traders preferring to sell US dollars again in response to President Trump’s weekend threat to impose new trade tariffs on imports of any European countries, including the UK, opposing his plans to buy Greenland. The basis being that retaliatory tariff moves from the EU/UK could weaken the US economy.
Now, looking forward, event risk could be higher than usual, with numerous events scheduled for tomorrow (January 21st) that could spark a much more volatile reaction in GBPUSD. The first is the next UK CPI release at 0700 GMT. A lower than expected reading could renew hopes for the Bank of England to speed up their current pace of interest rate cuts to support a weak economy, a move which could weigh on GBP. However, a higher reading could mean the opposite.
Then, later in the day President Trump is due to speak from the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. It is anticipated that he will initially concentrate on laying out his latest plans for easing cost of living issues for US households, but he may find it hard not to comment on the escalating trade tensions with European allies, provide further insight into who will be the new Fed Chair, Kevin Hassett or Kevin Walsh, as well as discuss the current political challenges his administration are making to the independence of the Federal Reserve, all of which could impact the US dollar side of the GBPUSD currency pair.
Importantly, on Wednesday evening, the US Supreme Court is expected to provide their guidance on the legality of President Trump’s authority to sack Federal Reserve Governor Cook. The outcome of this hearing could have a significant impact on FX markets, especially if the top US court are seen to be siding with the President.
With so much to consider, there is the possibility that the relative calm of FX markets, and GBPUSD in particular, seen at the start 2026 could be shattered, so being prepared to react to wider directional moves could be beneficial.
Technical Update: Correction Themes Ending?
Within Technical Analysis, and especially when using Fibonacci retracements, it’s generally accepted that a correction in an uptrend, or a recovery in a downtrend, can retrace at least 38.2% of the prior move. In an uptrend, this means a pullback in price can find its first support around the 38.2% retracement of the preceding advance.
The daily GBPUSD chart above shows that after the strong advance from the November 4th low to the January 6th high, price weakness has emerged as a natural reaction to over‑extended upside conditions. Last weeks and initially yesterday’s decline tested 1.3363, which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of that prior move, and this level held on a closing basis which helped see a bounce in price to current levels around 1.3435 (0645 GMT).
Traders may now be questioning whether the sell‑off from the January 6th high has completed its corrective phase, creating possibilities for fresh attempts to rebuild price strength.
If so, identifying and monitoring this week’s important support and resistance zones could be pivotal, as their ability to hold or trigger reversals may heavily influence the next directional bias.
Possible Support Levels:
After testing and holding the first retracement level at 1.3363 on a closing basis, this now appears to be the initial support for GBPUSD. While this level holds on a closing basis, scope remains for renewed attempts to rebuild the uptrend.
However, if the 38.2% retracement support at 1.3363 fails to hold on a closing basis, downside risks may increase. In Fibonacci terms, a break below 1.3363 could shift the support focus toward the 50% retracement at 1.3300, potentially even the 61.8% level at 1.3237.
Potential Resistance Levels:
While 1.3363 holds on a closing basis, the bias could still be toward further attempts at uptrend development. However, renewed strength may require closing breaks above resistance levels to suggest upside momentum. The Bollinger mid‑average at 1.3459 could be the next level to monitor.
Closing breaks above the mid‑average at 1.3459, could encourage traders to look for further attempts to push toward higher levels. As the chart above highlights, the next resistance may then be marked by 1.3495, which is the January 13th high, possibly even 1.3568, which is the January 6th high.
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GBPUSD PSYCHOLOGY: Profitability is a Decision, Not a StrategyMost traders don’t fail because they lack strategy.
They fail because they never slow down long enough to master one market.
In this video, I’m starting the only series I’m running in 2026: Mastering GBPUSD.
This is not about indicators or hype. It’s about rebuilding consistency by focusing on one pair, learning its rhythm, managing drawdown, and developing the discipline most traders avoid.
We cover
• Why mastering GBPUSD starts with a decision, not a strategy
• How to build trust in a market before increasing position size
• How to sit through normal drawdown without sabotaging your plan
• Practical ways to observe price, mark levels, and reduce overtrading
• Why alerts and walking away matter more than staring at charts
If you’ve traded before, had success, lost momentum, and you’re looking to get back into rhythm, this video is for you.
