$CMCSA - Comcast Currently Trading at a Decade LowComcast investors have taken a beating over the last decade. At the moment the stock appears significantly undervalued compared to both its historical averages and industry peers.
Currently trading around 4.5× earnings and 4× EV/EBITDA, Comcast’s valuation is less than half of typical media and telecom sector multiples, which generally range between 7×–10× EV/EBITDA and 12×–16× P/E. This compression suggests the market is overly discounting risks such as cord-cutting, streaming competition, and slowing cable growth. However, Comcast’s fundamentals remain solid — it continues to generate robust free cash flow, supports approximately a 5% dividend yield, and has diversified revenue streams across broadband, media, streaming, and theme parks.
Several discounted cash flow (DCF) analyses place Comcast’s intrinsic value between $60–$70 per share, implying 100–140% upside from its current price near $27. A safer bet would be around the $35-$40 range.
In short, Comcast’s current market price reflects excessive pessimism, offering a wide margin of safety for patient investors.
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. I am an amateur investor.
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Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on here, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
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Comcast Wave Analysis – 8 December 2025
- Comcast reversed from key resistance level 28.00
- Likely to fall to support level 26.00
Comcast recently reversed from the resistance zone between the key resistance level 28.00 (which has been reversing the price from November), lower trendline of the down channel from July and the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone created the daily Shooting Star which stopped the previous short-term correction wave ii.
Given the overriding daily downtrend, Comcast can be expected to fall further to the next support level 26.00 (which stopped earlier waves iii and i).
Long Comcast CMCSATrading Fam,
Not getting many long signals from my indicator these days. When I do, I pay attention. In this case, I've received two long signals on the same stock. Though, I am currently only short (and in the profit on both: TSLA and PLTR), I've decided to enter here long on Comcast. My indicator rarely fails me when it signals on these high MC/high vol. stocks. So, I will listen.
On the technical side, I am seeing a nice trendline, which, if my indicator is correct, we will break to the upside on soon. Should at least fill that recent gap down and hit the 50 SMA fairly quickly. It may be worth taking some profit at that point and raising stops to break even. I expect we'll hit our heads on that 50 SMA and draw back for a day or two at least while we wrestle around with it for a little. And then, should we break to the upside, we'll move quick. My final target may even be set too low at this point. I am trading cautiously. But we could tag the underside of that 200 SMA in red before buying subsides to some degree. I'll probably leave a little on the table for this scenario while trailing my stops up as I grab profit.
Conservative target is around $30 with a SL at around $25.50 for a 2:1 rrr. Setting a final target of that 200 SMA would increase your rrr to 5:1 with a potential profit of 23%.
✌️Stew
$CMCSA looks to make a rebound As we enter the 4Q it is looking as though buyers interest may start picking up soon. Double top pattern is completing. Coupled with Comcast's undervalued metrics (low P/E and favorable value scores cited by analysts) and a solid dividend yield, this technical failure to decline can set the stage for a sustained rebound, as renewed buying interest drives the stock out of its recent downtrend.
Comcast will go lower the next few years. Sell now and Buy laterComcast has a huge! I mean huge fib level to test on the high time frame charts. This level will act as a magnet lower. We will have up and downs until we get this low (if we do). If it gets this low, It is a huge buy for me. I will need to wait a very long time though, because this is going to take a while to drop this low if it ever does. I love making these charts way in advance.
I always get messages from mods to explain my trades. I often cant. It comes from almost 10 years of looking at charts. I know trend, levels and my proprietary fib pulls. My record shows for itself. I don't believe anyone should ever copy trade me. All my trades are long term holds and heat is expected in the near term.
Comcast Wave Analysis – 19 August 2025- Comcast reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 35.35
Comcast recently reversed up from the support zone located between the support level 31.40 (former low of wave (A) from April) and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from this support zone started the active impulse wave C of the intermediate wave (B) from April.
Comcast can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 35.35 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave i).
