USY / BRITISH POUND
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Market insights
GBPUSD | 1H | Sell Bias at Channel ResistanceGBPUSD is trading near the upper boundary of a well-defined ascending channel, where previous price action has shown clear rejection. The recent push higher appears corrective, offering a sell opportunity from premium levels within the channel.
Sellers are expected to defend this zone for a move back toward channel support.
Sell Zone: 1.3583– 1.3600
Bias remains bearish while price stays below 1.3600. A clean H1 close above the channel invalidates the setup and signals continuation higher.
DeGRAM | GBPUSD held the $1.34 level📊 Technical Analysis
● GBP/USD rebounded from the ascending support line near 1.338–1.342, forming a higher low after a corrective decline, which preserves the medium-term bullish structure.
● Price is attempting to reverse from support toward the descending resistance around 1.350–1.353, suggesting a recovery leg within a broader consolidation range.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Sterling remains supported by expectations of stable UK monetary policy and easing USD pressure amid softer US rate outlook, improving risk appetite for GBP.
✨ Summary
● Medium-term bullish bias. Key support: 1.338–1.342. Resistance/targets: 1.350–1.356. Structure favors continuation higher if support holds.
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GBP/USD BULLS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|LONG
GBP/USD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 1.341
Target Level: 1.344
Stop Loss: 1.339
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
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GBP/USD Fibonacci Support -> Bullish EngulfI'm still tracking GBP/USD as one of the more attractive major pairs for USD-weakness scenarios and today illustrates that theme well.
The pair opened with a pullback and test of support at the Fibonacci level of 1.3414. Bulls responded to that in a big way, and at this point the daily bar for Cable is showing as a bullish engulfing pattern, which points to the possibility of more upside ahead. This contrasts with the current daily bar in EUR/USD which is showing as a hammer, which can also be construed as bullish but it's not quite to the same degree as the engulfing formation. - js
GBPUSD – H4Price narrowly missed my entry and reacted early from the supply zone, starting the downside move. Despite this, the bearish structure remains intact.
I am expecting a retracement back into the highlighted zone for a proper bearish confirmation before continuation lower. A clear rejection from this area would provide a higher-probability short setup targeting lower liquidity levels.
No confirmation, no trade. Patience over chasing.
GBPUSD HTF analysis 1D/4H Sunday mark-up identifying HTF market structure & possible liquidity draws. Entries on 1/5m timeframes following Asia and London session sweeps (iFVG) in line with HTF areas of interest.
GBPUSD currently experiencing consolidation and ranging on LTF, I will expect a further move to the upside to sweep double top liquidity and mitigate FVG formed by the impulse move that broke structure and formed HTF previous Lower High.
IF reaction to this level (1.3500) is clear and reversal is made I would expect price to retrace toward 1.3000 and target the red highlighted zone to mitigate the remaining FVG from impulse move that broke structure at previous Higher Low ow on Larger Bullish Trend. A good reaction off this level could see us work back up towards 1.4000 towards FVG & 1W trend line.
IF price continues uptrend we could be seeing movement toward 1.4000 without revisiting zone around 1.3000. This situation is less likely but possible since there was strong reaction from zone already & liquidity swept from large range at last reversal.
Please share any feedback. First publish, trying to add some extra narrative to my LTF trading.
Mastering GBPUSD: Why It Feels Hard Before It Feels ClearGBPUSD isn’t difficult because you lack skill. It’s difficult because it demands patience, structure, and trust.
In this three part series, I break down the art of mastering GBPUSD not through flashy setups or overcomplicated strategies, but through understanding how this pair actually moves and why it tests traders psychologically before it rewards them.
We’ll talk about structure, timing, execution, and the subtle mindset shifts that turn frustration into clarity. If you’ve ever felt like GBPUSD almost works for you—but not consistently—this series is designed to help you see what you’ve been missing.
This isn’t about trading more. It’s about trading with intention.
If this resonates, leave a comment, save the video, and let me know which part of GBPUSD you struggle with most. And if you want more breakdowns like this, follow the profile and turn on notifications so you don’t miss the next one.
GBPUSD 3H | Liquidity Sweep Followed by Expected PullbackBy analyzing the #GBPUSD chart on the 3H timeframe, we can observe that after establishing a strong bullish structure, price impulsively pushed higher and successfully reached the recent high near the 1.3565 – 1.3570 region, confirming bullish continuation and strong momentum in the market.
Following this aggressive upside move, GBPUSD is now showing signs of short-term exhaustion, with price reacting sharply from the highs and currently consolidating below the 1.3530 – 1.3540 resistance zone. This reaction suggests that buy-side liquidity above the highs has been swept, and the market has entered a corrective phase.
The current price action indicates a liquidity imbalance, and based on structure, a pullback is expected before the next directional move. As highlighted on the chart, price may retrace toward the 1.3500 level initially, followed by a deeper correction into the 1.3475 support zone, which aligns with previous structure, demand, and unmitigated liquidity.
This short-term corrective move would allow the market to rebalance and potentially build strength for the next move. If sellers maintain control below 1.3530, further downside toward the highlighted support levels remains likely.
However, a strong hold and bullish reaction from the 1.3475 demand zone could open the door for another upside continuation, with price potentially retesting the 1.3565 highs and extending further if momentum builds.
As long as price remains below the recent high and fails to reclaim the 1.3530 – 1.3540 zone, the current outlook favors a healthy pullback rather than immediate continuation.
This analysis will be updated as price reacts at the highlighted levels.
👍 Support with likes and comments to motivate me to share more market insights, and feel free to share your view on whether GBPUSD will continue lower toward demand or resume bullish continuation after the pullback.
