FlaviusTodorius67

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Markets Allocation
Top Mentioned Symbols
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 54% | 12 BITFINEX:BTCUSD 9% | 2 XRPUSD 9% | 2 NEOBTC 9% | 2
FlaviusTodorius67 FlaviusTodorius67 BTCUSD, 1D,
BTCUSD: Two possible BTC scenarios
194 3 5
BTCUSD, 1D
Two possible BTC scenarios

I know my charts aren't fancy. I don't like to draw fancy lines with different colors and overlay 200 indicators. But this is a quick analysis of what I think is very probable now. Since most of the people are bearish now, I think a short squeeze up to the logarithmic resistance is pretty likely. Then the longer triangle could play out. After that, we either ...

FlaviusTodorius67 FlaviusTodorius67 BTCUSD, 1W, Short ,
BTCUSD: When to buy the dip
278 2 4
BTCUSD, 1W Short
When to buy the dip

So, it seems that the bullmarket continuation scenario is getting more and more unlikely by the day. This scenario would have brought us to 100K sometime this year. However, due to the continued weakness of bitcoin, a bearmarket seems much more likely :( But how can you trade a bearmarket? Well, it seems that one has to wait for the right buying opportunity, when ...

FlaviusTodorius67 FlaviusTodorius67 BTCUSD, 1D, Long ,
BTCUSD: Multi month bullish wedge in BTC
547 2 12
BTCUSD, 1D Long
Multi month bullish wedge in BTC

Ok, so the drop in BTC also took me by surprise. In my previous chart https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/P9rekr2F-Two-possible-scenarios-for-BTC/ I saw two possible scenarios for BTC. BTC took the dump scenario, however, the drop was more massive than I anticipated. It went below the ma20. What does that mean now for the future price development of ...

FlaviusTodorius67 FlaviusTodorius67 BTCUSD, D, Long ,
BTCUSD: Two possible scenarios for BTC
648 1 5
BTCUSD, D Long
Two possible scenarios for BTC

I see two possible developments for BTC in the near future. One with a shakeout and drop to the MA20 (moving average over 20 weeks), and then bounce, and one where BTC starts climbing directly. What will happen, no one knows. However, I see the outcome of both scenarios in a continuation of the bullrun towards 40k+ .

FlaviusTodorius67 FlaviusTodorius67 ETHUSD, D, Long ,
ETHUSD: Fractal similarity in ETHUSD
2219 2 16
ETHUSD, D Long
Fractal similarity in ETHUSD

If this ETH rally were to accour in a similar pattern as the last one, this would mean that we are at point 3 now. Therefore, 1-2 weeks of sideways consolidation, until the real runup would start. This scenario however, can only work if bitcoin does not dump. It must at least stay constant, better yet, rise. Because if bitcoin stays constant, I cannot see ETH ...

FlaviusTodorius67 FlaviusTodorius67 ETHBTC, D, Long ,
ETHBTC: Fractal cyclical idea for ETHBTC
601 0 4
ETHBTC, D Long
Fractal cyclical idea for ETHBTC

If the fractal pattern repeats, we could see a pretty bullish few weeks ahead soonish for ETH. This would fit the 1 year ETH hype cycle. Imho, ETH is pretty undervalued right now. Metcalfe price is way above 1000, since the number of users and the number of transactions has kept growing exponentially, yet, the price of ETH has not grown a lot compared to other ...

FlaviusTodorius67 FlaviusTodorius67 NEOBTC, D, Long ,
NEOBTC: NEOBTC updated fractal idea
633 1 4
NEOBTC, D Long
NEOBTC updated fractal idea

So my last NEOBTC fractal count turned out to be false: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NEOBTC/UfEfPURp-NEO-fractal-analysis/ The downward slope dragged out longer than expected, but I think now the reversal point has been reached. I think that it might play out something like this, which would put the main NEO rally sometime in the march/april 2018 ...

FlaviusTodorius67 FlaviusTodorius67 BTCUSD, W, Long ,
BTCUSD: Possible tops of this BTC cycle
1638 17 15
BTCUSD, W Long
Possible tops of this BTC cycle

This one is pretty self-explanatory. I drew the logarithmic trend channel, and drew a repeat of the 2013 cycle. If such a thing were to occur, the new target estimates are 50K for the first top, end of december/ beginning of january. Then bouncing between 10K and 30K for a few months like in summer 2013. Then the end of this hype cycle at 100-200K. Then a ...

FlaviusTodorius67 FlaviusTodorius67 XRPUSD, D, Long ,
XRPUSD: Price projection for this XRP rally and future prospects
2473 4 15
XRPUSD, D Long
Price projection for this XRP rally and future prospects

So ripple started earlier than I expected in one of my previous ideas, however, it was to be expected that ripple would also pump. We are in an insanely bullish crypto market right now and all major altcoins were already pumped, except for ripple and maybe ETH to some extent. So now that the nasty resistance at 0.28-0.30 USD has been broken, we would like to ...

