Goldmans_Sak

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Markets Allocation
48 % stocks 26 % indices 11 % commodities 15 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
GLD 11% | 3 ZC1! 7% | 2 XAUUSD 7% | 2 BTCUSD 3% | 1
Goldmans_Sak Goldmans_Sak PRO BTCUSD, D, Short ,
BTCUSD: Short Bitcoin - target 1250
309 1 10
BTCUSD, D Short
Short Bitcoin - target 1250

Bitcoin reached multiple key resistance levels: - Channel resistance line through the highs (Jun-2016 to Now) - 23.6% Fibo extension from Nov-2013 to Jan-2015 - 3.618 Fibo circle extension from Jan-2017 low to Mar-2017 high Bitcoin is likely to correct short term and could test the 1250 level...

Goldmans_Sak Goldmans_Sak PRO USOIL, 60, Short ,
USOIL: Short oil - target 50
56 0 5
USOIL, 60 Short
Short oil - target 50

It seems like oil found the 61.8% fibo retracement resistance near 51.86 a few minutes before the inventory report at 10:30 am which showed a slight buildup in inventories. A break below the 50.75 support level would probably drive oil down to its more significant $50 support level if downside momentum continues.

Goldmans_Sak Goldmans_Sak PRO TSLA, W, Short ,
TSLA: Short Tesla
28 0 0
TSLA, W Short
Short Tesla

Target: 215 Tesla started to retrace down from the descending multi-year resistance. I expect a drop to the next strong support level around 215. Unfortunately a company with a large CAPEX like Tesla might underperform in a bear market. My very long term view is a buy. But for now, I'd want a fairer valuation before I buy.

Goldmans_Sak Goldmans_Sak PRO XAUUSD/XAGUSD, M, Long ,
XAUUSD/XAGUSD: Long Silver
280 0 4
XAUUSD/XAGUSD, M Long
Long Silver

As this new crisis unfolds and the current Keynesian based Economy collapses, Central banks will be forced to lower rates. A raise in Rates from the Fed would trigger massive deleveraging worldwide. Silver's relative performance tell us that it will likely outperform Gold.

Goldmans_Sak Goldmans_Sak PRO XGY0, W, Short ,
XGY0: Short China
17 0 0
XGY0, W Short
Short China

violent reversal in the Shanghai Index. This could be the beginning of a bigger crisis...

Goldmans_Sak Goldmans_Sak PRO XAUUSD/EURUSD/EURUSD, W, Long ,
XAUUSD/EURUSD/EURUSD: Dollar Neutral gold in a strong rally
51 0 0
XAUUSD/EURUSD/EURUSD, W Long
Dollar Neutral gold in a strong rally

While it doesn't look like gold is going anywhere lately, its priced is being pushed down by a rising dollar. Despite a strong dollar, gold has been moving sideways for a year. Global QE is reaching ridiculous levels and rates AREN'T RISING. Here is a view of the dollar neutral Gold and the relative performance of Gold priced in euros relative to the Euro currency.

Goldmans_Sak Goldmans_Sak PRO TYC, D, Short ,
TYC: Short Tyco
18 0 0
TYC, D Short
Short Tyco

Tyco is a weak stock in an underperforming industry. Short at the upper downtrend channel with an initial target at 40 by Feb

Goldmans_Sak Goldmans_Sak PRO ZN1!, W, Long ,
ZN1!: Long 10 year Note
22 0 0
ZN1!, W Long
Long 10 year Note

Multi year uptrend support and recent consolidation above the 20 weekly MA suggests a brake above 127.25 is likely. Target: 130.29

Goldmans_Sak Goldmans_Sak PRO TGT, W, Long ,
TGT: Long Target on S&P bounce
19 0 0
TGT, W Long
Long Target on S&P bounce

Retailing has been slightly outperforming the S&P since June. Target could have a nice short term rebound as the S&P rebounds in the short term. Conservative initial target: 38.2% fibo at 61

Goldmans_Sak Goldmans_Sak PRO GLD, D, Long ,
GLD: Long GLD till End of Year
59 2 1
GLD, D Long
Long GLD till End of Year

The heavy Euro sell-off that followed the drastic measure by Mario Draghi to lower the euro is starting to cool off. Euro is finally finding some support along the multi-year uptrend. The dollar rallied heavily and commodities took a huge hit this Fall. However, the technical bounce in the Euro could provide support to Gold as the dollar weakens. Additionally, ...

