#NAS #DailyReview #WeeklyOutlook Last week was a weird week with the drop on Thursday and then price on Friday setting the Weekly High after trading into the D+VIB and near the Weekly low. We also traded through the D-OB and if it is going to continue to the upside may use this as a new POI. Dollar moved up the entire week pretty slowly but the Bonds pulled...
#SPX #DailyReview #WeeklyOutlook: Last week was a weird week with the drop on Thursday and then price on Friday setting the Weekly Low and high. Dollar moved up the entire week pretty slowly but the Bonds pulled back and that caused the buy on Friday. Tuesday we'll have CPI and Wednesday we'll have PPI and Retail sales. Then Thursday we will have Unemployment...
#US30 #DailyReview #WeeklyOutlook Took out the PWH and traded into a W-FVG up to the mid point at 34300.6. The 1H/4H+FVG is sitting right at the W-FVG(L) at 34098.9 and if we move up this is likely where I may look for a move up. Tuesday we'll have CPI and Wednesday we'll have PPI and Retail sales. Then Thursday we will have Unemployment Claims so that will...
Weekly Chart: We gapped up last week only to trade near last week's high and into the W-FVG(MT). Price failed to continue the move up. We are down for the month and this week's candle has opened inside of last week's candle. Staying bearish for now with last week's low at risk PWL and 10/2-10/6 PWL as well. Getting a bullish short term move into the last up...
Weekly Chart: Traded into last week's bearish engulfing candle and then took out its low. Traded into a +POI (W+FVG), wicked near MT at 4236.6 Weekly Idea: Because we are bearish but entered into this +POI, with may get a bounce but would look to see if the PWL is taken out for a continuation lower. For now, I'm 505/50 on this mainly because of the W+FVG. A...
10/2/23: Sell Setup: I was looking for a continuation set up on SPX. TK/SY session set a small range that held London but was taken out in the premarket session. This left a 1H/15m-FVG set up with a -OB on the 1H. Price trades into the 15m-FVG (L) and pushed down and failed to make a new low followed by EQLs being set in NY open session. Once the EQLs were...
Weekly Chart: DXY and GU both have reach POI, on DXY a W-OB and on GU a W+FVG. In this scenario, I'd be looking for DXY to see how we respond to the PWH if we fail to take it out and trade back into last week's range, I'll look to the downside potentially. If we trade through it, the +LP at 107.993 will be the next draw. GU will have to deal with the W+FVG and...
Weekly Chart: Price took out the PWL and the August low into a W+OB and we did close positively for the week. We did create the low of a W-FVG (not drawn but, it's there) and price closed near the middle of the weekly range, Weekly High 14906.5, Weekly Low 14429.3, Weekly Mid point 14667.9, Weekly close 14741.8. Weekly idea: Price took out lows into the W+OB but...
Review this first to see the fair value gap: (1)Trades inside the -FVG (2) Rejects -FVG(MT) (3) Holds -FVG(L) Note: This is a high probability sign for moves higher, price trades inside the 4H-FVG. Once price is inside, the price trades to the 4H-FVG(MT) and trades back down to the 4H-FVG(L) and price holds for a continuation inside. (4) Prices trades through...
Today was a good day but a choppy one. Took 3 sell entries and all of the were stopped out. Took 2 additional sells this morning at the open and those went straight to SL, traded a bit too tight initially this morning but the SLs weren't large at all took about a 3% L on those. The remaining trades were taken off of the -CHOCH (Change Of Character) and -BOS...
Pending order triggered over night based on the high of the 4H+FVG 3730.70. Goal is to take the BSL out but this trade is up over 2.5% if you took it. We will need to see price hold above the daily opening price for a continuation. I did not break this trade down into smaller targets because my primary goal is the BSL from the daily chart and I’ll simply take...
If we get back near the daily opening price I'll take a partial on the buy setup and just leave the rest of the Buy and Sell in. Up and down day, we've swung 700+ pips 3 times so far today. Took Partials on both of the setups and leaving the rest in with the stops in profit.
4H+FVG entry (pending order) Entry at the high, middle, and low with risk on each set 0.25% for the high, 0.50% at the middle and 1.0% at the low. Initial stop loss below the candle that created the FVG or below the last swing low. In this case I used the FVG candle low. If the high failed to be taken out, close partials, make sure stop is in profit or BE,...
Took a few pending order setups and still watching them off of the 4H TF. I had a -3% loss over the weekend, traded ripple with a stop loss a little too tight but its all good, nothing too big.
Took this trade with a pending order off of the 4H TF. Based this on the 4H-FVG (bearish) mid way point at 0.50765. This was a rejection and continuation to a 4H+FVG (bullish). I took partials at target 3 which is the high of the 4H+FVG and was stopped out just above the daily open on the remainder. All targets reached on the trade.
Patient with the news on the jobs numbers. Immediate drop on the news but it was positive. Being that it was, I decided to wait because there was an opportunity that it could have been a liquidity grab below 3720's equal low and a run for the buy side liquidity. Sold on news break and on times & sales response. Saw the order flow aim at the ask price and the...
Tried to catch a possible continuation. But so far doesn't look like it's ready. Set a pending order at the top of the small 15m-FVG and went about 100 pips in profits. Usually once I'm up 100 pips I'm trailing at that point or I'm reducing my initial stop loss. Most of my setups, if they are right, I'm good to go once I'm 100-200 pips in profits and I'll...
Other than this sell no trade so far this week. Market's been moving outside of my trading window and the one setup that i could have taken was yesterday morning. Nothing looking good in my opinion at the moment so I'm just sitting on my hands and being patient for now. VIX volume indicator coming off the high 32.685 SPX coming off the low as VIX coming off...