Ciba

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About me Anything Kiwi, well mostly...
Joined PST cibablue
Duel BBs
Markets Allocation
100 % forex
Top Mentioned Symbols
GBPJPY 98% | 54 NZDUSD 1% | 1
Ciba Ciba PRO NZDUSD, 120, Short ,
NZDUSD: I like this SHORT
26 0 0
NZDUSD, 120 Short
I like this SHORT

Possible H&S formation, though not at a top of recent prices. NZD data coming out in an hour. News data seems to point bearish on NZD, regardless of today's GDT announcement and recent PM comments on 'feel good' economy in NZ. Set up for USD's FOMC news on Thursday. If this fails, probably will not do anything more. Look for CANDLE PIN for confirmation, or not ...

Ciba Ciba PRO GBPJPY, 60, Long ,
GBPJPY: LONG after breather dip
115 1 2
GBPJPY, 60 Long
LONG after breather dip

Going LONG for the following reasons: 1) MACD cross 2) RSI signaled LONG 3) Waiting for CCI to cross LONG 4) Bouncing off of last month's resistance 5) Coming off of a generally placed bullish trend (the pitchfork) 6) Danske Bank went LONG from their last night's posting at 174.15, looking for 179.20, with STOP at 173.30. Alternatively, wait to go LONG on 1) ...

Ciba Ciba PRO GBPJPY, 60, Long ,
GBPJPY: Attempting LONG on old Resistance Line
163 3 0
GBPJPY, 60 Long
Attempting LONG on old Resistance Line

Pending LONG for the following reasons: 1) RSI needs to cross above 40 2) CCI needs to cross above general bullish trend 3) MACD signal cross 4) Very ST double bottom (A&B) and/or slight divergence 5) I generally follow DanskeBank, they were long at 171.1, aiming for 174,85, with stop at 172.4 6) I recently started following ScotiaBank's weekly COT, they showed ...

Ciba Ciba PRO GBPJPY, 60, Short ,
GBPJPY: Waiting for GBP m/m Retail Sales
117 0 2
GBPJPY, 60 Short
Waiting for GBP m/m Retail Sales

Waiting for a Short for the following reasons: 1) MACD Divergence (waiting for a Zero crossing) 2) CCI and RSI tandem signaled short (waiting for RSI to cross the Bullish trend line) Will go short pending a 0130PST GBP announcement. Aiming for the 200MA and the 400MA, as well as the trend supports.

Ciba Ciba PRO GBPJPY, 60, Long ,
GBPJPY: LONG before GBP's Manu Pro Data
72 0 0
GBPJPY, 60 Long
LONG before GBP's Manu Pro Data

Going from last idea, took TP off of drop, took a quick SHORT, now LONG with the following (albeit weak) reasons: 1) Weak RSI/CCI tandem signal LONG. They normally should fire off together. 2) Weak MACD cross. Both signal and MACD are flat showing lack of conviction 3) GBP manufacturing production data and USD JOLTS - Speculation hype up. Generally believe ...

Ciba Ciba PRO GBPJPY, 60, Long ,
GBPJPY: LONG after bounce on LT MA
116 0 0
GBPJPY, 60 Long
LONG after bounce on LT MA

Continuing with last idea, TP off of failed attempt to get beyond 400MA. Going LONG for that reason, RSI crossing 40, and MACD cross. Confirm LONG position with RSI crossing above generally placed bearish line (created by SHORT position last Friday), as well as MACD signal cross of zero. Danske TP at 171.9 off of position of 171.8. They indicated they would ...

Ciba Ciba PRO GBPJPY, 60, Short ,
GBPJPY: Risk OFF! (Looking for a LONG after weekend)
25 0 0
GBPJPY, 60 Short
Risk OFF! (Looking for a LONG after weekend)

As GBPJPY seems to follow USD data, it took a nice rise with NFP, then nose dived when people started delving into the details. Workforce participation rate is on a steady decline, which makes the unemployment rate seem skewed. TP off of prior idea's LONG and went SHORT for the following reasons (beyond the issue of workforce participation in the US): 1) RSI ...

Ciba Ciba PRO GBPJPY, 60, Long ,
GBPJPY: HOLD LONG (Triangle Breakouts, amongst favorable data)
28 1 0
GBPJPY, 60 Long
HOLD LONG (Triangle Breakouts, amongst favorable data)

HOLDING LONG, continuing with last idea's reasons, this time showing LT consolidating triangle and ST consolidating triangle (as the last dip did not go to the LT triangle bottom). Aiming for: 1) 4/2 high of 173.1 (.5 of the distance from the last rise) 2) 3/7 high of 173.5 (.618 of the distance from the last rise) Interesting they happened at around the start ...

Ciba Ciba PRO GBPJPY, 60, Long ,
GBPJPY: LONG on Kuroda not forecasting higher inflation
89 1 0
GBPJPY, 60 Long
LONG on Kuroda not forecasting higher inflation

From last idea, LONG TP SL taken out on price dip due to consolidating before BOJ press conference. Going LONG again for the following reasons: 1) CCI/RSI tandem strong signal LONG 2) Hitting off of the 100 and 200 MAs again 3) Revving up for USD data announcements (prepare for volatility) 4) Second attempt at breaking the LT consolidating triangle 5) We may ...

