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Having fallen for six consecutive days, bearish momentum on EUR/USD is beginning to fade. Tuesday's low also held above the 1.06 level and 71.6% Fibonacci level whilst RSI (14) and (2) are in oversold levels on the daily chart.
The 4-hour chart shows bullish divergences on the RSIs, so the bias is to seek dips towards 1.06 for a long towards 1.0650 at a minimum....
At the beginning of April, Japan's ex-FX diplomat Watanabe said that the BOJ were unlikely to intervene with USD/JPY below 155. Well now the pair trade less than 80 pips beneath this key level (and less than a day's trade by recent standards), 155 is certainly the level to watch today.
The strength of the bullish 1-hour trend makes it seem that USD/JPY has little...
The euro's rally from the December low appears to be losing steam. Tuesday's high respected a resistance cluster including a 61.8% Fib level, high-volume node and trend resistance. A 2-bar bearish reversal (which includes an engulfing candle) only made a marginal high above Friday's high, and a bearish divergence has formed on the RSI.
With CPI looming, perhaps...
Market positioning data from the COT report shows that asset managers and large speculators are piling into longs, yet shorts remain subdued. The price on the 4-hour chart also shows an established uptrend within a bullish channel.
Prices have not yet completed a 3-wave retracement against the trend, hence the bias for a slightly deeper pullback before its trend...
Bitcoin futures managed to fid support above $60k before snapping a 4-day losing streak. Bullish momentum increased from GETTEX:64K , and the move lower since appears to be corrective in nature against the strong rally from $64k.
A bullish outside / engulfing candle formed around the 50% retracement level and above Wednesday's daily TPO VAH time price...
GBP/USD makes for a really interesting short setup.
It saw a strong rally and eventual false break / mini blow off top above the December high, before a sharp reversal lower on Monday. It fell back beneath the December high, and a rising wedge (bearish reversal during a down move) stalled at the 50% retracement level, just beneath the December high.
- The wedge...