AlexTrik

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About me I have been trading commodities and Indexes since 2014. I watch 5m/1h/4h/1d/1w and use momentum (STOCH RSI, RSI, MACD), Pivot points and fibonacci as well as Elliot Waves.
Joined United Kingdom
Swing/Position Trader || WTI Oil, Natural Gas, Gold
Markets Allocation
7 % commodities 5 % stocks 89 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
TVC:USOIL 27% | 12 NGAS 22% | 10 FX:USOIL 18% | 8 SPX 11% | 5
AlexTrik AlexTrik USOIL, D, Long ,
USOIL: OIL LONG: The OPEC comeback
91 6 6
USOIL, D Long
OIL LONG: The OPEC comeback

May is the month where OPEC and Russia meet once again to discuss an extension of the supply cuts. This creates a bull euphoria in the market, which combined with the technical indicators can make oil rocket to a (minimum) price of $55 (previous DCH). The 10DMA started curving upwards, whereas the RSI has a lot of room to move to the upside. Furthermore, volume ...

AlexTrik AlexTrik USOIL, D, Long ,
USOIL: OIL LONG: Clear reversal
126 0 6
USOIL, D Long
OIL LONG: Clear reversal

In my opinion this is a clear reversal on 4 major indicators; 1. 200DMA 2. RSI usually reverses around 30 when the price is retracing and not crashing (our case) 3. MACD bullish reversal 4. STOCH RSI bottomed for a week now. Furthermore, the general environment for oil is good with OPEC talks about extension cuts (even rumours are good to make profits) as well ...

AlexTrik AlexTrik USOIL, W, Long ,
USOIL: Oil long: Too bad
175 6 7
USOIL, W Long
Oil long: Too bad

We failed to break the 200DMA on the weekly chart. On top of that we had a clear reversal candle and volume on 3/14/2017 (idea thanks for Chartwatchers. Furthermore, all indicators are signaling a bullish pivot. I am not sure how long this bull will last, so I will have a tight stop-loss.

AlexTrik AlexTrik USOIL, D, Short ,
USOIL: Short OIL: VICTORY!
108 0 6
USOIL, D Short
Short OIL: VICTORY!

After 2 months+, oil is developing into a rampant bear. This in my opinion is the initial move of a general bearish trend to come. My first target is $48, as I said in my first post on this trade 2 months ago, with the possibility of a second target of $44-42. This point will not contain any analysis or further explanations, as I have already registered my ...

AlexTrik AlexTrik USOIL, W, Short ,
USOIL: USOIL SHORT: CONSOLIDATION PATTERN
157 7 7
USOIL, W Short
USOIL SHORT: CONSOLIDATION PATTERN

2 months later, oil is still flat. As mentioned in my previous post about oil, I think this is a very crucial moment in the future price of oil. That's because oil is heavily manipulated and thus, if we fail to fulfill the consolidation and crash pattern as observed on 2015-06-29, I think oil will shoot to $65. All indicators on the weekly are very bearish and ...

AlexTrik AlexTrik NGAS, D, Long ,
NGAS: NGAS: LONG
133 3 3
NGAS, D Long
NGAS: LONG

All technical indicators are oversold with signs of reversal on Daily and Weekly time frames. Additionally, we touched th 200d MA and bounced off of it. Be careful though, this might be a short lived bull run as we might fail to break 3.1 and thus create opportunity for a leg down. Thus I will set my first target at 3.1 and wait to see if there are signs of ...

AlexTrik AlexTrik NGAS, W,
NGAS: NGAS: Soon there will be a possibility for a long position
72 0 7
NGAS, W
NGAS: Soon there will be a possibility for a long position

Based on Daily and Weekly technical analysis as well as fundamental I think there is a possible trade to the long side for NGAS in the upcoming weeks. I will post a more in-depth analysis when I see a window to enter the trade. For now I am keeping some cash to be ready.

AlexTrik AlexTrik USOIL, D, Short ,
USOIL: OIL SHORT: Biggest scam of the year or technical consolidation?
258 16 9
USOIL, D Short
OIL SHORT: Biggest scam of the year or technical consolidation?

Dear shorts, I know most of us are extremely frustrated with the situation of OIL in the past (almost) 2 months. Whilst it should have retraced a long time ago, it can't seem to do so. In the early stages of this short trade, mostly technical indicators supported the idea whilst in the past ±4 weeks fundamental factors should cause oil to crash, since despite ...

