ES 65m Key Levels leading into FOMC this week and key econ events. Acute session in play until KLs are breached for longer term horizon application// Price at time of publish: 4472.25// Bias: Neutral to risk off
ES1! 6WK: Update from April 14, 2023:
Long term target: 4634.50
Please refer to study posted on April 14, 2023 and updates as listed from June 16, 2023. Key level of 4500 breached, warranting new targets for continuation.
Bias: Neutral to risk on into EOY for Q3 and Q4
Price at time of publish: 4517.00
SPY 65m: An acute SPY study shared with peers was used to example the weekly movement of SPY. SPY vs ES was used as a benchmark for S&P Cash Index due to intraday activity (as of recent). Using the 65m horizon, key inflection points were identified using market structure and regression analysis.
Session highs for the index ending the week and quarter and marking...
ES1! 6WK: Update from April 14, 2023 Publish:
+8% shift of structure upwards and price rediscovery from March 2022 levels. A period of inside candles preceding May 8,2023 reflected support at sigma 2.
Risk on sentiment as evidenced by confluence of sigma 1 and 0.5 fibonacci level (4155.25) is now approaching 0.236 fibonacci level (4500). This is a high area of...
TSLA continuation post rounded bottom/first stage breakout. // Long Bias on higher auction and price rediscovery from levels last seen in FEB 2023 and Q4 2022 sees PT of 289.11// Beta: 2.1, ATR 8.19, IV: 60.40% // Bias: Risk On// Price at time of publish: 215.80
AMD: Continuation on 390m horizon. 3 Bar play identified with breakout of opening range. Acceptance has now moved PA over key levels w/o/w since establishing new character out of April 24, 2023. >102.43 revisits July/MAR 2022 auction// Beta: 1.91%, ATR: 4.12, IV: 48.32%// Bias: Risk on// Price at time of publish: 101.53
TSLA 390m: Inside Candle//KLs marked accordingly and work with previous study valid for invalidation//Bias: Neutral using 10:43amEDT candle// Beta: 2.02, IV: 56.79%, ATR: 7.33, // Price at time of publish: 160.89
TSLA 65m: Intraday Levels// Higher vol and GEX in consideration leading into key econ events. Acute Bias: Neutral to risk on//KLs marked accordingly // Invalidated <158.75// Beta: 1.94, IV: 53.82%, ATR: 7.54// Price at time of publish: 164.10
TSLA 390m Short Setup: Risk off scenario challenging auction lower last seen EOY 2022: Using levels from December 14, 2022 published study: <165.63: 162.42, 157.67, < GAP Fill Watch: <155.95, 151.08, 147.41, 145.13//Invalidated if auction holds > 164.15// Beta: 2.01, ATR: 8.03, IV: 34/05%// Price at time of publish: 165.47
BA 65m: Acute analysis potential gap fill to upside contingent on auction acceptance. Positive ER from UAL, expanded partnership with Invictus Games this morning, and ER next week catalysts for participants// 215.55 is a KL to be watched as it is where auction failure has occurred five times YTD// KLs 206.80, 208.77, 208.94, 210.13, 211.50, 212.56, 215.55// Beta...
ES1! 65m: Intraday levels, VPOC 4139.50, Inside bar on sessions for 1D-4D and could remain in range for acute horizons; Earnings and VOL levels in consideration; Weak breadth on daily internals// KLs: 4176, 4164, 4156.50, 4147, 4117.75, 4139.50, 4110.75, 4098.75// Price at time of publish: 4154.25// Bias: Neutral
ES1! Fibonacci Levels on 6wk horizon. Confluence observed with PA in sustained level between Key SMAS 20, 200. Confluence observed with 0.618 and 0.5 with areas of fair value. Reliability of measure supported using linear regression with pearsons r of 0.97554. A bear flag would be confirmed with breach of sigma 2 :3888.50 and KLs 3973.75, 3515.50 (and rediscovery...
META breakout with a first stage base/rounded bottom & accumulation. Low volume confluence with "handle" is setting up for breakout and second stage. KL: 204.80, 211.64, 217.51, 226.84, 236.99// Long Bias on higher auction and price rediscovery from levels last seen in Jan 2022 sees PT of 289.11// Beta: 1.16, ATR 6.79, IV: 40.55% // Bias: Risk On; Failure <...