JamesHelliwell

PRO
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About me Chief Investment Strategist, Lex van Dam Trading Academy. Trader of equities, FX, commodities and bonds employing a global macro approach. Learn to trade with Hedge Fund manager and BBC #MillionDollarTraders creator @lexvandam at www.lexvandam.com
Last visit Joined a year ago London, UK james_lvdta www.lexvandam.com
Thanks to my new followers! Just getting set up on here - more to come!!
Markets Allocation
48 % forex 13 % stocks 9 % indices 30 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
USDJPY 17% | 4 GBPUSD 13% | 3 USDTRY 8% | 2 XAUUSD 8% | 2
JamesHelliwell JamesHelliwell PRO GBPUSD, D, Long , 3 months ago
GBPUSD: Time to cover GBP shorts for long pivot: target 1.3640
318 7 7
GBPUSD, D Long
Time to cover GBP shorts for long pivot: target 1.3640
Long GBPUSD targeting 1.3640 Having remained short GBPUSD since the brexit vote June 24th (see linked), now could be the time to close shorts and consider a long position in the pound. Speculative positioning is extremely bearish and has increased to record highs in recent weeks With sterling effectively ...
JamesHelliwell JamesHelliwell PRO XAUUSD, D, Long , 3 months ago
XAUUSD: Gold to catch up to a stronger Yen
178 0 1
XAUUSD, D Long
Gold to catch up to a stronger Yen
If the yen continues to strengthen beyond 100 per dollar, gold will make new highs. US Yields fail to hold higher USDJPY is at a critical support level around 100 which looks likely to break DXY appears to be headed south initially towards the brexit 61.8% retracement level at 94.76, and possibly 94 Gold will ...
JamesHelliwell JamesHelliwell PRO XAGUSD, D, Short , 3 months ago
XAGUSD: Negative divergence warning to longs in overcrowded Silver trade
300 6 7
XAGUSD, D Short
Negative divergence warning to longs in overcrowded Silver trade
Negative divergence in momentum indicators including the RSI shouldn't be ignored by longs in the overcrowded Silver trade. Silver currently trading around 20.20 Selling has been seen 50 cents higher around 20.70 over the past month Support levels: 19.09 (38%), 17.83 (62%), 16.94 (78%) Resistance level: 21.12 ...
JamesHelliwell JamesHelliwell PRO IWD/IWF, D, Long , 4 months ago
IWD/IWF: LONG Russell 1000 Value / SHORT Russell 1000 Growth
102 0 1
IWD/IWF, D Long
LONG Russell 1000 Value / SHORT Russell 1000 Growth
Long Russell 1000 Value / Short Russell 1000 Growth In a market with declining corporate profits and a stagnant real disposable incomes, growth is scarce. However, with bond yields indiscriminately driving equity valuations towards records across nearly all sectors (both cyclical and non-cyclical) value is even ...
JamesHelliwell JamesHelliwell PRO USDJPY, D, Short , 4 months ago
USDJPY: USDJPY targeting 95
114 0 3
USDJPY, D Short
USDJPY targeting 95
The Yen is set to strengthen to 95 per dollar on a break below 100 USDJPY failed to find buyers around 103 Closed below the 102.85 (62%) retracement level on Friday on heavy selling (large macro fund driven) A test of 99.98 now looks likely and momentum favours a break to the downside If this level holds then ...
JamesHelliwell JamesHelliwell PRO ACA, W, Long , 4 months ago
ACA: Credit Agricole: Time to buy European banks?
149 0 4
ACA, W Long
Credit Agricole: Time to buy European banks?
Related to the reflation theme described in my view "Crude Oil: The Most Important Chart in the World". European banks trade at a 60% discount to the market (only seen during crises of 2008 and 2012) and represent a 'value' play amidst the prospect of higher rates resulting from the reflation theme. European ...
JamesHelliwell JamesHelliwell PRO XAGUSD, D, Long , 4 months ago
XAGUSD: Silver breakout: The reflation trade of 2016 continues
245 0 5
XAGUSD, D Long
Silver breakout: The reflation trade of 2016 continues
Related to the reflation theme described in my view "Crude Oil: The Most Important Chart in the World". Silver is has been consolidating whilst showing relative strength versus gold. Having broken above a downward sloping trendline from the $21.11 high set 4th July, speculators appear to be positioning for ...
JamesHelliwell JamesHelliwell PRO BKX, W, Long , 4 months ago
BKX: Financials will benefit if the reflation theme continues
136 0 4
BKX, W Long
Financials will benefit if the reflation theme continues
Related to the reflation theme described in my view "Crude Oil: The Most Important Chart in the World". This trade relates to a steepening of the US yield curve as rates adjust upwards through either rising inflation or a pickup in US growth (or both) having been driven to a record low in June. BKX Index ...
