DuncanParker

PRO
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About me Prop Trader, Analyst, Financial Journalist, Minyanville Contributor
Joined United States MinyanDP
Markets Allocation
61 % stocks 16 % forex 15 % indices 8 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
IWM 20% | 21 SPY 14% | 15 USDJPY 7% | 8 CADJPY 5% | 6
DuncanParker DuncanParker PRO NASX, D, Short ,
NASX: Bust Before the Boom?
116 0 1
NASX, D Short
Bust Before the Boom?

I think we're headed for a bigger correction here, then an explosion higher that will shock everyone. Don't get too bearish! (Short for now)

IWM: Big Losses Could Be Ahead for Small Caps
78 1 3
IWM, D
Big Losses Could Be Ahead for Small Caps

2011 analog vs today.

DuncanParker DuncanParker PRO NASX, D, Short ,
NASX: 2012 Pullback vs Today
121 0 1
NASX, D Short
2012 Pullback vs Today

I've yet to talk to a single bear. Sell.

DuncanParker DuncanParker PRO ZC1!, D,
ZC1!: Shucking Corn; Long Entry Approaching
84 0 1
ZC1!, D
Shucking Corn; Long Entry Approaching

Corn Futures are nearing a potential turning point in coming weeks as technicals and seasonals align. Back in early May, Corn rejected major resistance around 520 and has since pulled back, completing a long cup, while our handle is forming with a retrace of 61.8% ($450) of the move from the lows around $400 early this year to the $520 highs. Although RSI is ...

DuncanParker DuncanParker PRO AAPL, D,
AAPL: AAPL Playbook
169 0 0
AAPL, D
AAPL Playbook

Might not get this bad, but technicals say it could. Trade informed.

DuncanParker DuncanParker PRO SPY, D, Short ,
SPY: MAYDAY
66 0 0
SPY, D Short
MAYDAY

Cycle analysis of SPY via the S&P 500 illustrates we could be heading for a pullback. The same chart as above but in the monthly time frame is even more convincing of this. If we do tag the trend line and hold, this likely meets the criteria for a monthly Elliot Wave 4 corrective wave targeting +/- 2165 sometime by mid-2015. May 1st, 2014 (Mayday) appears to be ...

DuncanParker DuncanParker PRO CADJPY, D,
CADJPY: Retesting Major Support Now Resistance
51 1 0
CADJPY, D
Retesting Major Support Now Resistance

Watching for a change in trend for $CADJPY. Resistance should be heeded here, but no guarantees. Bullish MACD cross & Signal from far oversold territory, but probably best to wait for RSI to regain 50 before initiating long. Typically, I don't like to see anticipatory moves likes this ahead of a "major" news release such as NFP 4 short hours from now. My ...

DuncanParker DuncanParker PRO CADJPY, 60, Short ,
CADJPY: Anything Other Than Quiet Ahead of The Fed
95 14 0
CADJPY, 60 Short
Anything Other Than Quiet Ahead of The Fed

CADJPY headed to the box.

DuncanParker DuncanParker PRO DIA, D, Short ,
DIA: Fractallian Forecast
90 0 1
DIA, D Short
Fractallian Forecast

Topping (usually) is a process. 1929 an exception to that rule, but even that formation put in a right shoulder before dropping more than 50% over a few short months. Wait for a bounce to gap-fill just shy of 164 to pile onto the short side, stops at all time high.

DuncanParker DuncanParker PRO SPY, 60,
SPY: Three Peaks and a Domed House?
243 0 0
SPY, 60
Three Peaks and a Domed House?

Doesn't look good...

DJI: CYCLES
84 0 0
DJI, M
CYCLES

Good spot for a top.

TNX: US Ten Year Yield -- 2014 Cycle, Elliot Wave, & Price Projection
108 10 0
TNX, D
US Ten Year Yield -- 2014 Cycle, Elliot Wave, & Price Projection

The end of one kind of free money and the beginning of another.

TNX: Anatomy of a Dichotomy -- US Ten Year Yields
176 0 3
TNX, D
Anatomy of a Dichotomy -- US Ten Year Yields

The Ten Year US Treasury Yield is accelerating greatly since the announcement of "Tapering" by the Fed last week. Handles in-play are as follows with likely targets vis-a-vis measured moves from further anticipated rounding bottom formation. Of course, this is only way one of thinking about where future price action may behave (...a piece of the puzzle, ...

DuncanParker DuncanParker PRO SPY, D, Short ,
SPY: No Bueno
81 0 2
SPY, D Short
No Bueno

This doesn't look good...

DuncanParker DuncanParker PRO SPY, 15,
SPY: Three Peaks & a Domed House?
175 0 0
SPY, 15
Three Peaks & a Domed House?

Just an intraday setup, but if it triggers SPY targets a $160 handle. Watch for breach of today's low with heavy volume as confirmation the pattern has triggered. Good luck out there!

SPX: 1850 by Christmas?
106 3 1
SPX, D
1850 by Christmas?

It's remarkable what the SPX has been able to accomplish from the 2009 low; especially the last year. A potential secondary median trend line around 1850 appears to be the only trend resistance left. We'll probably re-test the breakout area just below current price, soon. If it holds, 1850 here we come! If not, 1850 here we come anyway! We'll probably start ...

DuncanParker DuncanParker PRO USDJPY, 15, Short ,
USDJPY: USDJPY Short Term Outlook -- Ugly with a Chance of Fugly
196 2 1
USDJPY, 15 Short
USDJPY Short Term Outlook -- Ugly with a Chance of Fugly

Complex topping pattern appears to be taking shape. Not a huge move implied, really, but if this pair is to ever breakout higher as anticipated by many -- it's time to get that show on the road. This isn't what you want to see if you're longer-term bullish. The best trade here is probably the one from the sidelines for now. If you have a long bias based on ...

DuncanParker DuncanParker PRO ZC1!, D, Short ,
ZC1!: Corn Hole
94 1 2
ZC1!, D Short
Corn Hole

Corn Hole targets $360

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