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Bearish reversal off 50% Fibonacci resistance?GBP/USD is rising towards the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% FIbonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.3389 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.3435 Why we like it: There is a swing high resistance level. Take profit: 1.3317 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by Vantage
Monthly Forex Analysis: GBPUSD – Issue 213The analyst expects GBPUSD’s price to rise by the specified end time, based on quantitative analysis. The take-profit level only highlights the potential price range during this period — it’s optional and not a prediction that the market will necessarily reach it. You don’t need to go all-in or use leverage to trade wisely. Allocating just a portion of your funds helps keep overall risk low and ensures a more sustainable approach. Our strategy is built on institutional portfolio management principles, not the high-risk, all-in trading styles often promoted on social media. Results are evaluated over the entire analysis period, regardless of whether the take-profit level is reached. The validity of this analysis is based on a specific time range (until 08 Jan 2025), and after this period, the analysis will be reviewed and updated (once every 28 days). ----------------------- Next Analysis: Monthly Forex Analysis: EURUSD – Issue 213
Long
by MoonriseTA
Cable Surge Potential: MA Breakout Signals Bullish Pathway📊 GBP/USD "THE CABLE" | Bullish Breakout Setup - Swing Trade Alert 🚀 🎯 TRADE PLAN: BULLISH MOMENTUM PLAY 📍 Entry Strategy: ✅ Pending BUY Order @ 1.32000 (Post Moving Average Breakout) ⏰ Wait for confirmed breakout + candle close above the MA 🛡️ Stop Loss: ❌ Conservative SL @ 1.30500 (-150 pips) ⚠️ RISK DISCLAIMER: This is MY stop loss based on my strategy. Adjust according to YOUR risk tolerance, position sizing & trading plan. Trade at your own risk. 🎯 Take Profit Target: 💰 Primary TP @ 1.33700 (+170 pips) 📊 Moving Average acting as resistance + overbought zone confluence ⚠️ PROFIT DISCLAIMER: Lock partials on the way up. Trail your stops. This is NOT financial advice - manage YOUR exits based on YOUR strategy. 🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: 📈 Trend: Bullish structure forming 🧱 Key Level: 1.32000 breakout zone = trigger 🚧 Resistance: MA + 1.33700 zone acting as "police barricade" ⚡ Setup: Classic MA breakout + momentum continuation 💱 CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH: Positive Correlation (Move Together): EUR/USD - Currently @ 1.1609 - Both pairs influenced by USD strength/weakness. If EUR/USD rallies, GBP/USD typically follows. GBP/JPY - Currently @ 203.39 - Confirms GBP strength across multiple pairs Inverse Correlation (Move Opposite): USD/JPY - Currently @ 154.69 - USD strength indicator. If USD/JPY falls, it signals USD weakness = GBP/USD strength DXY (Dollar Index) - Watch for DXY weakness to confirm GBP/USD upside Key Correlation Insight: 🔗 If you see EUR/USD breaking resistance + DXY breaking support simultaneously = HIGH probability GBP/USD follows through to target ⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT RULES: ✔️ Never risk more than 1-2% of account per trade ✔️ Set alerts, don't chase the market ✔️ Respect your stop loss - NO EXCEPTIONS ✔️ Take partials at key levels (1.3250, 1.3300) ✔️ Monitor correlations - if EUR/USD reverses, watch GBP/USD closely 👊 Good luck, OG Traders! Drop a 👍 if you're watching this setup!