Bullish bounce off overlap support?Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap support and oculd bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.3422
1st Support: 1.3347
1st Resistance: 1.3530
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GBPUSD is in demand area!GBPUSD with daily massive bullish engulfting pattern crossing 20ema, GBPUSD is dropping to key level of support where price may have a higher chance of bouncing back to resistance level.
The major trend is up, with continued series of higher low, market structure is still bullish.
Crossing below 1.3414 with a larger ATR candlestick pattern is a high probably bullish setup.
Short till 1.34889Tuesday has seen price sweep previous week highs and displace lower. As a higher timeframe draw on liquidity we have the relative equal lows of 1.34011 on the daily chart. Asian session saw the pm session highs being taken which corresponds to price tapping into the bearish 6H FVG. As such I do not expect London session to take asia highs before heading lower.
I have placed my entry at 1,35134 which is at the previously raided buyside liquidity pool nested in the 15minute bearish balanced price range with my stop at Asia highs and my take profit level at 1.34889 granting a risk to reward ratio of 6.81RR.
Should I get stopped out and price takes asia highs I would still be bearish and wait for a bearish confirmation later in the London session.
Potential bearish drop?GBP/USD is rising towards the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3484
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss: 1.3567
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance level.
Take profit: 1.3355
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement
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GBPUSD Idea update - Possible HTF Bearish reversal PLEASE VISIT PREVIOUS POST FOR TRADE IDEA
MONDAY RECAP
First stage of analysis almost complete as we are approaching large supply zone. Price mitigated FVG left by bullish trends ‘true’ Higher Low found on 15m which can be seen as a large wick formed on the 1h/4h. For price action to make sense we had to return into mentioned FVG within the HTF wick so that price could balance buyers/sellers and continue its uptrend toward the larger draw an liquidity which should be retails stop above double top (swept) & larger trends supply zone.
Please be aware of the lack of pullback currently seen once sweeping the double top & overall momentum of the bullish leg leading up to the supply zone I have pointed out in the chart above.
UPDATE ON TRADE IDEA
In favour of the initial idea we have a lot of price action imbalance on the latest bullish leg that will need mitigating along with the unmitigated FVG shown as the grey area w/ red centre zone that will be our first targeted draw on liquidity if we reverse. Normal entry conditions apply, wait for tap into HTF supply, timeframes alignment, possible sweep on LTF, etc.
IF momentum continues we could be heading for weekly double top (& top trend line of weekly rising wedge) / HTF reversal / ect.
I will now be looking for a ranging Asia session then topside liquidity sweep of Asia by LDN or LDN topside by NY that taps into supply zone initiating reversal.
Cable eyes 1.34 on weak housing data.NFP to make or break bottomCable is pushing toward 1.34 with signs of a potential top forming, as clear divergence on the 4-hour RSI pushes prices lower. The big question: Will UK housing weakness and a divided Fed allow a break to 1.34 towards 1.33, or are we heading back to 1.35?
We analyse the impact of soft UK housing data, Halifax reported a 0.6% drop in December, against a backdrop of US dollar weakness and Fed uncertainty. With NFP looming tomorrow and President Trump potentially announcing a new dovish Fed Chair this month, volatility is guaranteed.
Key drivers
UK Housing softens : High mortgage rates are biting, with prices falling for the first time since June. Markets are split (47%) on an April BOE rate cut, capping Sterling's upside.
Fed & dollar : An 82% probability of a Fed pause in January is priced in, but markets still see cuts in 2026. A "U-shaped" dollar outlook favours GBPUSD upside early in the year.
NFP wildcard : Friday's jobs report could validate the Fed's "wait-and-see" stance or boost rate cut odds above 85%.
Technical levels
Bullish case : If 1.3400 holds as support (double bottom), we could bounce toward 1.3450 and eventually target 1.3500-1.3570 post-NFP.
Bearish case : A breakdown below 1.34 targets 1.3355 and the major support at 1.3300, especially if NFP comes in strong.
RSI check : The 1-hour RSI is oversold, suggesting a short-term bounce, but 4-hour divergence warns of medium-term weakness.
Are you betting on a breakout to 1.35 or fading the divergence? Share your plan in the comments and subscribe for our NFP coverage! Trade safe.
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GBPUSD H4 | Could We See A Reversal From Here?The price is reacting off our sell entry level at 1.3428, which is an overlap resistance.
Our stop loss is set at 1.3472, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.3350, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 141.4% Fibonacci extension.
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GBPUSD — FRGNT FUN COUPON FRIDAY DAILY CHART FORECAST📅 Q1 | D9 | W1 | Y26
📊 GBPUSD — FRGNT FUN COUPON FRIDAY DAILY CHART FORECAST
🔍 Analysis Approach
I’m applying a developed version of Smart Money Concepts, with a structured focus on:
• Identifying Key Points of Interest (POIs) on Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
• Using those POIs to define a clear and controlled trading range 📐
• Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
• Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) as confirmation ✅
This process keeps me precise, disciplined, and aligned with market narrative, rather than reacting emotionally or chasing price.
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“Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge.”
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, combined with a high-probability execution model, is the backbone of any sustainable trading plan 📈🔐
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FX:GBPUSD
My view on GBPUSDMy view on GBPUSD 👇
I like the higher-timeframe structure, but right now price is reacting inside demand after a pullback, so I’m more cautious here.
What I’m watching:
We’ve had a CHoCH into demand, so this area could act as a base
I’d expect some consolidation or a small sweep before any strong move
If price holds above 1.3420–1.3400 and shows bullish confirmation, I’m open to longs toward 1.3550–1.3600
If demand fails, then we could see a deeper pullback before continuation
Overall: bullish bias, but I’d prefer confirmation from demand, not chasing the move.






