FlaviusTodorius67 FlaviusTodorius67 BTCUSD, D, Long ,
BTCUSD: BTC correction idea for this month
572 0 8
BTCUSD, D Long
BTC correction idea for this month

So a correction is in play now, and BTC likes to do 30-40% corrections in this runup since the end of 2015. This woul coincide with the middel 1d bollinger band, and would allow the 1d stoch RSI to cool down again from overbought levels to oversold levels. This would lead to an exceptional entry point within the next few days to go long. However, I strongly ...

FlaviusTodorius67 FlaviusTodorius67 XRPUSD, D, Long ,
XRPUSD: XRP - always good to buy when others panic sell
1585 18 15
XRPUSD, D Long
XRP - always good to buy when others panic sell

So a lot of coins are pumping right now. IOTA 15x increase in USD value since early november. And Ripple? Doing absolutely nothing. Sleeping. Dead. So noobs are like: "Damn, look at all those shiny coins pumping, and ripple is dead. I have to sell ripple for these other cool coins!!!" That's how whales play them, and what they basically do, is coin-chasing. ...

FlaviusTodorius67 FlaviusTodorius67 BTCUSD, D, Long ,
BTCUSD: How high can this thing go? Hint: Very high.
947 7 10
BTCUSD, D Long
How high can this thing go? Hint: Very high.

It's funny to see the reaction of people, staring in total disbelief at the prices. Why? Because they do not think in exponential terms. The human brain is just used to think in linear terms, exponential rises take a lot getting used to. But bitcoin? It was rising exponentially for a while, and now it entered over-exponential territory. This means that in the ...

FlaviusTodorius67 FlaviusTodorius67 NEOBTC, D, Long ,
NEOBTC: NEO fractal analysis
616 4 4
NEOBTC, D Long
NEO fractal analysis

A quick fractal analysis on the NEO/BTC pattern. If the pattern repeats, then the real NEO rally should start sometime end of january/february. Maybe that will coincide with Chinas return to Cryptos? Who knows, but it might play out like this.

FlaviusTodorius67 FlaviusTodorius67 BTCUSD, D, Long ,
BTCUSD: Over-exponential growth and corrective phase
1465 5 17
BTCUSD, D Long
Over-exponential growth and corrective phase

Anyone remember the btc rally 2013? Interestingly, this rally resembles a lot the behavior of btc from back in 2013. The runup back then was basically from 10 to 266. This is pretty comparable to this years low at 800, to maybe 20K. However, the timescales are now much larger than back then, because more people are involved now, so you can imagine it like a ...

FlaviusTodorius67 FlaviusTodorius67 BTCUSD, W, Long ,
BTCUSD: BTC starting to near over-exponential growth phase : buckle up !
4051 15 21
BTCUSD, W Long
BTC starting to near over-exponential growth phase : buckle up !

Now the real insane phase of this current growth cycle is starting. I do not like the term bubble, since btc is not a bubble. It is a network, and a network can be priced. According to metcalfes law, we are actually not very overpriced. The value of a network is derived from the number of users and how often it is used. Bitcoin has a current metcalfe price of ...

FlaviusTodorius67 FlaviusTodorius67 BCHUSD, 240, Long ,
BCHUSD: Bitcoin cash fractal symmetry
494 2 9
BCHUSD, 240 Long
Bitcoin cash fractal symmetry

BCH seems to be repeating a pattern I noticed in many different cryptos, first and foremost of course in bitcoin itself. I think this is how it will play out more or less. It is very unlikely that BCH will rally from here directly to new all time highs. More likely, it will rise step-wise and then make a plateau. Bitcoin did this in November 2015, when it started ...

FlaviusTodorius67 FlaviusTodorius67 BTCUSD, W, Long ,
BTCUSD: Bitcoin shatters all moderate price predictions on tradingview
2157 27 32
BTCUSD, W Long
Bitcoin shatters all moderate price predictions on tradingview

So I saw a lot of predictions claiming 3500, 3700 or 4000 as the top. Either those people are trolls, or they fail to realize that bitcoin growth spurts are NON-LINEAR ! Meaning that after each havling, a hyper-exponential growth sets in, leading to a succession of insane rallies. People then search for reasons, conspiracy theories come up daily in bitcoin land, ...

FlaviusTodorius67 FlaviusTodorius67 LTCUSD, D, Long ,
LTCUSD: LTC probably going to 100 USD
732 0 13
LTCUSD, D Long
LTC probably going to 100 USD

I haven´t done an LTC prediction yet, but just looking at the chart I notice a few things: 1. Rising wedge which is a bearish sign in the end, but still has a lot more growth potential. It breaks very late, around 100 USD, where the top will probably be. 2. The volume decreases but the price increases => Bulltrend will probably break at some point 3. Bearish ...

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