XRP Price Reamains Bearish XRP continues to display a bearish macro structure, with higher-timeframe price action showing little evidence that a sustained bullish reversal is underway. While XRP has managed to hold above key support levels in recent weeks, the broader trend remains under pressure, with sellers maintaining control across the larger timeframe picture.
Currently, price is trading around the Value Area High (VAH) of the current trading range, a level that has acted as an important support zone on multiple occasions. Buyers have stepped in near this area several times, preventing a deeper decline and helping establish a temporary floor within the range. However, despite these rebounds, there has been a noticeable lack of bullish volume follow-through, suggesting that demand remains relatively weak and that buyers are struggling to generate meaningful upside momentum.
From a technical perspective, the most important level to monitor is the Value Area High, which is also in confluence with the VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price). A decisive loss of this support region would significantly weaken the current market structure and increase the probability of a deeper corrective move.
Should this breakdown occur, the next major downside target sits at the Point of Control (POC) around $0.49, where a large concentration of historical trading activity has taken place. Until buyers can reclaim key resistance levels and generate stronger volume participation, the overall outlook for XRP remains bearish, with lower prices still favored in the coming weeks
In-depth trading ideas
๏ปฟXRP โ Is History Repeating Itself?I'm comparing the current XRP cycle with the previous one to better estimate the timing of a potential bottom.
Back in the previous cycle, XRP first broke below a major support level and entered a prolonged correction phase.
What happened next? ๐
๐น Price consolidated for more than 112 days
๐น RSI spent an extended period below the 30 oversold level
๐น Momentum gradually stabilized while sellers exhausted themselves
The real bullish signal only came later:
โ
RSI turned back higher from oversold territory
โ
Price broke above the falling red channel
โ
A new bullish phase started
Now, a very similar structure is developing.
Once again:
๐น Price has broken below a major low
๐น XRP is trading within a falling channel
๐น RSI is diving below the 30 level
If the historical pattern continues to play out, we could see a prolonged consolidation phase lasting around 112 days before the bulls are ready to take control.
For now, the focus is not on predicting the exact bottom price.
The focus is on watching for the same sequence of events that marked the previous cycle bottom:
๐ RSI recovering from oversold conditions
๐ A breakout above the falling red channel
๐ Confirmation that bullish momentum is returning
Until then, patience remains key. โณ
Will XRP follow the same roadmap once again? ๐ค
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
๐ Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! ๐
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
XRP/USDT: The $1.11 Macro Channel Floor SweepWhile panic in the retail market is hitting maximum intensity after losing the key spring support lines, a massive macro opportunity is building at the channel floor. ๐ฐ
๐ The Downward Channel Architecture
The dominant macro structure is defined by a massive, multi-month Downward channel shading the entire landscape. ๐ข
The recent collapse out of the tight internal Wedge pattern has completely accelerated the localized markdown phase. ๐งผ
The purple mechanical roadmap projects one last, shallow capitulation sweep directly into the macro Support line near $1.1000 โ $1.1200. ๐ฏ
Tapping this major multi-month baseline will effectively conclude the downside expansion. ๐
Once secured, a violent multi-wave zigzag recovery is projected to launch, targeting the upper channel ceiling near $1.3800. ๐โจ
๐ชค The Capitulation Bear Trap
โ ๏ธ Late-Short Warning: Retail momentum traders are aggressively stacking short leverage directly into the channel floor, fully expecting a complete collapse to zero. ๐คฆโโ๏ธ They are completely blind to the macro structural demand blocks resting directly beneath current prices.
๐ฆ Institutional accumulation desks are using this frantic retail panic to fill large long positions at a deep wholesale discount. As soon as the $1.11 sweep is verified, these overextended short positions will act as absolute rocket fuel for a punishing short squeeze. ๐ธ๐ฅ
๐ฏ Operational Parameters
๐ Optimal Accumulation Zone: $1.1000 โ $1.1400 (Layering limit buy orders directly along the channel support floor) ๐น
๐ก๏ธ Risk Anchor (Stop-Loss): $1.0500 (A clean daily candle close below the macro support line invalidates the setup) ๐
๐ Primary Recovery Destination: $1.3800 (The upper descending macro channel resistance line) ๐ฐ
XRPUSDT โ Chart BEARISH SETUP....๐ XRPUSDT โ Target Plan (Educational Analysis)
Current structure shows price trading below the resistance zone (1.14โ1.15) with weak momentum and possible bearish continuation.
