Quarter-year, Half-year and Yearly ROC showing bearish reversal signs. Down to lower trend line. Purely technical setup on high-growth stock.
oversold and capitulated. Bounce play with 1 month call options.
Tech looking poised and strong while coiled over an 8 day trading period. Looking for a continuation in XLK.
There's a reason TSLA is one of the most hated stocks on wall street (~31% float shorted) which boils down to free cash flow and net debt load. It appears the more cars Tesla sells the worse the cash flow. This is really an interesting stock to watch over the next few quarters. If TSLA has to raise cash it would probably be dilutive and harmful to common share...
Tesla has to pull off a scary turn around next few quarters to avoid dilutive capital raise with terrible FCF burn and sluggish production of model 3. Not to mention looming debt maturities totaling +$10B and future competition making news. Looking to test ~250 lows.
A lot of Bearish News has kept the stock market suppressed: core-inflation spike, Consumer Staples sell off, Trade wars, rising interest rates, 'not good enough' earnings season. Playing contrarian in hopes market spurs short covering from demand zone.
Consumer Staples slump due to amazon effect, higher interest rates, weak earnings performance, trade wars. Multi-year technical support level and divergence in recent drop from all time high. Value managers buy the dip. Play the bounce.
Fundamental: Cash crunch worries as Model 3 plants undergo upgrades and requires 24/7 time frame to meet production goals. Technical: Retest lows in downward pitchfork channel.
Weekly PSAR trigger for bullish MACD & RSI. First Target $14.
I'm predicting some moderate profit taking after a historical run from the Dow. This week appeared to be a weekly shooting star with little movement in this week leading up to the signed bill. Some announcements this week from companies pledging to increase wages... will it be enough to keep investors appetites at these levels? I'm trading the 3x Inverse Dow Jones...
1) Evening Star before earnings. 2) 1-month and 3-month return change is unsustainable and in my opinion setting up for a black swan earnings potential. 3) When viewing from a log view it's now above upper channel. -Execution: Small position of OTM put options w/ less 1 month expiration.
Historical low RSI in recent period from a toxic news cycle about norovirus outbreak in Virginia. Play the Bounce till RSI Recovers near 60-70. Couple of Resistance lines drawn to track price action. Eat The Burrito.
- Dovish/Neutral Fed - Weaker fiscal stimulus forecasts
Here's a pitchfork on TSLA that has a different point 1 but the same point 2 & 3. Both seem to have resistance and support effect on price action.
No Elliot Wave Expert, but these impulses seem pretty obvious to me. I like the pitchfork to confirm the downside breakdown.
I like the confluence I'm seeing in these two downward pitchforks interacting with each other. Threw in some Fibonacci extensions using last leg which seem to echo previous support/Resistance price areas. Currently just watching USOIL and would like to enter a DWT position if USOIL can hit $45.