AndyM

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About me Independent full-time trader relying exclusively on Elliott Waves principles.
Joined
“No warning can save people determined to grow suddenly rich” – Lord Overstone
Markets Allocation
43 % forex 10 % stocks 7 % indices 40 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPX 11% | 36 XAUUSD 8% | 28 EURUSD 8% | 26 GBPUSD 8% | 26
AndyM AndyM TLT, 1D, Short ,
TLT: The most important chart
272 3 5
TLT, 1D Short
The most important chart

All goes as planned. See earlier charts and comments on this chart.

AndyM AndyM FRA40, 3D, Short ,
FRA40: Market crash is due, the CAC40 is just an example
205 3 5
FRA40, 3D Short
Market crash is due, the CAC40 is just an example

Looks like all corrections in all indices are over, and we are going to see a market crash in May-June. The multi-year bear market started end of January this year, but nobody notices. Watch out for a big sell-off over the next couple of months. Note that EUR and other currencies should fall together with indices and bonds. Crude should follow too.

AndyM AndyM GBPJPY, 240,
GBPJPY: The downtrend should resume in xJPY pairs
462 2 9
GBPJPY, 240
The downtrend should resume in xJPY pairs

GBPJPY is very clear in terms of structure. EURJPY less so, but both should follow approx. the same route.

AndyM AndyM EURUSD, 60, Long ,
EURUSD: The final blow
913 50 10
EURUSD, 60 Long
The final blow

The decline from 1.2320 looks very corrective, looks like a triangle, a new high is due, can hit 1.2440.

AndyM AndyM EURUSD, 240, Long ,
EURUSD: Ending wedge in EUR
405 7 8
EURUSD, 240 Long
Ending wedge in EUR

Nice structure to finalize the bullish trend. Note that GBPUSD also will make a new high, there's ending wedge there too.

AndyM AndyM TLT, 240, Short ,
TLT: Bonds have finally left the triangle
558 6 6
TLT, 240 Short
Bonds have finally left the triangle

Finally what I've been talking about for the last 6 months begins to come true. People in the investment community started to talk about "crashing bonds". They have no idea how low the bonds are going to crash. A giant spike in DXY is just around the corner. SPX sell-off is closing in too.

AndyM AndyM XAUUSD, D, Short ,
XAUUSD: Short Gold ahead of DXY rally
595 2 8
XAUUSD, D Short
Short Gold ahead of DXY rally

let's see if this works..

AndyM AndyM EURGBP, D, Short ,
EURGBP: I don't have even the slightest doubt about this one
299 11 8
EURGBP, D Short
I don't have even the slightest doubt about this one

This is a very important chart. It links GBP to EUR. GBP targets are more or less clear, but EUR targets are fuzzy. However, EURGBP targets are written on the wall. 0.78...0.80. Now, 0.8 for EURGBP * 1.20 for GBPUSD = 0.96 for EUR. It can be worse! 0.78 * 1.15 = 0.8970. This, of course, assumes that the moves in GBP and EURGBP will happen at the same time. ...

AndyM AndyM USDCNY, D, Long ,
USDCNY: The Yuan is about to weaken again, markets hate that, usually.
432 0 3
USDCNY, D Long
The Yuan is about to weaken again, markets hate that, usually.

It could be China, weakening its paper currency by 15-20%...

AndyM AndyM GBPUSD, D, Short ,
GBPUSD: Sell GBPUSD once 1.33 is broken to below. Exiting triangle
246 13 5
GBPUSD, D Short
Sell GBPUSD once 1.33 is broken to below. Exiting triangle

Targeting 1.20 and below. Likely to stop around 1.17 (very important level, 0.886 of the advance that started back in the 90s, the good old Soros times...)

AndyM AndyM USDJPY, 480, Short ,
USDJPY: Sell USDJPY ahead of market crash
363 13 10
USDJPY, 480 Short
Sell USDJPY ahead of market crash

Something really funny is going to happen in Q1'18. No one expects that, and nobody understand why on earth that could happen.

AndyM AndyM USDCAD, 240, Long ,
USDCAD: Buy USDCAD ahead of Crude price collapse
153 1 5
USDCAD, 240 Long
Buy USDCAD ahead of Crude price collapse

USDCAD has traced our 1-2-1-2, now it's time for w3 of 3 to start. Targeting 1.50..1.55. Note that tracing out 3-4-5-4-5 usually takes between 100 and 160% of the time it took to trace 1-2-1-2, so don't count on "immediate" move. Rather plan for an advance of 3-5 months. To be completed March-May.

AndyM AndyM GBPUSD, 240, Short ,
GBPUSD: The correction in GBP is over, short to reach targets below 1.20
460 10 12
GBPUSD, 240 Short
The correction in GBP is over, short to reach targets below 1.20

The upward move has been purely corrective, ABC, ending wedge in C, with a very powerful E wave which reached 1.618 target of A/C relationship. All are ready for a big move to the downside: GBP is ready, EUR is ready, EURGBP is ready, Crude is ready, SPX is doing what BTC was doing earlier this week - tracing out the last extended subwave, almost ready ...

AndyM AndyM TLT, 240, Short ,
TLT: Short all bonds
450 10 7
TLT, 240 Short
Short all bonds

The abcde correction we had in TLT is a Wolfe wave, the trend should resume to the downside. Given a very strong anti-correlation between the dollar and the treasuries over the last 2 years I expect a huge sell-off in Bonds and a giant spike in the Dollar. I've been waiting for this for quite some time and now it seems to start coming our way. Stocks are making ...

AndyM AndyM EURUSD, 240, Short ,
EURUSD: Downtrend in EUR resumes
445 6 10
EURUSD, 240 Short
Downtrend in EUR resumes

See description. Nothing has changed, EURGBP and GBPUSD are also in downtrend as per earlier analysis. Something big is coming.

AndyM AndyM DXY, 240, Long ,
DXY: 1-2-1-2 in DXY
395 13 7
DXY, 240 Long
1-2-1-2 in DXY

The correction is likely over. So far we have 1-2-1-2 completed, we are now supposed to see a very powerful wave 3 of 3 which will take everyone's breath away. DXY targets 108-110.

AndyM AndyM USDRUB, 3D, Long ,
USDRUB: USDRUB is thrusting out of the triangle
429 5 7
USDRUB, 3D Long
USDRUB is thrusting out of the triangle

USDRUR is fully aligned with the price action in Crude. We finally have the 20-month low volatility mode shattered, the triangle is a terminal structure so the only possibility for USDRUB now is to thrust higher, taking out the previous cycle highs. The targets are 115..130.

AndyM AndyM UKOIL, 3D, Short ,
UKOIL: Crude: The grand finale
373 0 5
UKOIL, 3D Short
Crude: The grand finale

Blue wave 4 looks completed, complex correction, nearly touched the top of w4, false breakthrough above upper channel line follower by a reversal to the downside. The correction needs to be fully retraced, so we have a 35$ bearish move at hand. This should happen together with the rest of the market: EUR down, SPX down, Bonds down, Crude down.

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