Chalfie24

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Joined United Kingdom ChalfieFX
Markets Allocation
52 % cryptocurrency 29 % forex 1 % indices 18 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 17% | 38 EURUSD 8% | 18 COINBASE:BTCUSD 6% | 14 BITFINEX:BTCUSD 5% | 11
35 0 3
NZDUSD, 1W
NZDUSD outlook

The re-test of previous support (trend line & 61.8% fib retrace) turned resistance provided a key weekly reversal bar and has set up a move to test the 61.8% slope of the pitchfork & 78.6% fib retrace.

102 0 3
BTCUSD, 1D
Bitcoin outlook

Another test of the ~$5900 level and another strong reaction for bitcoin, and a similar pattern as we have now run into the key slope (triangle). Will there be enough momentum to finally cleanly break this pattern? Even with a break, there are a multitude of "key levels" (All "monthly keys" are the most important daily candles in that month) that have proven to ...

87 0 2
EURUSD, 1D
EURUSD outlook

Another fail to break the 61.8% slope in this decade long pitchfork formation (also a re-test of previous trend line) has stalled the Euros incredibly bullish surge off the $1.13 level.

92 0 2
DXY, 1W
DXY outlook

A very solid reversal off the level I outlined last outlook and the dxy has quickly moved back below the key 200 Weekly MA. Follow through will expect a test of the median line of the pitchfork & key pivot level @~93.8. NFPs on Friday is key data release, otherwise the usual Trump remarks on Trade or the fed will be what moves the market. 4hr ...

88 0 5
DXY, 1W
DXY outlook

After breaking between 93.8 - 95.5, the $ has pushed into an interesting spot. Taking a parallel off the lows in 2011->2014 we get a slope that has acted as a good pivot in price. Along with the 38.2 slope in the pitchfork there could be some resistance here. Having squeezed through the 50% fib retrace will momentum push us through this spot too?

84 0 2
EURUSD, 1D
EURUSD outlook

US inflation data about to come out, with EURUSD breaking through this long term channel support (purple) which has held consistently ever since the breakout in July 2017. Now testing the 50% retrace off 2017-2018 climb & 100% extension off the range in June/July

150 0 5
NZDUSD, 1D
NZDUSD outlook

Following the interest rate decision in which the RBNZ held the rates, they announced they will push back their forecast hike to Q3 2020. The slide broke the low trend line (purple) and 61.8% retrace. Now pushing back to the median line of pitchfork & RSI approaching trend line. Keeping an eye on 50% slope for weekly close. Inflation data tomorrow for US will be ...

62 0 3
SPX500, 240
Spx pitchfork formation

This formation has dictated price moves throughout July & caught the low on the 2nd

248 2 5
XAUUSD, 1D
Gold outlook

After a 4th consecutive weekly & monthly drop, gold has reached the 50% retrace off the 2015 low to the 2016/2018 high (using $1366 as the high). This zone has been a good pivot in price throughout 2016 & 2017 and with RSI diverging on this move lower & holding above 30 on latest close, will there be some hope for a bounce in gold?

92 0 2
EURUSD, 1D
EURUSD outlook

After breaking the narrow range between the long-term trend line & the 61.8% slope, eurusd looks to be targeting the key purple channel support along with the 50% slope. The rsi is looking messy on this current break, perhaps indicating waning bearish momentum. US PPI on thursday and inflation reports on friday will be the key movers aside from any more trade wars ...

118 0 6
BTCUSD, 1D
Key reversal off support has 200DMA in sight

After a panic "crash" off news that a 2nd ETF proposal from the Winklevoss twins was denied, we retested the lower slope in the triangle & April key level. A strong reversal off these levels put in a very strong candle yesterday, and now puts previous highs and 200DMA as the target. Expecting a test today or tomorrow and a breach back above 70 RSI

103 0 2
FB, 1W
Facebook levels

Guess the insiders who sold $4.1billion worth of stocks saw this one coming. https://www.tradingview.com/x/NjVegLq1/ 200DMA and upper slope act as resistance now

286 0 5
BTCUSD, 1D
70 RSI and its significance

After breaking back into "overbought" territory, first time since December, lets look back at other times this has happened. When first learning about RSI, it's normally taught that going above 70 is a good place to start shorting, but that's when momentum is the greatest as shown on the chart. Disregarding the anomalies, the average bullish advance is roughly 40% ...

59 0 2
XBTUSD, 1D
Bitcoin: Where from here?

After rocketing through all the "key" monthly levels & the yearly average, bitcoin is now residing on the long-term pitchfork/triangle slope & 61.8% fib retrace of the May-June decline. Most importantly, bitcoin has finally been able to penetrate the 70 RSI mark, something it failed to do since December 2017. Now people when learning about RSI are taught that ...

71 0 1
GOOGL, 1W
$GOOGL levels

After smashing expectations Google again tagged the top end of the decade long slope. The 75% slope of the pitchfork also coincided with this level. Will there be any momentum to finally break this slope or will we turn back towards the lower end which coincides with the 200dma @~$1100

123 0 3
BTCUSD, 1W
Bitcoin weekly outlook

Largest weekly gain since April off the bottom of this range finds bitcoin back at its 100dma. Bulls will have a battle throughout the $7000-$9000 range, with a huge amount of technical levels to break. We have the 100dma, 200dma & yearly average, the median line in this multi-year formation & the triangle slope off February highs. 4 hour ...

105 0 3
DXY, 1W
DXY weekly outlook

After squeezing through the median line of the key pitchfork formation, bullish momentum has stalled thanks to Trump stating on twitter that fed hikes are detrimental to the competitiveness of the US. Back in January of this year Trump made a statement of wanting a strong $ which led to an ~8% raise in the following 6 months, will his tweet on currency ...

459 1 4
XRPUSD, 1D
Ripple outlook

Xrp has been ranging around ~$0.42 & ~$0.52 for a month now, ultimately in a long-term channel down trend back from February. First levels to clear to the upside will be topside of the range, then the long-term median line & yearly average. Downside levels is the bottom of the range, 75% slope and then the lower end of pitchfork slope. Break of these levels would ...

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