About meCurrently in college for Biochemistry but have been following markets since around '08 and am still fascinated by them each and every day. By far, my favorite asset to study and trade is crude oil.
This is the daily chart of SPY that is displaying, in my opinion, a megaphone pattern that will likely resolve to the downside. As evidence of this being a megaphone pattern is the disjointed trend lines as well as the relatively large volumes that correspond to the "higher highs" and "lower lows." My reasoning for expecting this to be a reversal pattern stems...
Price looks overextended to me- I think there will be strong selling either today or tomorrow. My target is the .618 fib from the March selloff.. there is a lot of support there and it would be a healthy place to consolidate before another leg higher.
A two year consolidation in crude oil prices may be resolving to the upside. The current RSI resistance trend line is being retested which will be indicative of the direction of future price movement.. Of note, however, is the negative divergence in the ROC.
The angle of the current pitchfork channel (Modified Schiff) that prices are moving within is larger in magnitude than the angle of the longer-dated, broad pitchfork channel. That may imply that price action is accelerating to the upside. Keep in mind, for this assumption to remain valid, the channels must stay intact.
I have overlaid a Fibonacci Circle study,...
Price has recovered considerably since being rejected at resistance on January 3rd. The current trading channel remains valid, as well. I am looking for a retest of resistance on price in addition to the new resistance trend lines on RSI and ROC. Of note, the MACD is turning positive, too.