AlexTrik

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Last visit Joined 5 months ago United Kingdom
Swing/Position Trader || Commodities, Indices, Derivatives
Markets Allocation
9 % commodities 6 % stocks 85 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
USOIL 32% | 11 NGAS 23% | 8 SPX 14% | 5 SPX500USD 5% | 2
AlexTrik AlexTrik NGAS, D, Short , 2 days ago
NGAS: Natural Gas short: Fakey
107 4 2
NGAS, D Short
Natural Gas short: Fakey
The uptrend of NGAS in the past week was a completely irrational move fueled by good news for oil. Other than that, inventories were slighly below forecasts and weather neutral. Furthemore, this rally is starting to experience exchaustion with huge spreads between bid and ask which leads to gaps--mostly to the ...
AlexTrik AlexTrik USOIL, D, Long , 2 days ago
USOIL: OIL ULTRA BULL-LONG: OIL $60 by year end
37 2 2
USOIL, D Long
OIL ULTRA BULL-LONG: OIL $60 by year end
Not much to say. The deal rejuvenated oil. Daily and Weekly are bullish with nice volume to accomodate the increase. Oil should be $60+ by year end
AlexTrik AlexTrik USOIL, D, Short , 6 days ago
USOIL: U.S. Oil SHORT: OPEC can't save itself.
112 0 7
USOIL, D Short
U.S. Oil SHORT: OPEC can't save itself.
Being the cinical oil bear I am. I will be shorting USOIL after the huge downturn on Friday. All indicators are bearish with the STOCH RSI showing a lot of room for downside. Furthermore, I think Wall Street finally realized that OPEC is not willing to take initiative and will be shorting for the first time in ...
AlexTrik AlexTrik NGAS, D, Short , 6 days ago
NGAS: Natural Gas SHORT: December is Coming
128 0 6
NGAS, D Short
Natural Gas SHORT: December is Coming
Friday I started selling my position in NGAS. Whilst I do expect further movement up, I think that there may be a possibility for some profit in the short side. That's because the upper BB did not seem to widen when the price reached it. This is a very common sign of NGAS reversing. Furthermore, the STOCH RSI look ...
AlexTrik AlexTrik SPX500, D, Short , 11 days ago
SPX500: SP500 SHORT: S&P500 possible short
167 3 6
SPX500, D Short
SP500 SHORT: S&P500 possible short
With the S&P500 making new highs on no basis and serious resistance appearing at new levels, along with STOCHRSI signaling extremely overbought and MACD begining to reverse, I would take a small short position at $2205 with a T.P. $2175
AlexTrik AlexTrik NGAS, W, Long , 11 days ago
NGAS: Natural Gas LONG: NGAS $3.2
55 0 2
NGAS, W Long
Natural Gas LONG: NGAS $3.2
I think NGAS hit rock bottom for now. Moving into the winter with chilli temperatures incoming and a perfect trend reversal setup (STOCHRSI and MACD) I think it is very likely we see NGAS reach $3.2 + within the next two weeks. Very crucial to whether this will occur as planned are the inventories which based on ...
AlexTrik AlexTrik DRYS, D, Long , 19 days ago
DRYS: DRYS: Supernova
92 0 3
DRYS, D Long
DRYS: Supernova
Despite the amazing pop in the previous day, I think DRYS has room for more upside movement. If we manage to break the three Daily Candle pop pattern, DRYS could go supernova. I scalped and only will (scalp) this stock in the following days. Only if we manage to break the pattern will I dare to hold overnight. ...
AlexTrik AlexTrik NG1!, D, Short , 19 days ago
NG1!: Natural Gas Short: Only for 1 day
63 0 3
NG1!, D Short
Natural Gas Short: Only for 1 day
I will be sorting Natural Gas for only 1 day (12/14/2016) I don't think Natural Gas has a clear direction right now, but I do think it is still in limbo, just at a lower level than expected. Thus I do forecast a drop back from the 10DMA levels of 2.737 to erase today's (11/14/2016) gains, but no movement lower, ...
AlexTrik AlexTrik SP1!, D, Long , 23 days ago
SP1!: S&P 500: All Time HIGHS?
24 0 3
SP1!, D Long
S&P 500: All Time HIGHS?