๐ฏ Sell Targets:
โข TP1: 1.090 โ
โข TP2: 1.060 ๐ฏ
โข TP3: 1.050 ๐
๐ Invalidation:
If price breaks and holds above 1.150โ1.180 resistance, the bearish setup becomes weaker.
๐ Professional Description:
Price remains under key resistance while momentum is slowing. A rejection from this zone may lead to another
#XRPUSDT โ Holding the Last Fortres, Recovery or Final Break#XRP
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe and has reached the lower boundary. It is now poised for a bounce and is expected to retest this boundary.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates a downward trend, which is likely to continue given the overbought conditions.
There is a key support zone (in green) at 1.23, and the price has bounced off this zone several times, making it a strong support level.
The price is trending towards the 100-period moving average, which we are approaching. This trend supports an upward move.
Entry Price: 1.26
First Target: 1.276
Second Target: 1.29
Third Target: 1.31
You can stop at the first and second targets and close the price, or continue towards the third target. Stop Loss: At the resistance zone (in green).
Remember this simple rule: Money Management.
Any questions? Please leave a comment.
Thank you.
XRP at the Edge: Why $1.10 Could Spark the Next Big MoveThe February support range that held XRP between $1.25 and $1.55 for months finally gave way in early June, and I won't pretend that wasn't a meaningful shift. I've watched buyers show up like clockwork near that lower boundary for months, and when a structure like that breaks, it rarely does so quietly. The daily candle that pushed price into $1.10 was the kind of move that forces you to reassess the whole picture, not just tweak a stop level.
What makes this situation genuinely interesting is where the selling actually stopped. XRP landed almost precisely on the lower boundary of a much older descending channel active since August 2025 - and that kind of precision doesn't happen by accident. Large participants know where these structural levels sit, and the fact that the liquidation wick tagged that line so cleanly is something I'm not willing to dismiss.
$1.10 Is the Line That Matters
The on-chain backdrop isn't helping the bulls either. Network activity has collapsed roughly 91%, and the XRP profit/loss ratio has hit its lowest reading since 2024. Those aren't the numbers you associate with a market quietly accumulating before a big move - they're the numbers you see when participants are disengaged and actively reducing exposure. I've been around long enough to know that price and activity divergences like this rarely resolve the way bulls hope.
Technical Analysis
From a technical standpoint, the structure remains tilted against the buyers in the short term.
XRP is trading below the 100-hour SMA near $1.135, with a bearish trend line capping rallies around $1.120 - every bounce into that zone is likely to attract sellers before it attracts conviction.
RSI hasn't reclaimed 50 yet, which will tempt some traders to call a bottom, but oversold readings inside a downtrend usually reflect pressure rather than opportunity.
MACD is still grinding in the bearish zone with no clear momentum shift to speak of yet.
My bias stays cautious while price remains below $1.135 on a daily close. A loss of $1.10 opens the door to $1.080 fast, and after that you're looking at $1.050 and eventually the psychological $1.00 level. The $1.27 level - the old February range floor now flipped to resistance โ is the real target I want to see reclaimed before I start taking any bullish scenario seriously. Until then, sharp bounces are selling opportunities, not invitations to chase.
#XRPUSDTXRPUSDT โ Short Setup After Demand Breakdown
Leverage: 10x
The blue demand zone has been engulfed, and price has reacted to the level that caused the breakdown. Confirmation also came from a trendline break, increasing the probability of continuation to the downside. There is an estimated 60% chance that price returns to trigger our order.
**Entry:** 1.1464 $ (order)
**Targets:** 1.1017 โ 1.0408 โ 0.9665 โ 0.8854 โ 0.8218 โ 0.7604 $
**Stop-loss:** 1.1992 $
$XRP Heading Towards A Major Weekly Support ZoneFailed Breakdown Or Pause Before Lower?