This series is about focus, patience, and self-mastery through one market.
Watch. Apply. Repeat.
Comment “GBPUSD only” if you’re committing to this journey, and subscribe so you don’t miss the next deep dive in the series.
Elite | GBPUSD – 4H | Bullish Structure in Corrective PhaseFPMARKETS:GBPUSD
GBPUSD pushed impulsively higher, then entered a corrective phase while respecting the ascending structure. Price is now reacting near a mid-channel demand area, where buyers previously stepped in. However, this is a reaction zone, not confirmation — continuation requires bullish acceptance.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → Holding above the demand zone with bullish structure confirmation opens continuation toward previous highs and liquidity resting above 1.3560.
❌ Bearish Case 📉 → Failure to hold demand and a 4H close below the channel support exposes deeper pullback toward lower structure support.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 1.3560 – 1.3600
Support 🟢: 1.3440 – 1.3400
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
GBPUSD Institutional Levels: Sell 1.3490 → Buy 1.3360🔱 GBPUSD WEEKLY SNAPSHOT — EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
✨ GBPUSD trading inside a liquidity-driven range with expansion risk
🔄 Current environment: balanced → reactive, awaiting liquidity taps
🧱 Fresh sell-side liquidity / sell zones (premium):
• 1.3460
• 1.3490 upper premium / stop-rich zone
🟢 Fresh buy-side liquidity / buy zones (discount):
• 1.3390
• 1.3360 deeper draw / max pain zone
📉 Price currently oscillating between fresh liquidity pools, not trending
🧠 Both sides are unmitigated → clean reactions likely on first touch
⚖️ Market favors mean-reversion trades until a liquidity sweep occurs
🎯 Expect sharp reactions, not chop, at marked levels
⚠️ Bias is conditional, not directional:
• Above mid-range → sellers gain control
• Below mid-range → buyers gain control
🎯 Recommended strategy:
👉 Buy from fresh buy-side liquidity
👉 Sell from fresh sell-side liquidity
🗳️ GBPUSD WEEKLY SCENARIOS — WHAT’S YOUR PLAY?
Which path do you expect for GBPUSD this week?
🅰️ Tap 1.3460–1.3490 → sharp rejection → move back into range
🅱️ Sweep 1.3360 → strong bounce → rotation higher
🅲 Full range sweep (both sides) → expansion next
🅳 Your level: drop ONE price you’re watching most 👇
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🧠 GBPUSD MARKET LOGIC — Institutional Read
• Liquidity is stacked symmetrically above and below current price
• No strong acceptance yet → algos farming both sides
• First touch of fresh liquidity = highest R:R
• Repeated taps weaken the zone → wait for displacement
• Expansion likely after one side is fully swept
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⏳ EXPECTATIONS GOING INTO THE WEEK
⬆️ Rallies into 1.3460–1.3490
→ Watch for rejection, displacement, or failure to accept
→ Favor sell-side reactions
⬇️ Drops into 1.3390–1.3360
→ Watch for absorption, divergence, or strong wicks
→ Favor buy-side reactions
🧨 A clean sweep + acceptance beyond either extreme
→ Signals range resolution & new directional leg
GU Sells to continue short term trendMy outlook is consistent across all pairs this week, with a focus on selling opportunities to continue the downside trend. While there is a stronger demand zone much lower, I’ll be looking to sell pullbacks that can take price into that area.
Confluences for GU Sells:
• DXY remains bullish, supporting downside pressure on GU
• GU has been strongly bearish over the past week
• Multiple breaks of structure confirm bearish momentum
• Clean supply zones above price that offer sell opportunities
P.S. If price retraces and sweeps the inducement I’ve marked, this could present a solid sell opportunity around the 1.34300 level.
GBP/USD targets 1.35 after mixed UK jobs! Break or reversal?Today, we are doing a dive into GBP/USD following a mixed UK jobs report that has left traders scratching their heads. While unemployment has spiked to a 4-year high, sticky wage growth and new tariff threats from President Trump are keeping the pound bid. Is a breakout to 1.35 imminent, or is the labour market crack a warning sign?
