USY / BRITISH POUND
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Market insights
GBP/USD short trade ideaBased on the latest USD and GBP economic data:
USD indicators show weakness in labor and inflation metrics (e.g., -105k vs 64k jobs, 4.4%-4.6% inflation) and slightly lower yields (2.9%-3.0%), signaling a dovish stance.
GBP data shows relative strength in labor and yield spreads (3.6%-3.2% vs prior 3.4%-3.2%, policy rate at 4.00%), indicating stability or mild tightening.
The USD appears weaker compared to GBP on the latest figures, suggesting potential short-term retracement for GBP/USD.
Given the relative shifts and positioning, I am opening a GBP/USD short, aiming to capitalize on potential USD strength reversal and GBP slowing momentum.
GBPUSD: Bullish Push to 1.345?FX:GBPUSD is eyeing a bullish reversal on the 4-hour chart , with price rebounding from cumulative long liquidation near a golden cross on the 4H timeframe, converging with a potential entry zone that could trigger upside momentum if buyers defend against dips amid recent consolidation. This setup suggests a recovery opportunity after the pullback, targeting higher resistance levels with favorable risk-reward.
Entry between 1.3222–1.3266 for a long position (entry at these levels with proper risk and capital management is recommended). Target at 1.3450 . Set a stop loss at a daily close below 1.3177 , yielding a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:2. Monitor for confirmation via a bullish candle close above entry with rising volume, leveraging the pair's momentum post-golden cross.🌟
Fundamentally , GBPUSD is trading around 1.331 in mid-December 2025, with key events this week centered on the US Dollar amid the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting on December 9-10, where a 25-basis-point rate cut is widely expected, potentially weakening the USD further if signals are dovish, though dissent among policymakers could introduce volatility. Supporting data includes Tuesday's NFIB Optimism Index (Nov) at 6:00 am ET and JOLTS Job Openings (Oct, delayed) at 10:00 am ET, which could influence USD strength if labor market resilience persists. Wednesday likely features November CPI data, a critical inflation gauge that may solidify or alter Fed cut expectations if readings show cooling prices. For the British Pound , no major high-impact releases this week, but anticipation builds for the Bank of England's MPC decision next week on December 18, where a quarter-point rate cut is priced in at ~85% probability amid fragile UK growth and inflation concerns, potentially pressuring GBP if confirmed dovish. Overall, softer US data and Fed easing could favor GBP upside this week. 💡
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry (Long):
1.3222 – 1.3266
(Entry at these levels is valid with proper risk & capital management.)
🎯 Target:
1.3450
❌ Stop Loss:
Daily close below 1.3177
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward:
~ 1:2
Does GBPUSD hold the golden-cross support and push toward 1.3450 — or will FOMC volatility create a deeper pullback first? 👇
Bearish drop off?GBP/USD is rising towards the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance level, and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3398
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance
Stop loss: 1.3456
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance.
Take profit: 1.3341
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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GBPUSD FRGNT DAILY FORECAST - Q4 | W51 | D17 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W51 | D17 | Y25 |
📊 GBPUSD FRGNT DAILY FORECAST
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
OANDA:GBPUSD
Hellena | GBP/USD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 1.34683.Colleagues, the upward movement is actively developing, and I see a medium-term upward impulse (12345) developing in the higher wave “1” (red).
At this stage, I see:
1) the possibility of a correction in wave “4” in the area of 1.32440, then reaching the resistance area of 1.34683.
2) the extension of wave “3” directly to the area of 1.34683. Such scenarios often occur in impulses.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Fundamental Market Analysis for December 17, 2025 GBPUSDGBP/USD is trading around 1.34100: overall uncertainty over US rates is limiting the dollar, but domestic risks for the pound are becoming more apparent. UK labor market data point to cooling conditions: unemployment is rising and wage growth is slowing. This strengthens expectations that the Bank of England may move toward cutting rates in the coming months.
Even if the market has partially priced in the probability of such a cut, any confirmation of a more accommodative course could limit demand for the pound. Investors are also closely watching the budget and fiscal agenda: higher borrowing costs and weak consumer demand increase the currency’s sensitivity to news and data. The market tends to reduce risk ahead of key statements from the regulator.
