EchoAlphaBravo

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About me Independent investor and trader providing unbiased analysis.
Joined United States YourChiefPilot
Markets Allocation
71 % stocks 18 % indices 8 % cryptocurrency 4 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPX 13% | 7 BTCUSD 7% | 4 XLF 5% | 3 SPY 5% | 3
EchoAlphaBravo EchoAlphaBravo P, 1D, Short ,
73 0 3
P, 1D Short
Pandora ready to fall!

Shares of P look ready to pull back, having broke the upward trend line from the gap higher on the last report. The open gap aligns closely with the 200 day moving average at just south of $6. Shorting this thing via July $7.5 puts.

25 0 1
TNX, 1M
The Bond Yield Situation

I just was surfing charts and wanted to point this out, as the main theme from the media and analysts is that yields are going up. Period. I agree in that I think rates will be higher if measured in years or decades, but shorter term, they are at stiff resistance. This monthly chart going back to the mid 1960's has a very clear downward trend line that we ...

44 0 1
XLF, D
Death Crosses Abound

A few sectors are signaling troubles ahead, with their 50 day MA's crossing below their 200 day MA's. This chart picture shows SPY (upper left) as a broad gauge of market action. It has yet to experience the "death cross." However, the industrial stocks measured by XLI (upper right), materials stocks measured by XLB, and financial stocks measured by XLF have ...

226 0 4
BTCUSD, 1D Short
Bitcoin beatdown continues

The bears relentless selling doesn't appear to be abating. Volume remains weak, supports are being broken with ease, but there's yet to be a capitulation. It seems bulls have left the party altogether. As such, the downside prevails and I'm targeting $4200-4450 as the next destination. We may pause at round-number support at $5,000, but technically the price is ...

EchoAlphaBravo EchoAlphaBravo GLD, 1M, Short ,
111 3 2
GLD, 1M Short
Gold may plummet!

Gold has been a terrible investment over the past several years, and while bulls expect inflationary pressures to put a bid under the metal, it doesn't appear they're winning. Looking at GLD as a proxy, we've just violated major support. How major? We've broken the trend line going back to GLD's inception in the mid aughts. This monthly chart shows that we could ...

EchoAlphaBravo EchoAlphaBravo QQQ, 1D, Short ,
118 1 1
QQQ, 1D Short
QQQ rolling over

The QQQ is rolling over, as are most indices. Almost every oscillator is signaling a sell, as is the failure at trend support. Shorting and expecting a retest of the lows, or at least about $160-163.

EchoAlphaBravo EchoAlphaBravo XLF, 1D, Short ,
127 1 6
XLF, 1D Short
Buy the Banks, Suckers!

Every time I turn on CNBC, FBN, or the like, I hear a pundit or analyst pounding the table to "buy the banks." The go on to ramble a spiel about low valuation rations (P/B, P/E, P/FCF, etc), rising rate environments, yield curve inversions, and other reasons that they should outperform the markets going forward. But who's biting? A quick glance at the SPDR ...

EchoAlphaBravo EchoAlphaBravo MAR, 1D, Long ,
28 0 1
MAR, 1D Long
Checking in to Marriott (MAR)

Shares of MAR have finally pulled back to their 200dsma, providing an excellent entry point in to this best-in-breed hospitality chain. The aforementioned 200dsma is at $131, a level that coincides with a previous breakout level that has been tested - and held - on three different occasions. That zone is $128-131. Fundamentally, the company continues to ...

EchoAlphaBravo EchoAlphaBravo RAD, 1D, Long ,
69 1 3
RAD, 1D Long
RAD above 200dsma for first time since 2017

Shares of RAD have been brutal to own, but that may be turning around. After breaking a year-plus downtrend, shares have now moved above their 200 day moving average. With potential takeover catalysts, high short interest (15%), and improving technicals, there may be some room to run. I'm long shares and calls, both of which may be added to if this move is ...

EchoAlphaBravo EchoAlphaBravo HSI, 1W, Short ,
88 1 2
HSI, 1W Short
China's Double Top

I posted about this a while back, so wanted to reiterate given the developments abroad. The HSI appears to have formed a double top (with a potential bull trap, too) and I suspect selling pressure may escalate. A decisive break in price above the top would need a few weeks of closing above to invalidate the pattern. Given the negative catalysts surrounding China ...

EchoAlphaBravo EchoAlphaBravo FB, 1D, Long ,
144 0 1
FB, 1D Long
FB Breaking Out

Shares of FB have broken out. Last week, they took out the previous high of $195.32 and then successfully retested the level the following day. Today, bulls continue to validate the breakout, with shares flirting with the $200 level. I expect continued strength in the name, as valuations are reasonable and fundamentals remain strong. Given the lagging performance ...

83 0 2
BIDU, 1D Long
A Look Back at Buy Suggestions

Just wanted to look back on some names I've suggested and see how they're performing. The yellow line marks the day I posted a buy suggestion. For reference, I used the closing price of the day I posted to buy (closing price on the yellow line) and then the most recent closing price (Friday, 8 June 2018) to calculate performance.

EchoAlphaBravo EchoAlphaBravo SPX, 1D, Long ,
153 1 3
SPX, 1D Long
Bulls back in charge!

The market action this week favored bulls, with SPX taking out resistance at 2743, a level that had rebuffed rally attempts in previous weeks. Strong economic data kept bidders involved throughout the week and the index closed near the top of the week's range, which in turn bodes well for next week. The next resistance to watch is at 2800-2802, a zone derived ...

24 0 1
REVG, D Long
Bottom Fishing in REVG

Shares of REVG are at all-time lows and seem to have a favorable risk/reward ratio. It's trading at about 14x 2017 earnings, and under 10x estimated 2018 earnings. They also have a 100% beat record (over 5 quarters as public company), so estimates may be conservative and imply an even greater value. The PEG ratio is a mere 0.4. Revenues are growing at about ...

EchoAlphaBravo EchoAlphaBravo SPY, 1D, Long ,
137 0 1
SPY, 1D Long
Indecisive S&P 500

The SPY (SPX) is giving some mixed messages from various indicators. While the general feel seems to be a grind higher, it's important to note that we have stayed under the 61.8% retracement of the correction even after several attempts to push thru. Also, not depicted on this chart, but we failed to maintain the 100 day s.m.a. (I'll try to add that chart in the ...

EchoAlphaBravo EchoAlphaBravo TUP, 1M, Long ,
25 0 1
TUP, 1M Long
TUP long term support

Shares of TUP are approaching a critical long-term support level at $39-42, depicted on this weekly chart with the blue line. The daily chart is also looking favorable, with shares now trading above the 50-day moving average, and my 5/13ema's are in a buy mode. I'm a buyer with a stop on a weekly close below $39.

163 0 2
OLED, 1D Long
Long OLED

I bought in OLED on the dip below $100 and have been adding to the position since. It appears as though it's forming a rounding bottom, and price action suggests higher levels ahead. After forming a bullish engulfing candle on strong volume, shares seem to be consolidating and look ready to make a move higher. Staying long, buying more.

226 0 4
BIDU, 1D Long
Buying BIDU... Right here, Right now.

Shares of BIDU came under pressure because of management changes, but the selloff seems grossly overdone. Shares are currently sitting on a massive support zone... the 50, 100, and 200 day moving averages are bundled up between $242.39-245.42. Right below those averages is the 61.8% retracement of the previous major swing, further strengthening the support. ...

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