Comcast Wave Analysis – 30 July 2025- Comcast broke the support zone
- Likely fall to support level 31.45
Comcast recently broke the support zone located between the support level 34.00 (which has been reversing the price from the start of May) and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward wave A from April.
The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active impulse wave c, which belongs to wave B from June.
Given the clear daily downtrend, Comcast can be expected to fall further to the next support level 31.45 (former multi-month low from April).
BUY NOW!! Best time in 10 yearsComm Services and Real Estate have the cheapest Shiller PEs right now in the whole market. CMCSA has a Shiller PE of 10.28 according to GuruFocus, almost at its lowest in 10 years, potentially indicating that this is one of the best times to buy, but lets look at some other factors as well.
The FWD GAAP PE is 9.29, approx 38% below the sector and CMCSA's own 5 year average.
Comcast has underperformed over the last year, but it also has increased revenue, profit, and net income YoY 6 out of the previous 10 years, soon to be 7, or 3 years consecutive, so I'm not that worried about the growth aspect.
IRT Tech Analysis, SP is currently sitting above major support going back to 2016. Looking at the weekly chart and RSI, you can see that SP just hit the oversold boundary at 30. You can see what happened the last 3 times the SP reached this level. On average, the SP increased by 64% by the 1 year mark over the last 3 times.
Using DCF based EPS w/o NRI and a discount rate of 11%, Comcast is fairly valued at $70, implying a 51% margin of safety (yum) based on high predictability (most important factor for DCF modeling IMO)
DCF based on FCF implies a 27% margin of safety and adjusted for dividend, 49%.
Comcast Wave Analysis – 22 May 2025
- Comcast reversed from resistance area
- Likely to fall to support level 34.00
Comcast recently reversed down from the resistance area between the resistance level 35.40, upper daily Bollinger Band and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from November.
The downward reversal from the resistance zone started the active impulse wave 3, which today broke the daily up channel from April.
Given the clear daily downtrend, Comcast can be expected to fall to the next support level 34.00 (low of the previous minor correction (b)).
Comcast Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 052025Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 3/61.80%
Chart time frame:D
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress:A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
CMCSA Comcast Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of CMCSA Comcast Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 37.5usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-9-19,
for a premium of approximately $1.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Comcast Wave Analysis – 26 February 2025
- Comcast reversed from the resistance level 36.40
- Likely to fall support level 34.00
Comcast recently reversed down from the resistance area between the resistance level 36.40 (former strong support from January) and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse 1 from November.
The downward reversal from the resistance level 36.40 started wave b of the active minor ABC correction 2 from the end of January.
Given the clear daily downtrend, Comcast is likely to fall further toward the next support level 34.00, the target price for the completion of the active wave b.
CMCSA : Going long for about 0.625% of the net capitalTechnical Overview :
Took a position for about 0.625% of the net capital from the lower trendline of the parallel channel. The price did form a gap down and hence I waited for a consolidation pattern to be formed before being involved in the scrip.
Will be targeting the higher trendline of the parallel channel which is about 35% move from the average entry price.
Fundamental Overview :
In the fourth quarter ending December 31, 2024, Comcast reported a 2% increase in revenue, totaling $31.92 billion, and an adjusted earnings per share of $0.96. The Connectivity & Platforms segment saw a 5% revenue growth to $11.5 billion. However, the company experienced a loss of 139,000 broadband subscribers, exceeding the anticipated loss of 100,000.
Analysts have suggested that Comcast could unlock significant value by restructuring, potentially splitting into three separate public companies. This move is projected to increase Comcast’s stock value by 57%. The conglomerate structure has been cited as a factor leading to market discounts due to concerns over capital returns and leadership alignment.
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If my perspective changes or if I gather additional fundamental data that influences my views, I will provide updates accordingly.
Thank you for following along with this journey, and I remain committed to sharing insights and updates as my trading strategy evolves. As always, please feel free to reach out with any questions or comments.
Other posts related to this particular position and scrip, if any, will be attached underneath. Do check those out too.