โข XRP briefly broke below the February low at $1.117 before recovering into the weekly close.
โข The move left a sizeable lower wick that remains unfilled.
Unfinished Business Below
โข Last week's rejection wick represents a pool of liquidity beneath current price.
โข Until that area is fully reclaimed or invalidated, bears may continue targeting it.
Lower High Remains The Problem
โข The rally into $1.607 produced another lower high.
โข Sellers stepped in well before previous highs could be challenged.
21-Week EMA Acting As Resistance
โข Price continues to trail beneath the 21-week EMA.
โข The moving average remains downward sloping and reinforces the bearish structure.
Major Support Still Below
โข Should the wick be filled and support fail, attention would likely shift towards the July 2023 breakout area around $0.94.
โข That remains the next major historical support zone on the chart.
In Summary
XRP's most important feature right now is the large rejection wick left below the February low. While bulls successfully rejected lower prices, the wick remains unfilled and could continue attracting price in the weeks ahead. Combined with the lower high at $1.607 and continued rejection from the 21-week EMA, the broader structure still favours the bears. For now, the battle centres on whether buyers can defend last week's rejection or whether sellers return to fill the wick completely.
XRPUSDT Trendline Breakdown | Bears Eye 1.1200 & 1.0700๐ XRPUSDT (30M Timeframe)
๐ Analysis:
โข Rising trendline support has been broken โ
โข Price is retesting the broken structure from below
โข Resistance zone around 1.1650 โ 1.1800 is capping upside movement
โข Bearish momentum remains dominant below resistance
๐ฏ Bearish Targets:
โ
TP1: 1.1200 (1st Support)
โ
TP2: 1.0700 (2nd Support)
๐ Resistance Zone:
1.1650 โ 1.1800
๐ Stop Loss:
Above 1.1850
๐ Trade Idea:
SELL on rejection from the resistance zone.
๐ Outlook:
As long as XRP remains below 1.1800, sellers may push the price toward 1.1200 first and potentially 1.0700.
Xrpusdt longInstructions:
Entry point: yellow
Stop loss: red
Take profit: green
๐Leverage x 5-10-20 for crypto
๐Leverage x 20-50-100 for commodities, stocks, indices, and forex
๐Margin 1-5% max.
Always practice risk and money management.
Invest a maximum of 5% on any trade or across all your trades.
Invest only what you can afford to lose, as no one is in control of the market.
๐Our analyses are primarily based on:
breakouts: two trend lines (ascending and descending) and a line indicating a horizontal breakout.
chart patterns: shoulders and head, triangle parttern,ย elliott impulse, etc etc.
We don't always have the time to track them at all times or to represent them visibly, given the numerous signals, the number of channels to manage, and especially because of the often rapid pace of market movements.
indicators: We associate at least two indicators with this technique.
๐Depending on the circumstances, we use specific indicators, often setting 3 or more take profit levels.
๐Indeed, there are good days in trading and also bad days. No one can promise to win every trade, and like all traders worldwide, we also experience stop-loss orders. However, we win more than we lose and remain positive.
๐You can close the position before or after the take profit orders indicated by the green lines if you are personally satisfied; the same applies to stop loss orders.
๐We must stay positive, clear-headed, and humble.
we cannot provide all instructions or all trades here on this channel.
Good luck to us all, and may God guide us. Amen.
XRP Trade Alert - Bearish ImpulseCRYPTOCAP:XRP Trade Alert - Bearish Impulse
Summary: BITSTAMP:XRPUSD Trade Alert
- CITYINDEX:XRPUSD (#XRP) Bearish Impulse starting.
- BINANCE:XRPUSDT Sell Positions in focus.