The picture for economic activity remains mixed: the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) shows moderate expansion, but growth momentum is not strong. Against this backdrop, the pound becomes more vulnerable to strong US data and to signals from the Bank of England, supporting a scenario of GBP/USD decline.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.34100, SL 1.34300, TP 1.33200
GBPUSD Is Climbing — Is a BUY Opportunity Opening Up?Hello traders, if you’re looking for a trade that is trend-aligned, clean, and easy to execute, GBPUSD is currently presenting a very solid bullish picture , even though short-term news may still cause some minor volatility.
From a macro perspective, weak UK data (soft GDP) can put pressure on GBP. However, on the other side, the USD is not particularly strong , as the market remains cautious ahead of key U.S. economic data . As a result, GBPUSD is more likely to move in a “slow but steady” bullish manner — pushing higher step by step, pausing, and then continuing.
On the chart, the uptrend remains clearly intact : price is holding above the rising trendline and is well supported by Ichimoku, with the cloud below acting as a strong support base. The 1.3350 zone is a key level — a confluence of trendline support and horizontal demand. As long as this level holds, the bullish structure remains healthy. The preferred scenario is a pullback toward 1.3350, some consolidation, and then a push higher toward 1.3430.
In summary , the preferred strategy remains buying on pullbacks , staying aligned with the prevailing uptrend. And the most important question right now is not “Will it go up?” — but rather: do you have the patience to wait for the 1.3350 zone to execute the cleanest possible entry?
GBPUSD it's breakout? What's next??#GBPUSD.. market broke his resistance area and that is now comvert to supporting area.
That is around 1.3370 to 1.3390
Keep close that region because tha tia our key region and next move will start from here..
NOTE: we will go for cut n reverse below 1.3370 on confirmation .
Good luck
Trade wisely
GBPUSD at wait-and-react area.Price just pushed higher aggressively. That move corrected a large portion of the prior bearish leg. And just tapped back into a major resistance zone. This is a key decision point.
At this level, I’m not interested in chasing longs. Price is extended into resistance. So, if buyers fail to hold above this zone and price starts to stall, I expect price to reach 1.3337.
For longs to remain valid, price must hold above the zone and build structure. Without that, upside continuation is weak.
Until one side clearly proves control, this remains a wait-and-react area.
Trade safely and enjoy the Cosmic Journey recap TradingView rolled out this year.
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GBPUSD acting as a bullish continuation baseGBP/USD Consolidation bullish structure momentum Price previously respected a downward-sloping channel, making lower highs and lower lows, before breaking out strongly to the upside, signalling a change in market momentum.
Technically the breakout, price entered a consolidation range where buyers and sellers are in short-term balance. This zone is acting as a bullish continuation base, with higher lows forming, suggesting accumulation rather than distribution.
If the bulls manage and price pullback and consolidation within the range, followed by a potential bullish continuation toward the first resistance, and if momentum remains strong, an extension toward the higher resistance zone around 1.34210 to 1.34515,
You may find more details in the chart,
Trade wisely best of luck buddies.
Ps: Support with like and comments for better analysis thanks for supporting.
GBP/USD | Testing Supply Zone and Setting Up for Possible Drop!By analyzing the #GBPUSD chart on the 4 hour timeframe, we can see that after the initial drop, price bounced and pushed back into the 1.344 supply zone. Once it hit that level, strong selling pressure kicked in and GBPUSD dropped to 1.334. Right now the pair is trading around 1.336.
If price can hold below 1.33790, we can expect a deeper decline. If it fails to stay below that level, we may first see a pullback toward 1.340 before any major drop happens.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GBPUSD LONG TERM TARGET for 2026-2027I have no time for draggy & complicated analysis. In short, based on the price action, GBPUSD is expected to maintain a bullish trend throughout the next year. Look up for any technical conferences on the monthly & weekly (breakout, TL bounce, etc) & ride this donkey to the moon.
>> Immediate target for next year: taking out the 2016 Brexit High.
Trade safe!






