JamesHelliwell JamesHelliwell PRO CL1!, W, 4 months ago
CL1!: Crude Oil: The Most Important Chart in the World
1378 12 33
CL1!, W
Crude Oil: The Most Important Chart in the World
Crude oil is the only chart that matters again. Momentum is currently to the downside, below the 200d moving average having sold off from $50 in early June The first key support level is near at 41.88 (38.2% retracement of the Feb '16 - June '16 rally) Should this fail, the next major support level is 35.84 ...
JamesHelliwell JamesHelliwell PRO USDJPY, D, 4 months ago
USDJPY: Updated levels USDJPY
121 0 5
USDJPY, D
Updated levels USDJPY
The Yen has strengthened overnight to 104.12, exceeding my initial downside target of 104.63 following the rise above 107.20 last week (107.49 intraday high) With the Fed and BoJ conducting their policy meetings Wednesday and Friday of this week respectively, technical levels are likely to be honoured in the ...
JamesHelliwell JamesHelliwell PRO USDJPY, D, Short , 4 months ago
USDJPY: USDJPY: Potential retracement to 104.50 if it stalls near 107.20
131 3 7
USDJPY, D Short
USDJPY: Potential retracement to 104.50 if it stalls near 107.20
Despite broad dollar buying, the Yen looks unlikely to see much further upside above 107.20 this week. With this said, keep an eye on a close either side of 106.65 which provides a longer term bias (2011-2016 32% retracement level). Two consecutive daily closes, or one weekly close above this level would indicate ...
JamesHelliwell JamesHelliwell PRO DXY, M, Long , 4 months ago
DXY: Long DXY
125 1 6
DXY, M Long
Long DXY
Long the US dollar over a minimum 9-12 month horizon/b] Support around 92. Breaking out on the daily chart, however as it is towards the upper end of the channel it may be advisable to enter with a half size and add on the first pullback. Bond are grossly mispriced as central bank buying has prevented the market ...
JamesHelliwell JamesHelliwell PRO GBPUSD, 240, Short , 4 months ago
GBPUSD: Sell GBPUSD 1.3100 targeting new lows below 1.28
149 1 6
GBPUSD, 240 Short
Sell GBPUSD 1.3100 targeting new lows below 1.28
Sterling remains weak and has just broken the neckline of a bearish head & shoulders formation on the 4 hour chart. Caution is advised (see my linked post) with regards to the risk of a short squeeze perpetuated by UK labour and retail sales data this week. It would be prudent to operate a stop on-close rather ...
JamesHelliwell JamesHelliwell PRO DLN, D, Long , 4 months ago
DLN: UK Property REITS are on the move - targeting 62% retracement
92 1 6
DLN, D Long
UK Property REITS are on the move - targeting 62% retracement
UK Property REITS including Derwent (DLN) have today closed above their 38% retracement levels following brexit. Having been long DLN from 2400 on 7th July, this provides a bullish signal indicating that resistance has been successfully broken (following a week's worth of testing) and that price should rally ...
JamesHelliwell JamesHelliwell PRO USDJPY, D, 4 months ago
USDJPY: USDJPY testing major resistance at 106.65 after holding 100.71
107 3 5
USDJPY, D
USDJPY testing major resistance at 106.65 after holding 100.71
USDJPY has completed an initial move from the 50% retracement level of the 2011 - 2015 rally and now faces resistance at 106.65 (38%) Whilst momentum oscillators were previously oversold on both weekly and daily intervals, and are far from overbought in terms of the RSI, one might expect sellers to return around ...
JamesHelliwell JamesHelliwell PRO DAX/SPX, W, Long , 4 months ago
DAX/SPX: Long European / Short US Equities
203 0 4
DAX/SPX, W Long
Long European / Short US Equities
A Fund Manager Survey today showed that investors are net underweight European equities for the first time since pretty much the European debt crisis of 2012. With positioning at 3 year bearish extremes and cash positions the highest since November 2001, fear of a new European crisis and a post-brexit fallout ...
JamesHelliwell JamesHelliwell PRO USDTRY, 15, Long , 4 months ago
USDTRY: Buy USDTRY intraday
80 0 2
USDTRY, 15 Long
Buy USDTRY intraday
Target 2.9889
JamesHelliwell JamesHelliwell PRO USDTRY, 60, Long , 4 months ago
USDTRY: Long USDTRY stop 2.9240
92 5 6
USDTRY, 60 Long
Long USDTRY stop 2.9240
Intraday retracement of Friday's risk off move
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