Technical Analysis: CITYINDEX:XRPUSD Signal
Chart Structure:
- Descending Triangle
- Intermediate Wave (4) Completion
- Fibonacci Golden Ratio
CRYPTOCAP:XRP Prediction:
- Bearish Impulse
- Intermediate Wave (5)
Ripple ( BITSTAMP:XRPUSD ) Trade Levels
- Ticker: BINANCE:XRPUSDT
- Direction: SHORT
- Market Entry @ $1.4250
- Strategic Entry @ $1.465
- SL@ $1.580 & $1.630
- TP1 @ $1.320
- TP2 @ $1.20
- TP3 @ $1.10 / $1.050
BITSTAMP:XRPUSD 4H Chart
BINANCE:XRPUSDT Daily Chart
* Trade Signals are subject to risk, DYOR.
* Not investment advice, only market commentary.
XRP - INVISIBLE DIVERGENCE Forming ? Warned you !Been Warning you since Jan 5 with the โPick your Bottom โ Publication Series
Bottom 1 $1.25
Bottom 2 $1
Bottom 3 $0.75
April 24: Donโt be Fooled !
When everyone was talking about the Weekly MACD Cross UP
I warned it was irelevant until MACD is above the mid line of the indicator
I also mentioned the need for an INVISIBLE DIVERGENGE (at a minimum a regular bullish divergence)
May 19: INVISIBLE DIVERGENCE explained
I illustrated what it would look like using a chart for Silver that formed an Invisible Divergence.
Today June 4
It is very close to being completed, a few cents away.
A move down below $1.12 (the former low of early Feb), a bounce back up and it is done
A New Low may form WITHOUT a MACD Cross Down !!!!!!!
A violent sweep down and back up will likely end this bear market of multi months
Pick your Bottom !!
$1 around the 60 Monthly EMA
$0.75-0.90 in the shaded zone of the bottom of the GREEN Channel
Good Luck !!
USD/CHF: Lock and Load at the 0.7895 Ceiling๐ The Technical Blueprint
The U.S. Dollar is continuing its slow intraday ascent against the Swiss Franc, hovering right at 0.78643 on the 4-hour chart. ๐ This localized bounce is tracking the purple mechanical roadmap perfectly. ๐งผ
The overarching macro geometry remains completely bound within a heavy descending Wedge pattern. ๐ The current upswing is projected to tap its final limit at the upper trendline resistance cluster near 0.7895. ๐ฏ
Once the price tags this key structural junction, institutional supply is expected to sweep the board. ๐จ This rejection will launch a multi-wave markdown vector targeting the macro support baseline at 0.7775. ๐๐
๐ชค The Behavioral Trap
โ ๏ธ The Momentum Trap: Retail buyers are actively chasing these consecutive green candles out of sudden FOMO. ๐คฆโโ๏ธ They are completely blind to the macro descending ceiling locking the pair down from above.
๐ฆ Institutional market makers are intentionally engineering this short-term lift to pool deep buy liquidity and trigger early short stops. As soon as the price tags the 0.7895 line, commercial desks will drop their bids and trap late breakout buyers at the absolute top. ๐ธ๐ฅ
๐ฏ Operational Coordinates
๐ Optimal Short Zone: 0.7890 โ 0.7898 (Fading the absolute peak of the purple roadmap) ๐น
๐ก๏ธ Risk Anchor (Stop-Loss): 0.7915 (A clean 4-hour candle close above the wedge ceiling line invalidates the setup) ๐
๐ฐ Primary Take-Profit Floor: 0.7775 (The major lower support baseline of the macro wedge structure) ๐
XRP/USDT: The 1.2200 Wedge Liquidity Spring๐ The Technical Breakdown
XRP is trading under local bearish pressure at 1.2712 within its 3-hour chart block. ๐ The ongoing multi-day markdown has completely locked the asset inside a long-term descending Wedge pattern. ๐
The immediate price action is rolling downhill toward the final unconquered liquidity pocket near the bottom of the structure. ๐งผ The purple structural roadmap maps out an imminent, final capitulation swipe directly into the macro wedge support floor at 1.2200. ๐ฏ
Once this final baseline is tested and validated, an impulsive multi-wave trend reversal is projected to launch. ๐ This spring-board reaction will trigger a swift, zigzagging relief rally targeting the upper descending wedge ceiling near 1.3300. ๐โจ
๐ชค The Behavioral Trap
โ ๏ธ The Capitulation Trap: Retail traders are panicking over the immediate string of red candles and are opening late shorts right above the channel support. ๐คฆโโ๏ธ They are completely unaware that they are providing the exact wholesale exit liquidity that market makers need to fill massive spot buy orders.