Long
by The-Thief
Is the Cable Preparing for a Deeper Slide? GBP/USD Outlook🎯 GBP/USD "THE CABLE" - Cash Flow Heist Setup 🏴‍☠️💰 📊 Market Overview The Cable is showing bearish momentum as we approach key resistance zones. This swing/day trade setup focuses on capturing downside movement with strategic risk management. 🔍 Trade Setup Details Direction: 🐻 BEARISH Entry Zone: FLEXIBLE - Multiple entry opportunities available at current price levels Stop Loss: 🛡️ 1.35000 (Invalidation level - protect your capital!) Target: 🎯 1.33300 (Strong support zone + oversold conditions) 📈 Technical Analysis Key Observations: Resistance Overhead: Price facing rejection at upper levels Support Target: 1.33300 confluence zone with multiple factors: Historical strong support Oversold territory expected Potential trap zone for late shorts ⚠️ Risk Management Note: Fellow traders, these levels are MY analysis points. Your risk tolerance = Your rules. Adjust SL/TP based on YOUR account size and strategy. Lock profits along the way - don't get greedy! 💼 🌐 Related Pairs to Watch Keep an eye on these correlated instruments: EUR/USD - Euro strength/weakness impacts Cable DXY (US Dollar Index) - Inverse correlation with GBP/USD GBP/JPY - Confirms GBP momentum EUR/GBP - Shows relative strength between pairs 💵 USD Pairs Correlation: OANDA:AUDUSD - Risk sentiment gauge OANDA:NZDUSD - Commodity currency correlation FX:USDJPY - Safe haven flows indicator Key Point: If DXY strengthens, expect additional downside pressure on Cable. Monitor EUR/USD for confirmation of USD strength vs. weakness in GBP specifically. 🎓 Strategy Notes This is a "cash flow management" approach - meaning we're looking to capture liquidity moves and bank profits systematically. The setup combines: ✅ Technical levels ✅ Market structure ✅ Risk-reward optimization ✅ Exit strategy before reversal zones Pro Tip: Consider scaling out at 1.33500 to secure partial profits before the final target! ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #GBPUSD #TheCable #ForexTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexSignals #CashFlow #BearishSetup #PriceAction #SupportAndResistance #RiskManagement #ForexStrategy #DXY #CurrencyTrading #TradingIdeas #ForexCommunity #MarketAnalysis
Short
by The-Thief
GBPUSD: The Market Is Pausing… But For What?GBPUSD has produced a strong directional move followed by a noticeable slowdown in momentum, suggesting the market may be entering a transitional phase. Recent price action reflects hesitation rather than conviction, often seen when participants reassess positioning after an extended push. This type of structure typically appears ahead of a corrective rotation or a continuation attempt once balance is restored. The sequence developing on the chart highlights uncertainty, making patience critical as the pair prepares for its next decisive move. Rather than reacting to short-term noise, allowing the structure to fully unfold should provide clearer insight into what comes next. **Disclosure:** We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
by WeTradeWAVES
GBPUSD -- Alignment - Based Bullish ContinuationDaily Bias: Bullish. ⸻ 🔹 Higher-Timeframe Context (4H) Price delivered clear bullish momentum: • Mid-term lower high (LH) was broken • SSL was taken, confirming continuation intent • Structure remains intact and supportive of higher prices HTF objective is still active. ⸻ 🔹 Mid-Term Execution (30M) After the SSL was taken: • Price reacted into nearby OBs but failed to hold • This was expected — price was seeking stronger discount • Delivery continued into a 4H origin OB Once the mid-term LH was broken: • Price took additional SSL • Move was engineered into a deeper mid-term OB for proper mitigation No structure failure — just alignment. ⸻ 🔹 Lower-Timeframe Read (5M) After mitigation of the mid-term OB: • I dropped to LTF to read structure, not candles • Mapping structure tells the story — not single candle reactions • Waiting for internal bullish framework to confirm Execution comes after alignment, not during drawdown. ⸻ 🎯 Trade Plan I’ll be attending bullish continuations only. Execution will be based on LTF structural confirmation, not impulse. I’ll remain active and update later in the week once alignment completes. ⸻ 🧠 Mindset Note Failed near OBs don’t mean the idea is wrong — they mean price is seeking better pricing.