Disclaimer: The analysis shared here is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in all markets carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. It’s essential to conduct your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. The views expressed in this analysis are solely mine. It’s important to note that I am not a SEBI registered analyst, so the analysis provided does not constitute formal investment advice under SEBI regulations.
Comcast Wave Analysis – 5 February 2025
- Comcast reversed from key support level 32.50
- Likely to rise to resistance level 35.00
Comcast recently reversed up from key support level 32.50, which stopped the previous sharp downward impulse wave at the end of December.
The support level 32.50was further strengthened by the lower daily Bollinger Band and by the support trendline of the daily down channel from November.
Given the oversold daily RSI indicator, Comcast can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 35.00.
CMCSA Comcast Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsAfter CMCSA reached the previous price target:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of CMCSA Comcast Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 40usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-6-20,
for a premium of approximately $1.86.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Comcast Web CastA web of potential zones of influence and 3 curves that might act as support and/or resistance. Looking for consolidations at the elements, breaks, and perhaps one important inflection point at one of them.
The main scenario follows the path of the rectangles, but hopefully they are designed well enough so that if the path of the stock price deviates into anything else, we might see a pivot or other developments (: bounce) at the most important of them all which can be either of them depending on the evolutions.
Streaming Wars | Who’s Winning, Losing, and Sharing Passwords ?Netflix Is Laughing, Cable Is Crying, and Amazon Is Sneaking Up
Highlights for Today
- Trends and Market Share
- Disney: Streaming Profits on the Rise
- Comcast: Cable Restructuring Underway
- Warner Bros : Box Office Challenges
- Paramount: Streaming Growth Amidst Challenges
In the Battle for Loyalty, One Fact Stands Out: Netflix vs the Rest
1. Trends and Market Share
Platforms like YouTube Premium, Amazon Prime, and Apple TV+ do not report quarterly numbers. Additionally, Disney+ Hotstar is excluded due to its planned merger with Reliance in 2025.
Streaming continues to replace traditional linear TV, benefiting all players. Nielsen reports streaming comprised 41% of US TV time in September 2024, a 3.5-point increase year-over-year, primarily at Cable’s expense.
Key Trends to Watch
-Password-Sharing Crackdown: Following Netflix’s success, Disney introduced paid sharing in the US in late September, with effects expected to emerge in Q4. Max is also gearing up for this initiative.
-Amazon Prime’s Growing Presence:CEO Andy Jassy revealed that Prime Video attracts over 200 million global viewers monthly. Combining exclusive content, live sports, and e-commerce integration, Amazon’s ecosystem presents a credible challenge to Netflix.
-YouTube’s Dominance in Living Rooms: YouTube accounts for over 25% of US streaming TV time (excluding YouTube TV) and continues to grow. Alphabet disclosed that YouTube’s ads and subscriptions brought in $50 billion in revenue over the last 12 months, surpassing Netflix’s $38 billion.
-Subscriber Trends: Tentpole events, like the Olympics for Peacock or hit series like House of the Dragon for Max, drove sign-ups. However, retention remains a challenge for all but Netflix.
2. Disney: Streaming Profits Rise
Disney’s fiscal year ends in September, with Q3 FY24 covering the June quarter.
-Streaming Profits:Disney’s direct2consumer (DTC) segment, which includes Disney+, Hulu, and ESPN+, posted its second consecutive profitable quarter, generating $321 million in operating income. Core Disney+ subscribers rose by 4.4 million, reaching 123 million, driven by ad-supported tiers.
-Box Office Wins: Hits like Inside Out 2 and Deadpool & Wolverine powered $316 million in studio profits. Disney became the first studio to surpass $4 billion in global box office revenue in 2024.
- Challenges in Parks: Parks and Experiences revenue dropped 6% to $1.7 billion, impacted by hurricanes, rising costs, and competition from the Paris Olympics. Domestic attendance held steady, while international parks struggled.
- Linear TV Decline: Revenue fell 6%, with profits plunging 38% to $498 million as cord-cutting and reduced ad sales weighed heavily. Disney plans to integrate streaming and linear TV rather than divest assets.
