AlexanderHamilton

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Joined Chicago QuantsMakeMore
Damn the torpedoes. Full speed ahead! -- Admiral David Farragut
Markets Allocation
76 % stocks 15 % commodities 6 % cryptocurrency 3 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
TSLA 11% | 4 GS 8% | 3 CMG 8% | 3 REGN 5% | 2
AlexanderHamilton AlexanderHamilton REGN, 60, Short ,
REGN: REGN come down.
20 0 4
REGN, 60 Short
REGN come down.

Based on intuition. A lost skill in this world of systematics who never learned how to actually trade.

AlexanderHamilton AlexanderHamilton SNAP, 30, Long ,
SNAP: SNAP gap filling
70 0 4
SNAP, 30 Long
SNAP gap filling

Snapchat fell 21%, did people really expect a speculative company to do well so soon? We have begun a move up and after multiple long triggers, I feel as though there is fuel for at least another 12% ride in the tank. All gaps fill to some degree right? And especially in a speculative company. The TSLA style die hards will emerge.

AlexanderHamilton AlexanderHamilton CMG, 30, Short ,
CMG: Chipotle will pullback over next few days
38 2 5
CMG, 30 Short
Chipotle will pullback over next few days

moved up 5.4%, a down move to that tune is likely. I love stocks that have ranges.

AlexanderHamilton AlexanderHamilton GS, D, Short ,
GS: Goldman Sachs pullback will continue
14 0 6
GS, D Short
Goldman Sachs pullback will continue

Banks are up on irrational exuberance. US finance sector performing very well nonetheless. Previous bull count triggers during an oversold period resulted in pullbacks which we are currently in although we have not reached the level necessary to confirm a selloff. Which is why I am confident in downtrend continuing and hopefully to at least <190. 190 is a ...

AlexanderHamilton AlexanderHamilton TSLA, 30,
TSLA: Tesla Retrace
52 0 7
TSLA, 30
Tesla Retrace

I incorrectly thought that TSLA would continue down for this is nothing more than a speculative stock. My logic was not correct and basic quant stuff proves that. All gaps fill to some degree and this one filled completely which I did not expect. When TSLA does finally come down to a fair value, there will be a mad rush for the door and the sheer size of people ...

AlexanderHamilton AlexanderHamilton FIT, D, Long ,
FIT: Bullish on Fitbit
44 1 4
FIT, D Long
Bullish on Fitbit

Just watch.

AlexanderHamilton AlexanderHamilton TSLA, D, Long ,
TSLA: Tesla using a mean reversion system
64 0 6
TSLA, D Long
Tesla using a mean reversion system

TSLA is more fun to trade than to drive right? ;)

AlexanderHamilton AlexanderHamilton ESM2017, 30, Long ,
ESM2017: S&P reversal.
17 0 4
ESM2017, 30 Long
S&P reversal.

momentum based mean reversion strategy correctly anticipated reversal.

AlexanderHamilton AlexanderHamilton FB, D, Short ,
FB: FB due for correction based on Quant Logic
53 0 4
FB, D Short
FB due for correction based on Quant Logic

I made the Yankee hat more famous than a Yankee can. Chart is pretty self explanatory. Basic mean reversion based on multiple standard deviation move and sustained bullish momentum.

BAC: BAC momentum trading
45 0 3
BAC, D
BAC momentum trading

Based on algo's momentum strategy.

AlexanderHamilton AlexanderHamilton SNY, D, Short ,
SNY: Sanofi potential short?
7 0 3
SNY, D Short
Sanofi potential short?

Not confident in this one. not much to make a decision on other than maybe momentum switch and bull trend needs to end.

AlexanderHamilton AlexanderHamilton ABBV, D, Short ,
ABBV: ABBV
21 0 3
ABBV, D Short
ABBV

Short signal in momentum.

AlexanderHamilton AlexanderHamilton CLK2017, 30, Short ,
CLK2017: Oil short.
83 0 7
CLK2017, 30 Short
Oil short.

The chart says it all.

AlexanderHamilton AlexanderHamilton BRK.B, D, Long ,
BRK.B: Berkshire reversal (class B)
52 0 4
BRK.B, D Long
Berkshire reversal (class B)

Trading using a mean reversion system requires several levels of confirmation to reduce risk and increase likelihood of making a profitable trade. Trading the initial signal is rarely successful. Trading the second signal guarantees entry before primary trend. Momentum indicates a bullish pattern is on its way. Let's see how this works out.

AlexanderHamilton AlexanderHamilton BTCUSD, D,
BTCUSD: Momentum combined with mean reversion channels on BTC
176 0 7
BTCUSD, D
Momentum combined with mean reversion channels on BTC

I am not a fan of crypto but it has easily identifiable mean reversion and momentum patterns which have proven to be effective in equities and futures market. Intraday trading of BTC has too much risk as swings in BTC are fast and unpredictable. Weekly trends seem easier to play.

AlexanderHamilton AlexanderHamilton ESM2017, 30,
ESM2017: Using momentum to trade S&P futures
34 0 8
ESM2017, 30
Using momentum to trade S&P futures

Requires strong bullish/bearish momentum along with a confirmation which is seen in the peak of a momentum wave followed by an alternate candle. momentum is effective in calling the top/bottom of a short term trend.

REGN: Regeneron is a volatility lovers dream
48 0 6
REGN, D
Regeneron is a volatility lovers dream

REGN is better suited for short term swing trading than TSLA or CMG. The predictable price action patterns make this worth trading although with increased volatility comes increased risk. The predictable nature helps to prevent getting caught on the wrong end of a 30 point swing.

PULM: more mean reversion
14 0 3
PULM, D
more mean reversion

First trade is a fluke more than anything quant related.

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