Ciba Ciba PRO GBPJPY, 60, Long ,
GBPJPY: Holding LONG (but opportunity to take a short SHORT)
25 0 0
GBPJPY, 60 Long
Holding LONG (but opportunity to take a short SHORT)

Here's the issues to take a SHORT: 1) Double top, both on 15M and 1H 2) CCI signaled SHORT, MACD cross signaled SHORT 3) GBP 1st GDP did not hit expected. 4) No more news for GBP this week, which could indicate a breather session. 5) Everyone is looking for a SHORT, especially after the steep LONG climb (51 degrees!) A guest commentary on DailyFX, which is ...

Ciba Ciba PRO GBPJPY, 60, Long ,
GBPJPY: Adding more to Last Idea (Seen this before bouncing off of MAs?)
69 0 1
GBPJPY, 60 Long
Adding more to Last Idea (Seen this before bouncing off of MAs?)

Adding to last idea, where we may have seen this pattern before on 2014/04/15 @ 2100 PST. Back then it was 200 and 400 MAs. This time, last night GBPJPY hit off of 400MA, this morning hitting off of 200 and 100 MAs. Aiming for 173 and beyond. TP stop placed under ST MAs, waiting for that GBP 1st GDP to come out tonight.

Ciba Ciba PRO GBPJPY, 60, Long ,
GBPJPY: Failure to bust 4H MA, Waiting for GBP 1st GDP
21 0 2
GBPJPY, 60 Long
Failure to bust 4H MA, Waiting for GBP 1st GDP

Going off of last idea, TP off of SHORT position for failure to bust 4H MA and went LONG when H&S didn't materialize passing rising Orange dotted line. For some odd correlation, the GBP spiked with the whole Pfizer eyeing AstraZeneca for $100B. Keep LONG for the following reasons: 1) Busted 1H and 2H MAs. 2) Great USD housing data this morning. 3) Waiting for ...

Ciba Ciba PRO GBPJPY, 60, Short ,
GBPJPY: Still SHORT with looking at a pareidolia H&S
21 0 0
GBPJPY, 60 Short
Still SHORT with looking at a pareidolia H&S

Still HOLDING SHORT for all the reasons posted last idea, adding the look of a H&S formation. Needs to break 400MA, which is about where a long standing support line has been forming. Breaking the 200MA will cause more validity to the CCI/RSI tandem signal. Not much more to add over last few postings.

Ciba Ciba PRO GBPJPY, 60, Short ,
GBPJPY: OMG, still HOLDING SHORT (busted 200MA, needing to must 400MA)
50 2 0
GBPJPY, 60 Short
OMG, still HOLDING SHORT (busted 200MA, needing to must 400MA)

It's "not-wanting-to-do-anything" Friday, where I try not to open up new positions. I will HOLD SHORT and TIGHTEN TP for the following reasons: 1) Silliness that is Putin and the fact that signing an int'l accord means nothing for him. (still faulting some private corporation in Germany for training the Russian troops)(Congrats to the Baltic states for ...

Ciba Ciba PRO GBPJPY, 60, Short ,
GBPJPY: STILL Cautiously HOLDING SHORT (Waiting for a MA to bust)
95 1 0
GBPJPY, 60 Short
STILL Cautiously HOLDING SHORT (Waiting for a MA to bust)

Tightening SHORT TP stop for the following reasons: 1) It seems to be dogging between the MAs. 2) The CCI/RSI tandem signal LONG is weak, but it's there. 3) Have a double bottom. The ST bearish Gartley (contain within yesterday PST timeframe) failed to bust the LT MAs and rising trend line. 4) Still holding SHORT because Danske, with their public disclosure last ...

Ciba Ciba PRO GBPJPY, 60, Short ,
GBPJPY: Hold SHORT aiming for 171 and beyond (Cons. Tri.)
120 1 1
GBPJPY, 60 Short
Hold SHORT aiming for 171 and beyond (Cons. Tri.)

That was a small waiting period from the last idea (I stretched out my SL, now placed it at a TP stop). The SHORT happened around the GBP news that the net public sector borrowing is NOT as high as expected, meaning that the gov't stepped in a bit. Combine that with the poor USD new housing and we got the LT consolidating triangle. Continue to HOLD SHORT for ...

Ciba Ciba PRO GBPJPY, 60, Short ,
GBPJPY: TP on letting GBP breathe
148 1 0
GBPJPY, 60 Short
TP on letting GBP breathe

Danske got this one: they wanted 172.5, they got it. TP off the last idea, now going SHORT for the following reasons: 1) No GBP announcements until Tuesday evening PST, and on the vague concept of allowing currency to breathe 2) Weak collaboration signal on CCI and RSI. Typically I would like them to fire at the same time. 3) According to online news, CFTC ...

Ciba Ciba PRO GBPJPY, 120, Long ,
GBPJPY: HOLDING LONG on no news Thursday and Bank Holiday Friday
89 0 1
GBPJPY, 120 Long
HOLDING LONG on no news Thursday and Bank Holiday Friday

Going off of yesterday's idea LONG, continue to HOLD LONG for the following reasons (I normally look at the 1H, but expanded out to 2H because of the pending GBP holiday - PST there is no holiday =P): 1) No GBP and JPY news until Sunday. 2) USD unemployment claims (which every week, outside of the first week of Apr., seems to be doing well) 3) Bank Holiday Friday ...

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