- Optimistic Outlook: Disney expects earnings growth in FY25 (high single digits) and double digits in FY26 and FY27. Blockbusters like Moana2 and Mufasa:The Lion King are anticipated to maintain momentum.
Takeaway: Disney’s Q4 highlighted strides in its streaming turnaround, buoyed by box office wins. However, the decline in linear TV underscores the challenges of transitioning in a shifting media landscape. Strong content and a focus on profitability position Disney for success under Bob Iger’s leadership.
3.Comcast: Cable Restructuring
-Olympics Drive Growth:The Paris Olympics boosted NBCUniversal’s revenue by 37%, generating $1.2 billion in advertising and adding 3 million Peacock subscribers, which now total 36 million.
-Streaming Expansion: Peacock’s revenue rose 82% year-over-year to $1.5 billion, with losses narrowing to $436 million from $565 million last year.
-Cable Struggles: Cord-cutting led to a loss of 365,000 cable TV subscribers, with video segment revenue down 6.2%. Comcast is exploring a spinoff of cable networks like Bravo and CNBC to prioritize growth areas.
-Theme Parks Slow: Theme park revenue dipped 5% to $2.3 billion as domestic attendance normalized post-COVID.
-Broadband Trends:Despite losing 87,000 broadband customers, revenue increased 3%, with higher average revenue per user.
Takeaway:Comcast’s Q3 reflected both opportunities and challenges. While the Olympics showcased its media strength, declines in cable TV and theme parks persist. Streamlining through a cable spinoff could sharpen its focus, but sustaining growth in Peacock and broadband remains critical.
4.Warner Bruh : Box Office Challenges
-Streaming Growth:Max gained 7.2 million subscribers, reaching 110.5 million globally, supported by international expansion and hits like *House of the Dragon*. Streaming revenue rose 9%, marking Warner’s first profit since 2022.
-Box Office Struggles:Studio revenue declined 17%, with theatrical revenue falling 40% due to a weaker film slate (*Beetlejuice Beetlejuice* and *Twisters* compared to last year’s *Barbie*). Video game revenue dropped 31%.
-Mixed Network Results:Network revenue grew 3% from the Olympics and *Shark Week*, but advertising revenue fell 13%. The $9.1 billion NBA impairment from Q2 continues to loom.
-Debt and Cash Flow Issues:** Free cash flow dropped 69% to $632 million, with $41 billion in debt. Warner renewed its Charter Communications deal to bolster stability.
-CEO’s Confidence:David Zaslav emphasized Max’s momentum, projecting $1 billion in streaming profits by 2025 and hinting at password-sharing monetization.
Takeaway:Warner’s Q3 highlighted streaming success but underscored its dependence on Max as traditional film and TV segments falter. Balancing debt, declining cash flow, and expanding streaming profitability will be key to its stability.
5.Paramount: Streaming Growth
-Streaming Success:Paramount+ gained 3.5 million subscribers, reaching 72 million, thanks to sports like the NFL and UEFA and shows like *Tulsa King*. The streaming unit achieved a $49 million operating income, its second consecutive profitable quarter.
-TV and Film Challenges:TV revenue fell 6% due to lower ad sales and declining cable subscribers. The film division saw revenue plummet 34%, with theatrical revenue dropping 71%.
-Merger Progress:Paramount’s merger with Skydance Media is on track for early 2025, following the exploration of 12 potential bidders.
-Cost-Cutting:Paramount has completed 90% of its $500 million cost reduction initiative, resulting in layoffs and asset write-downs.
-Strategic Shift:Paramount is seeking a streaming joint-venture partner to better compete with Netflix and Disney while managing cable TV’s decline.
Takeaway: Paramount’s streaming gains are encouraging, but traditional TV and film struggles persist. The Skydance merger offers a potential transformation, though stabilizing legacy businesses remains a significant hurdle.






















