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DAILY TIME FRAME The thick blue line labeled "P" on the daily chart represents the "Monthly True Value" of GBPAUD. The thick dotted gold line just above the monthly true value line represents the three month average of the monthly true value. Since the Monthly True Value line is below its three month average it indicates GBPAUD is in a monthly downward...
BULLISH TRADE SETUP ANALYSIS Monthly TF = Bullish Daily TF = Bulish Type of Trade = Momentum Breakout Time to profit target = 1 to 2 days Reward to Risk Ratio = 3:1 Risk = 1% of account balance
MONTHLY CHART In analyzing this monthly chart I am starting at the left edge of the chart. Looking at the first eight candles I see they are all moving downward indicating a downward trend. In analyzing the trading psychology that goes into forming this downward trend I notice that all these candles are red, except for one. Red candles are formed by the Close...
GBPNZD is the most volatile currency pair with an average trading range of 198 PIP's per day. GBPNZD has held the number one spot in volatility since 2014. In preparing to trade this currency pair on the Daily Time Frame I go to a higher time frame to determine what the trading psychology has been. What I want to determine, is the current trading psychology...
Today I have removed all past comment balloons as well as the higher resistance line and lower support line so I could highlight the tighter trading range. TUTORIAL Monday's candle formed a Bearish Engulfing pattern. Engulfing candles are reversal candles so today's engulfing candle is indicating a reversal in trend from up to down. This candle is also a very...
TUTORIAL Looking at the Monthly Candles. Price action in February and April formed a Hammer candle pattern. A Hammer is a reversal pattern. While these two candles are considered reversal candle patterns they are not strong reversal candle patterns as they did not Close above their Open. A Strong Hammer pattern would have closed above the Opening price level...
TUTORIAL Today's candle formed a Neutral candle. Looking at the anatomy of today's candle the High and Low made a higher high and a higher low indicating the trend remains upward. However, the Close of today's session closed midway between the high and the low showing a balance of trading strength from both the buyers and the sellers indicating a neutral trading...
TUTORIAL Today's candle was a very bullish candle. Looking at the anatomy of today's candle notice Close is above its Open indicating a bullish candle. The long lower Shadow of the Candle indicates a rejection of lower prices as buyers overcome the sellers. The candle also has a short upper shadow indicating little rejection of higher prices. Lastly, the...
TUTORIAL Today's candle was a very bullish candle. The candle was bullish because it Opened at the Low of the session and Closed near the High. The lack of a lower Shadow indicates there were no sellers trying to push the market lower. The lack of a tall upper Shadow indicates the market was not rejecting higher prices. TRADING Today's candle broke out and...
TUTORIAL Today's candle might be called a Gravestone Doji but it is not a Shooting Star. You might call it a Gravestone Doji but the real body is technically too tall. Today's candle is not a Shooting Star as Shooting Star's only occurs after an upward trend but this market is trading sideways in a trading range. If today's candle is not technically a...
TUTORIAL Today's candle (4/27/2020) formed a Doji. A Doji is a "Neutral Candle" indicating trader indecision. A "Close" above the "High" of the Doji indicates the price is ready to move higher and a "Close" below the "Low" of the Doji indicates the price is ready to move lower. TRADING Go "Long" on a Close above the High of the Doji or go "Short" on a Close...
THE ANATOMY OF THE CANDLESTICK The CandleStick is composed of three main parts, the Real Body, the Upper Wick, and the Lower Wick. The Real Body is defined as the area between the Open and the Close of the CandleStick. The length of the Real Body represents the momentum of trading during the formation of the candlestick. A "Long Body" also called a "Tall Body"...
TUTORIAL The latest candle (Friday 4/24/2020) formed a "Bullish" candle. A bullish candle is formed when its real body is approximately the same size as the previous candles, it "Closes" near or at its "High" and has a lower "Shadow" less than 2 times the length of its real body. It looks like a "Hammer" candle pattern but is not a hammer as its lower shadow is...
TUTORIAL Today's candle broke out below support and closed the session below support; this is called a "Momentum Breakout". The breakout below support indicates price is ready to continue the downward trend. The "Momentum" part of the breakout means price typically starts to accelerate or increase range, with each day following the breakout. TRADING A breakout...
TUTORIAL Today's candle formed a Spinning Top. A Spinning Top is formed by a small real body with supper and lower shadows less than the length of the real body. By itself, a Spinning Top indicates a drifting market. Notice the Spinning Top's real body remains between Support and Resistance. REFRESHER The green Spinning Top that formed three days ago indicated...
TUTORIAL Tuesday's candle formed a Doji. A Doji is a candle pattern where the Open and Close are very close together and the candle has both upper and lower shadows. A Doji is a neutral candle and is neither bullish or bearish. The high of a Doji indicates resistance and the low support. As such I draw a horizontal support and resistance line. Notice the...
TUTORIAL Monday's candle formed a Doji. A Doji is a candle pattern where the Open and Close are very close together and the candle has both upper and lower shadows. A Doji is a neutral candle and is neither bullish or bearish. TRADING When a Doji is in between Support and Resistance I do not make any trade decisions as a Doji is just an indication the market is...
TUTORIAL Friday's candle formed a Spinning Top. A Spinning Top is formed by a small real body with supper and lower shadows less than the length of the real body. By itself, a Spinning Top indicates a drifting market. However, this spinning top's lower shadow's low price was equal to the low price of the previous candle forming a Bullish Tweezer. A Bullish...