HEmmanuel

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About me Computer programmer, speculator and trader. I base my opinions on global macro themes and execute my ideas using fundamental technical analysis.
Joined Edinburgh HaroonEmmanuel
Markets Allocation
88 % forex 6 % indices 6 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
GBPAUD 12% | 2 GBPNZD 12% | 2 AUDCAD 12% | 2 AUDNZD 12% | 2
HEmmanuel HEmmanuel EURCAD, 240, Long ,
EURCAD: EURCAD - A potential buy opportunity.
95 0 0
EURCAD, 240 Long
EURCAD - A potential buy opportunity.

The pair is in a nice up trend. This pull back could potentially provide a nice buy setup.

HEmmanuel HEmmanuel EURGBP, 240, Short ,
EURGBP: EURGBP 4 hour -  Head and Shoulders formation.
145 0 1
EURGBP, 240 Short
EURGBP 4 hour - Head and Shoulders formation.

Sell on break below 0.7050. Stop 0.7075

HEmmanuel HEmmanuel EURAUD, 240, Long ,
EURAUD: EURAUD - Buy on completion of corrective move.
64 0 2
EURAUD, 240 Long
EURAUD - Buy on completion of corrective move.

EURAUD is in a nice up trend. Opportunity to buy once corrective move to the down side is complete.

HEmmanuel HEmmanuel GBPNZD, 240, Long ,
GBPNZD: GBPNZD - Bullish price action
224 1 3
GBPNZD, 240 Long
GBPNZD - Bullish price action

GBP fell against all the majors after the disappointing retail sales figures. It fell even harder against NZD after RBNZ interest rate decision, which brought the price back to very interesting levels. Price stalled at the old trend line support and have bounced back since, breaking the initial resistance of 2.3400 as marked on the chart. This confirms that the ...

HEmmanuel HEmmanuel AUDNZD, 240,
AUDNZD: AUDNZD projection after RBNZ's rate cut decision.
115 1 2
AUDNZD, 240
AUDNZD projection after RBNZ's rate cut decision.

RBNZ cuts interest rate by 25bp to 3% and hints further easing. 25 bp cut was already priced in and the market was expecting a 50 bp cut hence we see this strength in kiwi dollar. I will be watching the 1.1020 area very closely, a break below will give room for further correction but a hold will resume the upward trend.

HEmmanuel HEmmanuel USDCAD, 240,
USDCAD: USDCAD - Due for a Correction ?
120 2 2
USDCAD, 240
USDCAD - Due for a Correction ?

Bullish on this pair, will take a long position once corrective structure appears.

HEmmanuel HEmmanuel AUDCAD, 240, Long ,
AUDCAD: Conditional long setup: AUDCAD
75 1 0
AUDCAD, 240 Long
Conditional long setup: AUDCAD

This has been stuck in a range for a while so keeping a close eye on it because of recent bullish price action. Is it ready to break out of its range ? Enter ONLY if price breaks above 0.96000 level and holds. 3 Positions will be opened with a fairly tight stop loss. Please note that this is a very slow moving pair with a 5 day average of about 85 pips so a lot ...

HEmmanuel HEmmanuel GBPAUD, 240, Short ,
GBPAUD: GBPAUD - Corrective head & shoulders
162 1 2
GBPAUD, 240 Short
GBPAUD - Corrective head & shoulders

Adding further to my previous analysis about this pair, there seems to be a head & shoulders pattern emerging. I will be taking a short position If the next few candles close below the neckline. If the price crosses above the neckline, I will wait for it to get to the next kill zone which is the top red trend line.

HEmmanuel HEmmanuel GBPAUD, 240,
GBPAUD: GBPAUD correction
42 0 2
GBPAUD, 240
GBPAUD correction

GBPAUD - Price approaching potential resistance area which can be the corrective zone.

HEmmanuel HEmmanuel BUND, 240, Long ,
BUND: Long Setup: Euro-Bund
30 0 1
BUND, 240 Long
Long Setup: Euro-Bund

Euro-Bund broke though the 61.8% retracement from the high of 154 and the level held as support. Stop loss is kept fairly tight, the price seems to be strongly moving up the channel.

HEmmanuel HEmmanuel USDJPY, 240, Long ,
USDJPY: Long Setup: USDJPY
47 0 0
USDJPY, 240 Long
Long Setup: USDJPY

Potential long setup, if resistance holds and price moves above 124.20

HEmmanuel HEmmanuel AUDCAD, D, Long ,
AUDCAD: Long setup: AUDCAD
33 0 0
AUDCAD, D Long
Long setup: AUDCAD

Long setup - Only If price breaks above the trend line and 100 day moving average. Move stop loss to break even upon reaching the first target.

HEmmanuel HEmmanuel AUDNZD, 240, Long ,
AUDNZD: Long Setup: AUDNZD
32 0 0
AUDNZD, 240 Long
Long Setup: AUDNZD

Fairly straight forward setup supported both technically and fundamentally.

HEmmanuel HEmmanuel GBPNZD, 240, Long ,
GBPNZD: Long setup: GBPNZD
37 1 0
GBPNZD, 240 Long
Long setup: GBPNZD

Potential rate cut from RBNZ on Wednesday July 22. If not then RBNZ will still be very bearish because of poor CPI figures and dairy prices last week

HEmmanuel HEmmanuel GBPCAD, 240, Long ,
GBPCAD: Long Setup: GBPCAD
32 0 1
GBPCAD, 240 Long
Long Setup: GBPCAD

Caution: On Thursday July 23 both GBP and CAD will be releasing their Retail Sales data which can cause a lot of volatility.

HEmmanuel HEmmanuel TNX, W,
TNX: 10-Year Treasury Note -- Interesting Zone
16 0 1
TNX, W
10-Year Treasury Note -- Interesting Zone

It will be interesting to see what happens in the next few weeks.

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