We analyse the conflicting signals from the UK economy: unemployment rose to 5.1% in December (highest since 2021), yet wage growth held firm at 4.7%, keeping the BOE cautious on rate cuts. We overlay this with the "Greenland Tariff" threat weakening the US dollar and map out the technical path to 1.3568.
Key topics:
UK Jobs data: A breakdown of the December report—unemployment up to 5.1%, 43k job losses, yet sticky wages (4.7%) are preventing a dovish pivot from the BoE.
Trump tariff threat: How President Trump’s weekend threat to impose 10% tariffs on 8 EU nations (including the UK) over the Greenland dispute is pressuring the dollar and supporting cable.
Technical setup :
Bullish flag breakout: GBP/USD has reclaimed the 1.3400 handle and is holding above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Golden pocket: Currently testing the 1.3481 "golden pocket." A break here targets the 1.3568 cycle high.
Extension target: The 100% Fib extension points to 1.3500 as the immediate hurdle, with 1.3539 and 1.3562 above that.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Are you speculating on a 1.35 breakout or fading the weak labour data? Let us know in the comments!
DeGRAM | GBPUSD will break the nearest support level📊 Technical Analysis
● GBP/USD has broken below the rising channel and is now consolidating under a descending trendline, confirming a shift from bullish structure to corrective distribution.
● Price is capped by the former support-turned-resistance zone near 1.3450, while repeated failures to reclaim this area point to bearish continuation toward the 1.3310 and 1.3200 supports.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● The pound remains pressured by cautious UK macro outlook and persistent USD demand driven by tighter global financial conditions and risk-off sentiment.
✨ Summary
● Breakdown from ascending channel signals trend reversal.
● Key resistance: 1.3450.
● Downside targets: 1.3310 → 1.3200.
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Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 19 - 23 JanuaryMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: Geopolitics, Inflation & Earnings to Watch
In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events and market trends, shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for insights into financial markets to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in!
In this episode of Market Insights, Gary Thomson unpacks the strategic implications of the week’s most critical events driving global markets.
👉 Key topics covered in this episode:
— UK
— US
— Stocks to Watch
Gain insights to strengthen your trading knowledge.
Disclaimer: This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Time to buy GBPUSD nowGBPUSD was in a recent downtrend for the last few weeks and struggled to stay bullish, but recently it has just broken a strong resistance trend line which it tested several times and failed to break through. GBPUSD is very likely to hit the next major resistance zone which is marked as the "TAKE PROFIT" LEVEL. There are many clear signs of new bullish movements. Buy GBPUSD.
GBPUSD GBPUSD 1.32700 DEMANDFLOOR LOOKING FOR LONG POSITION
GBPUSD CURRENT CLOSE OF PRICE ON FRIDAY @ 1.33885
The current Bank of England (BoE) Base Rate is 3.75% (effective December 18, 2025, after 25 bps cut from 4.00%; unchanged through Jan 11, 2026).
inflation (3.2% CPI, above 2% target).
Next meeting: Feb 5, 2026.
the BOE rate Influences UK mortgages
The Bank of England (BoE) base rate directly influences UK mortgages and GDP through monetary policy transmission.
Impact on Mortgages
Tracker/Variable Rates: Directly tied to base rate (currently 3.75%). December 2025's 25 bps cut lowered tracker payments immediately; Nationwide SMR fell from 6.74% to 6.49%, BMR from 6% to 5.75%.
Fixed Rates: Indirectly affected via swap rates/market pricing. Lower base rate = cheaper funding = sub-4% 5-year fixes expected by mid-2026 (from 3.55% today).
Remortgaging: ~1.5M households face SVRs (Standard Variable Rate )
Impact on GDP
Stimulus Channel: Lower rates → cheaper borrowing → higher consumer spending (70% GDP) and business investment → 0.2-0.5% GDP boost per 1% cut.
Housing Multiplier: Cheaper mortgages → property transactions up 10-15% → construction/spending ripple.
