As equities bleed, bonds catching a bid. Dipping toe into TLT, IEI, SHY.
sell spy on a rip, buy bonds on this dip market has mostly priced the fed's moves in now. Outliers are higher rate rises than expected
Sell bonds and buy stocks or buy bonds and sell stocks?
Trips to overbought RSI have produced consolidations to change of trend, however all that have touched the upper channel have caused change of trend. Overwhelming consensus has been long stocks - short bonds. Are we seeing an inflection point?
Weekly candlesticks of SPY over TLT - i.e. SPDR S&P 500 stocks over iShares Long Term Treasury is pulling back and since new high in Jan 2021 has a long way to go (around 20%) to support. It does not necessarily mean that stocks will drop. But it could be that treasuries over perform (and stocks go sideways or even up but treasury prices are just stronger). This...
All the way back down to blue TL. Could we see a reaction and get a #bond bounce? $TNX $ZN_F $GLD $GC_F $GDX $DXY $SPY $SPX $ES_F $VIX $QQQ $NQ_F $DIA #Trading #Stocks #StockMarket 📈
The bubble is in bonds, stocks are fine they say ........
S&P 500 ETF SPY vs iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF TLT
bullish sentiment at extremes for stocks and pessimism at extreme bearish for bonds. Time to be contrarian again.
back in recent extreme box. Do rates continue to fall putting pressure on growth or does tlt bounce as safe haven with a broad market pull back. Either way it seems like something may snap. In conjunction with the growth to value, its an interesting chart to keep eye on and be aware of. Personal thoughts like everything else. Can I make myself reposition...
prior resistance from 2000 & 08 is back to resistance. Looks bad for spy to me
Most times you see these divergence (marked in orange box) it is a precursor to a change in trend. Historical occurrences are shown as well as now with the NDX
Another ratio, another possibility. I'm with the red count on this one with the blue count as a more bearish alternative. Despite all the doom and gloom I keep seeing charts that would suggest another leg up for US equities. Or is is just my biases kicking in.....?
assuming bonds are around the top at the moment. spy will expect to have more downside
Long: TLT / Short: SPY Almost breaking out of 38.2% Fib levels' Momentum is growing - 60 MA almost crossing 120MA from below' Almost breaking out of trendline Secotor Rotatiion - Equities to Bonds. PMI's < 50
Probably the most basic rotation investment strategy, is the switching strategy between the S&P 500 US stock market (SPY) and long duration Treasuries (TLT). The SPY-TLT ETF pair is a very interesting investment strategy, because most of the time these two ETFs profit from an inverse correlation. If there is a real stock market correction, then Treasuries like TLT...