Long
by Juicemannn
GBPUSD FRGNT WEEKLY FORECAST - Q4 | W51 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W51 | Y25 | 📊 GBPUSD FRGNT WEEKLY FORECAST 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 OANDA:GBPUSD
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD Compression At Major Level - 1.30000 ForecastOpportunity Range - Short from 1.35000 to 1.30000 - Multiple wicks at weekly high on 3W chart around 1.35000, no price acceptance at this level, favouring reversal. - ATR is compressing and we are approaching holiday periods, expecting less activity and less volume, therefore we are not likely to see a breakout of this range currently - We have pulled back into supply - Corrective bullish leg, shows lack of intent - We have a large zone of Demand and significant psychological level resting below prior swing lows, this could be a magnet for price as we showing signs that we are failing to continue higher - GBP rate cuts are being anticipated, potential weakness for GBP
Short
by mikoaodu
GBP/USD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT Hello, Friends! GBP-USD uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 1.327 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the GBP/USD pair. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
GBPUSD H4 | Falling Towards Key SupportMomentum: Bullish The price is falling towards the buy entry which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and alo trading above the Ichimooku cloud. Buy entry: 1.3259 Overlap support 38.2% Fibonacci retracement Stop loss: 1.3200 Pullback suport 50% Fibonacci retracement Take profit: 1.3369 Pullback resistance High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Long
by Tradu
GBPUSD H1 | Bullish BounceMomentum: Bullish The price is falling towards the buy entry, which is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Buy entry: 1.3352 Pullback support Slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement Stop loss: 1.3316 Pullback support 78.6% Fibonacci retracement Take profit: 1.3434 Swing high resistance High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Long
by Tradu
GU Interesting Daily moves Pattern, Ideas and ThoughtsDaily: Hold/Buy Interesting pattern detected in the past 15 trading days. If you watch at the chart from Thursday 20th November you might notice a buying pattern on every fifth day . Starting from the 20th: on the 25th big buying Then count 5 days and again 3rd of December huge move up And again 5 days and 10 December another big move up: following this pattern is it possible that on next Friday this will happen again? Well no doubt it can. I'm all in for it and following closely how this will develop. Now another interesting thing on the chart is the Thursday Shooting star which by the way formed a new Range , came on high volume , and for any VPA trader this is a volume stopper signal, it's time for a rest. Given this facts I don't expect the price to move substantially during the week on it's own, but on the other hand is a week full of important news so there will be some good spikes in price. Also I'm giving the daily chart a HOLD/BUY as on weekly we are still in pullup of a downtrend, I want to see the HL being formed before fully go Bullish 4H: Buy Bullish trend on this TF is well formed with the HL's and HH's, the week closed near the up slopping trend line on a hammer rejection, it is likely to see some bullish support in the first hours of Monday. The trend line give us a good entry confirmation signal for both shorts or long, I use it especially on reversals , once a LH for uptrend or HL for a uptrend has formed a cross of the opposing trend line is always a good signal, so it is a good think to keep in mind. 1H: Buy Here we see how dip the pullback went taking the price below 1.33614 the previous resistance level now support, although just for a moment then the bulls came in and pushed it back above these level. EMA's are close to the price, which is a fairly good signal, telling us that the price is neither overbought or oversold but just on the right level. The Plan Sell if closes below the trend line Target 1.32964 Buy Continuation 1.33859 Target I 1.34362 Target II 1.34855 Disclaimer: This are notes of what I do for my self every week, but usually I just save them as Private notes so I can keep track on my weekly plan. I decided to start publicly sharing them in the hope that they can be somehow helpful to anyone, and maybe learn something from you in the comments. About me: I trade Support and Resistance both breakouts and rejections, usually my entries are after Hammers and Shooting stars on above average volume. I use VPA (Volume Prize Analysis) for all my analysis and entries. I do not post my Tick Volume indicator as I use different platform for it. My Win%: All time 45.05% 2025 45.51% Q3 51.39% Good Luck in your trading That's the last trading week for me for 2025 Merry Christmas and Happy New Year Thank you Don Bob