Currency Effect: Weaker GBP boosts exports but raises import inflation (3.2% CPI).
Current Cycle: 6 cuts since Aug 2024 added ~1% to 2025 GDP growth; further easing to 3.5% projected supports flatlining economy.
Net Effect: Rate cuts (3.75% → 3.5% expected) provide mortgage relief (~£2B annual household savings) while cautiously supporting GDP without reigniting inflation.
GB10Y@4.377%
HEAD OF THE BOE Andrew Bailey is the current Governor of the Bank of England, serving since March 16, 2020. His term runs through March 2028.
Major Economic Releases
Jan 15: November 2025 GDP (expect continued contraction)
Jan 21: December 2025 CPI Inflation (forecast ~2.1-2.3%)
Jan 14: ICAEW Business Confidence Q4 2025
Feb 18: January 2026 CPI Inflation
Trading Focus
Feb 5 MPC is highest impact—markets price ~40% chance of 25bps cut to 3.5%. Watch CPI trajectory vs 2% target and Bailey's forward guidance.
BOE Monetary Policy Report
Monetary Policy Summary
MPC Official Bank Rate Votes
Official Bank Rate
FEDERAL RESERVE HEAD @: Jerome Powell is the head and Chair since Feb 2018
Federal Funds Rate: 3.5%-3.75% target range (effective post-Dec 2025 cuts; steady through Jan).
PCE@2.5%
WHAT IS PCE???
PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) is the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure, tracking changes in prices of goods and services bought by U.S. consumers
Key Points:
Core PCE excludes volatile food/energy prices (Fed's 2% target gauge)
Monthly Release: BEA publishes last Friday (~8:30 AM ET); Dec 2025 data due Jan 31, 2026
Current Level: ~2.6% YoY headline, 2.7% core (Dec estimate)
Trading Impact: Hot PCE (>3%) pressures Fed rate cut expectations → USD strength, gold/silver pressure. Cool PCE (<2.5%) → rate cut bets rise → weaker USD, gold/silver bullish.
More comprehensive than CPI (substitution bias); watch Jan 31 print ahead of FOMC (Jan 28-29).
Unemployment Rate remains 4.4% from the December 2025 data report
why does unemployment rate matter for feds ???
Unemployment rate guides Fed's dual mandate (maximum employment + 2% inflation). Rising unemployment signals economic weakness, prompting rate cuts to boost hiring/spending.
Phillips Curve Logic:
High unemployment (>5%) → labor slack → disinflationary → Fed cuts rates (stimulate demand, hiring)
Low unemployment (<4%) → wage pressures → inflationary → Fed hikes/pauses (cool overheating)
Taylor Rule Integration:
Taylor Rule prescribes Fed Funds Rate based on inflation and economic slack (output/unemployment gaps). Fed uses it as benchmark, not strict formula, to balance dual mandate.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) +4.3% Q3 2025
US 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.169%
The Fed's remains cautious which reflects strong growth/inflation balance.
Next FOMC: Jan 28-29.
INTERESTRATE DIFFERENTIAL @ GBP-USD (3.75-(3.50%-3.75%)=0.25%-0% FAVOUR GBP LONG
BOND YIELD DIFFERENTIAL @0.209 FAVOUR GBP LONG
CARRY TRADE =FAVOUR GBP
MARKET STRUCTURE =the market structure rejected a supply roof on daily time frame and the technical is pointing on continues sell into 1.32700 demand floor
NOTE ;TRADING IS 100% PROBABILTY
#GBPUSD #GB10Y #US10Y
GOODLUCK
GBPUSD SHORTGBPUSD is known to have a strong correlation with EURUSD, and the trend shifted to a bearish bias at last week’s close.
For now, we will look to position ourselves in an attractive pullback zone.
If price does not reach that area, we will look for short opportunities on bearish extensions.
Best regards and blessings.
You can follo w the trad es on MQL 5 via NEXUS 4.