๐ฆ Institutional accumulation desks are purposely letting the price drift lower to trigger retail stop-losses. Once the 1.2200 level is tagged, commercial buy limits will trigger instantly, snapping the door closed on trapped shorters and driving a vertical squeeze. ๐ธ๐ฅ
๐ฏ Operational Parameters
๐ Optimal Accumulation Zone: 1.2150 โ 1.2300 (Layering laddered buy orders inside the macro wedge floor) ๐น
๐ก๏ธ Risk Anchor (Stop-Loss): 1.1950 (A clean 3-hour candle close below the lower channel line invalidates the setup) ๐
๐ฐ Primary Take-Profit Target: 1.3300 (The major descending upper resistance boundary of the wedge) ๐
#XRPUSDT โ Holding the Last Fortres, Recovery or Final Break#XRP
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe and has reached the lower boundary. It is now poised for a bounce and is expected to retest this boundary.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates a downward trend, which is likely to continue given the overbought conditions.
A key support zone (in green) has been identified at 1.01. The price has bounced off this zone several times, making it a strong support level.
The price is trending towards the 100-period moving average, which we are approaching. This trend supports an upward move.
Entry Price: 1.08
Target 1: 1.11
Target 2: 1.13
Target 3: 1.17
You can close at the second target or wait for the third target to be reached. The choice is yours.
Stop Loss: At the resistance zone (in green).
Remember this simple rule: Money Management.
Any questions? Please leave a comment.
Thank you.
XRP 5D MACRO PROJECTIONSXRPUSDT 5-Day Macro Elliott Wave Projection
Based on your 5-Day chart, the wave count suggests that XRP may still be in a large-degree bullish cycle, with the current decline potentially serving as a major Wave (2) correction before the next impulsive advance.
Current Structure
The chart appears to show:
Wave i โ ii โ iii โ iv already completed.
The explosive rally from late 2024 into 2025 is likely the beginning of a larger impulse structure.
XRP is currently correcting through an A-B-C pattern, which may complete a larger Wave (2).
The highlighted Fibonacci retracement zone between:
50% = $1.19
61.8% = $0.91
appears to be the primary accumulation area for the completion of Wave (2).
What the Projection Suggests
If Wave (2) completes near the 50%-61.8% retracement zone:
A new impulsive advance begins.
Wave (1) of the next cycle pushes above previous highs.
Wave (3) becomes the strongest expansion phase.
Wave (4) provides a correction.
Wave (5) completes the larger Cycle Wave V.
Projected Targets
Your chart projects:
Target Price
Wave (3) ~$14.46
Extended Wave (3) ~$20.07
Wave (5) $50+
These projections are based on Fibonacci extensions and Elliott Wave relationships.
Bullish Scenario
Primary Support Zone
$0.91 โ $1.19
As long as XRP holds this region and develops a bullish reversal structure:
Probability favors continuation higher.
A break above the previous peak near $3.40โ$3.60 would confirm the next impulsive phase.
Risk Scenario
The macro bullish thesis becomes weaker if:
XRP decisively breaks below $0.91.
The correction becomes more complex than a standard Wave (2).
Bitcoin enters a prolonged bear market, dragging the broader crypto market lower.
Macro Narrative
The chart is essentially proposing:
"The rally from 2024โ2025 was not the full bull market. It was only the first major impulse. The current pullback is a higher-degree Wave (2), and the strongest portion of the cycle (Wave 3 of Cycle V) still lies ahead."
