Daniel Urdaneta

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Joined Dauz_ucv
Markets Allocation
44 % stocks 26 % forex 9 % commodities 21 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPY 31% | 11 EURUSD 14% | 5 USOIL 14% | 5 SPX 11% | 4
157 0 5
SPX500, 1D Long
1 ES to play this bounce - All or nothing

Entered with 1 ES contract today after market close. Initiated at 2600, stop 2571, target 2700. Playing for a 5-day bounce hoping that selling exhasted on the NY session. Fundamentals: Good macro data all over the place, earnings beats, steady investor inflows, and a nice reset to P/E ratios courtesy of the -10% correction we've just experienced. Technicals: ...

Daniel Urdaneta Daniel Urdaneta USDJPY, 240, Long ,
24 0 0
USDJPY, 240 Long
LONG USD/JPY

Technical bounce setup

44 0 0
AAPL, M Long
Been waiting a time for this trade: AAPL LONG

I'm watching a major support line in AAPL stock at this juncture. 50-month moving average @92.80 The closing high from the last uptrend in AAPL, back in Sept 2013 @95.30 Lower Bollinger Band (from 20-month rolling 2 std bands) @90.9194 I'm long AAPL @94.87 as I believe the 10.52 P/E and the 2.42% dividend yield are a very good reward for taking the risk of ...

154 0 5
SPX500, D Short
I BOT THE DIP - NOW I'M SELLIN THE RIP

THe S&P 500 reached it's bullish target at the 2000-2020 area (around 200-day MA on the daily chart) with a solid W-shaped recovery not unlike the one experienced on Q32015. There are a couple of technicals that I'm using as a rationale to open short positions from current levels: 1. Lower lows on Jan-Feb, 2. RSI about to hit Overbought on the Daily chart. 3. ...

289 0 5
USOIL, W Long
First signals of bottoming in WTI Crude Oil, Longs Favoured

Breakout off short-term resistance at 35$, and a more significant breakout off the June 2014 downtrend line, is positioning WTI Crude Oil Futures for a great long opportunity. Buying this breakout, targeting the next visible resistance target (Yearly Pivot and 50-week MA, also overlapping with the 200-day MA), and placing stops below the downtrend line, makes ...

Daniel Urdaneta Daniel Urdaneta ZB1!, D, Short ,
45 0 0
ZB1!, D Short
30-yr UST: The Long Bond is gonna get heavy

Early signs of topping on ZB futures. Distribution candles on the top, and failing yet again at familiar spot. Setup is not yet confirmed by RSI or MACD, though, and the long bond bounced a bit off the MA(9). I'm inclined to open half of my position here. A daily close below MA(9) would lead me to open the second half of the short on ZB, targetting MA(200), ...

262 3 2
CL1!, D
Very interested on 35$ area short-term

OK, so here I'm holding a small long since thursday (via UWTI) and I'm thinking on selling it on the following days.. It's been fun, but gravity is strong with Crude Oil since late 2014 and it's best to cash in on quick profits. I'm more interested on the price action around 35$ (Last line of support before the capitulation wave of early 2016). It's also around ...

63 0 1
ES1!, D Long
ES: Bought that Dip

Still holding a small size on ES longs from an avg entry price of around 1854. Targets and stops as shown. It's probably safe enough to move the stop to either the breakeven point, or below 1870 (S3 pivot daily). The rationale is basically dip-buying. There's a lot of market chatter about the "death" of dip-buying ...

Daniel Urdaneta Daniel Urdaneta SPY, D, Short ,
66 4 1
SPY, D Short
SHORT SPY from 50-day MA

Just opened a short on SPY at 199.82 (a tick below the 50-day MA). Stops and targets as shown. 3-day holding horizon. Tight stop because it 's against the trend and based purely on the 50-day MA being resistance. Let's do it :)

410 1 6
EURUSD, D Long
LONG EUR: Long term reversal brewing

(Im coming back to the trading desk this week after 3 weeks of vacations!) Im opening a long EUR position to hold over the weekend and with a multi-day horizon. The rationale is both technical and fundamental. Technicals: For the first time in a long time, EURUSD printed a Golden Cross (50-day MA is at 1.1174 vs 200-day MA at 1.1168), and the currency is trading ...