Goldmans_Sak Goldmans_Sak PRO GLD, D, Long ,
GLD: Long GLD till End of Year
49 0 3
GLD, D Long
Long GLD till End of Year

The heavy Euro sell-off that followed the drastic measure by Mario Draghi to lower the euro is starting to cool off. Euro is finally finding some support along the multi-year uptrend. The dollar rallied heavily and commodities took a huge hit this Fall. However, the technical bounce in the Euro could provide support to Gold as the dollar weakens. Additionally, ...

Goldmans_Sak Goldmans_Sak PRO GLD, D, Long ,
GLD: Long GLD till EOY
32 1 1
GLD, D Long
Long GLD till EOY

The heavy Euro sell-off that followed the drastic measure by Mario Draghi to lower the euro is starting to cool off. Euro is finally bottoming and finding some support at the multi-year uptrend support. The dollar rallied heavily and commodities took a huge hit this Fall. However, the technical bounce in the Euro could provide support to Gold as the dollar ...

Goldmans_Sak Goldmans_Sak PRO TWTR, D, Long ,
TWTR: Long Twitter target 57 by Dec
80 0 1
TWTR, D Long
Long Twitter target 57 by Dec

Twitter in on a clear uptrend. The recent rebound in equities suggests that this outperforming stock could break high along its uptrend all the way to the next significant resistance of 57.50 (61.8% fibo retracement). A break of the uptrend would be a signal to close the long position. A call option would gain value of Vega and Delta as volatility increases and ...

Goldmans_Sak Goldmans_Sak PRO MCK, W, Long ,
MCK: Long Mckesson Corp
30 0 0
MCK, W Long
Long Mckesson Corp

The Healthcare Providers industry is one of the top performing industries in the strongest Sector in the S&P500, Healthcare. McKesson Corp is in a clear uptrend and has been gaining momentum as the relative performance chart indicates it has been ourperfoming the S&P more and more. The recent Bollinger Squeeze on the Weekly chart suggests there could be a ...

Goldmans_Sak Goldmans_Sak PRO AA, D, Short ,
AA: Short Alcoa
130 3 1
AA, D Short
Short Alcoa

Metals & Mining have been underperforming the S&P since August as commodity markets sold off. Alcoa has now entered a downtrend after reaching a double top at 2011 highs near 17 a share. The Bearish divergence between price and MACD also suggests more downside in the new confirmed downtrend. Initial target: 38.2% Fibo retracement at $14 a share

Goldmans_Sak Goldmans_Sak PRO PCL, M, Short ,
PCL: Short PCL
33 0 0
PCL, M Short
Short PCL

PCL is one of the weakest stock in the Real Estate industry. REITS have been underperforming the S&P. This is a good candidate to short in a strong downtrend (see daily chart). Ideally, a short should be opened on a retracement to the 20 MA in the day chart.

Goldmans_Sak Goldmans_Sak PRO MGM, W, Short ,
MGM: Short MGM
20 1 1
MGM, W Short
Short MGM

MGM has been underperforming the S&P since April and has recently taken out the 22.69 low YTD this week. The safest initial target is the 38.2% fibo retracement at 21.

Goldmans_Sak Goldmans_Sak PRO UHBB, W, Short ,
UHBB: Short Casinos
14 1 0
UHBB, W Short
Short Casinos

Casinos & Gaming have been underperforming the S&P since March. This is a perfect time to short as the lower low this week confirms the downtrend. The rise in volatility suggests it could break much lower to 1200 or lower.

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