AlexTrik AlexTrik USOIL, W, Short ,
USOIL: USOIL SHORT: OPEN THE GATES
138 2 7
USOIL, W Short
USOIL SHORT: OPEN THE GATES

After the Daily Key Reversal last week which also helped form a doji on the WEEKLY, I am convinced that from this week and for the following 3-4 oil will go down. RSI and STOCHRSI have topped on the weekly and are reversing as well as the MACD. My first target is $48 and then $44-42.5

AlexTrik AlexTrik USOIL, D, Short ,
USOIL: USOIL: Rejection of Resistance
126 2 7
USOIL, D Short
USOIL: Rejection of Resistance

51.91 Was rejected nicely, opening a short with TP $49

AlexTrik AlexTrik NGAS, D, Short ,
NGAS: Natural Gas short: Fakey
227 6 4
NGAS, D Short
Natural Gas short: Fakey

The uptrend of NGAS in the past week was a completely irrational move fueled by good news for oil. Other than that, inventories were slighly below forecasts and weather neutral. Furthemore, this rally is starting to experience exchaustion with huge spreads between bid and ask which leads to gaps--mostly to the downside. Thus, I believe that panic selling will ...

AlexTrik AlexTrik USOIL, D, Long ,
USOIL: OIL ULTRA BULL-LONG: OIL $60 by year end
64 2 4
USOIL, D Long
OIL ULTRA BULL-LONG: OIL $60 by year end

Not much to say. The deal rejuvenated oil. Daily and Weekly are bullish with nice volume to accomodate the increase. Oil should be $60+ by year end

AlexTrik AlexTrik USOIL, D, Short ,
USOIL: U.S. Oil SHORT: OPEC can't save itself.
120 0 9
USOIL, D Short
U.S. Oil SHORT: OPEC can't save itself.

Being the cinical oil bear I am. I will be shorting USOIL after the huge downturn on Friday. All indicators are bearish with the STOCH RSI showing a lot of room for downside. Furthermore, I think Wall Street finally realized that OPEC is not willing to take initiative and will be shorting for the first time in months during the OPEC meeting at the end of November.

AlexTrik AlexTrik NGAS, D, Short ,
NGAS: Natural Gas SHORT: December is Coming
143 0 8
NGAS, D Short
Natural Gas SHORT: December is Coming

Friday I started selling my position in NGAS. Whilst I do expect further movement up, I think that there may be a possibility for some profit in the short side. That's because the upper BB did not seem to widen when the price reached it. This is a very common sign of NGAS reversing. Furthermore, the STOCH RSI look like not much upside is available. The MACD is ...

AlexTrik AlexTrik SPX500, D, Short ,
SPX500: SP500 SHORT: S&P500 possible short
175 3 8
SPX500, D Short
SP500 SHORT: S&P500 possible short

With the S&P500 making new highs on no basis and serious resistance appearing at new levels, along with STOCHRSI signaling extremely overbought and MACD begining to reverse, I would take a small short position at $2205 with a T.P. $2175

AlexTrik AlexTrik NGAS, W, Long ,
NGAS: Natural Gas LONG: NGAS $3.2
72 0 3
NGAS, W Long
Natural Gas LONG: NGAS $3.2

I think NGAS hit rock bottom for now. Moving into the winter with chilli temperatures incoming and a perfect trend reversal setup (STOCHRSI and MACD) I think it is very likely we see NGAS reach $3.2 + within the next two weeks. Very crucial to whether this will occur as planned are the inventories which based on past data and future expectations should be as or ...

AlexTrik AlexTrik DRYS, D, Long ,
DRYS: DRYS: Supernova
183 1 4
DRYS, D Long
DRYS: Supernova

Despite the amazing pop in the previous day, I think DRYS has room for more upside movement. If we manage to break the three Daily Candle pop pattern, DRYS could go supernova. I scalped and only will (scalp) this stock in the following days. Only if we manage to break the pattern will I dare to hold overnight. Apart from positive news (DBI from 800 to 1000) and ...

AlexTrik AlexTrik NG1!, D, Short ,
NG1!: Natural Gas Short: Only for 1 day
68 0 4
NG1!, D Short
Natural Gas Short: Only for 1 day

I will be sorting Natural Gas for only 1 day (12/14/2016) I don't think Natural Gas has a clear direction right now, but I do think it is still in limbo, just at a lower level than expected. Thus I do forecast a drop back from the 10DMA levels of 2.737 to erase today's (11/14/2016) gains, but no movement lower, at least not this week.

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SPX500
S&P 500 index of US listed shares
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XAUUSD
Gold / U.S. Dollar
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USOIL
Crude Oil (WTI)
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DXY
US DOLLAR CURRENCY INDEX
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NGAS
Natural Gas (Henry Hub)
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