by Don_Bob
GBP/USD Puts in Third Weekly Gain Ahead of BoE MeetingGBP/USD pulled back on Friday, falling about 0.11%, following a rally this week that pushed prices to an 8-week high. Today’s losses were modest compared to this week’s price action, with the pair set to put in a gain of about 0.33% on the week. The pound is up nearly 3% since its swing low from early November, which marked the lowest level traded since early April. Now on track for a third weekly gain, GBP/USD has retraced about 50% of its move off the July swing high, which marked its strongest level since 2021. Prices have stair-stepped higher since early November after a double bottom pattern formed. The 23.6% and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement levels have provided support from the double bottom pattern, with the price action around those levels being defined by bull flag patterns. The pseudo 50% Fibonacci provided resistance this week to bulls, with Thursday’s intraday move failing to hold above the level. Coincidentally, this is also alongside 1.34, bringing into play some psychological resistance. The 100-day exponential moving average (EMA) offered support on the latest period of consolidation that started last week, and now the 20-day EMA has nearly crossed above the 50-day EMA, suggesting that momentum is strengthening. Overall, the trend is pointed higher for now, and some consolidation along the way makes sense. The Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of England (BoE) meets next week, and they are expected to cut rates by a narrow margin. With inflation coming down recently and some softness in the labor market for October, we could see a dovish tilt, although the MPC will likely remain divided.
by tastyfx
Forex thoughts: Friday 12 December The USD fought back a little today whilst the S&P stumbled. Possibly due to hawkish FED speak, possibly BROADCOM, or possibly due to profit taking ahead of next week's NFP. Or, of course, possibly something else entirely that I'm unaware of. Either way, the negative tone wasn't something I felt confident enough in to place a 'risk off' trade. As things stand, I'm of the view that the USD is likely to remain on the 'to short list' over the coming weeks. For that to happen, we need to see a continuation of 'softish' US data. The beginning of a USD 'bear trend' has been touted a few times already this year. And each time the dollar has fought back. So it's all eyes on NFP. Wishing you a lovely weekend.
Long
by johnelfedforexblog
GBPUSD Bullish Trend Intact Waiting for the Perfect EntryGBPUSD Analysis – Friday, December 12 Welcome traders! We analyze the market every day to keep you prepared, confident, and aligned with clean institutional setups. Let’s dive into today’s analysis on GBPUSD 👇 Market Overview GBPUSD remains bullish on the weekly, daily, and 4-hour timeframes. Yesterday, price successfully took the buy-side liquidity, confirming the continuation of the higher-timeframe bullish bias. For today, we focus on how price reacts around liquidity and our marked POI zones. Today’s Scenarios 📌 Scenario 1 – Liquidity Sweep Into POI, Then Bullish Continuation Price may • first create liquidity, • then sweep the liquidity from below (previous daily low), • tap into the POI, and from there begin a new bullish leg. This is the clean continuation model with a discount pullback. 📌 Scenario 2 – Sweep the High, Tap OBS, Then Retrace to POI Price may • first move upward into the OBS, • sweep the Asia session high liquidity, • then retrace toward the POI, and from there start the next bullish movement. This scenario allows for a deeper premium-to-discount transition. ⚠️Important Note The market is never 100%, so always: • apply strict risk management, • wait for confirmation before entering any trade. If you have any questions, please comment below. I would love to see your thoughts. 📘 Educational Note: This analysis is for educational and illustrative purposes only. Always follow your own plan, confirm with your strategy, and manage risk carefully. Success in trading comes from discipline, patience, and consistency. 🚀 Empowering traders through clarity, confidence & clean charts. Follow 👉 parisa_tl for more SMC setups and weekly insights. #GBPUSD #ForexAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #SMC #LiquiditySweep #POI #OrderBlock #GBPUSDAnalysis #FXMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #DailyAnalysis #PriceAction #TraderCommunity
by parisa_tl