I've been following this pair since the last bullish weekly close and added to my position on when it touched my prefered fib zone pull back this week. Now with a second bullish weekly close a reversal looks really on the cards. There are still a couple of entry opportunities. One is at market open with stops below the last weekly low, maybe not for the risk...
I spotted this idea on the weekly chart but there is important detail on the Daily. So we have price action having been kept below the weekly 200MA and then sliced through the rising trendline it has turned and come back up to test the outside of the trendline which is also near to another touch of the now falling weekly 200 MA.
Looking for a Fibo 38.2 (RR of...
We got a lovely rejection wick off the daily on Friday and it beautifully bounced off the 200dma and a falling trend line. Great bit of confluence. Stops above that wick and shoot for a 50% retrace on that type of move the 50 back gives us a RR ratio of 3.5-1. Might even get down to previous lows if wanted to stretch for longer targets but don't be greedy.
PA has struggled on the weekly leaving some nice wicks. Looking at the Daily time frame it's easy to see some levels. I'd prefer to see the shooting star from 2 weeks ago get tapped on the inside (as often happens) then go short but if wicks are your thing and it works for you then go short now. I've then got my eyes on the level that has acted like a magnet for...
Currently got an outside channel test which even if it breaks above there's that huge downward trendline not far above which is bound to give us some resistance. Break above and then a test of that we could be looking at continued bullish action. Look for the cheap trade with tightest stops on the test of the trendline if this is the case.
After the bearish cypher pattern is close to completing its 38.2 retrace, what's next? Right now it's at an interesting point as it rests on top of the downward trend channel and takes a breather. Quite simply we need to wait and see but it's certainly an area of interest. I'll be looking to price action to look for a good entry either way.
Like it says it the title here we see a break above that resistance level, then a rounded return to test that past level and I'd hope to see it take off from here. Up to 2300, the next even handle level.
Try a short off this level with stops above the thrust candle PA back to previous lows, swing trade really may have to hold a few days. i don't liek that it's already tested but as it's only second time, first wasn't quite close enough so it's worth a pop. Could hang on to the slighter higher level of .7230.
We're almost at weekly ATR level, that means PA has traveled near to the normal distance for a week based on 20day ATR. It's also a great level for structure, looking left. If we get a breakthrough then there's the pullback entry option to go long
Simple descending trend channel. In the background the RBNZ have publicly stated they want it to fall and are likely to take action to do that. Wait for PA to touch the upper channel then short for great risk/reward
Price action been falling steadily but it's about to meet a rising trendline on the daily so could see a bounce here. Nice easy trade in terms of stops and targets. Stops below the round 1.8 number as that could attract PA like a magnet