Elliott Wave Probability Assessment
๐ Bullish Macro Count: 65โ70%
๐ Deep Correction / Alternate Count: 30โ35%
Summary for a TradingView Post
XRP is approaching a major Fibonacci retracement zone between $1.19 and $0.91, where a higher-degree Wave (2) may complete. If buyers defend this region, the next impulsive cycle could target $14โ$20 initially, with a long-term Elliott Wave projection extending toward $50+ during Cycle Wave V. The bullish thesis remains valid while price holds above the 61.8% retracement region.
One thing I would note: the $50+ target is extremely ambitious and would require a total crypto market expansion far beyond previous cycles. The $14โ$20 zone is the more realistic medium-term objective if this wave count plays out correctly.
XRPUSDT - Re-Accumulation, Is XRP Preparing for the Next BullishOn the Weekly (1W) timeframe, XRP remains in a correction phase after reaching its peak around $3.66. The decline throughout 2025โ2026 has brought the price back toward a historically significant area: the major demand and support zone between $0.63 and $0.75 (yellow box).
๐จ This zone is not just another support area because it previously served as:
โ
A long-term accumulation zone before the major 2024 rally
โ
A strong resistance level that was eventually broken and flipped into support
โ
The intersection between horizontal support and a multi-year ascending trendline
๐ก In other words, this area represents one of the most important levels for XRP's long-term bullish market structure.
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ Pattern Analysis
๐ Ascending Triangle / Multi-Year Ascending Structure
The chart highlights a long-term Ascending Triangle structure that has been developing since 2022.
๐ Key characteristics of the pattern:
๐น Higher lows continue to form year after year
๐น The ascending trendline remains the primary support of the overall structure
๐น The $0.63โ$0.75 region represents a historical breakout zone
๐น Price is currently retracing back toward a major retest area
๐ In classical technical analysis, a retest of a major breakout zone often presents an accumulation opportunity before the primary trend resumes.
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ข Bullish Scenario
๐ Bullish Retest and Rebound
If XRP successfully holds within the $0.63โ$0.75 support zone, this area could become a major accumulation region.
๐ Bullish confirmation signals:
โ
Strong rejection from the support zone
โ
Formation of a new higher low
โ
Increasing buying volume
โ
Price reclaiming key intermediate resistance levels
๐ฏ Bullish targets:
๐ฅ $1.20
๐ฅ $1.80
๐ฅ $2.50
๐ $3.00
๐ $3.66 (local cycle high)
๐ If overall crypto market sentiment improves, XRP could potentially enter a new price discovery phase after breaking above previous highs.
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ด Bearish Scenario
โ ๏ธ Demand Zone Breakdown
The bearish scenario becomes active if XRP loses its critical support around $0.63.
๐ Bearish confirmation signals:
โ Weekly close below $0.63
โ Breakdown of the multi-year ascending trendline
โ Significant increase in selling volume
๐ If a breakdown occurs, the long-term bullish structure would begin to weaken, opening the door for deeper downside movement.
๐ฏ Next support levels:
๐ป $0.55
๐ป $0.50
๐ป $0.40
๐ป $0.32
๐ก๏ธ As long as the $0.63 level remains intact, a major bearish breakdown is not yet confirmed.
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ฏ Conclusion
XRP is currently approaching one of the most important technical areas of the past several years: the $0.63โ$0.75 support zone.
๐จ This zone combines multiple technical factors:
๐ธ Historical breakout level
๐ธ Multi-year demand zone
๐ธ Ascending trendline support
๐ธ Potential institutional re-accumulation area
๐ As long as this region holds, the probability of a significant rebound and continuation of the long-term bullish trend remains intact.
โ ๏ธ However, if support fails to hold, the risk of a much deeper correction will increase substantially.
๐ญ Therefore, the $0.63โ$0.75 zone can be viewed as the final line of defense for XRP's long-term bullish structure.
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
#XRP #XRPUSDT #Ripple #Crypto #Cryptocurrency #Altcoin #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #PriceAction #ChartAnalysis #Bullish #Bearish #SupportAndResistance #Accumulation #Breakout #CryptoTrading #SwingTrading #MarketStructure #TrendAnalysis #WeeklyChart #Altseason






















