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#Bitcoin Gaussian Channel 🐍 🗣In my last post, I pointed out that we had moved up too quickly and noted the possibility of consolidation or even a correction—which played out. On the oscillator, it was also indicated how this would unfold. 📉 Right now, we are testing the lower band of the channel. We could remain around these levels for a while, consolidating. 💡...

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Today I saw a headline that surprised me "The current bear market has become the longest in the history of the crypto industry"📰 And I had a question about whether they were living in the past, or where they saw the bear market.🤔 💡I want to remind you that it ended with a duration of exactly one year, just like the last cycle. And it was much shorter than in...

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#Bitcoin Keltner Channels 📈 The current BTC cycle is often compared to the cycle of 2020 or 2016. Well, let's consider what if this cycle is different. In the first cycle, we did not have substantive and protracted corrections. The second cycle had a more pronounced mid-cycle peak, and a longer consolidation after it, and even then the 2nd wave of movement. The...

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#Bitcoin distance from BMS Below is the oscillator, which shows how far the price has moved away from the bull market support. Mostly when we are in the 2-3 year of the cycle, the mark on the oscillator 40 acts as resistance, which indicates a mid-cycle peak. Can it be different this time?🤔 Let's imagine that the CRYPTOCAP:BTC ETF inflow will be greater and...

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CRYPTOCAP:BTC often follows the technology sector of the stock market. The chart clearly shows the moments when they diverge. As we can see now one of these. Also below you can see the Spearman-rank correlation, which better shows us the moments when two assets start to move in different directions.

FeelsStrategy Updated 

I've previously described the correlation, and it's clear to everyone: a weaker DXY is positive for BTC. 📝Recently, the dollar has grown significantly and seems close to a local maximum (the chart is inverted). This demonstrates the strength of Bitcoin, as it was able to rise even against a strengthening dollar. 💡Imagine its movement when the new administration...

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Why are we falling and why do I think there will be no deep correction? 🗣The first is, of course, geopolitics, risks are growing again in the Middle East, 🗣The second is additional liquidity from the US government and mt GOX. 🗣A crisis of narratives, nothing very positive will happen in the next 2 months, and the seasonality in those months also does not give...

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#Bitcoin Log Regression 👀 The orange line, as in the previous cycle, offers strong resistance. 💡I think CRYPTOCAP:BTC will stay at the current mark for another month. After that, we go to the correction, most likely it will not be a deep correction, but rather a consolidation. This is indicated by overbought and seasonality. ⛏️ And also the capitulation of...

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📝 Bitcoin is currently testing the baseline of the Bollinger Bands, which historically indicates that the sideways phase is nearing its end. 📉 Volatility is stabilizing, and the market structure is tightening—this often precedes a significant new move. 💡 The next big trend is on the horizon. Will it be an explosive breakout or a controlled rally like in 2021?...

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Is #Bitcoin dominance finally starting to crack? I think we’re getting the first real signal. 📉 After a strong run, BTC CRYPTOCAP:BTC dominance has rejected from major resistance and started to pull back. Even when adjusted for stablecoins, we’re seeing the same early signs of weakness. 📝 Historically, this kind of shift has been a precursor to capital...

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📝 After months of underperformance, we're finally seeing some relative strength from ETH vs BTC. 📍ETH/BTC has bounced off a key historical support zone — a level that previously marked major reversals in the cycle. 📈 While the bounce is still in early stages, it breaks the streak of lower lows and gives hope for a trend shift. If we apply the logic of...

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📉 In the short term, Trump's proposed tariffs add to the current risk-off sentiment—ETF flows, correlations with stocks, and macro uncertainty are already weighing on Bitcoin. 🗣 While debates rage on about whether tariffs will hurt importers or exporters or whether Trump will roll back some after negotiations, one thing is certain: inflation. And inflation is...

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⚡️ I’ve been saying since December and January that selling around $108K was a smart move. Meanwhile, mainstream analysts were predicting $150K in winter and $200K by spring—now you can ask them, where are those predictions? 📝 This correction might feel painful, but let’s be real—it was expected for those who were paying attention. We had a parabolic move, and...

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🚀 Did we see true altcoin euphoria that triggered the bear market this cycle? I don’t think so. 📉 Historically, bull markets end when confidence reaches irrational levels—when the market completely shifts from BTC into alts, believing it’s a "new paradigm." That’s when euphoria peaks, and the bear market begins. 📊 Right now, BTC dominance is approaching 65%, and...

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CRYPTOCAP:ETH vs BTC: Sentiment Shift & Reality Check 👥 Not long ago, everyone was convinced that ETH would surpass BTC. Now, the narrative has changed—ETH is "going to zero." 👀 But what are we actually observing? This is the most significant deviation from the multi-year trendline, and historically, these moments have presented some of the best opportunities...

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#Bitcoin Gaussian Channel 🐍 👥Many referred to yesterday’s minor market pullback as "historic." Observing the Gaussian Channel, which remains in the green phase, and noting the price consolidating above the baseline, I honestly can’t identify this "historic correction." 📝True historic corrections occurred during the previous bull market. Now that was volatility....

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👥Of course, the sentiment around CRYPTOCAP:ETH has changed lately. If you go to any social network and conduct a social analysis of sentiment around ETH, you can see complete disappointment in the project. And just recently, every other person was sitting and talking about how ETH would overtake Bitcoin. Now I see messages that "Ethereum is cooked." Such a...

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Now the market again is showing dynamics, I think it is necessary to comment🗣 📝In the quoted post, I said that only a change in the probability of acceptance can trigger short-term positive dynamics, which happened. The probability of acceptance jumped again to 40%, as it was on December 16, when we were also at the same level. 📍Well, I do not have insider...