Despite the binary expectations of analysts (if HC wins long, if DT wins short) we saw an amazing rebound followed by a green day. Apart from the unexpected price action, the MACD is also giving a buy signal. The 200DMA and 50DMA haven't crossed over, and thus I don't think this is the top. I would not be suprised ...
AlexTrik AlexTrik USOIL, D, Short , 23 days ago
USOIL: Oil Short: Downtrend continues
87 0 1
USOIL, D Short
Oil Short: Downtrend continues
The oil market in the following days will be very shaky but ultimately, it will reach $43 which is my first TP. From there on I am not sure about oil direction as the indicators on different time scales greatly contradict themselves and some data also contradicts other data and indicators.
AlexTrik AlexTrik USOIL, D, Long , a month ago
USOIL: Oil Long: Finally Exhaustion
105 0 2
USOIL, D Long
Oil Long: Finally Exhaustion
As I expected, but wrong in terms of timing, oil is seeing an exhaustion in its downwards movement. Yesterday was the DCL according to Time Cycles. Additionally the Stochastics RSI looks dangerously oversold, which leads me to believe that the reversal to the upside will be very rapid. I expect the first selling ...
AlexTrik AlexTrik SPX500USD, W, a month ago
SPX500USD: If Trump wins
34 0 2
SPX500USD, W
If Trump wins
If trump wins I expect a market crash, around -8% from the current index price to summer 2015 lows, around 1920. To enter a short position though, I will wait for the MACD on weekly to send a sell signal, at which point the loss for the markets could extend further than 8%. I will make sure to keep an eye on 200DMA ...
AlexTrik AlexTrik SPX500USD, W, a month ago
SPX500USD: If Clinton Wins
39 0 2
SPX500USD, W
If Clinton Wins
If Clinton wins expect 1-2 week rally for major indices. I expect a retracement back to the 2130-2140 zone where I will enter as short, because after the rally I expect more downwards movement to at least Brexit lows around 2010-2000. Since the lower BB is not widening, I expect a similar situation as 2014-10-13.
AlexTrik AlexTrik USOIL, D, Long , a month ago
USOIL: YOLO: OIL LONG
145 2 4
USOIL, D Long
YOLO: OIL LONG
Despite the title, I take this trade with 100% seriousness. Oil has been heavily oversold in the past days and despite bad fundamental aspects, it has to "rest" before selling off more. Today (11/3/2016) we saw a quite rare phenomenon where a candle opens outside the lower BB and holds. NEVER in the past 2 ...
AlexTrik AlexTrik USOIL, W, Short , a month ago
USOIL: $40 Oil
39 0 3
USOIL, W Short
$40 Oil
In accordance to my previous idea, my sentiment on oil today and for the following days is bearish. On the weekly chart, oil looks to have a lot of room for downside with the MACD flat, just barely crossing over and the STOCHS signaling a reversal. I think if this pattern completes we should see $40 oil within ...
AlexTrik AlexTrik NGAS, 60, a month ago
NGAS: NGAS in Limbo
49 0 1
NGAS, 60
NGAS in Limbo
After the contract rollover, NGAS lost it's downwards momentum. No special news were published during the intentories and thus I expect NGAS to just "hang out" between the BB (1H) until the BB closes on 4H and D. From there I expect opportunities to short below the current HCL. Expect this ...
AlexTrik AlexTrik USOIL, D, Short , a month ago
USOIL: UPDATE:  Oops,  I  made a  mistake
40 0 1
USOIL, D Short
UPDATE: Oops, I made a mistake
I would like to apologize for my previous analysis on oil. Whilst the idea was correct, I falsly planted the fib retracement a nd got wrong levels. Apparantly, the new pivot point is at $46.1. Thus I changed my target to that. Other than the wrong levels, you can read "Oil hates ...
AlexTrik AlexTrik SPX500, D, Short , a month ago
SPX500: S&P500: Elections doomsday?
146 0 6
SPX500, D Short
S&P500: Elections doomsday?
Let me start off by saying I don't think a crash (-10%+) will occur before election day. Still as experienced in previous election cycles, usually two to one week before election day markets tend to sell-off as there is high uncertainty associated with presidential elections. I am basing this possible short play ...
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