Daniel Urdaneta Daniel Urdaneta USO, 240, Short ,
25 0 0
USO, 240 Short
USO short: fading the short-covering rally

Short-term play: Short USO opened con Thursday Sept 3 @avg. Entry Price 15.31. Rationale: - Short-covering rally that lost steam at the 50-day MA (Not pictured, around 48.75$ WTI). - Nothing changed on the fundamentals during the rally... Save for some OPEC comments about getting "fair prices" for Crude Oil. Nothing onof substance still, though - Shooting star ...

Daniel Urdaneta Daniel Urdaneta SPX, M, Short ,
107 5 2
SPX, M Short
2015: Bull market top? Fibo 1.618 says yes.. watch out!!

(Sorry, reposting to show full chart) Probably one of the most-watched Fib extensions in the market nowadays. The fibo 1.618 extension from 2007 highs - 2008 lows ('the Great Reccesion') is so far confirming as a top for the S&P 500. Questions about the validity of the study aside, it's accuracy is remarkable. Technically speaking, August 2015 is shaping up to ...

275 0 0
SPY, D
Fibonacci Levels to watch on SPY (Caveat emptor: tough trading)

And.. the much expected correction on SPY finally started, with the two worst trading days of the year by far. 2.2 trillion USD was wiped out from global equities this week. This kind of traumatic incident usually has devastating consequences for some market participants: think, for example, of sellers of puts (esp. those with deficient delta and gamma hedging); ...

45 0 0
USOIL, M Long
Could this be? Buyer of Crude Oil at Secular support (40 and 35)

positioning indications on the chart. Entry levels chosen at mayor support points in the last 10 years. Targets chosen on areas where the uptrend, if we get one, could find difficulty climbing higher. The 'Long Oil' trade is a purely Contrarian idea, based on the notion that extremes in sentiment are always the best leading indicators of price tops and bottom

Daniel Urdaneta Daniel Urdaneta TLT, 60, Short ,
38 0 0
TLT, 60 Short
TLT short on RSI divergence and channel, Bband top

Sold short some TLT at the market close. Looking to add tomorrow right away if it gaps down. Aiming for 123.40 (1° target); 122.33 (2° target and out). RSI divs on 1hr usually work on this ETF. The only worrisome sign: SPY seems to be at a hard place and this is a 'risk-on' trade. Let's see how it goes. Best,

Daniel Urdaneta Daniel Urdaneta SPY, D, Short ,
34 0 1
SPY, D Short
Short SPY: Offer US Equities on China Deval scare

SPY action has been getting pretty choppy as of late, with lots of intraday volatility and monstrous o/n gaps. I want to play it like this (There can be NO gap over 210.85 after the CNY deval thing in China that is causing some jitters in the Asia session; that's part of the rationale on shorting this, which would otherwise look pretty appealing for a Long): Sell ...

181 0 3
EURUSD, D
EUR/USD: Rangebound and waiting for direction

Since all the rumours of ECB QE were sold, and the actual thing was announced on early February, EUR/USD has been trading rangebound throughout 2015 with most of the price action developed in the 1,08-1,12 band. Hindsight is 20/20, but the best trades this year have been to buy the lows and sell the highs; and there's reason to believe this will hold for the ...

67 1 1
USOIL, W Long
Long Oil (Contrarian trade on Weekly Oversold, good Risk/Reward)

Notes on chart. I'm posting it again to get the trade more clear with stops/targets. Will play with USO since don't have a futs account. I'll go there in 2 tranches: 1. Immediate: Buying at WTI 44, target 50.75, stop 40.01 (def won't risk losing 40-handle on WTI - LOTS of negative momo are still around). 2. Contigent: Buying at spot if, at the end of August ...

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