CassidyChalhoub

Message Follow Following Unfollow
Joined
Markets Allocation
100 % indices
Top Mentioned Symbols
FRED/INDPRO 50% | 2 FRED/UNRATE 25% | 1 ISM/MAN_PMI 25% | 1
CassidyChalhoub CassidyChalhoub FRED/UNRATE, M,
FRED/UNRATE: UNEMPLOYMENT VS ROC INDUSTRIALS VS ISM W/ NBER INDICATORS
46 0 1
FRED/UNRATE, M
UNEMPLOYMENT VS ROC INDUSTRIALS VS ISM W/ NBER INDICATORS

Historically, a cross over 5.5% unemployment, negative MoM % US Industrial Production, and the cross over of a 49.8 PMI renders a 97.1% probability of recession

CassidyChalhoub CassidyChalhoub FRED/INDPRO, D, Short ,
FRED/INDPRO: US INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION W/ NBER RECESSION INDICATORS
21 0 2
FRED/INDPRO, D Short
US INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION W/ NBER RECESSION INDICATORS

Each time the US Industrial Production % drops below zero, the United States has entered a recession. A downward trend in US industrial production, currently, may result in a recessive state.

CassidyChalhoub CassidyChalhoub FRED/INDPRO, D,
FRED/INDPRO: US INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION % CHANGE W/ NBER RECESSION INDICATORS
16 1 1
FRED/INDPRO, D
US INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION % CHANGE W/ NBER RECESSION INDICATORS

Each time the US Industrial Production % drops below zero, the United States has entered a recession. A downward trend in US industrial production, currently, may result in a recessive state.

CassidyChalhoub CassidyChalhoub ISM/MAN_PMI, D,
ISM/MAN_PMI: ISM as an Economic Indicator
93 0 3
ISM/MAN_PMI, D
ISM as an Economic Indicator

The ISM index and unemployment growth rates show negative correlation while ISM shows positive with monthly Shiller P/E10 Ratios across S&P 500. Why would price multiples on equities rise if manufacturing doesn't rise, if GDP growth doesn't rise? Deviation of ISM and P/E10 trendline signals point in credit cycle and overvalued equity.

Last visit
2624
349
11669
Message Follow Following Unfollow
User follows nobody
User has no following symbols
Market
Browse
Type
Browse
United States
United Kingdom
India
Deutschland
France
España
Italia
Polska
Türkiye
Россия
Brasil
Indonesia
Malaysia
Việt Nam
日本
한국
简体
繁體
Home Stock Screener Forex Signal Finder Cryptocurrency Signal Finder Economic Calendar How It Works Chart Features House Rules Moderators Website & Broker Solutions Widgets Stock Charting Library Feature Request Blog & News FAQ Help & Wiki Twitter
Profile Profile Settings Account and Billing My Support Tickets Priority Support Contact Support Ideas Published Followers Following Private Messages Chat Sign Out