GBPUSD: Breakout and Potential Retrace! Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.34500 zone, GBPUSD was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.34500 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBP/USD Looking strong buy from key support level🔵GBPUSD – BULLISH SETUP 🔵
📊 Timeframe: 1 Hour
📈 Market Bias: Bullish Continuation
💰 Key Support Zone: 1.33800
🚀 Entry: 1.34200 (Breakout confirmation)
🎯 Technical Targets:
🥇 Target 1: 1.34400
🥈 Target 2: 1.34600
🥉 Target 3: 1.34800
📌 Technical Overview:
GBPUSD is showing strong bullish price action from the key support area at 1.33800. A confirmed breakout above 1.34200 signals further upside momentum on the 1H timeframe, opening the path toward higher resistance levels.
⚠️ Risk Management:
Always use proper risk management and wait for confirmation before entering the trade.
👍 Like | 👣 Follow | 💬 Comment | 🔄 Share
📈 Trade smart. Stay disciplined.
#GBPUSD #ForexTrading #BullishSetup #BuyGBP #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement #ForexSignals 🚀
GBPUSD H1 Liquidity Sweep and Bullish Continuation Setup📝 Description
FX:GBPUSD on the H1 timeframe is trading inside a short-term bullish structure after a clear sell-side liquidity sweep. The recent impulsive move from the lower FVG suggests active demand and a shift toward higher prices, with price now consolidating above key intraday support.
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📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bullish while price holds above the recent H1 higher low
Preferred Setup:
• Entry: 1.3442
• Stop Loss: Below 1.3426
• TP1: 1.3458
• TP2: 1.3475
• TP3: 1.3491 (BSL / higher liquidity)
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🎯 ICT & SMC Notes
• Sell-side liquidity taken prior to bullish expansion
• Bullish displacement confirms short-term order-flow shift
• Buy-side liquidity resting above recent highs
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🧩 Summary
As long as price remains above the swept sell-side and maintains higher lows, FX:GBPUSD is likely to continue its bullish intraday move toward buy-side liquidity.
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🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
UK CPI y/y came in stronger than expected, reinforcing GBP strength and pushing back expectations for near-term BoE easing. At the same time, USD momentum remains weak. This backdrop favors upside continuation in GBPUSD, with pullbacks likely corrective rather than trend-changing.
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⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
GBPUSD bearish intraday outlook 20 Jan 2026Price has completed a liquidity sweep at the previous highs before shifting structure with a clear Change of Character (CHOCH) to the downside. Since then, the market has been printing lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL), indicating that bearish order flow remains intact.
Currently, GBPUSD is pulling back toward a supply zone confluencing with the EMA200, which is acting as dynamic resistance. As long as price respects this area, bearish continuation remains the higher‑probability scenario.
🔽 Bearish Idea
Watching for rejection from the supply zone / EMA200
Potential continuation lower toward the intraday target around 1.3340–1.3345
Market structure remains bearish unless price breaks above the previous LH
📌 Key Confluences
Liquidity sweep at the highs
Clear CHOCH marking bearish structure shift
Retest into supply zone
EMA200 overhead acting as resistance
If the supply zone holds, downside continuation aligns with the prevailing trend.
GBPUSD H1 HTF Downtrend Continuation and BPR Rejection Setup📝 Description
GBPUSD is trading within a clear HTF bearish structure, with price respecting a descending trendline and failing to reclaim prior range highs. The current pullback appears corrective, occurring into a premium BPR zone rather than a structural reversal area.
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📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bearish continuation below HTF descending resistance
Preferred Setup:
• Entry: 1.34083
• Stop Loss: Above 1.34212
• TP1: 1.33886
• TP2: 1.33673
• TP3: 1.3340 (HTF FVG / liquidity draw)
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🎯 ICT & SMC Notes
• Price reacting to H1 BPR in a premium zone
• Structure remains bearish with lower highs intact
• Pullback classified as mitigation, not reversal
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🧩 Summary
As long as price stays below the descending trendline and fails to break above the H1 BPR, bearish continuation toward lower HTF liquidity levels remains the higher-probability scenario.
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🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
With ongoing USD resilience and lack of strong GBP catalysts, market conditions continue to favor downside pressure on GBPUSD in the short term.
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⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.






















